Originally Posted by
mirinquads
Woodley has a great chance to finish in round 1 or 2, but he's an almost completely one handed fighter. Strikes with his right hand, and does not really have a jab. Rarely if even throws in combination. He does have crazy knockout power though, and Lawler is southpaw, so the path of his right will likely become more clear.
He's a very explosive wrestler but Lawlers TDD is some of the most technical in the division, and he's very very hard to control when you get him down there, and he attacks very well from different scrambling positions. I expect this to mostly take place on the feet.
Lawler will show you a lot of different looks on the feet, and it seems that when Woodley is pressured, and has someone who's hard to figure out for him, and who he can't just hit with his right hand counter over and over, he will go into a defensive shell, and just cover up and back up on the cage.. This will be terrible against Lawler. Even though he's gotten better at switching the double threat of his shot and his right hand up. In theory, Robbie should figure this out quickly and pick Woodley apart.
But there's a big if, his durability with all the brutal wars, he's gotten hurt a lot lately, although he's super hard to put away. We know hes super technical and defensively sound on the feet, but his fights just has me worried lately.. His total lack of a jab in the Condit fight, taking the middle rounds off in every single fight lately.
Obviously Woodley should have the worse cardio, but this is not a certainty, if Robbie doesn't put the pace on him, and work the body like he did against Hendricks for example. If we get just-throwing-huge-bombs-sprotically Lawler like against Condiut, it could end badly for him.
Woodley rd 1-2, Lawler 4-5, fight ends tko -140. I will see where the line goes from there.