[billyunl]

All posted lines represent the number I got down on my official record tracker. They may be different at the time I post my plays publicly. My record only reflects what is officially tracked by my website record tracker, so I have to post the number I got there to keep my records accurate.

Keep in mind that my picks are primarily based on market analysis and situational power rankings, the following write-ups are not exhaustive as to the factors that led to my booking each play.

All power rankings are SOS weighted and split exclusively between home and road performance. Home performance has no effect on a team’s road power ranking and vice-versa.

Plays:

Indiana Pacers +3.5

Stake: 2.2 to win 2 units

Home court advantage in the NBA is said to be the biggest edge in any professional sport. The Pacers are a playoff team, and they also have championship aspirations. Playoff teams like the Pacers should rarely, if ever, be home dogs. 2 and 3 are the biggest key numbers in basketball, and we are getting both of them in this match-up. Pacers +3.5 should be a no-brainer, and yet over 80% of the public is on the Thunder. Just goes to show you why casinos bring in billions of dollars in revenue every year; 9 gamblers out of 10 are suckers, more than that actually.

Pretty straight-forward, the Thunder will simply have a difficult time going to Indiana and winning by 4+, especially when the Pacers are much better down-low. Kendrick Perkins has one of the worst Roland ratings for a starting player in the entire league. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a comfortable Pacers win.

Referee assignments:

• Tom Washington: 24-17 home team ATS record (Head)
• Courtney Kirkland: 15-25 home team ATS record
• Leroy Richardson: 15-26 home team ATS record

Match-ups
Player	Roland	Player	Roland	Pos.
Danny Granger	+7.9	Kevin Durant	+11.1	SF
David West	+3.1	Serge Ibaka	+4.4	PF
Roy Hibbert	+3.2	Kendrick Perkins	-7.6	C
Paul George	+2.4	Thabo Sefalosha	+4.3	SG
Darren Collison	+1.4	Russell Westbrook	+7.4	PG

*A player must play at least 10% of minutes for a given team to qualify for a Roland rating with that team.

Cleveland Cavaliers +8

Stake: 2.2 to win 2 units

This game will be just like the DET/CHA game from Saturday, when I took Charlotte because the line was +7. This is another match-up between two teams that are just patiently waiting for the season to end. It is going to look like an ugly YMCA pick-up game, neither team should win this game by 8 points.

The biggest story is the fact that Jose Calderon will not start, so both teams are down to their third string PG. Cleveland still holds the advantage, at least Donald Sloan has actually been with the Cavs for 3 weeks and building chemistry with his new team. The Raptors will use 2 D-league PG’s that just signed 10-day contracts with the team (Uzoh and Justin Dentmon). The actually have another player signed for only a 10-day contract as a starter, Alan Anderson, because James Johnson does not get along with Dwane Casey. If you can beat ANY team in the NBA team by 8+ points while starting 2 D-league players on 10-day contracts, more power to you, let’s see it.

You also know by now that I rate the Cavs (5) points better on the road in my home/away SOS weighted power rankings. I rank the Raptors (3) points better on the road in my power rankings, meaning we are gaining a double advantage via the odds makers universal home court adjustment.

I don't recommend taking the Cavs at any less than +7.5, so get on it now, if you want to tail.

Referee assignments:

• John Goble: 18-27 home team ATS record (Head)
• Kane Fitzgerald: 26-18 home team ATS record
• Olandis Poole: 22-16 home team ATS record

Match-ups
Player	Roland	Player	Roland	Pos.
Alonzo Gee	+0.6	Alan Anderson	N/A	SF
Antwan Jamison	-0.6	Andrea Bargnani	+2.1	PF
Tristan Thompson	-1.8	Aaron Gray	-11.1	C
Manny Harris	N/A	DeMar Derozan	+0.8	SG
Donald Sloan	N/A	Ben Uzoh	N/A	PG

*A player must play at least 10% of minutes for a given team to qualify for a Roland rating with that team.

[Speedy88]

I love the Indiana pick, good luck today.

[MoneyOnBball]

You were 1-0 yesterday? Damn i guess i missed your post, and i was actively looking for it yesterday too. SMH i'm so bad at this that i can't even find someones post on a forum lol.

[Speedy88]

Indi is up to +4 at my book.

[ShogunRua]

Help me out here bill.

On 4/4 you were 79-49-2 (+50.2) with plays Boston +1 (Push) and Miami -2.5 (win). You didn't make any posts yesterday so how could you be 1-0 yesterday? Also, how are you 82-49-3 (+56.2) now? This isn't adding up.

[Vinnie Paz]

Help me out here bill.

On 4/4 you were 79-49-2 (+50.2) with plays Boston +1 (Push) and Miami -2.5 (win). You didn't make any posts yesterday so how could you be 1-0 yesterday? Also, how are you 82-49-3 (+56.2) now? This isn't adding up.

I assume he means 1-0 last posted play..?

[jrs362]

Looks like he had yesterday's play on his blog, but not on SBR.

Through 4/3 he was 79-49-2 (With 3 plays on 4-4)

2-0-1 on Wednesday to move to 81-49-3. His Cleveland +11.5 play was actually a winner and submitted to his record tracker, but he made it a non-recommended play since Irving was out.

This play was submitted to my record trackers before the Kyrie Irving announcement. So this play will be reflected in my YTD record, but it is not a recommended play now that Irving is scratched.

1-0 on Thursday (Celtics +7.5) to go to 82-49-3.

[Thesloniawski]

Thunder win this game by 6 or 7. I like your reasoning, however the thunder have lost 2 in a row and they have to defend their number 1 seed in the west as san Antonio is gaining ground on the thunder. The thunder come out motivated and have an advantage at almost every position besides center. Harden I count as their shooting guard advantage. Ibaka gets 5 plus blocks today and defends the paint aginst the weak, jump shot oriented big men of the Pacers. Granger is a no show half the time. VEGAS LOSES MONEY ON THIS GAME. Dont let Indi fool you, they are an average team that will get bounced most likely in the first round depending on their match up, they advance to the second round at best. This game is the same as LAC vs SAC last night. Public wins 2 nights in a row!

[ses_d]

on it. great plays

[Hangoverblack]

Good write ups, but Cleveland is horrific. 1-1 on this one.

Keep it coming though

[Vinnie Paz]

Still gotta chance for back door whoever took Cavs.

[Intwoition]

Yeah Cavs should cover. 2-0 great work - too bad I just got to my computer now - no bets for me!

[Thesloniawski]

Great pick guys, took the thunder -6 2nd Half to make my money back. GREAT PICk

[Vinnie Paz]

There ya go Billy with the sweep!

[pacocn]

Billy, nice call on the Cavs

[Hangoverblack]

I will take full credit for that jinx post while Cavs were down 12.

Needed this win- parlayed Cavs with Pacers for $450!

Thanks billy! Don't disappear on us

[ses_d]

SWEEP!

[Bigitaly42]

All posted lines represent the number I got down on my official record tracker. They may be different at the time I post my plays publicly. My record only reflects what is officially tracked by my website record tracker, so I have to post the number I got there to keep my records accurate.

Keep in mind that my picks are primarily based on market analysis and situational power rankings, the following write-ups are not exhaustive as to the factors that led to my booking each play.

All power rankings are SOS weighted and split exclusively between home and road performance. Home performance has no effect on a team’s road power ranking and vice-versa.

Plays:

Indiana Pacers +3.5

Stake: 2.2 to win 2 units

Home court advantage in the NBA is said to be the biggest edge in any professional sport. The Pacers are a playoff team, and they also have championship aspirations. Playoff teams like the Pacers should rarely, if ever, be home dogs. 2 and 3 are the biggest key numbers in basketball, and we are getting both of them in this match-up. Pacers +3.5 should be a no-brainer, and yet over 80% of the public is on the Thunder. Just goes to show you why casinos bring in billions of dollars in revenue every year; 9 gamblers out of 10 are suckers, more than that actually.

Pretty straight-forward, the Thunder will simply have a difficult time going to Indiana and winning by 4+, especially when the Pacers are much better down-low. Kendrick Perkins has one of the worst Roland ratings for a starting player in the entire league. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a comfortable Pacers win.

Referee assignments:

• Tom Washington: 24-17 home team ATS record (Head)
• Courtney Kirkland: 15-25 home team ATS record
• Leroy Richardson: 15-26 home team ATS record

Match-ups
Player	Roland	Player	Roland	Pos.
Danny Granger	+7.9	Kevin Durant	+11.1	SF
David West	+3.1	Serge Ibaka	+4.4	PF
Roy Hibbert	+3.2	Kendrick Perkins	-7.6	C
Paul George	+2.4	Thabo Sefalosha	+4.3	SG
Darren Collison	+1.4	Russell Westbrook	+7.4	PG

*A player must play at least 10% of minutes for a given team to qualify for a Roland rating with that team.

Cleveland Cavaliers +8

Stake: 2.2 to win 2 units

This game will be just like the DET/CHA game from Saturday, when I took Charlotte because the line was +7. This is another match-up between two teams that are just patiently waiting for the season to end. It is going to look like an ugly YMCA pick-up game, neither team should win this game by 8 points.

The biggest story is the fact that Jose Calderon will not start, so both teams are down to their third string PG. Cleveland still holds the advantage, at least Donald Sloan has actually been with the Cavs for 3 weeks and building chemistry with his new team. The Raptors will use 2 D-league PG’s that just signed 10-day contracts with the team (Uzoh and Justin Dentmon). The actually have another player signed for only a 10-day contract as a starter, Alan Anderson, because James Johnson does not get along with Dwane Casey. If you can beat ANY team in the NBA team by 8+ points while starting 2 D-league players on 10-day contracts, more power to you, let’s see it.

You also know by now that I rate the Cavs (5) points better on the road in my home/away SOS weighted power rankings. I rank the Raptors (3) points better on the road in my power rankings, meaning we are gaining a double advantage via the odds makers universal home court adjustment.

I don't recommend taking the Cavs at any less than +7.5, so get on it now, if you want to tail.

Referee assignments:

• John Goble: 18-27 home team ATS record (Head)
• Kane Fitzgerald: 26-18 home team ATS record
• Olandis Poole: 22-16 home team ATS record

Match-ups
Player	Roland	Player	Roland	Pos.
Alonzo Gee	+0.6	Alan Anderson	N/A	SF
Antwan Jamison	-0.6	Andrea Bargnani	+2.1	PF
Tristan Thompson	-1.8	Aaron Gray	-11.1	C
Manny Harris	N/A	DeMar Derozan	+0.8	SG
Donald Sloan	N/A	Ben Uzoh	N/A	PG

*A player must play at least 10% of minutes for a given team to qualify for a Roland rating with that team.

He didn't do any of this research. It was stolen off another forum.

[Bigitaly42]

...

[Vinnie Paz]

Whoa whoa whoa whoa......


Billy what's the deal here?

[ses_d]

He didn't do any of this research. It was stolen off another forum.

where's the proof?

[Bigitaly42]

mistake

[billyunl]

It's pathetic to do what you're doing. Do your own ******* work, scumbag

LOL, which one of MY OTHER FORUM posts did you run into? Was it "capperintuition" on pregame.. or "paid03" at betting talk.. all me brother, or did you see it on MY blog "The Market Capper" 100% my work.

[Bigitaly42]

Guess that was my mistake then.Apologies

[Vinnie Paz]

You should know you just can't come in here and claim he's a fraud without posted proof.

Dig it up.

[jaeguyoon]

It's pathetic to do what you're doing. Do your own ******* work, scumbag

he has already told everyone he posts on different forums under different username long time ago.

[Vinnie Paz]

Yea I was just gonna say are you sure its not him on another board???

Props Bill

[ses_d]

lmao........comeon guy. I lol at haters on this forum, always coming in and bashing when people win. Let's just all support each other and get wins

[Bigitaly42]

AGain, my mistake. I've just seen that before and it bothers me, and am not on this board often. Apologies again.

[billyunl]

Help me out here bill.

On 4/4 you were 79-49-2 (+50.2) with plays Boston +1 (Push) and Miami -2.5 (win). You didn't make any posts yesterday so how could you be 1-0 yesterday? Also, how are you 82-49-3 (+56.2) now? This isn't adding up.

I covered all of this on my blog. My old record was not 100% tracked because I didn't officially track for the first month of the season, so I reverted to my official record from my record tracker with the largest sample size on the season. Here's the link: Capperintuition's record tracker I felt that I needed to be 100% tracked.

Also, I did not post the Celtics play from last night on this forum because I did not have time. I use my tracked record regardless because I cannot keep separate records for every forum that I post in. If you want to be sure to see all of my plays for any given day you'll find the link to my blog in my SBR space.

[Bigitaly42]

I covered all of this on my blog. My old record was not 100% tracked because I didn't officially track for the first month of the season, so I reverted to my official record from my record tracker with the largest sample size on the season. Here's the link: Capperintuition's record tracker I felt that I needed to be 100% tracked.

Also, I did not post the Celtics play from last night on this forum because I did not have time. I use my tracked record regardless because I cannot keep separate records for every forum that I post in. If you want to be sure to see all of my plays for any given day you'll find the link to my blog in my SBR space.

Well said. You've been doing a hell of a job, and I made a mistake. I didn't want someone to get credit for work that wasn't theirs. Keep up the good work.

[ses_d]

again, NICE WINS Billy. keep up the good work.

[billyunl]

Well said. You've been doing a hell of a job, and I made a mistake. I didn't want someone to get credit for work that wasn't theirs. Keep up the good work.

No prob, good looking out, just don't jump to conclusions so quickly.

[Bigitaly42]

No prob, good looking out, just don't jump to conclusions so quickly.

Will do.

[Guru1029]

No pick today Billy?