1. #4516
    JBEX
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    laurel thursday

    churchill will probably be a mess tomorrow... laurel nice weather and card


    R1 #6 my own lane (8-1)
    R2 #3 oy to the world (2-1)
    R5 #2 the constable (8-1)
    R6 #6 olympic village (7-2)
    R8 #3 abbo (9-2)
    R9 #2 jabuticaba (15-1)

  2. #4517
    JBEX
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    churchill...friday (figuring sloppy)

    R1 #2 sweet legacy (7-2)
    R2 #2 admire (6-1)
    R3 #3 heavy roller (10-1)
    R4 #3 trophy chaser (3-1)
    R5 #10 so perfect (12-1)
    R6 #4 just wonderful (6-1)
    R7 #1 reflect (15-1)
    R8 #6 henley's joy (8-1)
    R8 #5 line of duty (10-1)

    R9 #8 standard deviation (12-1)

    not in love with this race...$450k yearling and even though by elite sire curlin it's a lot to pay with nothing special production-wise
    on the bottom..stamina top and bottom of the pedigree..broke maiden first out at saratoga @ 7f
    with a slow beyer..had to deal with 13 post in 2nd start in G1 at kee and still managed 3rd..blinkers on is a high % move for chad brown and lots of speed entered which could set up nice for him

    R10 #9 toast of new york (9-2)






    aqueduct

    R3 #10 cotton house (9-2)
    R6 #8 the other kessler (8-1)
    R9 #1 take charge mirella (6-1)
    Last edited by JBEX; 11-02-18 at 03:31 PM.

  3. #4518
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    churchill...friday (figuring sloppy)

    R1 #2 sweet legacy (7-2)
    R2 #2 admire (6-1)
    R3 #3 heavy roller (10-1)
    R4 #3 trophy chaser (3-1)
    see that it's fast at churchill ..wouldn't change my opinions

  4. #4519
    JBEX
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    play a few at aqueduct ...all post 4517

  5. #4520
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    added churchill 5-8 and aqu 6

  6. #4521
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    added an extra horse to R8 @ churchill

    R2 @ churchill Thomas van berg wins with a horse that's his father's name and pays $30 and follows up in the 3rd with a $59 horse ..amazing !

  7. #4522
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    added 9 10 at churchill and 9 at aqueduct

  8. #4523
    JBEX
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    churchill

    R8 #7 expert eye (8-1)
    R8 #11 lightning spear (20-1)
    R11 #2 roaring lion (20-1)


    aqueduct

    R10 #4 hungry kitten (8-1)
    Last edited by JBEX; 11-03-18 at 02:16 PM.

  9. #4524
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    added aqueduct 10

  10. #4525
    JBEX
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    santa anita

    R10 #9 knight's cross (8-1)

  11. #4526
    JBEX
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    indiana grande

    R1 #4 bahnke (4-1)
    R3 #10 ricki (10-1)
    R5 #7 flatoutjustice (8-1)
    R6 #4 expect indy (7-2)
    R7 #4 the money dance (5-2)
    R8 #11 ladonia (6-1)

  12. #4527
    BOA12
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    indiana grande

    R1 #4 bahnke (4-1)
    R3 #10 ricki (10-1)
    R5 #7 flatoutjustice (8-1)
    R6 #4 expect indy (7-2)
    R7 #4 the money dance (5-2)
    R8 #11 ladonia (6-1)
    BOL JBEX Stayed alive in a P3 R1. Like R6 #4 and Race 7 seems wide open to me.

  13. #4528
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by BOA12 View Post
    BOL JBEX Stayed alive in a P3 R1. Like R6 #4 and Race 7 seems wide open to me.

    thanks .. I think the 4's are tough in both.. having pletcher in the earlier race is a good thing as far as maybe getting a reasonable price

  14. #4529
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    thanks .. I think the 4's are tough in both.. having pletcher in the earlier race is a good thing as far as maybe getting a reasonable price
    Without value it's tough to make a profit. Have 4 in both with you.

  15. #4530
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by BOA12 View Post
    Without value it's tough to make a profit. Have 4 in both with you.
    yes I just feel these 2 are tough but will obviously be short.. I don't always try to beat them

  16. #4531
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    yes I just feel these 2 are tough but will obviously be short.. I don't always try to beat them
    Big purse brings out the best to compete.

  17. #4532
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    yes I just feel these 2 are tough but will obviously be short.. I don't always try to beat them
    Race 7 was wide open. Bol today my BDH brother.

  18. #4533
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by BOA12 View Post
    Race 7 was wide open. Bol today my BDH brother.
    yeah I couldn't come up with those two at all but if you had to make that point that was the race lol

  19. #4534
    JBEX
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    churchill


    R1 #1 limari (5-1) 2 units
    R2 #5 mr dumas (9-2)
    R4 #2 mucha mezquina (5-1)
    R5 #5 bally squall (15-1)
    R6 #6 macha's reward (8-1)
    R10 #10 momma jean (8-1)

    the winner of the mdn 5k she exits at btp ran about 5-6 lengths faster than the par for this mdn 10k..she finished 2nd in that race..0/26 jock at the meet and 0/23 trainer on the year is the bad news


    aqueduct

    R1 #7 perspicacious (12-1)
    R2 #2 naples legacy (12-1)

    R3 #2 swiping dan (5-1)

    jose ortiz hops off #5 who won his last 2 races by a combined 7 lengths with big figures
    to ride this one.. kelly breen a solid trainer but ortiz never ridden for him.. find interesting

    R4 #6 call wil (4-1)

    ships in from laurel and takes what I'd consider a double jump in class (lrl 16k-aqu 25k)..
    won 3 back off a very similar running line and time off in between and also shipped that time
    from mth to prx.. jockey who rode him at lrl last out rides him again today and coincidentally has switched over to riding here in that time period

    hey str.. 7yo gelding


    R5 pass



    indiana grand

    R7 #11 toss of fate (8-1)

    this is a statebred stakes for 2 year olds.. he followed up a solid 2nd in his sprint debut with a win around 2 turns on the turf.. like the fact that even though his last win was on the turf it was around two turns and this field lacks horses with route experience.. he was on average (1st and 2nd call) 2 lengths off a very fast 8 lengths above par pace.. a MUCH better than average pedigree for an indiana bred (kentucky bloodlines)


    R8 #1 given favorite (5-1)

    this race statebred (sb) clm 5kn3l

    started out in sb mdn 10k and did nothing..
    dropped to sb mdn 5k at 1 mile and won easy..
    next sb alw 1 mile turf (41-1) ridiculous placing..nothing..
    placed properly sb clm 5kn2l at a mile.. wins
    another stupid placing in a sb alw (49-1) and does nothing..
    where he should be today sb 5kn3l @ 1 mile
    Last edited by JBEX; 11-07-18 at 02:32 PM.

  20. #4535
    JBEX
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    finished churchill

  21. #4536
    JBEX
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    added indiana 7 8

  22. #4537
    JBEX
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    churchill

    R2 #4 final cut (12-1)
    R3 #1 dedicated (5-1)
    R6 #8 shining knight (10-1)
    R10 #6 tensweep (9-2)


    aqueduct

    R9 #6 thefinalcrazydude (8-1)
    Last edited by JBEX; 11-08-18 at 12:49 PM.

  23. #4538
    JBEX
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    finished cd

  24. #4539
    JBEX
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    added R9 aqueduct

  25. #4540
    BOA12
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    churchill

    R2 #4 final cut (12-1)
    R3 #1 dedicated (5-1)
    R6 #8 shining knight (10-1)
    R10 #6 tensweep (9-2)


    aqueduct

    R9 #6 thefinalcrazydude (8-1)
    Rough early CD. Did have R2 #8 but down $66 in P3's. Race 6 #4/123678 $1 EX $6 and #4- X-10-X Had your #8 in a P3 that's dead. Big bombs feel lucky to have hit R2 . bol JBEX R7 P3 - 2 4 6 9/ ALL/5 $14 R7 #9/12468 10 $1 EX $6 9- X-10-X $10 R8 $1 EXBX 134 $6 R8 #1-X10-X $10 R10 #12- 5-15-X $20 Just added R9 #5/ALL $1 EX $5 #5- X-10-X See you Placed R6 5.40 if you had it behind a $16.00 winner
    Last edited by BOA12; 11-08-18 at 02:48 PM.

  26. #4541
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by BOA12 View Post
    Rough early CD. Did have R2 #8 but down $66 in P3's. Race 6 #4/123678 $1 EX $6 and #4- X-10-X Had your #8 in a P3 that's dead. Big bombs feel lucky to have hit R2 . bol JBEX R7 P3 - 2 4 6 9/ ALL/5 $14 R7 #9/12468 10 $1 EX $6 9- X-10-X $10 R8 $1 EXBX 134 $6 R8 #1-X10-X $10 R10 #12- 5-15-X $20 Just added R9 #5/ALL $1 EX $5 #5- X-10-X See you Placed R6 5.40 if you had it behind a $16.00 winner
    bol

  27. #4542
    JBEX
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    aqueduct

    R1 #2 champagne bliss (8-1)



    trainer contessa with first time mdn claimers is 7/73 and for every $2 bet $1.07 returned.. #5 (4-5) morning line...could see mine waking up at this level on a fast track in her third start.. ran evenly vs msw on the turf in debut and caught a sloppy track last out.. james toner in a small sample has great numbers in mcl races


    R2 #9 elegant rose (15-1)


    honestly like other ones better than this but have to be loyal to my expensive for the pedigree angle.. it'd be amongst 3 or 4 horses and not gonna say here.. graham motion has a $725k debut horse by war front (#5) and only reason i'm pointing it out is to show what a terrible bet he is in this situation.. he gets stock as good as anybody out there but if you bet on his debut horses you get killed.. 5/111 and for every $2 bet you get 78¢ back


    R3 #4 tayler's the boss (9-2)


    R4 #4 kathy's cause (8-1)

    2yo msw statebred 1 mile turf.. like the even turf sprint debut at saratoga and then had a wide trip in his 2nd outing in an off the turf route.. comes in off 2 month rest.. like getting a giant's causeway in against ny breds and he should certainly like the 2 turns.. jose ortiz (only 2nd to his brother) best turf rider on circuit

    R5 #5 daria's angel (9-2)

    speaking of his brother lol (aboard this one.. not turf but doesn't matter).. horse ran an almost identical race to his last (6/20) at same distance (6.5f) prior to stretching out to a mile for an easy win.. he even repeated in his following race also at a mile (belmont 1 turn mile same as here).. claimed by gullo last race (excellent first off claim) and he'll be stretching out to a mile again


    dmr

    R8 #2 tiz a master (6-1)

    sprint pedigree..solid steady works including a 3f bullet the first time she stepped on the track in july (2yo race)..trainer excellent with 2yo's and jock 3/8 riding for him past 2 years
    Last edited by JBEX; 11-09-18 at 04:52 PM.

  28. #4543
    JBEX
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    added aqu 4 5

  29. #4544
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    aqueduct

    R1 #2 champagne bliss (8-1)



    trainer contessa with first time mdn claimers is 7/73 and for every $2 bet $1.07 returned.. #5 (4-5) morning line...could see mine waking up at this level on a fast track in her third start.. ran evenly vs msw on the turf in debut and caught a sloppy track last out.. james toner in a small sample has great numbers in mcl races


    R2 #9 elegant rose (15-1)


    honestly like other ones better than this but have to be loyal to my expensive for the pedigree angle.. it'd be amongst 3 or 4 horses and not gonna say here.. graham motion has a $725k debut horse by war front (#5) and only reason i'm pointing it out is to show what a terrible bet he is in this situation.. he gets stock as good as anybody out there but if you bet on his debut horses you get killed.. 5/111 and for every $2 bet you get 78¢ back


    R3 #4 tayler's the boss (9-2)


    R4 #4 kathy's cause (8-1)

    2yo msw statebred 1 mile turf.. like the even turf sprint debut at saratoga and then had a wide trip in his 2nd outing in an off the turf route.. comes in off 2 month rest.. like getting a giant's causeway in against ny breds and he should certainly like the 2 turns.. jose ortiz (only 2nd to his brother) best turf rider on circuit

    R5 #5 daria's angel (9-2)

    speaking of his brother lol (aboard this one.. not turf but doesn't matter).. horse ran an almost identical race to his last (6/20) at same distance (6.5f) prior to stretching out to a mile for an easy win.. he even repeated in his following race also at a mile (belmont 1 turn mile same as here).. claimed by gullo last race (excellent first off claim) and he'll be stretching out to a mile again


    if churchill comes up good or better probably post some from there
    of course easy winner today @ 3-5 but still bad bet overall

  30. #4545
    mrginandtonic
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    of course easy winner today @ 3-5 but still bad bet overall
    But a good exacta bet, 5 with your 2 paid $25, good call on the 2.

  31. #4546
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrginandtonic View Post
    But a good exacta bet, 5 with your 2 paid $25, good call on the 2.
    thx mgnt..that is a solid exacta for the odds

  32. #4547
    JBEX
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    added dmr 8

  33. #4548
    JBEX
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    aqueduct


    R1 #4 trance (6-1)
    R2 pass
    R3 #4 classic romeo (9-2)
    R9 #6 pirate's treasure (6-1)

    churchill

    R6 #7 shaharazard (8-1)
    R11 #3 taylor's princess (8-1)


    del mar

    R9 #3 giza goddess (15-1)
    Last edited by JBEX; 11-10-18 at 05:11 PM.

  34. #4549
    JBEX
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    added aqu 3

  35. #4550
    JBEX
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    added 6 churchill and 9 aqueduct

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