Originally Posted by
mikemca
Sorry guys . Went on vacation and have been busy at work since I got back. Busy Thursday and Friday too so making a cheat sheet for Saturday. Arlington Million Day!
Saturday 8/13/16
Saratoga
Race 1
6-Baby Bear's Soup
Race 2
1-Ticonderoga 7-2 - C Brown wizard debuting 2 yr olds in turf routes/Out of Keertana = one of my fave filly/mare
7-Good Samaritan 12-1 - Both this one and the 4 debut for Shug and Mott/Workouts and getting lasix raise eyebrow
4-Formula One 6-1
Race 3
2-Leviathan 5-2 - Watch the betting/When a Pletcher 1st time starting 2 year old gets bet to odds on at Saratoga he has 18 wins from 19 starters with the other 2nd by a neck!!!
7-Read My Lips 20-1 - Only start on dirt hinted at progression if going further
8-Pretty Boy Flash 7-2 - Asmussen 2 year olds get better with every start/ this ones 3rd start
Race 4
4-Husband's Folly 12-1 - Will be running late
10-Sinatra 7-2 - Is 5 for 25 in career / 5 for 11 at this specific distance
6-Sportscaster 9-2 - Race sets up for a perfect trip
Race 5
3-Thirst For Victory 2-1 - SEE PLETCHER STAT RACE 3
5-Any Questions 8-1 - Made middle move and flattened 1st start/Sciacca almost twice as good 2nd out
8-Thaddeus 10-1
Race 6
2-No Wunder 20-1 - Will get run of the race/Under radar trainer + Alvarado better than perceived/3rd off
12-Bashart 12-1 - Ton of speed sets up for a closer if can find the right one
11-With Exultation 8-1 - Another closer who along with 12 should have no problem getting to rail with all speed inside
Race 7
3-Inheritance 9-2 - On her best she beats fields by 16 lengths
1-Kelsocait 8-1 - Horse may be too good for even Contessa to screw up
4-Not Taken 12-1 - Could improve trying sprint first time in start 4
Race 8
8-Converge - Lays over this field on class
1-Lyrical Miracle 30-1 - Should get easy lead , could last longer than anticipated
2-Sanctify 8-1 - Mott good 3rd off bench/sprint to route
Race 9
4-Olive Branch 6-1
5-Libby's Tail
6-Ever So Clever
Race 10
7-King Kreesa 15-1 - Never gets respect despite bringing it just about every time
Race 11
6-Catapult Jack 10-1
Arlington
Race 1
Fast pace should set up 4-Ms.Zenergy 6-1 and 7-Read To Me 9-2. 2-Velvet Zip 4-1 may find a home on the synth at Arlington if breeding holds up. Drops in 1/2 class wise.
4-Ms. Zenergy
7-Read To Me
2-Velvet Zip
Race 2
6-Aim To Tease 6-1 - Has enough speed to get perfect trip behind loose leader
3-Mendota 6-1 - Is the loose leader and get big jock upgrade to Geroux
7-Hesmakingabigscene 8-1 - Is up against it coming from off the pace but will come running at the end
Race 3
7-Bold Rally 10-1 - Pretty sure C Block doesn't lose at ARL plus 9f should give these closers an edge over distance challenged faves
6-Five Green Stars 6-1 - Is sitting on a big one dropping out of G3
8-Big Tom Prado 6-1 - Like other two could see improvement at 9f off shorter races
Race 4
5-O No Not U Again 15-1
Race 5
6-Who's Your Drama 12-1
Race 6
6-Wasir 12-1 - The likely pace setter cutting back 4f to this little less than 2 mile distance.
Race 7
1-Cherry Wine 12-1 - Was hoping Romans would try turf with him. Comes from clouds on dirt but could be midpack on turf
Race 8
5-Tuttipaesi 20-1
3-Marypop 30-1
12-Faufiler 6-1
13-Sea Calisi 7-5
Race 9
9-Mondialiste 8-1
6-Kasaqui 20-1
12-Tryster 7-2
13-Deauvile 6-1
8-Decorated Knight 10-1(Can't toss from TRIs or SUPERs having never finished worse than 4th in 10 starts)
Race 10
10-Princess Erindelle 30-1
Del Mar
Race 1
5-Persuasive Paul - Mario G knows this horse and gets a big effort when he has sporadically ridden him
8-On Draft
Race 2
2-Dixie Chick Rocks
Race 3
7-Unusual Taste
Race 4
4-Upstaging The Cast
Race 5
5-Bourban Soul
Race 6
8-King's To You
Race 7
2-Big Gray Rocket
Race 8
5-Klimt
6-Big League
Race 9
4-Brainspin
Race 10
4-Chuchotti