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Originally Posted by Buckandadime
Yeah.. A lot of bridge jumpers.. I don't know ( if I had the $) if 5% return on say, $10,000 would be worth the risk.. I mean even when you know, you just don't know!!
95.3% (at $2.10 to show) is breakeven..assuming you're shooting for a 1-9 or lower
Correct but the $ put down by groups or syndicates like that race, the horse could break down, clip heels, lose the rider.. Awful big risk for such a small return.
Correct but the $ put down by groups or syndicates like that race, the horse could break down, clip heels, lose the rider.. Awful big risk for such a small return.
no you're right.. you are doing it in a situation where horse will be a favorite that big.. they do finish out on occasion .. combination of being selective on which 1-9 and not having bad luck on those occasions
Yeah, I've seen it happen at tracks like CT and DD.. Scary stuff there.. Not to the extreme it was today at SA but over $250,000 to show on the horse which is a lot for those tracks..
I kid around here sometimes about bridge jumper alert before it actually happens and I'm definitely too loose with my standards..only be big tracks if it were my money and it will never beYeah, I've seen it happen at tracks like CT and DD.. Scary stuff there.. Not to the extreme it was today at SA but over $250,000 to show on the horse which is a lot for those tracks..
Agree.. Now if you could start with a few hundred and parlay for 6 months to 1 year that might be OK.. I could see doing that.
Agree.. Now if you could start with a few hundred and parlay for 6 months to 1 year that might be OK.. I could see doing that.
that makes more sense if you're going to try. .you double up at 14 with compounding
If you were to take $200 and roll it over (not the loose change ) for a year, making one choice a week, could have a chance at turning the initial $200 into $2,423 for the year.. Not gonna get rich but its not chump change either.. Hmm.. I might have to think about that one..
If you were to take $200 and roll it over (not the loose change ) for a year, making one choice a week, could have a chance at turning the initial $200 into $2,423 for the year.. Not gonna get rich but its not chump change either.. Hmm.. I might have to think about that one..
I got about 100 more but we're in the ballpark
probably take a peak later on and will put up a p5 for santa anita.. 335k carryover
gulfstream
R6 #5 covenant (8-1)
R8 #8 night before (20-1)
R10 #8 shot jak (8-1)
tam R5 #9 world changer (8-1)
2nd post today
yesterday. .sorry
tampa
R5 #5 look it linda (6-1)
gulfstream
R7 #4 smart jersey (12-1)
2nd post today
santa anita pick 5
3456/28/45/45/16
$32/.50
chalky and wouldn't do this if there wasn't a big carryover
tampa R9 #1 mr darcy (9-2)
4th post today
oaklawn
R9 #1 eleanor gee (10-1)
santa anita
R9 #7 born to be a winner (7-2)
parx
R5 #4 philly complete (8-1)
can't figure 8-1 ml on this one...8 career starts and the first 6 at woodbine..7th at parx and of course with that name..winner. .sent to laurel next start to compete vs much better and came 3rd in a very fast race and figure improved 8 points..bad connections probaby something to do with it..try to beat cheater zulueta's (or greatest horsemen east of the mississipi ) who's having an off meet with 36% winners from 36 starters
R8 #7 fastener (9-2)
hrose broke maiden vs specials in debut at pimlico last june..broke slow 2nd start parx finished 3rd..goldberg than took her up to saratoga bumped break and did nothing. .that of course much better company and just the fact he took her up there probably hints he liked her..
comes here off solid steady drills from pine meadows and this an easier n1x than saratoga of course..hAve hunch she's ready
#8 horse has 8 career starts and first 6 from the rail. .chance of that factorin field sizes about 200,000-1..7th start 11 post out of 11 horses. .last (8th)start rail again. .unbelievable
R9 #6 war at sunrise (7-2 )
gonna look at mahoning..they always have good cards there but at that level for me I'd go half units.small pools of course
2nd post today
mahoning valley
R1 #8 coco's cat (1-1)
open clm 6250 in florida to clm 5000n4L a huge dropand I'm guessing something left in the tank to ship to ohio from tampa bay ..trainer 2/5 with shippers but jockey 1/85 with sprinters..ouch !! those florida fall races crush these
R2 #2 dunkirk survivor (10-1)
pace fig edge and spacing perfect..won't be 10-1
R3 #7 makes good sense (5-2)
R4 #2 sweet silver (12-1)
4th post today
will look at rest
R5 #6 m dee (3-1)
R7 #9 alpha wolf (15-1) #10 spend a penny (10-1)
R8 #6 divine appointment (6-1)
5th post today
about as close to a dead heat for 2nd without actually being one.. geez..
head separated top 3
R6 always double check names match race numbers if you can.. I get careless on occasion
For Mahoning Valley counted about 4 shows and one place. Close but no cigar. GL today.
yeah ..lot of horses gave it a go and finished underneath. .some at good odds including the 7th at mahoning at 28-1 (3rd) surrounded 1st -5th by top 4 choices..if you key him in 3rd and 4th in dime supers for $4.80 you get back $179
..Realize most aren't around on a monday to do that but perfectly logical strategy..missed 2nd by a head at 10-1 at parx final race ..few other good efforts mixed in there also but not in top two
gonna stick with mahoning today and not do parx.. might be off track there today so will factor that in
mahoning
rain or shine
mahoning
R1#8 brother z (5-2)
R2 #6 bobby's approval (4-1)
R3 #2 hillbilly hula (30-1) cover ex #4 (4-5)
R4 #1 planned storm (5-2)
R5 #6 fableofthefeline (9-2)
R6 #2 tracey said so (6-1)
R8 #4 our secret place (4-1)
clm4000n2y going back 1 year..last 2 wins for this horse 7/23 and 3/5 so just slides into this condition by 2 days..last solid 2nd and winner came back to repeat
F**K..venting
sam houston
R7#5 chi town chief (8-1)
2nd career race at remington as a 2yo hit an excellent number with a preceding running line similar to his last race
R8 #8 no gut no glory (8-1)
off the turf which is probaby what trainer wanted anyway with this horse ..dirt numbers right in the mix
R9 #8 behind closed doors (3-1)
off a win and followed up last winning race in October with a just missed by a half length closing fast 2nd
F**K ..venting =my results
oaklawn R5 #2 see the ranger (10-1)
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