1. #2941
    JBEX
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    parx

    R1 #3 lon's true passion (7-2) 2 units
    R2 #2 edge of patience (20-1)
    R3 #5 street invader (20-1) #9 kodiak syd (6-1) half
    R4 #8 glennevan (5-1)
    R5 #9 saint main event (15-1)

  2. #2942
    doitnow
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    Great call on Kodiak came up for a strong 2nd and sweet invader got 3rd

  3. #2943
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by doitnow View Post
    Great call on Kodiak came up for a strong 2nd and sweet invader got 3rd
    thanks

    here's the rest

    R6 #10 luxicharm (3-1)
    R7 #5 arch contender (3-1)
    R8 #5 trouble kid (7-2)
    R9 #2 market blaster (9-2)

  4. #2944
    doitnow
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    Thanks, huge tri in that last one else 515

  5. #2945
    doitnow
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    R4 Glenn Evan 1st timer @parx

  6. #2946
    JBEX
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    gulfstream

    R1 #3 so royal (8-1)
    R2 #8 riomar (3-1)
    R3 #9 starship sheba (15-1)
    R4 #6 dunkirk's boy (5-1) full ..#7 (6-1) half
    R5 #4 sr. borincano (30-1)

  7. #2947
    JBEX
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    R6 pass
    R7 #6 gelato gal (8-1)
    R8 #7 datt town (12-1)
    R9 #10 mr moneypants (6-1)
    R10 #5 thinkinquality (8-1)

  8. #2948
    JBEX
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    ^^^gulfstream weds^^^

    cbb...2 lines that have held well despite lopsided acton
    (80%+ the other way)

    play on (half unit)

    louisville pk
    montana st +3

  9. #2949
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    ^^^gulfstream weds^^^

    cbb...2 lines that have held well despite lopsided acton
    (80%+ the other way)

    play on (half unit)

    louisville pk
    montana st +3
    cmu 106 mont st 103

    in the recap said mont st down 10 with 58 secs to go and got it to 105-103 with 8 secs to go..game was +3 when I posted and went to 2.5 most places by mid afternoon...CMU 36.9% season from 3 pts and shot 15/36 while mont st 36.5% season and shot 10/35 ...obviously the difference maker..betting closed at 17% mont st while louisville wound up 20%..latter won 73-70 in a great game closing at +1.5 most places

  10. #2950
    JBEX
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    gulfstream

    R1#8 dylan (6-1)
    R2 #3 crime dog (5-1)
    R3 #7 we can dance (5-2)
    R4 #3 little caton (6-1)
    R5 #5 tom liz (15-1)

  11. #2951
    JBEX
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    cbb 3pm
    central arkansas +18

    has held well at 10%

  12. #2952
    JBEX
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    gulfstream

    R7 #9 irish fix (3-1)
    R9 #4 crafty kitten (8-1) half ..#9 domenic (12-1) half

  13. #2953
    JBEX
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    I came across this messing around yesterday..makes no sense but record is great..

    thursday night division matchup and team off a home win and previous week no fumbles lost , 2 weeks back >0 fumbles lost and 3 weeks back no fumbles lost ...

    13-1 under back to 2006

    nyg/pha under 42.5

    no more baskets...get too confusing in here

  14. #2954
    JBEX
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    been a rough go last couple..here goes

    gulfstream

    R1 #4 hanover honey (6-1)
    R2 #3 morgans harbour (8-1)
    R3 #2 luna lunita (9-2)
    R4 #8 old sport (10-1)
    R5 #12 butter up katie (12-1).. full #1 decant (6-1) half

  15. #2955
    JBEX
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    R6 #10 godiva's limousine (5-1)
    R7 #4 arabic style (20-1)
    R8 #9 american pioneer (8-1)
    R9 #10 summers back (15-1)
    R10 #1 one proud wildcat (4-1)

  16. #2956
    JBEX
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    hopefully this goes better than the nags lately...

    car/atl under 51.5
    pitt/bal under 44
    kc/den under 37
    ten -4.5
    gb -7


    francesa will be releasing picks on his morning show tomorrow..will post them when he does
    Last edited by JBEX; 12-23-16 at 08:01 PM.

  17. #2957
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    hopefully this goes better than the nags lately...

    car/atl under 51.5
    pitt/bal under 44
    kc/den under 37
    ten -4.5
    gb -7


    francesa will be releasing picks on his morning show tomorrow..will post them when he does
    add..sd/cle under 44.5

    francesa...56-33-3 since beginning 2015

    chi +3
    car +3
    pitt -6

  18. #2958
    JBEX
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    laurel

    R9 #1 magic cookie (10-1)

  19. #2959
    JBEX
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    francesa 0-2 brought down a good day

    den +3.5 GOM

  20. #2960
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    francesa 0-2 brought down a good day

    den +3.5 GOM
    couple of nba (half unit each)

    bos/nyk under 212
    san -9

    GOM 3x normal wager for me

    merry christmas to everyone!
    Last edited by JBEX; 12-25-16 at 07:49 AM.

  21. #2961
    JBEX
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    3-4 including monday loss..
    3-6 weighted including GOM..
    0-3 francesa

    ugly week

  22. #2962
    JBEX
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    ahhh..good to be back here and hny to all !!

    aqueduct

    R1 #2 new road (12-1)
    R2 #1 shot gun red (3-1) #4 just afleet (4-1)
    R3 #6 jet majesty (8-1)
    R4 #8 majestic mac (8-1)
    R5 #1 shadow rider (5-2)

  23. #2963
    JBEX
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    R6 #2 mighty zealous (8-1)
    R7 #5 frostie annie (4-1)
    R8 #7 win with pride (7-1) jerome stakes G3 3yo
    R9 #7 emoticon (8-1)

    2nd and final post

  24. #2964
    JBEX
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    santa anita

    R2 #10 big bad john
    R3 #6 california silver (8-1)
    R4 #7 road test (7-2) 2 units

  25. #2965
    JBEX
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    R5 #8 tiz a billy (4-1)
    R6 #8 jimmy the juice (6-1)
    R7 #6 matriculate (9-2)

  26. #2966
    JBEX
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    R8 #1 royal albert hall (7-2)
    R9 #8 malibu mogul (4-1)

    18 days back to his last race and 19 to race before that..obviously not a successful claim as taken for 20k 3 starts back and up for 8K today..his race 2 back would beat this bunch and think he's still capable of that effort

  27. #2967
    robdel
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    R5 #8 tiz a billy (4-1)
    R6 #8 jimmy the juice (6-1)
    R7 #6 matriculate (9-2)
    Thanks for these picks JB.

    R5 Tiz 2nd
    R6 Jimmy 1st 9/1
    R7 Matri 1st 7/2

    I went with Harthbar's pick in the 8th and hit 2 doubles and the PK 3. Good capping and thanks again!

  28. #2968
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by robdel View Post
    Thanks for these picks JB.

    R5 Tiz 2nd
    R6 Jimmy 1st 9/1
    R7 Matri 1st 7/2

    I went with Harthbar's pick in the 8th and hit 2 doubles and the PK 3. Good capping and thanks again!
    np..very nice hit !

  29. #2969
    JBEX
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    found this one tinkering...

    teams that score 20+ points more in week 16 than week 17
    and score <7 in week 17 are ...1-3-1 ATS (-10.4) in wildcard games

    realize small sample but big margin

    1993 +3
    1994 push
    2004 -28
    2006 -11
    2010 -16


    win and the push long time ago..
    recent margins are big and the last 3 average loss is
    18.3 ppg..


    play against oak and on hou-3.5

    probably put up a couple of more by weeks end
    Last edited by JBEX; 01-03-17 at 03:55 PM.

  30. #2970
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    found this one tinkering...

    teams that score 20+ points more in week 16 than week 17
    and score <7 in week 17 are ...1-3-1 ATS (-10.4) in wildcard games

    realize small sample but big margin

    1993 +3
    1994 push
    2004 -28
    2006 -11
    2010 -16


    win and the push long time ago..
    recent margins are big and the last 3 average loss is
    18.3 ppg..


    play against oak and on hou-3.5

    probably put up a couple of more by weeks end
    something I just thought of..when you say <7 you're implying no TD which was not the case last week..failed 2 point conversion...if you make it <8...

    2-5-1 ATS (-10.5)

    these are the additional games

    1994 -15
    2002 -26

    2010 +7

    still like it..all margins above factor in spread...
    example 1994 -15 (lost to spread by 15)
    Last edited by JBEX; 01-03-17 at 04:48 PM.

  31. #2971
    JBEX
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    have another decent one..Ill put it and any thing else up friday night or saturday morning

  32. #2972
    JBEX
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    ^^^^football^^^^

    gonna do tampa tomorrow...nice card with big fields

  33. #2973
    JBEX
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    tampa bay

    R1 #8 rattlesden (6-1).. #9 uptown kelly (30-1)
    R2 #5 sammy's mineshaft (4-1)
    R3 #2 saratoga ransom (8-1)
    R4 #7 bluegrass demon (12-1) ..#8 i cat (20-1)
    R5 #9 deference (9-2)

  34. #2974
    JBEX
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    R6 #1 hot and heavy (5-2)

    mcgaughey big pedigree #6 prevent this one being odds on..don't think it's a negative ** running here for much less than ny as turf racing obviously done there..they must feel horse is ready and mr janney certainly doesn't need the extra 15k winners share he'd get at gulfstream..
    that being said like mine exiting stakes race where he was close to the front with fast figs..don't think the former gonna kill himself chasing early ..both get 1st lasix and my trainer 11/29 with that move

    R7 #2 crystal's cantata (5-1)

    R8 #8 midnight trace (12-1)

    warning..this trainer 0/53 with turf horses

    R9 #1 mizzenmyhoneymoon (5-2) 2 units

    2nd post today
    Last edited by JBEX; 01-04-17 at 10:27 AM.

  35. #2975
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    something I just thought of..when you say <7 you're implying no TD which was not the case last week..failed 2 point conversion...if you make it <8...

    2-5-1 ATS (-10.5)

    these are the additional games

    1994 -15
    2002 -26

    2010 +7 ***

    still like it..all margins above factor in spread...
    example 1994 -15 (lost to spread by 15)
    *** 51-45 overtime game..team -1 so really more like a -1
    Last edited by JBEX; 01-04-17 at 04:37 PM.

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