[JBEX]

keeneland

R7 #4 hawaiian noises (8-1)
banging on the bongos like a chimpanzee

winner $13.00..only cause of previous post

[JBEX]

wednesday


belmont

R2 #5 remarqued (15-1)
R4 #11 musical lute (5-1)
R6 #8 fast getaway (6-1)
R9 #8 good old boy (6-1)


keeneland

R1 #2 pinotage (8-1)
R3 #2 love point (6-1) really like
R4 #4 soaring now
R5 #6 rich daddy (7-2)

gulfstream west


R5 #5 gem juan (9-2)
R6 #10 new year (15-1)

[JBEX]

added gulfstream west

[JBEX]

added bel 2

[JBEX]

keeneland

R3 #5 kool aid girl (7-2)
R4 #7 gladiola (5-1)

R5 #6 enqueter (5-1)
R7 #5 winandyouringin (5-1)
R8 #4 oscar nominated (3-1)
R9 #1 chaps (9-2)


belmont

R4 #4 testy kitten (7-2)
R5 #7 snidely (6-1)
R6 #10 whatstotalkabout (4-1)
R7 #3 terabyte (5-1)

[JBEX]

finished bel kee

[JBEX]

keeneland

R1 #6 bouffant (8-1) #5 awesome figure (6-1) half

trainer having a bad meet and overall below average debut.. if this horse goes off above morning line she's probably dead.. homebred has way above avg pedigree that is more sprint oriented


R2 #12 gasaway (5-1)
R3 #1 preamble (7-5)
R4 #8 seeking albert (12-1)
R5 #4 carolina beach (10-1)
R6 #5 no cacha na (4-1)

R10 #7 sultry samurai (8-1)

extremely expensive relative to pedigree info (like that because it possibly suggests horse a physical specimen) and sprint bloodlines.. trainer knows how to win first out

[JBEX]

finished keeneland..probably skip belmont today as I don't like the card

[JBEX]

belmont saturday

R1 #2 bydawnsearlylight (30-1)

2yo new york bred (whole card today is) who is by an elite kentucky sire out of a stakes winning mare.. legitimate excuses in only 2 races and gets a big jockey upgrade.. nicely hidden and think he'll be under 10-1

R2 #7 satisfy (4-1)

has won 4/5 of his career races.. only loss a 2nd in the slop in career race #2.. exits a n1x ot open allowance race that figure wise was as fast as the grade 2 the 2 favorites came out of.. another NY bred with big ky pedigree which is becoming more common with the big purses there.. the foal just has to be dropped in ny and it's a ny bred


R3 #10 tapitation (10-1)


R4 #4 eye luv lu lu (9-2)
R5 pass
R6 pass


keeneland

R2 #6 she's so bossy (5-1)
R3 #5 silver kitten (12-1) #7 lasting memory (30-1)

R4 #4 he's the souperwon (4-1)
R5 pass
R6 pass
R7 #5 time warp (15-1)
R8 #1 poppy's destiny(6-1)
R9 #2 take charge aubrey(5-1)
R10 #8 sea foam (12-1)

R7 #5 lucky move (12-1)
R8 #9 superioritycomplex (10-1) 8 9 10
R9 #4 true royalty (12-1)
R10 #12 cosmic code (6-1)o

[JBEX]

added kee 2 3

[JBEX]

added

[JBEX]

finished kee

[JBEX]

finished bel

[JBEX]

keeneland sunday


R3 #12 bluegrass parkway (5-1)
R5 #3 mo moxie (5-1)

R8 #4 shezaprado (12-1)
R9 #2 grateful cause (6-1)

[coasterguy]

Thanks JB, I hit the third day Keeneland. Got a pick in the 4th?

[JBEX]

Thanks JB, I hit the third day Keeneland. Got a pick in the 4th?

np coasterguy..got destroyed there yesterday so nice to have a good start..nothing in the 4th but possibly the 5th and 1 or 2 after that

[coasterguy]

Thanks for the reply, I will keep an eye out.

[JBEX]

Thanks for the reply, I will keep an eye out.

np ...added R5

[coasterguy]

I blew it, bet moxie to win

[JBEX]

I blew it, bet moxie to win

nah at 9-5 imo you gotta just win..nothing wrong with a WP though if you want to get most of your bet back

i'll post 8 and 9 by 4:15 ..R8 post 4:57

[JBEX]

finished kee 8 9

[JBEX]

parx monday

R2 #9 littlemissbusiness (5-1)

this race clm5000n1y (6 months)..that would be 4/22 and this one's last win on 4/21 so this is the first day eligible for this condition..claimed for $12500 last out in june and now up for 5000 so possibly a bad sign..however winners share today is 11k so the drop worries me less..last race beats this field..trainer 4/14 first off the claim and avg win price close to $60..nothing that big today but like this one

R4 #9 animeauxselle (2-1)
R7 #6 tactical plan (6-1)


R9 #6 passport (30-1)

simply ridiculous morning line.. it's a mcl 10k and he came in 3rd by less than 3 lengths in a mdn 30k last out.. not concerned about the drop as he's a cheap pedigree and his best efforts have been at around this level 7-8 starts back.. terrible trainer and above average jockey .. odds last 3..57-1*58-1*83-1*32-1 maybe something to do with it.. guessing around 8-1 if he goes

[JBEX]

finished parx

[JBEX]

belmont

R4 #1 rossby (3-1)


keeneland

R6 #9 rahway (5-1)

[JBEX]

keeneland

R3 #5 homefieldadvantage (6-1)
R3 #7 too much detail (20-1)

2 horses this race.. the 20-1 is a firster homebred with a big pedigree on the dam side.. sire is a 15k stallion with above average first turf.. trainer bad debut but every once in a while.. you never know

R4 #1 frost or frippery (8-1)

way he ran his last sprint (like the even running lines) should set him up nice for the stretchout.. trainer excellent sprint to a route and ran competively in routes at this level at elp over the summer

R5 #7 commissioner bolt (12-1)

R6 #7 reelfoot (12-1)

debuter with a nice pedigree that's more sprint oriented.. solid steady works at this track.. trainer jock combo last 60 days 3/8
with an average win price of $71..one had to be a triple digit winner
I would guess.. trainer also a very profitable proposition last 3 years and included in that is his maiden races.. probably the horses he hit with this jockey aboard helped those numbers


asmussen has 2 first time starters this race.. #2 cost $700k and #5 cost $1k..that's not a typo
$1000 (3 zeroes) lol


R9 #2 bee balm (10-1)

calumet farm homebred classy distance and turf bloodlines and in his only crack at it in his 2nd start (has 3 lifetime starts) missed by a half length at GP.. and that was breaking from the rail in a 12 horse field as a 2yo..think the kentucky downs sprint will set him up nice to stretch out 2nd off the long layoff.. jockey a little below the radar midwesterner but is an excellent on the turf




belmont

R4 #2 always shopping (8-1)
R5 #7 prince of new york (12-1)


R7 #4 danielle's pride (15-1)

since ny breds are much better than they were 15 + years ago (big purses and other incentives) the drop to clm 40k n2L from n1x ot state bred allowance much more significant than it used to be.. feel she's had some legit excuses and could wake up at this level at a price

[JBEX]

added bel 4 5

[JBEX]

finished

[JBEX]

belmont

R3 #5 wild boar (5-1)
R5 #6 san juan diego (3-1)
R7 #5 bring the dough (8-1)


keeneland.. know off the turf and sloppy

R2 #1 linda listen (5-1)
R4 #11 fancy dress party

[JBEX]

added bel 7

[JBEX]

keeneland

R2 #5 starvana (10-1)
R2 #11 whiskarita (15-1)
R3 #5 quiet dude (6-1)
R4 #3 philosophy* (5-1)
R4 #4 inda zone (10-1)
R5 #1 bundibunan (12-1)

[JBEX]

added kee 4 5

[JBEX]

churchill downs

R4 #1 girl at war (5-1)
R7 #4 social currency (12-1) half unit
R9 #1 everfast (4-1)
R10 #7 casa creed (4-1)
R11 #6 quicksilver (12-1)

[JBEX]

finished CD

[JBEX]

would go easy if it's an off track


churchill.. weds


R1 #2 courage and honor (5-1)
R2 #5 weneedtotalk (5-2)
R4 #5 mo's song (4-1)*


msw scheduled for the turf but has excellent slop breeding also.. if you're playing real time I think she should be 3-1 or less either surface or probably not live



R5 #5 gasaway (8-1)
R6 #5 risky town (10-1)
R7 #3 boss dixie (15-1)


way above average first out sire and dam sire.. she has produced 7 winners from as many starters
and 3 of the 4 who ran as a 2yo won.. works are 6-8 days apart from late august right up to his last one on saturday.. they progress from 3f - 5f with the last 5 being the latter

[JBEX]

added 5-7