1. #1051
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by pubster77 View Post
    Which books?

    If you saw those odds you shoulda max bet those as its impossible to lose.
    ha yes those are max bets! From Sportbet and a Euro book.

  2. #1052
    snake11eyes
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    Quote Originally Posted by pubster77 View Post

    If you saw those odds you shoulda max bet those as its impossible to lose.
    Thanks captain obvious. Vaughany, what do you think about Marquardt/Benavidez parlay bet 300 get back 225.

  3. #1053
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake11eyes View Post
    Thanks captain obvious. Vaughany, what do you think about Marquardt/Benavidez parlay bet 300 get back 225.


    Seems solid...but almost too solid to be true! Loveland did seem a bit bigger than Benavidez at weigh-ins and may have good enough wrestling to keep things interesting. Regarding Marquardt I'll be SHOCKED if he doesnt win this one...no doubt Marquardt is perennially overrated, but against a guy like Miller who is a small middleweight and who hasn't faced anybody with Marquardt's power I find it hard to imagine Miller beatin Nate. I'd actually be more confident with a Marquardt and Barboza double.

  4. #1054
    snake11eyes
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    Yea I noticed that loveland was bigger too. It worried me a little, but Benavidez should be able to out work him rather easily. I also liked Barboza, but don't know as much about him as I do Benavidez. Probably do two parlays one with each of them and Nate in both.

  5. #1055
    urge2kill
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    Quote Originally Posted by pubster77 View Post
    Which books?

    If you saw those odds you shoulda max bet those as its impossible to lose.
    First time you have one book cancel your bet and are left holding the loser you won't think it's impossible to lose.

  6. #1056
    Jordan23
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    Good luck tomorrow night Pal.. I have a feeling you won't be seeing any red!

  7. #1057
    phillybadboy
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    jones for the win

  8. #1058
    thesox0311
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    GL tonight Sir, lets have a positive night!

  9. #1059
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jordan23 View Post
    Good luck tomorrow night Pal.. I have a feeling you won't be seeing any red!
    Quote Originally Posted by thesox0311 View Post
    GL tonight Sir, lets have a positive night!
    BOL to u both as well....gonna be an awesome event!

  10. #1060
    daimoshokage
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    Hey Vaughany, Rua or Jones?

  11. #1061
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by daimoshokage View Post
    Hey Vaughany, Rua or Jones?
    Im also on this one I'm afraid! I've got 5 units on Jon Jones at -160 opener but I intend to hedge this with Shogun KO of the Night. I'd recommend a play on FOTN over betting on either of them to win straight up!

  12. #1062
    rocky mattioli
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    anxious to see barbosa....but i noticed on one of the youtube vids i watched(vs jose figueroa),that his hands,although powerful,aren`t particularly fast.....

    the legs are amazing....power in his hands....but the hands aren`t what i`d call quick...

    he struggled with figueroa until he landed the big counter shot....was on his back for a good while taking some strikes...btw...figueroa isn`t a dog...he`s fighting in the main event at next week`s m-1 showtime card...

    not worried about njok`s ground game at all....but he has fairly quick hands and dangerous muay thai......so i`m probably hedging both barbosa pars with a njok. play...either straight at roughly +250 or by k.o. at 440...

    even though barbosa looks amazing,he`s facing a tall dangerous muay thai guy that has power...neither guy has much foot movement...neither seem to back up much....and even though barboza is talking ground game,i haven`t seen it in any videos...doesn`t mean it`s not there...

    this should end violently....

    g.l.

    this goes 3 i`ll be shocked...

  13. #1063
    99Boxster
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Im also on this one I'm afraid! I've got 5 units on Jon Jones at -160 opener but I intend to hedge this with Shogun KO of the Night. I'd recommend a play on FOTN over betting on either of them to win straight up!
    V, Will you ask SBR to put the rest of the UFC lines up in the SBR sportsbook?

  14. #1064
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by 99Boxster View Post
    V, Will you ask SBR to put the rest of the UFC lines up in the SBR sportsbook?
    Sorted, they should be up shortly.

  15. #1065
    Vaughany
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    Final Summary of UFC 128 Plays:

    5 units on Jon Jones at -160 to win 3.125 units;

    1 unit on Shogun KO of the Night at +700 to win 7 units;


    2 units on Shogun/Jones Fight of the Night at +333.33 to win 6.667 units;

    2 units on Faber/Wineland Fight of the Night at +600 to win 12 units;


    6.218 units on Faber Not Inside the Distance at +105 to win 6.529 units;

    1.5 units on Faber Submission of the Night at +500 to win 7.5 units;

    0.043 units on Wineland KO of the Night at +3300 to win 1.419 units;

    0.086 units on Wineland by decision at +800 to win 0.688 units;


    1 unit on Schaub by decision at +400 to win 4 units;

    0.5 units on Schaub KO of the Night at +700 to win 3.5 units;


    9.091 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at +110 to win 10 units;

    9.8 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +160 to win 15.68 units;

    10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;

    15 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 24.75 units;

    10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;

    5.981 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 9.885 units

    10 units on Marquardt by decision at +162.5 to win 16.25 units;

    0.062 units on Marquardt KO of the Night at +2100 to win 1.302 units;


    25 units on Miller/Shalorus to go the distance at +120 to win 30 units;

    3 units on Miller/Shalorus to go the distance at +110 to win 3.3 units (also have a free bet worth 5 units on the fight going distance but won't include this on my record on here);

    6.218 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +160 to win 9.949 units;

    6.218 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +150 to win 9.327 units;

    7.5 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +140 to win 10.05 units;


    Parlay (double): 1 unit on Barboza & Pyle/Almeida to go the distance to win 1.222 units;

    0.064 units on Pyle by TKO/KO at +1400 to win 0.896 units;


    0.186 units on Barboza by submission at +1200 to win 2.234 units;

    0.086 units on Barboza by submission at +1000 to win 0.86 units;

    0.1 units on Barboza by decision at +400 to win 0.4 units;


    0.2 units on Benavidez by decision at +300 to win 0.6 units;

    0.013 units on Benavidez/Loveland fight will finish the quickest at +1600 to win 0.208 units.
    Last edited by Vaughany; 03-19-11 at 04:19 PM.

  16. #1066
    The HOFF
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    Best of luck. Barboza ITD is my biggest bet, so a sub would be fine by me.

  17. #1067
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by The HOFF View Post
    Best of luck. Barboza ITD is my biggest bet, so a sub would be fine by me.
    Yeah fingers crossed! GL bro

  18. #1068
    Pete0
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    can any1 tell me if hes arbing this or its a straight wager ??

    "6.218 units on Faber Not Inside the Distance at +105 to win 6.529 units"

  19. #1069
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pete0 View Post
    can any1 tell me if hes arbing this or its a straight wager ??

    "6.218 units on Faber Not Inside the Distance at +105 to win 6.529 units"
    I don't see Faber finishing Wineland by TKO/KO and if he Subs Wineland it's likely to get Submission of the Night as I dont see Jones or Shogun winning by sub.

  20. #1070
    Pete0
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    I don't see Faber finishing Wineland by TKO/KO and if he Subs Wineland it's likely to get Submission of the Night as I dont see Jones or Shogun winning by sub.
    thanks vaughany

    so as far as i understand, this wager is supposed to be played along with teh sub of the night.

    good luck tonight

  21. #1071
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pete0 View Post
    thanks vaughany

    so as far as i understand, this wager is supposed to be played along with teh sub of the night.

    good luck tonight
    Yeah that's it, so basically I'm counting on Jones/Rua not ending in a submission and Faber not winning by TKO/KO. BOL to u too

  22. #1072
    MMAdisciple
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    I dont see Jones or Shogun winning by sub.
    I always thought Jones' only route to victory would be by submission. Shogun has one of the best chins so are you thinking if Jones wins it would be a decision or?

  23. #1073
    The HOFF
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMAdisciple View Post
    I always thought Jones' only route to victory would be by submission. Shogun has one of the best chins so are you thinking if Jones wins it would be a decision or?
    A good chin doesn't matter when elbows and cuts come into play though.

  24. #1074
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMAdisciple View Post
    I always thought Jones' only route to victory would be by submission. Shogun has one of the best chins so are you thinking if Jones wins it would be a decision or?
    Yee I think Jones by decision is most likely...of course there is a chance Jones finishes him with elbows or something, but I will be surprised if he subs Shogun.

  25. #1075
    shaggy3000
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    you got all these picks i cant get but im going to take Jones and MARQUARDT with you it looks like

  26. #1076
    Vaughany
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    Decent start so far...Benavidez by decision, Barboza and Pyle/Almeida distance parlay, and Barboza by decision all hit.

  27. #1077
    WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
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    nice ko for shaub

  28. #1078
    xelance
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    that was KO of the night material. huge KO

  29. #1079
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN View Post
    nice ko for shaub
    Quote Originally Posted by xelance View Post
    that was KO of the night material. huge KO
    Yeah hope so

  30. #1080
    xelance
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    me too vaughany, I got him and Shogun for my KO of the night props looking decent so far

  31. #1081
    Vaughany
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    Trevor Whittman makes my skin scrawl!

  32. #1082
    bringdownthehous
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    yoo vaughany...alrdy locked up jones...you think its worth taking any of the other 2 fights left with wineland/faber or shalorous/miller..odds in both are pretty hefty tho if you take the favs

  33. #1083
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by bringdownthehous View Post
    yoo vaughany...alrdy locked up jones...you think its worth taking any of the other 2 fights left with wineland/faber or shalorous/miller..odds in both are pretty hefty tho if you take the favs
    Unless u wanna do a double of Miller and Faber but I wouldnt play either straight up because as u say thers a lot of chalk, plus I like Wineland at the +350 odds as a value play. Miller by decision might be worth a play as well.

  34. #1084
    bringdownthehous
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    word good stuff thanks man

  35. #1085
    Vaughany
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    Marquardt gets the decision as I'd hoped....15.469 units profit in the bag.

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