1. #36
    mikemca
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    A few horses for PGA Championship starting tomorrow

    Jason Dufner 90-1
    Louis Oosthuizen 100-1
    Scott Piercy 100-1




    Sorry not too detailed today.


    Day 6

    Saratoga


    Race 1
    2-Dark Rain 12-1
    - Is a tad slow on dirt figures which she has been running on for a while and Wilkes not great dirt to turf BUT drops out of allowance race to claiming where she should have the lead all to herself and though her siblings weren't that good they were better on turf. Dark Rain did improve the first time she turfed too.

    Race 2
    5-Croke Park 8-1
    and 8-Beyond Belief 20-1 are my two prices to go along with fave 6-House Of Friends 2-1. The 2 prices come out of the same race where the 5 had a little trouble and think the race may be a little under rated figurewise as just about everyone that has ran back from that race improved their figure they ran there.

    Race 3
    Sometimes you just got to ride the wave. That wave being Kiaran McLaughlin who has started the meet winning 6 races out of 8. He has two in here that are uncoupled . I like the longer price 7-James Lane 8-1 making first start in his barn off a turf race for E Harty. Comes back gelded and getting lasix .

    Race 4
    Favorite 6-Scout Leader had everything his own way at 7-5 last race and still lost. Same thing the race before that to a lesser extent. 1-Gone Local 8-1 is steadily improving and thinking 2 turns at the spa will provide another one. That's my main play but will probably put together an exacta without the heavy fave 6.

    Race 5
    7-Discreet Encounter 8-1
    should improve substantially off debut which had trouble. Is by the new hot NY bred sire Girolamo and gets lasix for 2nd start. 9-Hampton's Holiday 5-1 goes first out for Rudy Rod which he has been doing well with. 5-Nut Nut 12-1 also by Girolamo makes debut for B Brown who isn't good with that but has trained well and gets perhaps the best gate breaking rider in J Ortiz. Because he is so good at the bell he does very well in dirt sprints, especially baby races where getting to the front and setting the pace is a giant advantage.

    Race 6
    9-King Of Spades 6-1
    has a tough post for his style but Geroux is more than capable to steer him toward the inside.5-Verger 8-1 cuts back to almost the same distance he exploded at 2 back.

    Race 7
    This was already a tough race to cap . Then throw in miracle trainers D Jacobson , J Navarro , and L Rivelli all with horses either first time in barn , or cutting back in distance , or going from synth to dirt , and it's next to impossible to predict what kind of race each horse is going to run. Seems like a few horses will be bent on getting the lead so 9-Ackeret 20-1 and 3-Nubin Ridge 8-1 are playable prices. For the 3rd I guess getting 2 for 1 on the 1/1A-Jacobson Entry 4-1 sounds good as they don't need the lead.

    Race 8
    Another tough one. I'm going out on a limb and trying to beat the 2 C Brown faves. If the prices end up being worth it come post time will go 4 deep with four of these five 1-Guilty Twelve 6-1, 3-Morethanawarning 15-1, 4-Havana Moon 5-1, 9-Bel Citron 6-1, and 10-Walking The Kitten 8-1. Hope one scratches to make the decision easier . As the biggest price Morethanawarning would be my w/p/s. All but the 4 have my favorite turf recipe of trying to close into slow or average paces in their recent races. Preference would be 3-1-10-9-4

    Race 9
    9-John's Island 12-1 goes 3rd off bench for NY training superstar J Jerkens. He has finished in front of the favorite before . Will throw in 7-Love That Jazz 10-1 with either favorite Weekend Hideaway or 2-Moonlight Song 7-2.

    Race 10
    Bottom of the barrel claimer to finish. Will go with the horses who have been running up the track against tougher rather than the horses who have been running good at this level. That's 9-Spun Copper 8-1 , 1/1A-Sciacca Entry, 8-Bold Print 6-1, and 3-Vision Of Mine 6-1 in order of preference. Will try and beat the Rudy Rod fave.

  2. #37
    mikemca
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    Nice call Race #2. 12/1 #1A won by 5 lengths. I am using Conquest Bad Girl and Summer breezing in a contest.

    Thx... Possibly Zito placing his horses a level or two below where they should be due to his lack of recent success.

  3. #38
    mikemca
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    Quote Originally Posted by harthebar View Post
    U

    Mike been on ELROI FOR a while now. Excuses and more excuses. I'm with you about the jock .can make all the difference.....closes mad
    Going to happen more often than not with bulky turf fields.That's why the cream of the jocks are the best turf riders and even the 7 pound bugs can win dirt sprints consistently . One takes more skill and one is 99% horse.

  4. #39
    mikemca
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    Not very consistent Thursday but had the $200+ exacta in race 8. No write up today, hope to have time Saturday




    Friday 7/29
    Day 7
    Saratoga


    Race 1
    6-Paschal 12-1
    8-Quality Counts 20-1
    7-Noble And True
    Race 2
    4-Sneaky Fudge Face 10-1
    Race 3
    2-Secure Access 10-1
    6-Penjade 3-1
    7-Half Irish 7-2
    Race 4
    5-Huntington Drive 4-1
    Race 5
    9-Jo's Bold Cat 5-1
    (Might want to put Danny's Rush in stable. Horse is out of a mare who has thrown 13 winners from 13 to run and 9 won on turf but all were turf routers. Look for Mott to bring this one back going longer within the next couple starts)
    Race 6
    7-Sun And Moon 8-1
    Race 7
    6-Here Comes Tommy 15-1
    7-Pierce's Prize 20-1
    8-Bluegrass Prevails 5-2
    Race 8
    9-Lady Bling 10-1
    5-Daring Duchess 8-5
    Race 9
    4-Gift Box 7-5(Not trying to beat)
    Race 10
    9-Nominal Dollars 12-1
    3-Knight Of Valor 10-1
    7-Task Force Glory 4-1

  5. #40
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Hey Mike: Got any angles today?

  6. #41
    AquaSox
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    Are you doing win place on every horse or what's your strategy?

  7. #42
    JJJ
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    mike any winners today???

  8. #43
    mikemca
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    Sorry guys . Went on vacation and have been busy at work since I got back. Busy Thursday and Friday too so making a cheat sheet for Saturday. Arlington Million Day!


    Saturday 8/13/16



    Saratoga

    Race 1
    6-Baby Bear's Soup
    Race 2
    1-Ticonderoga 7-2 - C Brown wizard debuting 2 yr olds in turf routes/Out of Keertana = one of my fave filly/mare
    7-Good Samaritan 12-1 - Both this one and the 4 debut for Shug and Mott/Workouts and getting lasix raise eyebrow
    4-Formula One 6-1
    Race 3
    2-Leviathan 5-2 - Watch the betting/When a Pletcher 1st time starting 2 year old gets bet to odds on at Saratoga he has 18 wins from 19 starters with the other 2nd by a neck!!!
    7-Read My Lips 20-1 - Only start on dirt hinted at progression if going further
    8-Pretty Boy Flash 7-2 - Asmussen 2 year olds get better with every start/ this ones 3rd start
    Race 4
    4-Husband's Folly 12-1 - Will be running late
    10-Sinatra 7-2 - Is 5 for 25 in career / 5 for 11 at this specific distance
    6-Sportscaster 9-2 - Race sets up for a perfect trip
    Race 5
    3-Thirst For Victory 2-1 - SEE PLETCHER STAT RACE 3
    5-Any Questions 8-1 - Made middle move and flattened 1st start/Sciacca almost twice as good 2nd out
    8-Thaddeus 10-1
    Race 6
    2-No Wunder 20-1 - Will get run of the race/Under radar trainer + Alvarado better than perceived/3rd off
    12-Bashart 12-1 - Ton of speed sets up for a closer if can find the right one
    11-With Exultation 8-1 - Another closer who along with 12 should have no problem getting to rail with all speed inside
    Race 7
    3-Inheritance 9-2 - On her best she beats fields by 16 lengths
    1-Kelsocait 8-1 - Horse may be too good for even Contessa to screw up
    4-Not Taken 12-1 - Could improve trying sprint first time in start 4
    Race 8
    8-Converge - Lays over this field on class
    1-Lyrical Miracle 30-1 - Should get easy lead , could last longer than anticipated
    2-Sanctify 8-1 - Mott good 3rd off bench/sprint to route
    Race 9
    4-Olive Branch 6-1
    5-Libby's Tail
    6-Ever So Clever
    Race 10
    7-King Kreesa 15-1 - Never gets respect despite bringing it just about every time
    Race 11
    6-Catapult Jack 10-1




    Arlington

    Race 1
    Fast pace should set up 4-Ms.Zenergy 6-1 and 7-Read To Me 9-2. 2-Velvet Zip 4-1 may find a home on the synth at Arlington if breeding holds up. Drops in 1/2 class wise.
    4-Ms. Zenergy
    7-Read To Me
    2-Velvet Zip
    Race 2
    6-Aim To Tease 6-1 - Has enough speed to get perfect trip behind loose leader
    3-Mendota 6-1 - Is the loose leader and get big jock upgrade to Geroux
    7-Hesmakingabigscene 8-1 - Is up against it coming from off the pace but will come running at the end
    Race 3
    7-Bold Rally 10-1 - Pretty sure C Block doesn't lose at ARL plus 9f should give these closers an edge over distance challenged faves
    6-Five Green Stars 6-1 - Is sitting on a big one dropping out of G3
    8-Big Tom Prado 6-1 - Like other two could see improvement at 9f off shorter races
    Race 4
    5-O No Not U Again 15-1
    Race 5
    6-Who's Your Drama 12-1
    Race 6
    6-Wasir 12-1 - The likely pace setter cutting back 4f to this little less than 2 mile distance.
    Race 7
    1-Cherry Wine 12-1 - Was hoping Romans would try turf with him. Comes from clouds on dirt but could be midpack on turf
    Race 8
    5-Tuttipaesi 20-1
    3-Marypop 30-1
    12-Faufiler 6-1
    13-Sea Calisi 7-5
    Race 9
    9-Mondialiste 8-1
    6-Kasaqui 20-1
    12-Tryster 7-2
    13-Deauvile 6-1
    8-Decorated Knight 10-1(Can't toss from TRIs or SUPERs having never finished worse than 4th in 10 starts)
    Race 10
    10-Princess Erindelle 30-1






    Del Mar

    Race 1
    5-Persuasive Paul - Mario G knows this horse and gets a big effort when he has sporadically ridden him
    8-On Draft
    Race 2
    2-Dixie Chick Rocks
    Race 3
    7-Unusual Taste
    Race 4
    4-Upstaging The Cast
    Race 5
    5-Bourban Soul
    Race 6
    8-King's To You
    Race 7
    2-Big Gray Rocket
    Race 8
    5-Klimt
    6-Big League
    Race 9
    4-Brainspin
    Race 10
    4-Chuchotti

  9. #44
    harthebar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
    Sorry guys . Went on vacation and have been busy at work since I got back. Busy Thursday and Friday too so making a cheat sheet for Saturday. Arlington Million Day!


    Saturday 8/13/16



    Saratoga

    Race 1
    6-Baby Bear's Soup
    Race 2
    1-Ticonderoga 7-2 - C Brown wizard debuting 2 yr olds in turf routes/Out of Keertana = one of my fave filly/mare
    7-Good Samaritan 12-1 - Both this one and the 4 debut for Shug and Mott/Workouts and getting lasix raise eyebrow
    4-Formula One 6-1
    Race 3
    2-Leviathan 5-2 - Watch the betting/When a Pletcher 1st time starting 2 year old gets bet to odds on at Saratoga he has 18 wins from 19 starters with the other 2nd by a neck!!!
    7-Read My Lips 20-1 - Only start on dirt hinted at progression if going further
    8-Pretty Boy Flash 7-2 - Asmussen 2 year olds get better with every start/ this ones 3rd start
    Race 4
    4-Husband's Folly 12-1 - Will be running late
    10-Sinatra 7-2 - Is 5 for 25 in career / 5 for 11 at this specific distance
    6-Sportscaster 9-2 - Race sets up for a perfect trip
    Race 5
    3-Thirst For Victory 2-1 - SEE PLETCHER STAT RACE 3
    5-Any Questions 8-1 - Made middle move and flattened 1st start/Sciacca almost twice as good 2nd out
    8-Thaddeus 10-1
    Race 6
    2-No Wunder 20-1 - Will get run of the race/Under radar trainer + Alvarado better than perceived/3rd off
    12-Bashart 12-1 - Ton of speed sets up for a closer if can find the right one
    11-With Exultation 8-1 - Another closer who along with 12 should have no problem getting to rail with all speed inside
    Race 7
    3-Inheritance 9-2 - On her best she beats fields by 16 lengths
    1-Kelsocait 8-1 - Horse may be too good for even Contessa to screw up
    4-Not Taken 12-1 - Could improve trying sprint first time in start 4
    Race 8
    8-Converge - Lays over this field on class
    1-Lyrical Miracle 30-1 - Should get easy lead , could last longer than anticipated
    2-Sanctify 8-1 - Mott good 3rd off bench/sprint to route
    Race 9
    4-Olive Branch 6-1
    5-Libby's Tail
    6-Ever So Clever
    Race 10
    7-King Kreesa 15-1 - Never gets respect despite bringing it just about every time
    Race 11
    6-Catapult Jack 10-1




    Arlington

    Race 1
    Fast pace should set up 4-Ms.Zenergy 6-1 and 7-Read To Me 9-2. 2-Velvet Zip 4-1 may find a home on the synth at Arlington if breeding holds up. Drops in 1/2 class wise.
    4-Ms. Zenergy
    7-Read To Me
    2-Velvet Zip
    Race 2
    6-Aim To Tease 6-1 - Has enough speed to get perfect trip behind loose leader
    3-Mendota 6-1 - Is the loose leader and get big jock upgrade to Geroux
    7-Hesmakingabigscene 8-1 - Is up against it coming from off the pace but will come running at the end
    Race 3
    7-Bold Rally 10-1 - Pretty sure C Block doesn't lose at ARL plus 9f should give these closers an edge over distance challenged faves
    6-Five Green Stars 6-1 - Is sitting on a big one dropping out of G3
    8-Big Tom Prado 6-1 - Like other two could see improvement at 9f off shorter races
    Race 4
    5-O No Not U Again 15-1
    Race 5
    6-Who's Your Drama 12-1
    Race 6
    6-Wasir 12-1 - The likely pace setter cutting back 4f to this little less than 2 mile distance.
    Race 7
    1-Cherry Wine 12-1 - Was hoping Romans would try turf with him. Comes from clouds on dirt but could be midpack on turf
    Race 8
    5-Tuttipaesi 20-1
    3-Marypop 30-1
    12-Faufiler 6-1
    13-Sea Calisi 7-5
    Race 9
    9-Mondialiste 8-1
    6-Kasaqui 20-1
    12-Tryster 7-2
    13-Deauvile 6-1
    8-Decorated Knight 10-1(Can't toss from TRIs or SUPERs having never finished worse than 4th in 10 starts)
    Race 10
    10-Princess Erindelle 30-1






    Del Mar

    Race 1
    5-Persuasive Paul - Mario G knows this horse and gets a big effort when he has sporadically ridden him
    8-On Draft
    Race 2
    2-Dixie Chick Rocks
    Race 3
    7-Unusual Taste
    Race 4
    4-Upstaging The Cast
    Race 5
    5-Bourban Soul
    Race 6
    8-King's To You
    Race 7
    2-Big Gray Rocket
    Race 8
    5-Klimt
    6-Big League
    Race 9
    4-Brainspin
    Race 10
    4-Chuchotti
    Thanks mike

  10. #45
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Good info Mike. GL tomorrow.

  11. #46
    mikemca
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    Good info Mike. GL tomorrow.
    That Pletcher stat is unbelievable. Like 95% through 19 starters.

  12. #47
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
    That Pletcher stat is unbelievable. Like 95% through 19 starters.
    really is. .especially considering the level of competition at saratoga ..how far back does that stat go ?

  13. #48
    mikemca
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    2 for 2 to start Spa

    Ms Zenergy got nosed at 8-1 to start Arlington

  14. #49
    mikemca
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    really is. .especially considering the level of competition at saratoga ..how far back does that stat go ?
    Estimated guess is 5 years.. stole the info from another site

  15. #50
    mikemca
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    nailed 2nd at Arlington

  16. #51
    mikemca
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    So far

    Saratoga

    Race 1
    6-Baby Bear's Soup------------------1st
    Race 2
    1-Ticonderoga 7-2 ------------------------2nd
    7-Good Samaritan 12-1 -----------------1st
    4-Formula One 6-1

    $80 exacta



    Arlington

    Race 1
    4-Ms. Zenergy----------------2nd - 8.40 - 5.60
    7-Read To Me
    2-Velvet Zip
    Race 2
    6-Aim To Tease 6-1
    3-Mendota 6-1 ------------------------------1st
    7-Hesmakingabigscene 8-1 ---------------2nd

    58.40 exacta

  17. #52
    mikemca
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    Of course first race since after I post that Leviathan runs up the track for Pletcher making it 18 for 20. Only went to even money at the last click so seemed cold on board at 6-5 for most of betting since only 3 of the 6 horses were taking money.

  18. #53
    JJJ
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    Booooooooooom like old times nice hit in the mill

  19. #54
    mikemca
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    $150 exacta cold in arlington million

    and $2,000 trifecta almost cold using Deuville in 3rd

  20. #55
    mikemca
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    thx... went cold for the middle of card

  21. #56
    JJJ
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
    thx... went cold for the middle of card
    Million race you hit it all you could go cold for a week and still profit after that race

  22. #57
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Good call Race 4 from DM. Took the #4 in a contest on HT. Thx.

  23. #58
    harthebar
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    Neoclassic is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Priest N The Rabbi is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course
    Peculiar Sensation is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Slapstick is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Clifton Pleasure is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 4 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Chase Motto is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course.
    :Tainted Angel is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course
    Song For The Soul is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Reconsider It scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course
    Warren's Purrfect is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 6 at Del Mar

  24. #59
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by harthebar View Post
    Neoclassic is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Priest N The Rabbi is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course
    Peculiar Sensation is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Slapstick is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Clifton Pleasure is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 4 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Chase Motto is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course.
    :Tainted Angel is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course
    Song For The Soul is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course.
    Reconsider It scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course
    Warren's Purrfect is scheduled to run on 8/18/2016 in Race 6 at Del Mar
    Hey hart got any of these in the contest today? Looks like you have 2 scratched ponies.

  25. #60
    harthebar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    Hey hart got any of these in the contest today? Looks like you have 2 scratched ponies.
    I posted on wrong site. Yea going to use them. .......which one stratched

  26. #61
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by harthebar View Post
    I posted on wrong site. Yea going to use them. .......which one stratched
    Song for the Soul and Tainted Angel both scratched.

  27. #62
    harthebar
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    Mike any thing look good

  28. #63
    mikemca
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    Saturday

    Saratoga

    Race 1
    3-Spectacular Flash 8-1 with chalk 1/1a, and 2
    Race 2
    9-Blame Will 10-1
    10-Rockshaw 20-1
    5-Driven To Compete 3-1
    3-Unstabled 9-2
    Race 3
    2-Sherini 8-1
    3-Spicy Temper 10-1
    5-Ma Can Do It 3-1
    Race 4
    6-St. Louie 4-1
    Race 5
    6-Songsational 12-1
    Race 6
    5-Rule Yourself 10-1
    7-Bigboldbok 8-1
    6-Nassua Talent 20-1
    Race 7
    9-Seven Forty Seven 20-1 - Odd placement for a trainer who runs all over country leads me to think he believes this is a good horse
    Race 8
    3-Justa Lady 12-1
    6-Lady Kreesa 15-1
    10-Ava's Kitten
    11-Angel Vision 20-1
    Race 9
    3-Reporting Star 20-1 - Very sneaky , ran a race 3 back that could compete here..goes for an excellent turf trainer who no one knows.
    2-Grand Arch
    6-Ring Weekend
    1-King Kreesa
    Race 10
    1-Dark Nile 20-1(Don't think anyone with established form can beat Songbird so trying the progressive 1 and 3 with most upside)
    3-Going For Broke 10-1
    6-Songbird 1-5
    Race 11
    3-Converge
    2-Sanctify 10-1
    9-Ocala Jim
    Race 12
    10-Lulu's Blues 4-1
    12-I Hope You Dance
    9-Esther The Queen



    Del Mar
    Race 1
    8-Papa Turf 12-1 with faves 4 and 10
    Race 2
    Chalk
    Race 3
    5-Willing To Travel 10-1 with chalk 2 and 7
    Race 4
    1-Horse Greedy 7-2
    8-Pray Hard 4-1
    4-Victory Call 20-1
    Race 6
    7-Harmonize 9-2
    4-Mines And Magic 20-1
    11-Tin Type Gal 8-1
    Race 7
    5-Coldspell 10-1
    Race 8
    8-Ashleyluvssugar
    11-Patentar 20-1
    2-Quick Casablanca 8-1
    Race 9
    Chalk but wow what a battle between Chrome , Beholder , and Dortmund!!! If I stab at anyone it would be 9-Dalmore 20-1 coming in off best effort and getting best post to watch the action and attack if the 3 beasts kill each other.
    Race 10
    8-B Rockett 8-1
    3-Into The Mystic 4-1
    9-Flamingo Lane
    Race 11
    9-J Serino 10-1




    Arlington
    Race 7
    4-Ready Right Now 12-1


    Delaware Park
    Race 5
    2-The Iron Bank 12-1


    Woodbine
    Race 4
    8-Hollywood Hideaway 10-1

  29. #64
    TonyP
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    Thanks Mike

  30. #65
    mrginandtonic
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
    Saturday

    Saratoga


    Race 7
    9-Seven Forty Seven 20-1 - Odd placement for a trainer who runs all over country leads me to think he believes this is a good horse
    Hey Mike, did you put chit load of $ on the 9-Seven Forty Seven , now is 2-1 with 1 minute left??

  31. #66
    mikemca
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrginandtonic View Post

    Hey Mike, did you put chit load of $ on the 9-Seven Forty Seven , now is 2-1 with 1 minute left??
    No way. I didn't bet it at all because of price nor did I bet the 2 early winners Blame Will and Sherini because they got bet too much. Thankfully did well at Del Mar for a change.

  32. #67
    mikemca
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    Sunday

    Saratoga


    Race 1
    6-James Lane 5-1
    Race 2
    4-Jetsam Six 12-1
    Race 3
    5-Ornato 6-1
    7-Starry Messenger 6-1
    8-Sebonack
    Race 4
    4-Secirity Risk 8-1
    8-Birchwood Road 15-1
    1/1A-Chad Brown Entry
    Race 5
    4-Gambler's Ghost 6-1
    8-Blame Jim 9-2
    1-You Know I Know 4-1
    Race 6
    6-Mr Harlan 12-1
    Race 7
    8-Dio Perdona 20-1
    10-Legallini 12-1
    7-Tazkeya 8-1
    9-Vertical Oak 5-1
    Race 8
    3-Outsider Art 15-1
    2-Catch A Glimpse
    1-Time And Motion
    Race 9
    5-Frisky Magician 12-1
    8-Manoffire 15-1
    3-Whiskey Seven
    Race 10
    5-Best Version 15-1
    Race 11
    9-Le Grand Warrior 12-1

  33. #68
    mikemca
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    Traver's Stakes

    2-American Freedom 6-1
    8-Destin 10-1
    9-Gift Box 12-1

  34. #69
    mikemca
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    Last day...going to win big


    Saratoga

    Race 1

    1-Gambler's Ghost is a free square
    Race 2
    Is interesting because you have to horses with dirt breeding moving to dirt for the first time after starting out on turf. 1-Frosty Gal 8-1 and 3-Kabuki 12-1 should be better on dirt even though their trainers aren't that great turf to dirt. With 2 year olds making their 2nd and 3rd start imo you can overlook the trainers success with the move. Both also add blinkers and are 2 of the 3 with experience in the field. The rest are 1sters. I guess the Rudy Rod 7-Mini Megan 7-2 would be the 3rd. Rudy has really upped his game with first time starters.
    Race 3
    Tough race to get past the favorites. In an attempt to I''l try 7-Now In A Drive for B Lynch/L Saez. Don't like that Lynch decides he doesn't need lasix but he is above average without it and horse is bred to be a turf runner being a 1/2 to West Ocean and Unbridled Ocean.
    Race 4
    J Sharp is very good at claiming horses . To filter it even further he is very good claiming horses and bringing them back in an allowance. He also throws blinkers on 4-Frostie Anne 8-1 most likely trying to wire this field that doesn't have much other speed.
    Race 5
    C Brown is trying to pad his stats with 4-Degrees Of Freedom 5-2 2nd off a layoff. What would a Saratoga turf race be without a C Brown favorite? Have to include her but the 2 outside horse have my attention at good prices. 11-Candida 8-1 was sitting on a big race before L Rice claimed but now she may move forward even more in a very good turf trainers barn 1st off the claim. 10-Adirondack Luck 12-1 has figs that are more than capable of winning so the 12-1 is enticing. Think the 6 and 10 are very close but the 10 being more than 2x the price pushes me that way. 11-4-10-6
    Race 6
    10-It's Only Fair 3-1 is bred to be a graded stake turfer. She is a 1/2 to Sidney's Candy and Sweet Swap. Has been turning heads in her AM workouts too. Still , she is a 1ster so could have a learning curve. 7-La Coronel 5-1 and 6-China Rider 8-1 make their first starts on turf. The 7 must have wowed them at the sales going for close to 400k off a 7.5k stud fee and no good siblings. The 6 has been wanting more ground in her 2 races so it all comes down to if she likes turf.
    Race 7
    7-Hundred Percent 12-1 doesn't like to win being 1 for 22 but is a nice price to add under as he hits the board usually. 8-Saratoga Sight 15-1 hasn't sprinted in a while cuts back 2+ furlongs and drops in class for no name jock and trainer. 10-Roman Revival 7-2 is the logical alternative to the even money Pletcher favorite.
    Race 8
    This is the race to key in on both vertically and horizontally as pretty much all 11 horses are within range of each other. 10-Iced Over 10-1 has a tendency to finish 3rd but now is 2nd off almost a year layoff. At the least could be used under. 11-Make A Decision 3-1 drops both in price and company as getting back in with NY breds after several races in open company.
    Race 9
    Could be reaching a bit but 9-Reporting Star 20-1 seems better than the ml. Has plenty of figs that would win this and gets one of best turf riders there are in Geroux.
    Race 10
    1-Everybodyluvsrudy 20-1
    Race 11
    12-Ma Can Do It

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