MrXYZ's NRL thread

the tross · 08-27-13, 01:13 AM

Don't bet live because it feels like im chasing but im glad you pulled out of the play. Can't wait for the finals.

MrXYZ · 08-27-13, 01:42 AM

buying it out of plays is something we've all done but I should keep it out of the thread. it's been done to death by wannabe touts and degens to prop up their records.

I bet real money unlike most of the air bettors on SBR & have no problems with posting my tickets if anyone asks me to.

Gee · 08-27-13, 02:02 AM

Mate, it was a difficult job finding the two posts. I deserve all the congratulations.

Anyway, I'm really not having a go, because I don't really care, nor do I need to see a ticket. You know whats what and its not how things are done.

If you want to chase and risk a polish middle at HT, then by all means go for it - but to say that you were going to wait for a live line (after seeing the HT line), then post about hitting the HT line that cashed in the 77th minute is poor form.

MrXYZ · 08-27-13, 07:55 AM

Originally posted by Gee

Mate, it was a difficult job finding the two posts. I deserve all the congratulations.

Anyway, I'm really not having a go, because I don't really care, nor do I need to see a ticket. You know whats what and its not how things are done.

If you want to chase and risk a polish middle at HT, then by all means go for it - but to say that you were going to wait for a live line (after seeing the HT line), then post about hitting the HT line that cashed in the 77th minute is poor form.

Sorry mate I over reacted. Trying to save face after a bad play is a poor excuse for me crapping on about buying out.

Your input is always welcome.

MrXYZ · 08-27-13, 08:08 AM

The early lines are out for Round 25:

Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights
Teams Win Line
Brisbane Broncos 1.75 -2 @ 1.90
Newcastle Knights 2.08 +2 @ 1.90

Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
Teams Win Line
Wests Tigers 11.00 +22.5 @ 1.90
South Sydney 1.04 -22.5 @ 1.90

New Zealand Warriors vs Canberra Raiders
Teams Win Line
New Zld Warriors 1.30 -9.5 @ 1.90
Canberra Raiders 3.50 +9.5 @ 1.90

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Penrith Panthers
Teams Win Line
Canterbury Bulldogs 1.34 -8.5 @ 1.90
Penrith Panthers 3.25 +8.5 @ 1.90

Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm
Teams Win Line
Manly Sea Eagles 2.00 +1.5 @ 1.90
Melbourne Storm 1.80 -1.5 @ 1.90

Cronulla Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys
Teams Win Line
Cronulla Sharks 1.50 -6 @ 1.90
North Qld Cowboys 2.60 +6 @ 1.90

Sydney Roosters vs Gold Coast Titans
Teams Win Line
Sydney Roosters 1.03 -24.5 @ 1.90
Gold Coast Titans 12.00 +24.5 @ 1.90

Parramatta Eels vs St. George Dragons
Teams Win Line
Parramatta Eels 2.14 +2.5 @ 1.90
St. George Dragons 1.70 -2.5 @ 1.90

So far I like Knights, Panthers & Storm.

Gee · 08-27-13, 06:58 PM

Nice to have someone post the openers. Good luck this weekend!

ULTRANORTH · 08-28-13, 05:12 AM

thanks for the fades mr XYZ

MrXYZ · 08-28-13, 06:23 AM

Originally posted by ULTRANORTH

thanks for the fades mr XYZ

Go fukk yourself. Loser.

MrXYZ · 08-28-13, 06:24 AM

Originally posted by Gee

Nice to have someone post the openers. Good luck this weekend!

Thanks!

Tim Gerry Mander · 08-28-13, 04:05 PM

Panthers
Warriors
Titans

At this stage

sando · 08-28-13, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by ULTRANORTH

thanks for the fades mr XYZ

Never fukcing heard of you pal. Run along back to the Saloon, only the serious handicappers and winners reside in more sports.

MrXYZ · 08-29-13, 08:47 AM

BRISBANE BRONCOS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
BRONCOS -2.0 @1.90 x5

Even though the Broncos shocking effort against the Panthers may kill their season, I'm very confident they win here by a minimum of 4 points. injuries should blunt the Knights and the loss of Snowden is a massive factor. But they have Parra next week so a win here could virtually seal a top 8 finish. Having said that, a home game, in this situation, means it's Broncos or no play. It's a big unit risk but this is one of only 3 plays I like for the weekend.

A loss here pushes me close to my limit for the season and that means aside from a futures play (that I'll post tomorrow) no more NRL betting. Got my tax return back last week and its too tempting to gamble the money away chasing losses.

OZnBa Fan · 08-29-13, 09:30 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

BRISBANE BRONCOS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
BRONCOS -2.0 @1.90 x5

Even though the Broncos shocking effort against the Panthers may kill their season, I'm very confident they win here by a minimum of 4 points. injuries should blunt the Knights and the loss of Snowden is a massive factor. But they have Parra next week so a win here could virtually seal a top 8 finish. Having said that, a home game, in this situation, means it's Broncos or no play. It's a big unit risk but this is one of only 3 plays I like for the weekend.

A loss here pushes me close to my limit for the season and that means aside from a futures play (that I'll post tomorrow) no more NRL betting. Got my tax return back last week and its too tempting to gamble the money away chasing losses.

What's makes this a 5 unit play mate?

MrXYZ · 08-29-13, 10:20 PM

It's my favourite play of the round. If I went tout (no intention BTW) it would a platinum or whatever those clowns call it. It's not my style to convince anyone or justify my selections with stat dumps or arguments. at $50 per unit it's not a huge outlay for me. Having said that I got overconfident last week and buried myself so even if it hits as i expect it to you won't see anything bigger than 3 units for the rest of the season.

That's the end if my rant, good luck with your plays!

OZnBa Fan · 08-29-13, 10:28 PM

Wasn't having a dig mate, was just out interest to know why u fancied the broncos so much?

Best of luck tailing for a couple units.

MrXYZ · 08-29-13, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by OZnBa Fan

Wasn't having a dig mate, was just out interest to know why u fancied the broncos so much?

Best of luck tailing for a couple units.

Sorry if I came off as defensive Oznba, it wasnt my intention. A few reasons: Broncos home game, Hoffman to bounce back, Knights tendency to make stupid decisions. Not sold on this team, they are perennial underachievers and Bennett hasn't been able to build a consistent unit.

OZnBa Fan · 08-29-13, 11:33 PM

Lets cash this

MrXYZ · 08-30-13, 06:21 AM

Buried. What a fukkn awful season. Cannot catch a break in the NRL.

That's it, I'm done. Thanks guys for your support. Bye everyone.

Today: 0-1 -5.0 units -$250
Final NRL Season record: 73-1-66 -11.8 units -$590

Dr.Gonzo · 08-30-13, 07:18 AM

Bad luck XYZ

73-66 isn't bad just didn't hit enough of the larger plays

MrXYZ · 08-31-13, 04:26 AM

Fukk it no way I'm going to pass this one up, under play of the round.

MELBOURNE STORM vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
Game Total UNDER 36.0 @1.90 x5

MrXYZ · 08-31-13, 04:56 AM

12 points already. Gotta laugh at this sh$t. The burial continues.

OZnBa Fan · 08-31-13, 04:59 AM

Not yet mate

Tim Gerry Mander · 08-31-13, 05:29 AM

Massacre
FMD Mr XYZ - cant catch a break ATM

MrXYZ · 08-31-13, 06:28 AM

Unbelievable, Smith & Lyon couldn't kick straight. A push. WTF after 24 half time points the defense shows up.

Today: push 0.0 units $0
NRL Season record: 73-2-66 -11.8 units -$590

MrXYZ · 08-31-13, 08:15 PM

CRONULLA SHARKS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
SHARKS -4.0 @1.95 x2
Game TOTAL UNDER 41.5 @1.90 x4

The Sharks will end the Cows win streak (and season) today. Also rolling with the under. Expecting 38-40 points in this one. I've been dead wrong lately so fade away.

s2230011 · 08-31-13, 09:23 PM

Cowboys defence the last few weeks has been very very solid

Tim Gerry Mander · 08-31-13, 10:05 PM

GL mate
someone was looking out for you yesterday!
7 missed conversions from 9 attempts
go and buy a lottery ticket mate

vasilli07 · 08-31-13, 10:31 PM

Sharks line is only -1.5 now. Any reason why?

s2230011 · 08-31-13, 10:32 PM

Looks like Carney out

MrXYZ · 08-31-13, 11:53 PM

Been out all day & missed the line move. Not looking good.

OZnBa Fan · 09-01-13, 12:08 AM

That fukk up could cost the under

MrXYZ · 09-01-13, 12:26 AM

Buried again. This thread is a train wreck. I'm the new Brock Landers.

Today: 0-2 -6.0 units -$300
NRL Season record: 73-2-68 -17.8 units -$890

MrXYZ · 09-01-13, 11:54 PM

PARRAMATTA EELS vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
PARRA ML @2.20 x3
Game Total UNDER 46.0 x3

I'm on the worst losing streak in 3 years of NRL betting & it could continue tonight as I have Parra winning the game. Even without Hayne they should sneak a win at home against the Dragons. Also rolling with the under with both teams likely to struggle for points.

Tim Gerry Mander · 09-02-13, 12:05 AM

Don't like the Eels at all
news of unrest at board level and Ricky Stuart not happy about a few things that have happened and the Raiders throwing big bucks to entice him back to the capital makes it a risky play.

If he is going, then the game plan will get chucked out the window and the scoreboard might light up - lots of offloads and pushing the passes.

GL mate but 6 units on this game is a recipe for disaster.

angelo63 · 09-02-13, 12:28 AM

It is a good game to bet live in, hoping the eels get off to a good start and they can get ev+ on the Dragons, Dragons own the Eels over the last 5 or so years with the only real win in the Semi in 09, I think its like 9-1-1 last 11 games to the Dragons. Stuart is very keen to come to Canberra, he is a very intelligent self promoter and with his kids getting a little older he would like them to come and finish school at St Eddys like he did, the 7 million for 7 years is a bonus.
Hayne out is the last nail in the coffin for the eels. Hope to see you guys in the Live betting thread we should be able to get something out of this no contest.