You're not truthful.
Here is one example:
(Posted on 4/7/19)
[QUOTE]Great win yesterday as that was a very big play for us!! Back to the grind today!!
OVER 9 (CWS/SEA)..TOP PLAY (XX- LARGE)
NY METS +120
KC ROYALS -105
*If you like playing fewer plays just play the Top Play. Make sure if you play 2 or more of these plays that you wager so you make money as long as Top Play hits!!!
Here is the article for Action Network:
Author ProfileJosh AppelbaumApr 07, 2019 11:47 AM EDT
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets 1:10 p.m. ETSharp angle: Mets (moved from +120 to +117)Recreational bettors love betting favorites, big name teams and those with star players. When teams have an ace on the mound, it’s an automatic play.Not the sharps. They bet numbers, not teams. If they find an edge and see value, they’ll get down on any team. This NL East showdown is a perfect example.The Nats opened as -140 road favorites. With Max Scherzer on the mound, the public is pounding Washington (80% of bets). However, despite this heavy support, the Nats have fallen to -127, indicating sharp reverse line movement on the Mets.Using our Sports Insights’ bet signals, we tracked two steam and reverse line moves on the Mets at +131 and +130. We haven’t seen a single conflicting move (or buyback) on Washington.The Mets also fit the Bet Labs PRO System Betting Against the Public (+174.81 units since 2005).
Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers1:10 p.m. ETSharp angle: Royals (moved from -105 to -108)One look at the records of these two AL Central teams and that’s all the public needs to know. Kansas City is 2-5. Detroit is 6-3 and a short favorite at home. The Tigers sound too good to be true, right?This lined opened at practically a pick’em. A slight majority of bets are taking the Tigers (54%), but nearly 65% of dollars are coming in on the Royals. Meanwhile, the line has moved slightly toward KC (-105 to -108). This smart money discrepancy and reverse line movement signals wiseguy action on KC.We also tracked a notable steam move on Kansas City, with not a single move coming on Detroit.
Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox2:10 p.m. ETSharp angle: Over (9)Casual bettors don’t know which way to go with this high over/under. But Goodfellas have taken a clear position.This total opened at 9. Currently 52% of bets are taking the over, but they also account for nearly 90% of dollars. This massive smart money discrepancy means the bigger, sharper wagers are predicting another high-scoring game on the South Side (the over has cashed easily in the first two games of this series).Also the over is juiced up to -120 or -125 across the market, indicating over liability and the next move likely up to 9.5We also noticed four separate steam and reverse line moves on the Over 9, with no conflicting under plays.An added bonus for over backers: Paul Emmel is behind the plate. Since 2005, the under has lost -39.02 units when Emmel calls balls and strikes.
Coincidence Capone?