1. #3746
    Mako-SBR
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    Quote Originally Posted by chris86 View Post
    The smart people who use this system will evaluate every play and avoid any high risk plays. The rest of the sheeple here can blindly follow the system and lose money unnecessarily by making high risk losing bets.
    Exactly. Modify it yourself, privately. No need for discussions, suggestions, or anything else in the thread from people without backtest data to back up their untested ideas.

    Privately I backtested and now straight bet it only (no chase), with a pre-set walk-away cap on PL bets at -200 max, ML bets at -150 max, meaning I skip any games with lines that exceed those odds. And by doing that, we're at 67-24 for this season, for +31 units total, and +6 units over the past three weeks...and none of it involving any chase C-bet drama or mega losses.

    Another variation of betting the actual chase but with an improved filter that takes into account the wins/losses of the chased or faded team to improve results came from calebepley93 earlier in this thread, which can be found here.

    Regardless, there are hundreds of ways to play it, none of which need lengthy discussions in the thread, clogging it up. Experiment, back-test, and make modifications as you see fit...how everyone wants to play it is up to them.
    Last edited by Mako-SBR; 01-08-14 at 04:48 PM.

  2. #3747
    parlay100
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mako-SBR View Post
    Exactly. Modify it yourself, privately. No need for discussions, suggestions, or anything else in the thread from people without backtest data to back up their untested ideas.

    Privately I backtested and now straight bet it only (no chase), with a pre-set walk-away cap on PL bets at -200 max, ML bets at -150 max, meaning I skip any games with lines that exceed those odds. And by doing that, we're at 67-24 for this season, for +31 units total, and +6 units over the past three weeks...and none of it involving any chase C-bet drama or mega losses.

    Another variation of betting the actual chase but with an improved filter that takes into account the wins/losses of the chased or faded team to improve results came from calebepley93 earlier in this thread, which can be found here.

    Regardless, there are hundreds of ways to play it, none of which need lengthy discussions in the thread, clogging it up. Experiment, back-test, and make modifications as you see fit...how everyone wants to play it is up to them.

    Yep i agree.

  3. #3748
    okbyme123
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mako-SBR View Post
    Exactly. Modify it yourself, privately. No need for discussions, suggestions, or anything else in the thread from people without backtest data to back up their untested ideas.

    Privately I backtested and now straight bet it only (no chase), with a pre-set walk-away cap on PL bets at -200 max, ML bets at -150 max, meaning I skip any games with lines that exceed those odds. And by doing that, we're at 67-24 for this season, for +31 units total, and +6 units over the past three weeks...and none of it involving any chase C-bet drama or mega losses.

    Another variation of betting the actual chase but with an improved filter that takes into account the wins/losses of the chased or faded team to improve results came from calebepley93 earlier in this thread, which can be found here.

    Regardless, there are hundreds of ways to play it, none of which need lengthy discussions in the thread, clogging it up. Experiment, back-test, and make modifications as you see fit...how everyone wants to play it is up to them.
    Thank for not keeping this private ... Great modification! Calebepley93's also.

  4. #3749
    Greg242
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    Where you at today wallco?

  5. #3750
    Wallco99
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    Family emergency, had to fly to Brownsville TX in the middle of the night. Can Andy or someone please post the plays today. I should be back late tonight with full update. Thank you. I have no system info with me and would actually like to know the plays so I can put them in on the plane myself.
    Last edited by Wallco99; 01-09-14 at 03:45 PM.
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  6. #3751
    cambertos
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    I think this is right !

    Todays Plays: 1-9-14 (or here in Aus, 10-1-14)
    #124: Washington Capitals +1.5 B Bet (vs Tampa Bay)
    #128: Nashville +1.5 B Bet (vs Anaheim)

    Yesterday 8-1-14:
    #123 Ottawa @ Colorado (M/L) v1 (B) WIN
    Last edited by cambertos; 01-09-14 at 04:09 PM.

  7. #3752
    Maxi_EV
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    Hope your family is fine Wallco.

    I have Nashville & Washington both as B bets...
    I also know there is no C bets...
    Anyone has the A bets?

  8. #3753
    cambertos
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maxi_EV View Post
    Hope your family is fine Wallco.

    I have Nashville & Washington both as B bets...
    I also know there is no C bets...
    Anyone has the A bets?
    Sorry Dude, dont have the A bets

  9. #3754
    Andy3568
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    Here is what I have for today (1/9/14):

    #124 Washington (+1.5) vs. Tampa Bay v2 (B)
    #128 Anaheim vs. Nashville (+1.5) v1 (B)
    #129 Dallas (+1.5) vs. New Jersey v2 (A)
    #130 Dallas vs. New Jersey (M/L) v2 (A)
    #131 Minnesota vs. Phoenix (M/L) v1 (A)
    #132 St. Louis vs. Calgary (+1.5) V1 (A)

    If someone can let me know if I made a mistake, I'd appreciate it.
    Points Awarded:

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  10. #3755
    Greg242
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
    Family emergency, had to fly to Brownsville TX in the middle of the night. Can Andy or someone please post the plays today. I should be back late tonight with full update. Thank you. I have no system info with me and would actually like to know the plays so I can put them in on the plane myself.
    Wallco I hope everything turns out ok. Sorry to hear

  11. #3756
    Kev the Brit
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    Quote Originally Posted by Andy3568 View Post
    Here is what I have for today (1/9/14):

    #124 Washington (+1.5) vs. Tampa Bay v2 (B)
    #128 Anaheim vs. Nashville (+1.5) v1 (B)
    #129 Dallas (+1.5) vs. New Jersey v2 (A)
    #130 Dallas vs. New Jersey (M/L) v2 (A)
    #131 Minnesota vs. Phoenix (M/L) v1 (A)
    #132 St. Louis vs. Calgary (+1.5) V1 (A)

    If someone can let me know if I made a mistake, I'd appreciate it.
    Andy, you've obviously been through the schedules with a toothcomb today. I've checked the open series and I know you haven't missed any bets there. So, the worst you could have done is to miss a new A bet, which is no great shakes.

    Good job

    Kev
    Last edited by Kev the Brit; 01-09-14 at 07:21 PM.

  12. #3757
    Maxi_EV
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    GL guys

    Let's all have good toughts for Wallco and his family.

    Peace.

  13. #3758
    cmendo2005
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    Best of luck Walco your sbr family is here for you and thank you AndyAndy

  14. #3759
    parlay100
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    Prayers sent.

  15. #3760
    Boomshuck
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    Hey guys,

    Been following for a little while but just made an account to let people know:

    I believe New Jersey IS NOT a play tonight for V2
    They've lost three in a row but haven't lost 3 straight ATS (2 games that were 1 goal losses in last 3)

    Dallas is a play I Believe but i think New Jersey IS NOT

    Just letting everyone know.

  16. #3761
    manchild
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    I have

    NJ V2
    Dal V2
    Phx V1
    Cal V1

    All as (A) games

  17. #3762
    alexknyc
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boomshuck View Post
    Hey guys,

    Been following for a little while but just made an account to let people know:

    I believe New Jersey IS NOT a play tonight for V2
    They've lost three in a row but haven't lost 3 straight ATS (2 games that were 1 goal losses in last 3)

    Dallas is a play I Believe but i think New Jersey IS NOT

    Just letting everyone know.
    According to ScoresAndOdds.com, New Jersey was the favorite in those one-goal losses, so they have lost 3 SU and 3 ATS.

  18. #3763
    Boomshuck
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    Quote Originally Posted by alexknyc View Post
    According to ScoresAndOdds.com, New Jersey was the favorite in those one-goal losses, so they have lost 3 SU and 3 ATS.
    Yes you are right…i had them confused sorry..mixed up the chicago and buffalo odds for some reason.

    Sorry about that. Rookie mistake

  19. #3764
    Greg242
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    Quote Originally Posted by Andy3568 View Post
    Here is what I have for today (1/9/14):

    #124 Washington (+1.5) vs. Tampa Bay v2 (B)
    #128 Anaheim vs. Nashville (+1.5) v1 (B)
    #129 Dallas (+1.5) vs. New Jersey v2 (A)
    #130 Dallas vs. New Jersey (M/L) v2 (A)
    #131 Minnesota vs. Phoenix (M/L) v1 (A)
    #132 St. Louis vs. Calgary (+1.5) V1 (A)

    If someone can let me know if I made a mistake, I'd appreciate it.
    So can we confirm these are the correct plays then guys??

  20. #3765
    Boomshuck
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    Yup i checked all the others and they were good to go

    So no mistakes on that list

  21. #3766
    Greg242
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    Thanks to all for filling in for wallco

  22. #3767
    analyzer
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    Praying for you and your family Wallco!

  23. #3768
    Philanthropist
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    Great Job filling in guys. Wallco wish your family the best!

    ^p^

  24. #3769
    Wallco99
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    I am back, full update in morning. Thank you very much to the bullpen.

  25. #3770
    Wallco99
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    I missed my bets on all the (A) plays, didn't get them in time. Hopefully they hit for you. Too tired to check now.

  26. #3771
    bauerranch
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    Wallco --glad you back and hope things are ok

  27. #3772
    Wallco99
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    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2013-14 System to date: 121-5 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +2.39 units (fin. series)
    Current open series: 2 (-5.28 units)

    (1/8/14):
    #123 Colorado (M/L) v1 (B) - Win


    v1 Fades
    (A) 65-25
    (B) 17-7

    (C) 3-4
    Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u)

    v2 Plays
    (A) 22-16
    (B) 6-9

    (C) 8-1
    Losses: DET (-12.81 u)



    Games for (1/9/14):
    #124 Washington (+1½) @ Tampa Bay v2 (B) (7:35 pm EST)
    #128 Anaheim @ Nashville (+1½) v1 (B) (8:05 pm EST)
    #129 Dallas (+1½) @ New Jersey v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
    #130 Dallas @ New Jersey (M/L) v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
    #131 Minnesota @ Phoenix (M/L) v1 (A) (9:05 pm EST)
    #132 St. Louis @ Calgary (+1½) v1 (A) (9:05 pm EST)



    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.
    Last edited by Wallco99; 01-10-14 at 08:56 AM.

  28. #3773
    Wallco99
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    For future tracking purposes, post # 3772 is the post that I would have made yesterday morning. Today's plays will be up shortly. Thank you very much to Andy and everyone else, who helped out in my 1 day absence. No plays appear to have been missed, hopefully everyone got what they needed in time. Thanks again.

  29. #3774
    Wallco99
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    Wallco NHL GOLD
    2013-14 System to date: 125-5 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: +6.39 units (fin. series)
    Current open series: 2 (-3.60 units)

    (1/9/14):
    #124 Washington (+1½) v2 (B) - Win
    #128 Nashville (+1½) v1 (B) - Win
    #129 Dallas (+1½) v2 (A) - Win
    #130 New Jersey (M/L) v2 (A) - Win
    #131 Phoenix (M/L) v1 (A) - Loss
    #132 Calgary (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss


    v1 Fades
    (A) 65-27
    (B) 18-7

    (C) 3-4
    Losses: VAN (-24.04 u), LAK (-26.60 u), PIT (-29.63 u), STL (-25.52 u)

    v2 Plays
    (A) 24-16
    (B) 7-9

    (C) 8-1
    Losses: DET (-12.81 u)


    Games for (1/10/14):
    #131 Resumes v1 (B) on 1/11/14
    #132 St. Louis @ Vancouver (M/L) v1 (B) (10:05 pm EST)
    #133 Pittsburgh @ Edmonton (+1½) v1 (A) (10:05 pm EST)
    #134 Toronto (+1½) @ Washington v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)


    Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the team we are betting on, regardless of v1 or v2. If you play the closer line games too early, you may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and games when the line is (-110/-110) or (-105/-105), and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
    System rules and backtest can be found in posts #2446 & #2447.
    Last edited by Wallco99; 01-10-14 at 09:20 PM.
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  30. #3775
    Greg242
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    As of right now Vancouver is a ML play at -105 -105 right guys? Just making sure I can still read correctly

  31. #3776
    Wallco99
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    Quote Originally Posted by Greg242 View Post
    As of right now Vancouver is a ML play at -105 -105 right guys? Just making sure I can still read correctly
    That is correct. But I bought in early at +1.5.

  32. #3777
    Andy3568
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    I waited and got M/L. Hopefully they win SU and everyone wins.

  33. #3778
    bonhammer
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    Everyone won

  34. #3779
    Kev the Brit
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    An excellent night for Wallco's NHL !

    It compensates (to a small degree) for a terrible night in the Morrison NBA (and Wallco's Chase 110) systems. If you go there, tread carefully and try not to intrude on private grief...

  35. #3780
    analyzer
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    Nice sweep of the board here!

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