Originally Posted by
frogsrangers
Utah State +4.5 ... Utah State shouldn't regress to much from last year, and I don't see enough improvement from Utah from last year to see why they should be favored. I know they are at home, but I think USU is the better team. Plus Utah State won last year
Central Florida -28 ... UCF won this game by 42 last year at Akron, and UCF should be the 2nd best team in the American Conference this year behind Louisville
UMass +44.5 ... Wisconsin blew no one out last year, and with the new coaches, new QB, new running backs, etc. I just don't see a 45 point win for the Badgers to open
Northern Illinois + 6 ... NIU wants to make a statement early after that embarrasing Orange Bowl loss, and return enough to make that statement
Alabama -19.5 ... Virginia Tech just isn't that good, and we will find that out in this game.
Western Kentucky +4 ... Why the hell is Kentucky favored? WKU won this game last year and is still the better team with the better coach
Oklahoma State -13 ... This will be a 28+ point rout for Oklahoma State. SEC bias is the only reason the line is where it is. Oklahoma State is leagues better than Mississippi State who could be the worst team in the SEC this year.
Rice +28.5 ... Rice has enough offense to keep up, and if A&M gets up early could rest starters in the 2nd half which will allow Rice to get back on the board. Think Oregon's non conference games last year which they never covered due to backdoor covers after letting starters rest in the 2nd hafl.
UL-Lafayette +14 ... ULL may be the better team. They return a lot from last year and have an under rated coach. Arkansas is transitioning in too many ways and is ripe for the upset. ULL money line is also intriguing here
Wyoming +22 ... Do not sleep on Wyoming, they had a lot of key guys injured last year. They have a strong run defense and Nebraska is breaking in some new guys.
New Mexico -6 ... UNM is my most improved team for 2013. Their triple option offense will be a lot better this year with a more improved passing game
TCU +6 ... Not a homer pick, I just don't see this game being decided by more than a TD either way. So take the points. Defenses for both teams are too strong. TCU will have the better offense though.
Boise State + 3 ... I warned you all last year, do not pick against Boise State in these types of games.
Ohio +18.5 ... Ohio is better than you think, might be best team on Louisville's schedule. They will cover
North Dakota State + 17 ... for some reason K-State struggles against FCS teams, and with NDSU being the strongest one and KSU breaking in some new guys, no reason to think why KSU will blow them out
Northern Iowa +16.5 ... No team besides Louisiana Tech lost more to graduation than Iowa State last year. Which is why I like UNI and the points
Air Force -17.5 ... Air Force's triple option always blows out inferior FCS opponents. -17.5 is too low, should be close to -28... best line on the board