Washington ML: Washington has been playing well of course, and although they won't be huge underdogs in this series, I think they still have value at close to even money in this game. Chacon can be good but is also inconsistent, and his outing is likely to be matched by Bacsik. Pittsburgh is having real problems pulling out games, and Salomon Torres may be in the middle of another game-losing inning for Pittsburgh here. Washington has been playing decently and should have an advantage in a close game. The edge here on Washington is not huge, but has a high degree of confidence IMO.
White Sox RL: Lineup volatility gives this game its value on the RL IMO. In Buehrle's 5 home starts, 3 have been wins by one run, it is true. But that was when the Sox' lineup was weaker and the pen was doing a bit better. Now, it will be a different story, going against the strong Yankee lineup and rookie starter Clippard. If Buehrle has a quality start, the Sox will likely win by more than one. If he gets hit, they will likely lose outright.
Texas ML: Rheinecker is on the improve, with a new changeup, and Robertson is having what seem to be real and meaningful problems. Unless Detroit outslugs Texas, they will be hard-pressed to get a win. It's always a real possibility, but as a good-sized underdog at home, Texas has value IMO.
Colorado RL: Hirsh has had a rocky time of late, but he will be gunning to bounce back here ve Houston, the team that traded him away. If his recent poor performance is incidental, he should bounce back here and Colorado will have a good chance of winning by more than one. If he's not ready for prime time, Colorado will likely lose outright. Houston's lineup has perked up of late, but they are still probably silenceable by effective pitching, and Hirsh will be giving his all to have a strong start.
San Diego ML: This is not a good spor for the Dodgers IMO. Schmidt is a winning pitcher, and he may well be successful in the future even with diminished velocity. But this is his first game back from the DL, and he should be vulnerable after only a Single A start and a bullpen session. His arm strength, location, and velocity will all be questionable. And the Dodgers won't likely be able to give him much leeway, as Chris Young is pitching very well of late, with high strikeout totals but low pitch counts. The Dodgers will have traveled across the country, and their bullpen is a bit extended, while SD had yesterday off. If Young is on his game - and there's no reason to think he won't be - the Dodgers will have a tough time winning. SD has decent value with high confidence even as a good-sized favorite, IMO.
Seattle ML: Seattle's lineup has been overachieving of late, no doubt. But they are still effective right now, and when backing a quality starter such as Baek, they should provide enough firepower even at their normal level of production. Baltimore is just not getting it done right now, and while Burres has been pretty good, he is not likely to outpitch Baek. The Baltimore pen is also not doing well right now, while the Seattle pen is solid, as it has been all year long. The line on Seattle is not too high, they are just a mid-range favorite, and if they get expected efforts from Baek, their lineup, and their pen, Baltimore will have a tough time coming away with a win, giving Seattle decent value with good confidence even as a solid favorite, IMO.
Bos/Oak under (at 9): Oakland is not sending out a terribly formidable lineup right now, and Dice K is likely to have a strong start in this one. DiNardo has also been ok this year, and he will probably keep Boston contained for the most part, for 5 innings or so. The runs should slowly come in over the game, but it will have a relatively tough shot at getting over 9, IMO.
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