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San Jose +7 Under 41
I am not putting these in yet because I feel the squares will move these lines in my favor. Maybe not so much with the San Jose +7 because I know the sharps pounding this will stop line from moving. With the Total I see it going to somewhere around 43 by game time, I will let everyone know when I put these in. IF the lines do not change I will still be taking these two plays.
I like both plays.
I have another solid play on this game. Its taking san jose +3.5 (-120) for the second quarter. San Jose st has outscored opponents 52-31 in the 2nd quarter.
Last edited by tab; 10-24-08 at 01:27 PM.
i took the over in this one. just my .02
Ihope thats how much you put on the over, cause its a loser.
i say its a winner, Boise St's offense is gonna come alive today as they dominate San Jose, Boise St. - 7 easy, Over ?
Yea I wish I could have gotten it while it was at +7.5 and was hoping to wait for more square money to bump it back but I decided to just go with it and hopefully that .5 wont be the difference between a win and a push.Originally Posted by strictlywinners
I quoted this post because I love it when people write things to convince themselves they are right after they see someone else going on the underdog when they just laid the wood on the road AGAIN
Home dog bro, and a good one...I can't say how much I love the boring route in this one...SJS UNDER
no , i put $40 on it.
to be honest, i really dont care over under, i usually dont bet them. I was just saying that to be an ass like you said. But really, I do like Boise St. and I don't need to convince myself. Im not throwing my bankroll on this game, I won yesterday w/ WV AirForce parlay, so I got 55 to win 50 on Boise St. nothing big, just keeping me interested, so either way.
GL Guys
Well, Sam when you get better at this and start making more money you will make better picks.
I've got
San Jose +7 1500
San Jose Moneyl +260 500
San Jose Under 41 1000.
Good luck to you but Boise isn't that good, their D is solid but there offense is suspect.
im w/ you. i got san jose +7.5 under 41.5
strictly,
good luck tonight. I like san jose and the under as well.
We will get it Tab, we seem to win more then the rest, even though I hate that you spread your money around so much. Who knows maybe you will make me a believer some day.
This is the reason I am taking Boise in the 2Q, they have outscored their opponents 104 (17.3 avg.) to 24 (4 avg.) in the 2Q, that is double than what SJSU has scored in 2Q, and in 1 less game..thinking of 2Q Over as well...good luck though..
I so hope you're right!
I would love to see San Jose win this game outright! Eventhough I just took the points
I think San Jose State is the play here as well. But I do think it will go OVER.
Good luck SW.
Thank you sir, hopefully you will be "looking on" a San Jose victory, like 20-17
I hope it goes under for you bud. I will not be on anything in this one.
I can't seems to pull the trigger on the SJ State. It could be because I gambled and put my $$$ on a bad team (Auburn) yesterday.
SJ State have played 2 quality (relatively speaking with respect to their schedule) teams: Nebraska, and Stanford. They lost by double digits in both games. Albeit, they were on the road.
Boise on the other hand have played 2 games on the road against 2 quality (again, relatively speaking) teams. They scored tons off points and beat both opponents. With the exception of Oregon, no one has been able to score in double digits against Boise.
How did you cap this game? What make you think SJ State will cover or wins outright? Please shed some light. I'm learning
Why do you assume that the Sharps will be on SJS? Just because they are a home dog? Or that they don't SEEM like the popular play? Or are you just trying to make yourself feel good about taking the unpopular play?
Ok as I tell everyone, my picks have nothing to do with the teams or the stats, the weather doesn't matter and neither does the night. I Cap strictly based on probabilities, its alot of boring math and as you will see in most of my postings, the majority always seems to hate my plays and is on the other side, just the way I like it. When you are gambling don't fall victim to the illusion that you are gambling against the bookie, cause you aren't. You are gambling against other gamblers, when a majority of them are on one side and the line gets better for you it is their money that the bookie is paying you with and therefore they are your opponent.I can't seems to pull the trigger on the SJ State. It could be because I gambled and put my $$$ on a bad team (Auburn) yesterday.
SJ State have played 2 quality (relatively speaking with respect to their schedule) teams: Nebraska, and Stanford. They lost by double digits in both games. Albeit, they were on the road.
Boise on the other hand have played 2 games on the road against 2 quality (again, relatively speaking) teams. They scored tons off points and beat both opponents. With the exception of Oregon, no one has been able to score in double digits against Boise.
How did you cap this game? What make you think SJ State will cover or wins outright? Please shed some light. I'm learning
The side is tough on this one, at least on paper...but this is a conference game, very important for both, and they relatively know more about each other than teams outside the conference...i find stronger value in the total in this game...you touched on how stingy Boise State is on Defense, I agree, I am hammering the UNDER, as far as the side, save your money for tomorrow where you have 60 options...thats the best advice you are gonna getI can't seems to pull the trigger on the SJ State. It could be because I gambled and put my $$$ on a bad team (Auburn) yesterday.
SJ State have played 2 quality (relatively speaking with respect to their schedule) teams: Nebraska, and Stanford. They lost by double digits in both games. Albeit, they were on the road.
Boise on the other hand have played 2 games on the road against 2 quality (again, relatively speaking) teams. They scored tons off points and beat both opponents. With the exception of Oregon, no one has been able to score in double digits against Boise.
How did you cap this game? What make you think SJ State will cover or wins outright? Please shed some light. I'm learning
if in doubt, wait till saturday
Everyone always asks why I am taking something, ok here is quick explanation I have formula that I use, when value is more then 10 it becomes play right now SJS is 27 and under is 18 so those are the plays.
Next just because something is the sharp play, does not mean it is the winning play it just means you will be on the right side, the sharps do lose, and they actually lose alot, even the best cappers don't hit better then 65%.
This is the sharp play because the intial early line on the game, the one that you and I don't get to see, was +8 sharp early action immediately moved this down to 7. Since then the public has been hammering Boise, and guess what the line has not moved back up, which means one of two things, the Sharps went absolutely HUGE on SJS so the books are leaving the line to balance out the action or 2 the action is lopsided on Boise now but the Books are willing to gamble their own money on SJS. Either one of these reasons are good enough for this to be my play.
If the public continue to pound Boise, I will be on SJ St too. For the record, I don't hate your picks or anyone's pick for that matter. I do respect your capping skill tremendously. Didn't you used to do a video for your NBA picks last season?
Thanks and BOL
I'll probly have a small play just to make the game more exciting. BOL to you.
someone inform me please!!! Why take the under?
Neither offense is that good, I do think Boise's D is very good. Lots of Field Goals in this game and maybe a couple redzone turnovers. San Jose's coach will have good game plan to try an control clock and keep his team in it till the end.
I just went all-in on San Jose State +7-
I am going with what you guys are saying. GL
Oh no! My man if you can please get off this as soon as possible, San Jose is not as solid a play as it was early today, I am going to try to get off it myself, I will let everyone know what I do.I just went all-in on San Jose State +7-
I am going with what you guys are saying. GL
Im gonna let it ride. San Jose --7 1/2 UNDER 41
I'm taking Boise and the over. This is a game where Boise is playing for votes. They need to win, and win with conviction. They can't let SJSU hang around and take this game from them. Boise has NMSU, Utah St, and Idaho for their next 3 games, all of those Boise should handle quite easily. So, if you're looking for the "trap, letdown, look-ahead" angle for Boise, it ain't happening. They rout San Jose St tonight with BCS voters watching. Chris Peterson knows the routine. Nothing against San Jose St here, I like what Dick Tomey has done with San Jose St, I just don't think they match up well against Boise St offense. Look for Boise to score early, and often. Then Tomey will have to abandon the run and throw the ball. Take away SJSU passing stats against Utah St, and they're run game and pass game is mediocre at best.
touching the side in this one is tough...boise could shut this team out, i know it isn't fun, or popular, but if anyone is looking to make money on this game...take the under and root for the defense for a change..a couple red zone turnovers are in store on this games way to the under...wait until about gametime to lock it in..i just saw in dip under 41 for the first time...let all the dead money hammer the over then grab what you can at about 8:55 est
Just so everyone knows I did not get off these 2 plays I'm going to let them ride til half, I still like them both but they are not as strong as they were intially for me. Hopefully luck is on our side tonight.
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