[RollinDo]

JJ warned us!

[RollinDo]

Goes to show how early season going...
Sonny Gray with worst performance of his young career vs an Astros lineup hitting .169 coming into game.
Greinke was 18-1 when starting vs NL opponents. If Arizona wins, would be 18-2.
Scherzer yet to win a game.

[leetreaper]

gl man

[RollinDo]

Thanks Leet...was doing so well until last 2 nights. Should not bet so many games. LA Dodgers screwed me last night. 1 bad inning for Sonny resulted in a push for Houston (Under 3), but not complaining about that one.
2 losing nights cancel out 3 winning nights is what hurts.
I actually played Under in SEA - Marlins game too, so 1-2-1 on the night in Unders and that LA loss cost me too.

YTD Under record: 21-12-6

[RollinDo]

Leans for Sat.

Tor - Cle (Under 8.5)
Astros - A's (Under 7)
Yanks - Rays (Under 7.5)
Balt (Under 3.5)...facing a lefty
Minn (Under 4)...facing a lefty

Detroit ML...at home with Max after a loss.
Odds under -160...gift

[RollinDo]

Going with my #1 Under play as:
Hou-Oak (Under 7)
Kasmir for Athletics has been great, while Oakland struggles vs lefties.
Hope this one ends about 3-1 in an early game in Oakland after pounding the ball last night.
Another strong play I have is Baltimore (Under 4) as Doubrant will try to silence the O's bats that were on just for 1 game. Today they face a lefty and they are a team built to do well vs righties. Boston's pen should hold them to a low run total too.

[PSEUDOWIZARD]

Whats your thoughts on playing the under 7.5 in the LAA-DET game, seeing as CJ Wilson has been very solid this year.

[robbeduagain]

Whats your thoughts on playing the under 7.5 in the LAA-DET game, seeing as CJ Wilson has been very solid this year.

Great week rollin. The LAA/Det game looks like an over play to me. Wilson's 2 wins have come against bad hitting teams, and even though he was 11-3 last year on the road, his ERA was over 4. Couple that with a 6.55 ERA against Det last year and Scherzer's history of slow starts to a season makes me think this will be more high scoring than one would think. Best of luck!

[leetreaper]

Yeah, tough start for all of us, we'll get them in May anyways.

[RollinDo]

Great week rollin. The LAA/Det game looks like an over play to me. Wilson's 2 wins have come against bad hitting teams, and even though he was 11-3 last year on the road, his ERA was over 4. Couple that with a 6.55 ERA against Det last year and Scherzer's history of slow starts to a season makes me think this will be more high scoring than one would think. Best of luck!

I was initially thinking Under, but I don't like playing Detroit home games much with the Under. If I were to make an Under play it would be LA Angels (Under 3.5) if at -125 or better.
I think Scherzer is due for a solid game and more importantly a W.
I'm going with Detroit ML today as my 2nd top play. I like to play them after a loss at home, and with their Ace on the bump, I don't hesitate.I think Detroit hits lefties well too.

[GiveMeaBJ]

Get em roller.

[RollinDo]

Well, this week actually turned out a losing one. Smh

And Grizzlies ruined my 2-team teaser. Nba is awful...toughest sport to bet.

And Astros pen gives up 3 in 9th to push my POD Under bet...and I had locked it in last night and apparently had moved to Under 7.5 late morning, so would have won.

YTD Unders: 21-12-6

Back to the drawing board next week.
Happy Easter pepes!

[RollinDo]

Great week rollin!

Not really man. Can't seem to make that push to get over the hump. Don't be fooled by my overall record. I am about even in mlb so far this season...just a couple bucks profit.
Betting can make you feel so high and so low sometimes.

[RollinDo]

Seems like when you win, your bets are so solid and when you lose, all the breaks go against you and you wonder if someone is playing a joke on you.
I notice some bettors catch a lot of breaks, but I normally don't get lucky...The bad breaks come often during a stretch of a few days in a row. Feel like I have some company though.

[DoubleR90]

Keep plugging away rollin'. Its a long season and you definitely have something here. Betting baseball is a game of attrition so you can't get discouraged by small downswings. You've got one of the better threads going on here, keep making picks bro. Best of luck

[robbeduagain]

Not really man. Can't seem to make that push to get over the hump. Don't be fooled by my overall record. I am about even in mlb so far this season...just a couple bucks profit.
Betting can make you feel so high and so low sometimes.

I know what you mean about the highs and lows. A couple of bucks profit this early in the season isn't bad. You seem to really have a handle on the totals. I check here every day. GL

[robbeduagain]

I was initially thinking Under, but I don't like playing Detroit home games much with the Under. If I were to make an Under play it would be LA Angels (Under 3.5) if at -125 or better.
I think Scherzer is due for a solid game and more importantly a W.
I'm going with Detroit ML today as my 2nd top play. I like to play them after a loss at home, and with their Ace on the bump, I don't hesitate.I think Detroit hits lefties well too.

By the way, nice call on the LAA tt under. I didn't play it, but looking back it made more sense.

[GiveMeaBJ]

Rollin get your ass in here and post some penetrating plays. Don't let some bad bounces get in your head. I have faith.

[RollinDo]

Thanks for the support guys...maybe just pissed off at nba losses...all these dogs winning/covering except the one team I thought had best chance to win...Memphis.
And losing Toronto ML vs the lowly Knicks.
Will get back to winning today.
Got some leans in a little bit

[RollinDo]

Top leans:
SD-Mil (Under 7.5)
Cincy - Pitt (Under 7)
TX-Oak (Under 6.5)
Hou (Under 3)
Marlins (Under 3)
---
Texas Rangers ML
Oakland +1.5

Rockies ML (De La Rosa at home)

[RollinDo]

1st pick (sorry for being late!)

Balt-Boston Under 8.5
Not much time to rest after last night's game.
Boston hitting poorly vs lefties and I think Buchholz will have a solid game vs an opponent he's done well against.
He also performed better in day games last year.

[GIVEMETHEMONEY]

I agree with RollinDo.

I bought half a point up to under 9 for the game.

For laughs I added Baltimore +1.5

BOL Everyone!

Now the potheads have had their stupid 420 day! Can we all talk about something else in the lame steam news media now?

[RollinDo]

Isn't Under 9 at like -155?
I like buying 1/2 a point from time to time, but the line between 8.5 was -115 and Under 9 was -155.
I'd hate for it to go Over 9 with that kinda juice. If it were -140, I may have done Under 9.

[RollinDo]

3 More Under plays tonight...

Cincy - Pitt (Under 7.5)
I remember these 2 having low scores last year when playing each other. Liriano much better at home and faces a Reds club hitting poorly vs lefties and Pirates pen is solid. Pirates meanwhile struggling to score and are hitting just .226 vs righties...Leake has faired well vs Pirates too and is a decent pitcher on the road.

Texas - Oakland (Under 7)
Straily can be solid and I think he'll be locked in a duel with Darvish...would be surprised if winning team scores more than 4.

Mil - Pitt (Under 8)
Not sure what this total is all about, but looks like the obvious Under of the day. Do I need to go into detail here? Padres not scoring...Milwaukee facing Cashner, which is my biggest worry on the road, as he's not pitched enough away from PetCo to get a strong feel he can be great anywhere he pitches.

[RollinDo]

Wow - who is betting the Overs in the Cincy-Pitt game and TX-Oak? I should have waited for a better price on those for the Under...seems to be the theme lately for me jumping the gun too quick.

[RollinDo]

Man. Darvish looking beatable tonight.
Thought this would be a pitcher's duel.
Not feeling it lately with these Unders.
Dang Blackhawks had to score an empty netter with 20 seconds left to ruin my B'hawks ML with Blues +1. Small profit nonetheless.
With all my terrible picks today, worst I can do is lose a few bucks. If TX-Oak end with 7 runs total, I will actually be in the plus. I had Oakland Under 7, but got a little antsy and bet on Over 6.5 to hedge in case of a 4-3 or so final.

[RollinDo]

Forgot all about Rockies ML!!!
De La Rosa was pitching and at Coors that's a pretty sure win...should have bet Marlins Under 3, but I saw they were hitting righties well this year, si backed away.

[RollinDo]

Gotta keep pluggin' away to break through this rut. Gotta admit that Reds - Pirates Under was not my best and I forced it.

Tuesday's leans:
Unders
NY Yanks (Under 3.5) vs Lester (Bos)
Miami @ Atlanta (U 6.5)
StL @ NY Mets (U 6.5)
Minn (Under 3) vs Price (TB)
SD (Under 3.5) vs Gallardo (Mil)

Parlay: Detroit ML / LA Dodgers ML

[RollinDo]

I think that's the first time in my 13 months of sports betting that I made a profit with an overall losing record for the day!
2-3 overall with that Oakland - TX hedge of Over 6.5 when I had the Under 7 (push).

YTD Under record: 22-14-7

[RollinDo]

Play #1: Minn-TB (Under 7.5) -115
While I like Price to make a bounce - back performance vs a Two kids team that didn't hit lefties well at all last year and struggling a bit this year too, not gonna pay -130 for Twins Under 3 runs.
I'll take a chance with the total, as Kyle Gibson has been fantastic so far. Seeing about a 4-2 score in favor of TB.

Play 2: NY - BOS (Under 4 - 1st 5) -120
Until Tanaka ta-tankas, going with him to limit BoSox thru 1st part of game. Boston tends to score more after 5th. Lester may give up just 1 through 5. Hoping for a 2-1 score after 5.

[RollinDo]

On a dry spell lately. So is life as an Under bettor.

Today I have a lot of strong plays, but worried that I have been confident lately and losing often.

Top Unders:
Texas - Oakland (U 7.5)
StL - NY Mets (U 7)
Cincy-Pitt (Under 7.5)

Leans:
SF (Under 4.5)

Top Sides:
Oakland
TB
Milwaukee
Washington (Top Play)
Philly - LA (Under 7)

[RollinDo]

Adding Under 10 SF - COL
Wind blowing in 15 mph...2 starters who do fairly well in Coors.
Also taking Rockies +1 / Brewers +1.5

[robbeduagain]

On a dry spell lately. So is life as an Under bettor.

Today I have a lot of strong plays, but worried that I have been confident lately and losing often.

Top Unders:
Texas - Oakland (U 7.5)
StL - NY Mets (U 7)
Cincy-Pitt (Under 7.5)

Leans:
SF (Under 4.5)

Top Sides:
Oakland
TB
Milwaukee
Washington (Top Play)
Philly - LA (Under 7)

You have a good system. There will always be corrections toward the mean in baseball. Don't second guess yourself. GL today.

[RollinDo]

Parlay:
SD-Mil (Under 8.5) / Philly-LA (Under 7)
+170 odds

[inZane]

Adding Under 10 SF - COL
Wind blowing in 15 mph...2 starters who do fairly well in Coors.
Also taking Rockies +1 / Brewers +1.5

Hey Rollin, I just double checked the weather at Coors Field and it's not blowing in. According to two different sites I use,it's blowing left to right at an angle, out to right field. There's a front coming through today and a high wind warning is in effect for most of the Front Range. FYI, and good luck today.