1. #281
    usfunca
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    Loving it sando. Del Potro just dismantled Tipsarevic today. Great call. Go Thunder!

  2. #282
    grim259
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    I use Bovada, the odds moved to .95 like you said, that's what I took.

  3. #283
    mrw914
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    Great call on both picks today. Keep up the good work!

  4. #284
    ohumad
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    DURANT clutch as a mofo! Had -3 OKC. Great job on the picks man especially tennis.

  5. #285
    therealdealau
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    cash it mate, cheers durantula

  6. #286
    nosaij
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    5-0 TODAY SANDO!

  7. #287
    sando
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    Ok so i'll be thr first to admit my analysis was a bit off the mark today, Westbrook wasn't the key and apart from dishing some nice dimes, he was off with his shot selection and touch especially from long range. It was actually the big Spaniard Ibaka who carried the team until durantula took over in the 4th with a little help from his offsider Westbrook who finally came alive. Noah as predicted was a beast down low but it was actually Pommie Deng who picked up the slack and more than held his own against the OKC forwards. All in all another great day and now I can relax and watch the Clippers tear Portland a new A-hole before even thinking about the tennis tonight.


    NBA
    1-0 today +2.17 Units

    Tennis

    4-0 today +5.65 Units
    9-0 last 3 days


    Tennis YTD 30-19-4 (+24.37 Units)

    NBA YTD 18-8-2 (+13.86 Units)


  8. #288
    biggedge
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    Great job, man.

  9. #289
    Semper Fidelis
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    Great job again Sando! You're certainly on fire right now! As for tennis tomorrow, I was leaning Murray in straights and maybe the under? I'm thinking he should take care of Tsonga pretty easily considering how they've both been playing. Looking forward to your write ups!

  10. #290
    SlickRick1382
    If hustlin' is a must; be Sosa, not Tony
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    Sando,

    Are you going to have a play on the 8:45am (ET) game or just the later game? Just trying to see when I need to get back on to check your thread since I'm calling it a night soon....

    Cheers and thanks for all you do

  11. #291
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickRick1382 View Post
    Sando,

    Are you going to have a play on the 8:45am (ET) game or just the later game? Just trying to see when I need to get back on to check your thread since I'm calling it a night soon....

    Cheers and thanks for all you do
    More interested in the early game mate, at the moment leeaning towards over 22 but nothing definite, sorry to mess up your sleep patterns haha. Hopefully have something in about an hour...

  12. #292
    SlickRick1382
    If hustlin' is a must; be Sosa, not Tony
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    More interested in the early game mate, at the moment leeaning towards over 22 but nothing definite, sorry to mess up your sleep patterns haha. Hopefully have something in about an hour...
    Mate, no need to ever apologize. What you do for us is more than we can ask for. Ou provide some great analysis and winners to share for the board and we all appreciate that immensly

    Either I wake up or I miss the play, some sacrifices also have to be made on my part if I want to tail

  13. #293
    sando
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    ATP World Tour Finals

    Djokovic v Berdych

    Berdych +1.5 sets +132 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

    Berdych +4 games +111 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

    Over 22 -106 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

    Analysis -
    Why split the plays up like this and "get all fancy"? This way we cover ourselves for a larger % of possible outcomes. If Berdych wins a set, which he certainly can do (in fact he took the 1st set in this exact match up a year ago) then 2 of the bets cash straight away and the third looks great to cash. If Berdych go's down in straight sets in a tight match (7-6 6-4) then we still go 2-1 for a nice little profit. Djokovic only has to win 1 set to qualify for the semi's and while he plays to win every single match he competes in, he clearly has different levels of intensity that he plays at. Berdych is just outside the "big 4" in the second set of 4 elite players consisting of himself, Ferrer, Del Potro (and Soderling)and on his day can play with and beat anyone. I do not expect him to win this match, but I feel Djokovic will go out hard to win the first set (ensuring he qualify's for the semis) and after that may ease of the gas enough to allow Berdych right back into the match. I believe Berdych can win a set or at least hold to 6 once forcing a breaker and greatly increasing the chances of the over and the +4 cashing. Remember Berdych has a great serve and the heaviest ground shots of all the elite players, so although Nole is the world's best return of serve, a switched on Berdych with his first serve firing (it has been decent so far, 15 Aces to 2 DF's and 84% average first serve points won, including 85% against Murray who is also an excellent return of serve) should be able to hold serve to 6 games in at least 1 set. Berdych has taken a set of Djokovic in 3 of the last 4 matches.
    Last edited by sando; 11-09-12 at 06:01 AM. Reason: play added and analysis

  14. #294
    SlickRick1382
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    Don't have the +1.5 sets but assuming taking djokovic not 2-0 for +150 is the same or better?

  15. #295
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickRick1382 View Post
    Don't have the +1.5 sets but assuming taking djokovic not 2-0 for +150 is the same or better?
    yes exactly the same, except with much nicer odds. What book you using mate?

  16. #296
    joe1122
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlickRick1382 View Post
    Don't have the +1.5 sets but assuming taking djokovic not 2-0 for +150 is the same or better?
    Same with my book so I took total sets ,3 sets @2.90, I just hope it is not a 2-0 match

  17. #297
    Goat Milk
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    gl buddy i'm on the over too.

    man, you are on straight FIRE in tennis.

  18. #298
    freshguy222
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    good write-up, however i disagree when you say +4 cashes if berdych wins the first set, i love dog handicaps of +3 to +4 and it happens so often that they get blown out of the water the next two sets when the other player is on another level

  19. #299
    Duff85
    Getting ready for Japball
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    Quote Originally Posted by freshguy222 View Post
    good write-up, however i disagree when you say +4 cashes if berdych wins the first set, i love dog handicaps of +3 to +4 and it happens so often that they get blown out of the water the next two sets when the other player is on another level
    You end up often anti-sweating your own player late in the second, so they don't leave it open to getting blown out in the third.

  20. #300
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by freshguy222 View Post
    good write-up, however i disagree when you say +4 cashes if berdych wins the first set, i love dog handicaps of +3 to +4 and it happens so often that they get blown out of the water the next two sets when the other player is on another level
    You mis-read it mate, I said the over and the +1.5 would cash and we would be in a great spot with the +4.

  21. #301
    Frisco
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    Joker on his game today.

  22. #302
    KidSeoul
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    Sando - any opinion on the Tsonga/Murray match? I'm thinking that Tsonga +385 is some seriously good value.

  23. #303
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by KidSeoul View Post
    Sando - any opinion on the Tsonga/Murray match? I'm thinking that Tsonga +385 is some seriously good value.
    I've watched both Tsonga's matches and haven't been impressed with his erratic play, he looked brilliant early against Djoker and then faded hard. His shot selection this tournament has been rather poor, attempting off balance winners from the edges. He needs to study some tape of Ferrer playing and work on his footwork and balance to take the next step in my humble opinion. Like Murray 2-0 but don't like the price.

    Berdych bets looking shaky boys, our 9-0 run is in big trouble ATM, fingers crossed...

  24. #304
    Semper Fidelis
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    Sando do you think Tsonga has any chance of keeping it close or even possibly taking a set? I'm just scared that Murray may come out flat like he does at times. Any way he loses 10 or more games to Tsonga?

  25. #305
    Frisco
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    Man Bird winning this set would be huge.

  26. #306
    smandur
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    I think we will see tb, small hope

  27. #307
    Inovated
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    the over is looking Good fellas

  28. #308
    Frisco
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    Beautiful shot by Berdych

  29. #309
    CollegePro
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    better luck on next game sando!

  30. #310
    sando
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    Wow 3 set points wasted, so sick, sorry boys. Got some solid NBA picks coming, still confident of a + unit day.

  31. #311
    Dmoneytx
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    Tough loses on those 3 plays this morning Sando! I have a really good parlay that will bail me out I think bec I had Birdy +4.5 games. Hate losing by 0.5 games, arg! Also thinking that there is no way that BOTH matches today will cover 5 games. Tsonga knows that if he wins today, then 3 players in that group will be 1-2. Hmmmmmmm. I think Tsonga comes out to win today & we could see a close match actually. Hoping the +4.5 on the next match hits and the parlay is my profit today. Good luck tonight in NBA, might tail a few plays

  32. #312
    Inovated
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    wow Birdie choked... so close

  33. #313
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by Semper Fidelis View Post
    Sando do you think Tsonga has any chance of keeping it close or even possibly taking a set? I'm just scared that Murray may come out flat like he does at times. Any way he loses 10 or more games to Tsonga?
    This is a tricky spot here mate was originally leaning Murray 2-0 but now he only needs to win 1 set to qualify for the semi's, also surprisingly if Wonga wins in 2 sets he will amazingly finish second in the group behind djokovic so there is no doubt Tsonga will go hard at least for the 1st set. There very well may be some value in Tsonga, not sure yet.

  34. #314
    sando
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    NBA

    Utah @ Denver
    Nuggets -5.5 -112 (Pinnacle) 2.5x

    Dallas @ NY
    Knicks -6 -106 (Pinnacle) 2x

    Philli @ Boston
    76ers +5 -105 (Pinnacle) 1.5x
    76ers m/l +180 (Pinnacle) 0.5x

    Detroit @ OKC
    Thunder -11.5 -107 (Pinnacle) 2x

    Indiana @ Minnesota
    Pacers m/l +113 (Pinnacle) 1x

    Cleveland @ Phoenix
    Suns -4 -103 (Pinnacle) 1.5x



    Totals

    Cleveland @ Phoenix
    Over 200 -111 (Pinnacle) 2x

    Golden State @ LA Lakers
    Under 195 -105 (Pinnacle) 1x

    Charlotte @ New Orleans
    Over 181 -114 (Pinnacle) 1x

    Utah @ Denver
    Under 202 -108 (Pinnacle) 1x

    Last edited by sando; 11-09-12 at 11:08 AM. Reason: Plays added.

  35. #315
    wizcodlifa
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    Any write-ups on the nbagames?

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