nice day joco!... another saturday we bury the books!
gonna go ahead and call penn state a wrap.....
Total Day Results:
8-2 +7.3 units
Thread YTD Results:
59-34-6 (63%)
+27.68 units
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10-20-12 09:10 PM #246
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10-21-12 12:19 AM #247
NFL Card:
8/21/12
2 Team 7 pt Teaser. Panthers +10 and Car/Dal Over 39. Risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit
Titans +3.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Titans/Bills Over 47 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Vikings -1 and Houston -1. Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
looking at adding 1 or 2 more ....just think line will move in my favor so gonna wait
shitty card tho, anyone agree? shitty games.....
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10-21-12 03:14 AM #248
Nice work SB!! I don't say much but I like to stop by and see your picks/thoughts.
Originally Posted by Smutbucket
nice day joco! ... another saturday we bury the books! 
gonna go ahead and call penn state a wrap.....
Total Day Results:
8-2 +7.3 units
Thread YTD Results:
59-34-6 (63%)
+27.68 units
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10-21-12 06:21 AM #249
great Saturday Smut!
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10-21-12 08:32 AM #250
u went 8-2 dan n i went 7-2...awesome!
anyway i like ur vikings/texans play but i dunno bout so many teasers. most of the time theyre suckers bets. one or 2 is ok i guess..
but ya very shitty card in nfl today. only 2 4pm games also...very weird...
i only really like colts -1 and saints -1 so far...gonna look it over one more time
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10-21-12 08:50 AM #251
thanks fellas! been working my ass of for these picks....glad to have some good results can share with everyone
hell ya joco. we rarely agree....saints was other game I really liked....it was one I was waiting on cuz I figured a bunch of late money coming in on tampa bay cuz graham just officially declared out.....was gonna make a 2 unit bet too but now that grahams out gonna be conservative and just do 1u.....we were discussing it earlier in week in bankers NFL thread.....my books got at -3 at -105 right now gonna wait...
ya I dont like teasers, in most my teasers too, I didnt even need the points,
...although nebraska one was clutch yesterday....this car one I dont see how it doesnt cover tho/same with viks/hou....kinda just one of the situations for today.....shitty card again.......
also got this little fun lil bet for today....for 30/1 odds against bills defense? ill take it
10/19 02:20 PM Future/Prop $5.00 $150.00 Football Lines - Week 7 Specials - 101 Tennessee Titans +3000 for To Score Most Points on Sunday October 21st Last edited by Smutbucket; 10-21-12 at 09:27 AM.
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10-21-12 09:10 AM #252
i just ndid a prop. drew brees to have the most passing yards on the day +250
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10-21-12 10:50 AM #253
Adding.
Carolina ML (+145) Risking .5 units to win .73 units
Redskins +6.5 . Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Saints -2.5 (-130) Risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit
Bengals +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
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10-21-12 11:05 AM #254
Great job yesterday, Smutbucket. Good to see a good capper like you continue your winning ways now that we are well into the season. I personally thinks it just gets easier from here. You should stop by my thread again. I had another great day yesterday (17-4 +43 units)
Keep up the good work!
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10-21-12 11:25 AM #255
ur saints line only dropped down to 2.5? thats weak..very cocky play on the panthers ml dan. veryyyy cocky. i like the redskins pick tho. they beat the giants both games last year without rg3 so it looks like a decent play
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10-21-12 12:34 PM #256
lol. cockkky...noo.....for +145 I think its $$.....if carolina offense gets into sync.....dallas offense needs a good run game to be effective...but murray is out, so romo gonna make some mistakes hopefully!
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10-21-12 03:11 PM #257
wow anyone else watching that car/dal game? pretty obvious refs had under in that one. when car had ball driving with 4th and 2 obvious pass interference that wasnt called, then they stopped dal on drive right after that got a bs unneccessary roughness call right after they got stopped on 3rd down......sucks cuz if car woulda scored at end would hit both my bets.....oh well...still looks like a real good day...wish houston didnt run up score on ravens....woulda hit my prop!
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10-21-12 03:38 PM #258
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10-21-12 04:30 PM #259
Originally Posted by Smutbucket
Day Results: 5-2. +3.2 units with 1 pending Originally Posted by Smutbucket
Pissed at myself for not going bigger on saints, graham is clutch in that offense but that offense has so many other weapons they still can put up 30+ regardless, their D jenkins made some huge stops, on that BS long pass that went right over the 2 defenders, reminds me a lot of a play I had back in highschool football in spring game before season, whole summer we were running "pursuit drills" and I was known as the pursuit king bc of that play. it wasnt as cool as jenkins bc they got a fg out of it and wasnt 1 yard line (probably more around 10), makes me miss highschool football
anyways Im freaking on fire lately fellas!
was up so much in morning I threw these 2 small bets together too that both look good already! (of course im not counting them towards thread record just bragging and pointing out that IM ON FIYAH!
)
10/21 04:15 PM Team Total $15.00 $12.00 Football NFL - New England Patriots Team Total O 30 -125 for Game 10/21 04:15 PM Spread $15.00 $13.64 Football NFL - Jacksonville Jaguars +6 -110 for Game
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10-21-12 04:39 PM #260
oakland shouldnt be favored against anyone by 6
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10-21-12 10:39 PM #261
annoying loss. dunno if anyone else was watching/handicapping game but notice how starting center goes out for cinn after first drive (which they drove right down their throats going 80 yards) then after that drive fang got hurt and that took away the run game, destroyed all of cinn's momentum, changed whole offense around and dalton struggled to complete passes, for any of you who dont look at offensive lines....maybe you should, bc that injury obviously changed the dynamic of the game, although I shouldnt of bet against that pitt team, rothlisburgers a stud,
Day Results: 5-3 +2.1 units
Thread YTD Results:
64-37-6
+29.88 units
(PS, just watching postgame they asking dumbass what changed after the first drive they ran right down ur throat, they said "we picked up our momentum"....ha....bullshit, you had a freaking small ass 3rd string center in the game after the first drive you bitches)
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10-22-12 07:27 PM #262
jeeeeez, just looked at next weeks cfb lines and LOVE some of them, a little scary, I dont think all season I loved so many, still got to look into games and numbers first but I got a lot of em circled up this week already, gonna be plenty busy this week looking into these numbers.
i just finished doing a little totaling up of my week to week results, all in one "review" type doc. plus Im looking at trends, and looking at doing the math to finding out my adjusted W/L % per 1 unit bet....just some things I like to look at from time to time during the season....look for a post about it later tonight.....
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10-23-12 01:20 AM #263
Betting Review:
NCAAF -
Week 1 : 7-2 : +4.25 units
Week 2 : 2-1-1 : +.9 units
Week 3 : 1-4-1 : -4.6 units
Week 4 : 4-1 : +4.3 units
Week 5 : 4-2-1 : +1.8 units
Week 6 : 7-3 : +4.85 units
Week 7 : 5-7-1 : +.95 units
Week 8 : 8-2 : +7.3 unit
NCAAF Total : 38-22-4 (63%)
+19.75 units
NFL -
Week 1 : 2-4 : -2.2 units
Week 2 : 3-1-1 : +3.9 units
Week 3 : 2-2 : -.85 units
Week 4 : 2-2 : -.3 units
Week 5 : 6-1 : +4.43 units
Week 6 : 5-2 : +3.55 units
Week 7 : 6-4-1 : +1.5 units
NFL Total : 26-16-2 (62%)
+ 10.03 units
Thread Total YTD:
64-38-6 (63%)
+29.78 units
(made a couple miscalculation in previous tracking but this is correct record from what is documented in this thread (forgot to add 1 of the losses and was .1 off on units, my apologies)Last edited by Smutbucket; 10-23-12 at 01:23 AM.
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10-24-12 03:12 PM #264
My early week confident teaser...just plugged it in.....pretty familiar with these teams, like the tease a lot. still havent looked much into card, gonna start a bit late tonight.....
10/27/12
6 pt Teaser. Kansas St -1.5 and Penn St +7.5 (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
havent really watched texas tech at all, but I think kansas st is very good this year, and continually being underrated.....
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10-24-12 03:21 PM #265
Have K State in a couple teasers. Now I feel better about it.
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10-25-12 09:06 PM #266
10/25/12
Minn -4.5 (2nd Half) (-110) risking .55 units to win .5 units
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10-26-12 08:47 PM #267
Wutup. Heres My card so far.....
10/27/12
Maryland +3 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit
BC Team Total Under 24.5 (-120) Risking .6 unit to win .5 unit
Nebraska -2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Utah -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
6 pt Teaser. South Carolina -8 and Florida -1. Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Kentucky +14. Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
6 pt Teaser. Kansas St -1.5 and Penn St +7.5 (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
....might add a game or 2 tmrw..im expecting a steam on notre dame, (to entice notre dame backers) if it goes in 10 range probably take oklahoma....or considering teasing with a couple others, south carolina again possibly, really like south carolina to win by atleast a TD....
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10-26-12 11:56 PM #268
nice plays dan. i like maryland +3...i dont care if they have their freshman qb in..bc is terrible...im also takin middle tenn st -3, nwestern -5 and gtech -2 and i have a 7pt teaser...south car and unc
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10-27-12 05:54 AM #269
nice....ya he should have all day to throw, BC d-line just awful, 5 sacks in 7 games, think Im gonna hop on gtech myself.....atleast in a tease.........gonna wait closer to game time just to see what way other games move....
good luck today joco.
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10-27-12 06:17 AM #270
what's up, smut? on Utah and Gators, agree on Terps and BC TT, not opposite any of these (though have to root for hated Michigan because i took them in my pools). both your teasers look solid and i see a lot of shrewd guys on Kentucky so i'm not messing with the Joker Phillips fade this week (Missou in SEC play might be stronger angle). BOL today.
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10-27-12 06:46 AM #271
Ya i was pretty surprised at the BC team total, seems real high to me, ya honestly kentucky was my "quick pick", didnt really look into numbers that much, just picked basically from the little ive seen from both of them play here and there, think kentucky matches up well, Im adding one last tease for now that Im stealing from you/combining plays,....ha, good luck today.....
Adding.
6 pt Teaser. Ohio U -1 and Wisconsin -1/2. Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
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10-27-12 06:50 AM #272
like that teaser. i'm heavy on the Badgers as you know. BOL! Originally Posted by Smutbucket
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10-27-12 11:06 AM #273
In this smoking lounge at the atlanta airport. All my plays are lockd in for tje day. Lets get it dan!
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10-27-12 11:42 AM #274
with you on utah,,,might join you on neb but that little fukkin qb for mich has a way of fukkin me whichever way i bet,,lol...gl smut
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10-27-12 12:20 PM #275
fukking A maryland play special teams, looking terrible, hopefully D really steps up but hard when both drives started inside fg range
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10-27-12 03:25 PM #276
Adding.
Penn State +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
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10-27-12 04:30 PM #277
Adding.
Georgia +4 (2nd Half) -120 . Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
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10-27-12 04:37 PM #278
Lets get em today smut
keep up the good work
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10-27-12 08:38 PM #279
penetrate these refs.
Adding.
Oklahoma -7 (2nd half) (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
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10-27-12 08:39 PM #280
Adding another unit on utah....
Utah -2 (-110) Risking 1.1 unit to win 1 unit
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