The Brandao +3.5 play was never locked in. I tweeted it while watching the weigh ins, then Brandao got on the scale, then I tweeted warning my followers NOT to make that bet. Luckily, I myself had not either, since I was busy watching the weigh-ins. The tweets were within minutes of each other, so I was certain no one had tailed it. But just in case anyone had, I offered to pay them their losses (if the play lost) as long as they had a screencap of the wager to prove it. I was right, and no one had even seen that tweet yet. (I shouldn't have had to do that, since all the plays I give out are free, but my followers appreciated that I did.) If more time had passed or the bet was actually locked in, what I would have done is recommend a bigger parlay on Poirier straight and Rousey ITD.
I was confident in Payan, and believed he should have been the favorite. The fight proved he was the right side at +160, as he won the first two rounds. That third round was just bad luck, for him and those who backed him with their wallets.
Truly an awful night for me, and a terrible month in general, but it's definitely been a profitable year. Look forward to get back to crushing it in 2014, best of luck to all of you in the new year.