[illisdre]

I am absolutely amazed at my recent run in ALL of my systems and bets ...
i must be 3 for 20 in my last week. and losing ridiculous bets

[John Deere]

[Wallco99]

Don't fret, we got down early last year, all the trolls came out, and we went on an unbelievable run after December 8, ending +68.77 units for the season, as documented in post #1179.

[John Deere]

Don't fret, we got down early last year, all the trolls came out, and we went on an unbelievable run after December 8, ending +68.77 units for the season, as documented in post #1179.

Yeah, but its a short season Anyway, we will bink the C bet

[EasyPicks]

ALL rules and system backtests can be found in post #1 and #2. Last year the system ended at +65 units, that one is not found in post #2.

That really doesn't answer the question. But ok....just tried to bring something useful.

Gl for the rest of the season.

[Wallco99]

That really doesn't answer the question. But ok....just tried to bring something useful.

Gl for the rest of the season.

Then what is the question? All the backtests list the ABCD breakdowns, which is what I thought you asked.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2012-13 System to date: 8-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +8.00 unitsL(fin. series)
Current open series: 4 (-14.95 units)

Games for (2/7/13):
#9 Washington (+1½) v1 (B) - Loss
#11 Minnesota (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss
#12 L.A. Kings (+1½)v1 (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 3-6
(B) 2-1
(C) 0-0

v2 Plays
(A) 2-1
(B) 1-0
(C) 0-0


Games for (2/8/13):
#9 Resumes v1 (B) on 2/9/13
#10 Anaheim @ Dallas (+1½) v1 (B) (8:35 pm EST)
#11 Resumes v1 (B) on 2/9/13
#12 Resumes v1 (B) on 2/9/13


Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.

[analyzer]

Thanks as always for the early post Wallco!

[analyzer]

Wallco - I believe 9, 11 & 12 resume on the 9th as opposed to the 8th (which is today) as indicated.

[Maleku]

Pinnacle is weird... they have the Ducks as the favorite but are still giving them the +1.5 line. no idea what to do in this spot

[sausageman13]

Same with 5 Dimes, probably best to wait till later in day and let lines sort out a bit

[Grinder12000]

I'm confused and sorry if I'm jumping the gun or I just don't understand the semantics .

I thought #10 was Colorado

#10 Colorado (+1½)Lv1 (A)

and V1 is a winning streak right? So the team would not change.

Now you have

#10 Anaheim @ Dallas (+1½) v1 (B)

Are you perhaps using the Mayan calendar? only one game to day in the NHL (weird, on a Friday night!)

[Nakazilla]

You're betting against the winning streak, which is Anaheim. Hence Col and now Dal.

[Grinder12000]

AHHHHH

#10 Anaheim @ Colorado (+1½)Lv1

I see - V1 is contrairian - my bad sorry - I have to change my booking so reflect that!

Anybody know where I could find P/L numbers?? -300 SHOULD win 75% of the time.

[Grinder12000]

OK - I did a non-scientific look at all the games this year. Right now at one of my books the game is -110 vs. -110 The puck line is +1.5 -320

So I looked at all games that were in the -105 to -115 range and added 1.5 goals to that team. The results were 45-16 for a 73.7% win rate which is a -280 moneyline. So while some people cringe at spending -300 it's not that bad considering win rate. At -320 you need a 76.2% win rate to break even.

[John Deere]

Dallas -104/-104 atm.
Look like a M/L play.

[kmc28]

why the hell is there only 1 game on a friday. that's pretty stupid scheduling by the NHL folks.

[Wallco99]

Thanks as always for the early post Wallco!

That is correct, I mistyped them. Will fix.

[Wallco99]

AHHHHH

I see - V1 is contrairian - my bad sorry - I have to change my booking so reflect that!

Anybody know where I could find P/L numbers?? -300 SHOULD win 75% of the time.

If you find them please let me know. I have been searching for them for three years, and outside of ScoresandOdds.com daily scoreboard calendar, I can't find them anywhere.

[Wallco99]

OK - I did a non-scientific look at all the games this year. Right now at one of my books the game is -110 vs. -110 The puck line is +1.5 -320

So I looked at all games that were in the -105 to -115 range and added 1.5 goals to that team. The results were 45-16 for a 73.7% win rate which is a -280 moneyline. So while some people cringe at spending -300 it's not that bad considering win rate. At -320 you need a 76.2% win rate to break even.

If flat betting, which we are not doing. We need 33% winners, which is one out of every three games in a series.

[Wallco99]

Dallas -104/-104 atm.
Look like a M/L play.

Actually, it is still -115/-105, which it has been since 1:23 A.M. Please don't confuse people on these close line games. I will post closer to game time which side we are on at that particular moment. I have no idea what website you are quoting, but it hasn't been -104 since it opened at 1:00 in the afternoon yesterday.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2012-13 System to date: 8-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +8.00 unitsL(fin. series)
Current open series: 4 (-14.95 units)

Games for (2/7/13):
#9 Washington (+1½) v1 (B) - Loss
#11 Minnesota (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss
#12 L.A. Kings (+1½) v1 (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 3-6
(B) 2-1
(C) 0-0

v2 Plays
(A) 2-1
(B) 1-0
(C) 0-0


Games for (2/8/13):
#9 Resumes v1 (B) on 2/9/13
#10 Anaheim @ Dallas (+1½) v1 (B) (8:35 pm EST)
#11 Resumes v1 (B) on 2/9/13
#12 Resumes v1 (B) on 2/9/13


Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.

[John Deere]

Actually, it is still -115/-105, which it has been since 1:23 A.M. Please don't confuse people on these close line games. I will post closer to game time which side we are on at that particular moment. I have no idea what website you are quoting, but it hasn't been -104 since it opened at 1:00 in the afternoon yesterday.

On pin yeah bro !

[Wallco99]

On pin yeah bro !

Please be careful, official lines are based on ONE site only. I would not want to see you lose a bet because you played the wrong line.

[Grinder12000]

So if the game is -115 Ducks and -105 Stars we play the P/L ?? Correct? AWESOME!!! Oddly I feel more confidant paying -330 LOL

I Know its -120 Ducks at the moment - just for future reference.

I wish ANY of my books were close to -120 - best I can get is -330 at 3 books

[Wallco99]

So if the game is -115 Ducks and -105 Stars we play the P/L ?? Correct? AWESOME!!! Oddly I feel more confidant paying -330 LOL

I Know its -120 Ducks at the moment - just for future reference.

I wish ANY of my books were close to -120 - best I can get is -330 at 3 books

That is correct. I hate the juice, but I love the extra pucks as well.

[MLefty]

im showing even on dallas moneyline on sportsbook...gonna take that i think.

[Wallco99]

im showing even on dallas moneyline on sportsbook...gonna take that i think.

Good luck if you go against the system. Hopefully it pans out both ways for everyone. I am surprised at this, because ScoresandOdds line move in the other direction recently.

[Grinder12000]

I don't mind paying -300 NOW - but -300 for the "C" game - gulp!!

[John Deere]

Big plays tomorrow.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NHL GOLD
2012-13 System to date: 9-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +9.00 unitsL(fin. series)
Current open series: 3 (-12.05 units)

(2/8/13):
#10 Dallas (+1½) v1 (B) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 3-6
(B) 3-1
(C) 0-0

v2 Plays
(A) 2-1
(B) 1-0
(C) 0-0


Games for (2/9/13):
#09 Pittsburgh @ New Jersey (+1½) v1 (C) (1:05 pm EST) **
#11 Calgary (+1½) @ Vancouver v1 (B) (10:05 pm EST)
#12 Nashville @ Minnesota (M/L) v1 (B) (8:05 pm EST)
#13 Phoenix @ San Jose (M/L) v2 (A) (4:05 pm EST)
#14 Buffalo @ N.Y. Islanders (M/L) v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#15 Florida @ Washington (M/L) v2 (A) (7:05 pm EST)
#16 Pittsburgh (M/L) @ New Jersey v1 (A) (1:05 pm EST) **
#17 Anaheim @ St. Louis (M/L) v2 (A) (8:05 pm EST)

** Both sides of the Pittsburgh/New Jersey game are a play. This is a close line game. Keep your eye on this game as well as a few others to see if we are on the M/L or (-1½). If the PIT/NJ line ends up at -110/-110, then SKIP bet #16 and play bet #9 for 1 less unit.


Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.

[Grinder12000]

Only 8 games? Are you sure you didn't put any on the back of the sheet?

big day for Stifler also I think.

Yikes - 24u bet on NJ MAYBE - holy macaroni! NOT that I'm complaining.

[John Deere]

NJ line was -265
Now -310

Sick.

[John Deere]

+1.5 is now on Pens ???

[MLefty]

Shit... im showing +1.5 (-340) but moneyline even with the Pittsburgh Game