[grim259]

Man, half an hour late and the Bucks are OTB at my local. UGH!

Bucks were +2.5 then OTB. Sando, I have -13 in knicks, what say you?

[Byrone09]

Bucks are at -1.5. I'll take the risk for 1 unit. I just can't bet on the Raptors, even with Bargnani. What is the analysis there?

[Eagles27]

NBA


Phoenix @ Toronto

Raptors -2 (-109 Pinnacle) 1.5x

*Expecting Bargnani to play


Philly @ Charlotte

76'ers -3 (-110 Pinnacle) 1.5x


Milwaukee @ Minnesota

Bucks +1.5 (-109 Pinnacle) 1x
*K-Love is sick and questionable for game. Kirilenko is out again.
** If K-Love is definitely out I still like this play at no worse than Bucks -2. Keep your ears open if you missed the earlier line.

Washington @ NY

Knicks -12 (-112 Pinnacle) 2x

*Buy the hook down to 12 for -120 max. So many points to lay and they could easily win by 20 but I am loathe to give up more than 12 here.

Denver @ LA Lakers

Nuggets +5 (-109 Pinnacle) 1.5x
Nuggets m/l (+175 Pinnacle) 0.5x

Ughh.. I loathe betting on the sixers, especially on the road, have no faith in them what so ever.

[H-Diesel503]

Buck is -1.5 at sportsbetting.ag

[Bbr]

Like em all except lakers. Lakes will cover tonight I think

[sando]

All done. 5 ATS - 1 m/l - 2 O/U's
8 Plays and 10.5 units on the line.

Let's make some money today...

0-1 Yesterday in the NBA -1.5Units

NBA YTD 72-45-6 (+35.34 Units) 61.5%

(NBA ATS/ML 54-33-4 YTD) 62%

(NBA totals 18-12-2 YTD) 60%


All time SBR Picks
Tennis 31-25-4 (+17.16 Units)
Rugby Union 7-7 (+2.97 Units)
MLB 4-1
MMA 2-0

*Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum.

**After this w/e Rugby 7's record will be added.

[usfunca]

***Sorry boys, just worked 12 hours, too tired to do any write-ups today, however if anyone has any specific questions about an individual pick I'll do my best to answer it***
No more plays today

Thanks for tonight's plays sando!

[shimeon40]

going with the x2 pick knicks..plus that rugby sevens tournament is as fun as...great stuff.

[king_danilo92]

idk about you guys but i cant wait for the Aussie Open.. I win bankkkk on tennis. I'm sure you cant wait either sando!

[Bbr]

That lakers total is going against you atm. Up to 205.5. Im on the over myself. Really confident with the 76ers. Like them to cover the 1H as well.

[sando]

going with the x2 pick knicks..plus that rugby sevens tournament is as fun as...great stuff.

Had a rough start, but finished the day on a 4-1 run to be down about a unit on the day (haven't updated my record yet). Planning on having a far better day today. Day 2 is finals day and there is definitely money to be made.

[MTM]

I like Toronto and Bucks. Although not with a lot of confidence. Need a big game from bargnani and worried about rebounding but I think it's hard to look at last few losses... Quality sides and fired up rockets. Meanwhile that was a baaad loss for the suns against pistons and third game on the road.. Maybe only Morris who's in form.

Bucks I'm banking on love missing from the lineup and hope the jump shots fall


Sando, do you think Portland +5 is a risky bet?

[sando]

Sando, do you think Portland +5 is a risky bet?

Yes I do. With 11 games on the card I think there are better opportunities out there. Of Course Rondo is the C's MVP, however Barbosa and to a lesser extent Terry and Lee should be able to pick up the slack enough to get over the line against the Blazers. Even PP is an under-rated facillitator who can handle the ball in a point-forward roll, especially late in the game. Also remember the C's had their pants pulled down against the Nets at home. Johnson embarrased PP with his ankle breaker of the year, the "brawl", and the double digit loss should have Garnett yelling at the boys and a fired up Celtics on the floor tonight, plus Blazers playing 4th game in 5 nights I think? and the starters have been logging crazy minutes.

[aussieH]

Enjoyed the rugby picks last night as well. Rapid fire tournament.

[aussieH]

Early lines are out for tomorrow as well. Nets getting 8.5 v heat. Blazers 1.5 cavs. Makes me think celtics is a good play today as maybe the blazers are more set to get the w tomorrow

[sando]

Un-official

NBA prop bet

Kenneth Farried +8.5 (Points/Rebounds v. Dwight Howard) +105 Sportingbet

Way too many points foe Howard to be giving up here IMO.

Season Averages -

Howard
points - 17.9
rebounds - 10.5
total - 28.4

Farried
points - 13.3
rebounds - 11.1
total 24.4

Only 4 point differential which is nice but this is what I really like.

Last 3 games

Howard
Nov 27 - 17/8 - 25
Nov 24 - 15/7 - 22
Nov 23 - 7/4 -11

Farried -
Nov 29 - 10/7 - 17
Nov 26 - 21/9 - 30
Nov 25 - 14/12 - 26

You can put Howard's highest total over the last 3 games against the manimal's lowest and Farried still covers the +8.5, otherwise he has been out performing him head 2 head without even needing the +8.5 points. Obviously there are a ton of other variables that go into those numbers, but I'm not going to get any more in-depth than that. Farried is in great form, Howard is not, it's that simple. Also Denver has a ton of big men, with 4 x 7 footers, yes 4! It's not like Howard has a small team to beat up on in the paint today. Denver is so deep at Centre they have Javale McGee coming off the bench and Mozgov as their third string centre (dude could probably start on some teams)?

Really like this prop bet, playing it for 2 units. The best NBA prop I have seen so far this year IMO.

[davopnz]

do you still like the bucks if love plays?

[MTM]

Cheers for the insight. Haven't yet got the grasp you do for capping

[sando]

Cheers for the insight. Haven't yet got the grasp you do for capping

No comprehende?

do you still like the bucks if love plays?

Not at the current lines, no. Just avoid, appears he will play after all.

[usfunca]

Not at the current lines, no. Just avoid, appears he will play after all.

Awful

[MTM]

No comprehende?

Haha. Early morning grammar.

[Byrone09]

Anyone know what the Bucks/TWolves line ended up at before tipoff with Love starting?

[vasilli07]

Anyone know what the Bucks/TWolves line ended up at before tipoff with Love starting?

TWolves -2.5

[Goat Milk]

interesting prop. I love Faried. He expended a ton of energy last night. Denver blew that game badly and the officiating was very odd.

I'm going to check out some Gasol props. Faried is like 6'7 and Gasol usually has success shooting over the top of shorter PFs.

[davopnz]

any thoughts on pacers/kings under?

[usfunca]

I forgot to buy the hook in the Raptors game. Sweated the end. Good call sando!

[Byrone09]

Good call on Raptors. I cant bet on the Raptors giving away points. Congrats on 2-0 start. Hope the garbage time in the Knicks game doesn't screw us!

[usfunca]

any thoughts on pacers/kings under?

One of his official plays for the day is the over in that game.

[spoikle]

nice calls on philly and toronto so far. knicks are giving it to WAS pretty hard and thats looking good too. thanks for your sweet pics sando, and good luck to everyone!

[davopnz]

im failing to see where the points come from in the pacers game but gl

[davopnz]

tailing you on that over...i don't know why lol pacers games are notoriously low scoring but hopefully we get some points in this one

[davopnz]

damnit both these teams are horrible, what was i thinking

[Eagles27]

damnit both these teams are horrible, what was i thinking

No Tyreke Evans for the Kings, but its still early. I stayed away from that one though, if anything I liked the under.

[Eagles27]

Im all over the nuggest spread + ML though. Hopefully the nuggs are fired up after losing last night and come out swinging.

[davopnz]

yeah i liked the under but i've been cold so i faded myself...theres no coming back from a 37 pt qtr