he said the difference was a push. pretty clear to me.Originally Posted by wguan2
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12-11-12 09:15 PM #1786
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12-11-12 10:52 PM #1787
Stay focused. Long season. Keep grinding.
1-2 Today in the NBA -2.15 Units
NBA YTD 100-69-8 (+37.72 Units) 59.2%
*Struggling to crack the 40 Unit mark. It's like a resistance level in technical analysis (financial markets).
(NBA ATS/ML 75-51-5 YTD) 59.5%
(NBA totals 26-20-3 YTD) 56.5%
Unofficial NBA prop bets YTD 2-1
All time SBR Picks
Tennis 31-25-4 (+17.16 Units)
Rugby Union 7-7(+2.97 Units)
Rugby Sevens 28-24-1 (+2.27 Units)
MMA 3-0 (+20.23 Units)
MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units) *See spreadsheet
**Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum.
________________________________________ ________________
NBA
***Early Markets***
Denver @ Minnesota
Timberwolves -2 (-108 Sportsbet, IAS Bet) 2.5x
*The -2 won't last. I'm expecting -3 minimum by game time. If you like this pick then get in as early as possible.
Cleveland @ Indiana
Cav's +8.5 (-110 Pinnacle) 2x
*The Pacers are the worst offensive team in the NBA, so 8.5 points is actually a lot for them to cover when they struggle to score period. In their last 10 they are 6-4 and not once have they covered 8.5 points despite 3 of those wins coming over Washington, Sacramento and New Orleans. Cav's with Irving back are a better team than most people realise.
SA @ Utah
Jazz +3 (-107 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*I have this game at Spurs -1 or even a pk em. Jazz are 8-1 at home with the only loss coming to a red hot Clippers team by 1 point. Jefferson is back and Favors practiced Tuesday (although he is a game time decision) so the Jazz basically have a full playing list for the game. Spurs do have lots of bigs however not many teams can handle the 1-2 punch down low of Milsap & Jefferson at home in Utah. (More to follow).
*Public are pounding the Spurs ATM. Maybe hold off for a bit and pick up +3.5 or at the least better odds later.
Atlanta @ Orlando
Hawks -4 (-110 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*Orlando has actually been better on the road than they have been at home in recent times, although it must be said they are playing suprisingly well in general lately and full credit must be given to rookie coach Jacque Vaughn for squeezing the absolute most out of his rather limited talent pool. Regardless they have clearly been playing above their median level and have a hot Atlanta team coming to town, who may be coming off a 9 point loss to the Heat, but they did hang with Lebron's boys for most of the match and traditionally the Heat has been their bogey team the last few years. Apart from that game the Hawks are 9-1 their last ten games, with their last 3 road games all being double digit wins. J-smoove is balling and was just named the ECF player of the week and I fail to see how big chunky Glen Davis and skinny Vucevic are going to be able to hang with the more highly skilled and agile pairing of Smith and Horford. Orlando coming back home from a long road trip and there has been a trend lately of teams struggling in their first games back home.
GS @ Miami
Warriors +8.5 (-107 Pinnacle) 1x
*The quiet achievers in the NBA. The Warriors are 4 wins from 4 games on their current road trip and a healthy 7-3 ATS in their last 10. A healthy Andrew Bogut will create a formidable front court with David Lee when he returns. In the meantime I can see Lee getting whatever he wants today against Bosh and if Lebron guards him he will most definitely have to "put in work" which may affect him slightly on the other end. Battier is an excellent defender but young Barnes too quick and explosive to be troubled much. Chalmers also a solid and pesky defender but nobody stops Mr. Consistent (Curry) from getting his 20+ every single night. The Warriors are full of confidence ATM, very very important in a young team, they will believe they can win tonight, although all I'm looking for is them to keep it close, which I believe they will do.
NBA Total's of the Day
Memphis @ Phoenix
Over 195 (-105 Pinnacle) 2x
Chicago @ Philly
Under 181 (-111 Pinnacle) 1x
SA @ Utah
Over 209 (-111 Pinnacle) 1xLast edited by sando; 12-12-12 at 03:31 PM. Reason: Plays Added
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12-11-12 10:54 PM #1788
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12-11-12 10:55 PM #1789
I like Denver money line. Twolves can't win if they're not red hot from 3. Love is clearly not himself and no one on that team can beat you off the dribble without roy and rubio.
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12-11-12 10:55 PM #1790
Sando it hasn't been very nice so far. We will get them back tomorrow hopefully.
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12-11-12 11:03 PM #1791
Looks like 5 dimes opened the Nuggets/Wolves game at -3.
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12-11-12 11:15 PM #1792
After that miracle cover with SA @ HOU in OT, I think the public may jump on SA and Utah players could get +3-4 tomorrow. I can't believe that Utah will be the public choice over a red hot SA. I'm watching the line closely.
gl all.
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12-11-12 11:16 PM #1793
Wolves -2 (-129) at pinny. Glad I got this quick, thank Sando.
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12-11-12 11:19 PM #1794
Nuggets/Wolves
Bookmaker Denver (+2.5) Minnesota (-2.5) Last Updated PartyBets (GI) -110 -110 Wed Dec 12 15:47 Pinnacle (Caribbean) +106 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:35 UniBet (UK) -103 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:30 PAF (FI) -103 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:35 BetRedKings (MT) -105 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:43 Bet-At-Home (MT) -118 -118 Wed Dec 12 15:34 Dafabet (PH) +104 -119 Wed Dec 12 15:37 12Bet (PH) +104 -119 Wed Dec 12 15:37 Bookmaker Denver (+2.0) Minnesota (-2.0) Last Updated IASBet (NT) -109 -109 Wed Dec 12 15:33 Sportsbet (NT) -109 -109 Wed Dec 12 15:37 Paddy Power (UK) -110 -110 Wed Dec 12 15:45 Pinnacle (Caribbean) +115 -128 Wed Dec 12 15:35 Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-25-14 at 03:23 PM.
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12-11-12 11:21 PM #1795
You still like the play with that much juice?
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12-11-12 11:21 PM #1796
We may be better off paying the juice for a money line play on MINN with reduced juice on 5D...anybody knows when 4D puts up reduced juice NBA lines?
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12-11-12 11:22 PM #1797
Like the Utah pick, they are strong at home. I expect over too.
Last edited by sbrhgary; 12-11-12 at 11:42 PM. Reason: Grammer
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12-11-12 11:39 PM #1798
Tough one tonight. You'll crack 40 soon. Keep at it!
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12-11-12 11:55 PM #1799
Can some 1 please explain to me all this -115 +110 numbers or wat Eva it is I'm from australia and just don't understand it
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12-11-12 11:55 PM #1800
Originally Posted by OZnBa Fan
Link Not Working - Removed-)Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-25-14 at 03:23 PM.
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12-11-12 11:56 PM #1801
Sportsbet still has min-2 @ $1.92
Tab has jazz+3.5 @ $1.90
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12-12-12 12:07 AM #1802
SANDO i was wondering if you have a system or equation on how configure your spreads/ totals??
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12-12-12 12:10 AM #1803
I did a massive write up explaining exactly how I come up with my ATS picks only 3-4 days ago. It's probably 5-10 pages back? Originally Posted by wizcodlifa
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12-12-12 12:49 AM #1804
[QUOTE=sando;17095068]I did a massive write up explaining exactly how I come up with my ATS
Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 08-08-14 at 11:29 AM.
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12-12-12 01:56 AM #1805
Cheers Sando, grabbed all these lines.
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12-12-12 04:25 AM #1806
Don't worry, it's just a Fibonacci retracement - it will crack soon. Originally Posted by sando
It took ages for the AUD to crack parity with the USD, but once it did, it hasn't looked back.
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12-12-12 05:22 AM #1807
Sando. Bulls +3 has to be an easy pick tmrw. I dont see how the 76ers can manage the bulls' in the paint. Noah boozer and gibson will be very active on the offensive end. Noah and boozer will both post double-doubles.
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12-12-12 08:04 AM #1808
Play Added. Will possibly add 1 more ATS and a total or two but need to sleep on them for a few hours and see how I feel about them later, so any new plays will be added in 6 hours from now.
Thanks for the heads up Doc, I'll chew it over. Originally Posted by Bbr
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12-12-12 08:38 AM #1809
Thanks Sando for the heads up on a few more plays being released. Good luck today and I know yesterday wasn't such a good one but as long as you stay steady you will be alright.
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12-12-12 09:09 AM #1810
I'm not saying you're wrong by any means, but Pacers actually pretty decent at home lately. Since Vogel's changes on Pacers offense, in regular time (without OT), Pacers averaged no less than 97 points at home.
I think that Cleveland should cover the line here, but I believe that Cleveland TT Over is the better choice here.
Overall, agree on all 4 plays (some more - some less). Hope you sweep tonight!!!
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12-12-12 09:33 AM #1811
Bet US just put up Utah +4.5 guys...so it may go up more...that is a terrific line.
Most books have Minn -3.4 right now...I did find one book that came back down to -3. Even tho Den is a public team right now, I think everyone knows that DEN has had a long road trip with B to B's.
Very few AT -4's or even 4.5's out there...looks like you are going to have to settle with -5...is Orlando really that bad?
I thought that we might see CLEV +8.5 or even 9 ...some 8.5's are still around...don't think we will find many +9's. Irving's return last night was big...he was amazing.
Look for Clev lines to start coming down quickly over the next week.
gl all
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12-12-12 12:27 PM #1812
Sando is this software you bought or a program you created? Originally Posted by sando
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12-12-12 12:36 PM #1813
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12-12-12 02:38 PM #1814
Total added. Contemplating another ATS pick on G/S.
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12-12-12 03:33 PM #1815
NBA Card complete.
5 x ATS
3 x O/U
12.5 Units in play.
Good Luck everyone.
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12-12-12 03:35 PM #1816
So minn at -3.5 is a no go i take it? Hawks line mived roo dang it.
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12-12-12 03:38 PM #1817
I hope you do well tonight and we all are happy!!
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12-12-12 03:53 PM #1818
Buy the hook on both games, to get the Hawks back to -4 and Minny to -3 (-3 is still playable). Originally Posted by grim259
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12-12-12 03:56 PM #1819
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12-12-12 04:41 PM #1820
Wow. Just had a peek at Mr. Seaweed's card, guy normally puts out 1x play per day max, today he has 9 plays and on every play that collides we are against each other. Looks like it's us vs. Seaweed nation today boys.
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