Okay, ive been giving this thought lately and hopefully some of you, SENIOR MEMBERS and NEWBIES alike, can shed some light or discuss this.
Its quite simple: If i feel about 70% sure about winning each game, doesnt it make sense to play one game daily rather than 2, 3 or even more?
If i play 3 games, for example, i get this:
Percentage of winning all three games:
.70*.70*.70 = .49
So there is a 49% chance you sweep, compared to 70% chance you win if you just play the one play.
70% chance of winning at -110
odds ONE 330$ bet = 300 WON
vs
49% chance of winning at -110 odds THREE 110$ bets = 300 WON
But how do i crunch the numbers to know what percentage of winning 2 of 3 or 1 of 3?
I know theoretically if you have 70% chance of winning each game individually, then it doesnt matter if you play 10 games or 1 game today..in the long run you SHOULD hit 70% regardless..but there has to be an explanation or something that you can compute in to take into account: 1) how much harder it gets once you wager more and more wager per day...thus making your chances of making money DECREASE.
There must be something to explain the difference between betting more and betting less bets per day, etc...