1. 08-03-14 06:27 PM #5846
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Atlanta does suck. I figured they would lose with Harrang pitching but I thought the TT would be a push at worst.
    Agree. How can you not hit Tyson Ross? Why isn't this guy getting bombed by now?
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  2. 08-03-14 06:29 PM #5847
    BigDofBA
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    Lead off runner on second with no outs. How do they f\*\*k this up?
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  3. 08-03-14 06:31 PM #5848
    BigDofBA
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    Push. Thank god even though I feel like this should have won. At least I can only win now.

    3-3, no outs p, and a guy on first but they elect not to bunt him over. Why?
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  4. 08-03-14 06:32 PM #5849
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Push. Thank god even though I feel like this should have won. At least I can only win now.

    3-3, no outs p, and a guy on first but they elect not to bunt him over. Why?
    Braves should win this game now.

    Benoit as a closer doesn't work.
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  5. 08-03-14 08:26 PM #5850
    paco
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Braves should win this game now.

    Benoit as a closer doesn't work.
    Braves blow. We have established that already
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  6. 08-03-14 08:37 PM #5851
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    Buchholz's "curve ball" floats up there like it's served on a platter.

    Every time the Yankees make contact, it's a rocket.

    What happened to this guy?
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  7. 08-03-14 08:47 PM #5852
    altieriflyers
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    No Coin what is your take on Indians RL tomorrow?
    Last edited by altieriflyers; 08-03-14 at 09:09 PM.
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  8. 08-03-14 09:40 PM #5853
    Pauulzcappin
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    Kluber is very expensive tomorrow, thought it would be around -160
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  9. 08-04-14 05:13 AM #5854
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by altieriflyers View Post
    No Coin what is your take on Indians RL tomorrow?
    Kluber has pitched two back to back 9 inning games. Last time I saw that from a pitcher they got shelled their next game
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  10. 08-04-14 06:53 AM #5855
    Mase of Base
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Kluber has pitched two back to back 9 inning games. Last time I saw that from a pitcher they got shelled their next game
    He only threw 85 pitches against Seattle which is the least he's thrown in his last 9 games. The price is ridiculous anyway! Simon might possibly be regressing but he's proved he's more than capable of throwing a gem.
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  11. 08-04-14 07:16 AM #5856
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mase of Base View Post
    He only threw 85 pitches against Seattle which is the least he's thrown in his last 9 games. The price is ridiculous anyway! Simon might possibly be regressing but he's proved he's more than capable of throwing a gem.
    Yeah I went back and saw that. The line is interesting...either Simon gets completely shelled or Its a close game. But the more I look into it, I see Kluber pitching a good game.
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  12. 08-04-14 08:00 AM #5857
    Dollars2Donuts
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    I am on Simon. I don't normally look for 'value' (a word that is too often thrown around on losing bets) but this cross-state rivals will play each other tough, Simon has been gawd-awful since the All Star break and he is going to look to a game like this to get back on track and Kluber is ready for a let-down game.

    Do I think Cincy wins? Half of the time in this spot I believe they get it done....and at +170 that's enough for me.
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  13. 08-04-14 08:45 AM #5858
    Pauulzcappin
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    I am on Simon. I don't normally look for 'value' (a word that is too often thrown around on losing bets) but this cross-state rivals will play each other tough, Simon has been gawd-awful since the All Star break and he is going to look to a game like this to get back on track and Kluber is ready for a let-down game.

    Do I think Cincy wins? Half of the time in this spot I believe they get it done....and at +170 that's enough for me.

    +180s available now

    I think Kluber rolls again, not sure if I want to pay that premium price for it though.
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  14. 08-04-14 10:46 AM #5859
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    NYM +130 (2U to win 2.6)
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  15. 08-04-14 10:47 AM #5860
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    NYM +130 (2U to win 2.6)
    NC why?
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  16. 08-04-14 10:53 AM #5861
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    NYM +130 (2U to win 2.6)
    Bovada lean is better than the pinny lean IMO
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  17. 08-04-14 11:01 AM #5862
    Lincoln Scofield
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    Bovada lean is better than the pinny lean IMO
    As in if it's even across the board and Bovada is juicing a public play?
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  18. 08-04-14 11:07 AM #5863
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lincoln Scofield View Post
    As in if it's even across the board and Bovada is juicing a public play?
    exactly. If you look at either sbr or sportsbook_spy, you see 62/83% of public is on SF. Pinny is -128, and 5d is -126. Bovada is -142 (just moved from -140...).
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  19. 08-04-14 11:10 AM #5864
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    exactly. If you look at either sbr or sportsbook_spy, you see 62/83% of public is on SF. Pinny is -128, and 5d is -126. Bovada is -142 (just moved from -140...).
    As well as BM dropping from -129/+119 to -122/+112 in the last couple mins...but idk how much stock you're supposed to put in BM.
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  20. 08-04-14 11:10 AM #5865
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    exactly. If you look at either sbr or sportsbook_spy, you see 62/83% of public is on SF. Pinny is -128, and 5d is -126. Bovada is -142 (just moved from -140...).
    Now a 20-cent gap between Bovada and CRIS.
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  21. 08-04-14 11:25 AM #5866
    Pauulzcappin
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    good start for my over and your mets, no coin.

    ball looks like its carrying a lot
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  22. 08-04-14 11:26 AM #5867
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lincoln Scofield View Post
    As well as BM dropping from -129/+119 to -122/+112 in the last couple mins...but idk how much stock you're supposed to put in BM.
    no idea re: BM. i wouldn't really consider a book who offers >10 cent lines on a -125 MLB game to be 'sharp'. I usually just stick with pinny/5d/bovada and its been pretty successful.
    This isn't anything i've explicity tracked, just something that I've seemed to notice from time to time. bovada is definitely a public book (college days, everyone i knew irl was on bodog bc of the bonuses they offered and successful, albeit relatively small, payouts)

    Cleveland and boston were just a few cents away from being good examples yesterday
    Last edited by EXhoosier10; 08-04-14 at 11:30 AM.
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  23. 08-04-14 11:33 AM #5868
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    My book had SF -125/NYM +120. I found that weird, so I layed off. Smh
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  24. 08-04-14 11:42 AM #5869
    lore22
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    2 minutes to post time Pinnys live MLB had the Mets at +113.
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  25. 08-04-14 12:54 PM #5870
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    Ugh my scared ass didnt just jump on NYM +107 live and now they took the lead
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  26. 08-04-14 02:52 PM #5871
    sta0g
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    stupid mutts
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  27. 08-04-14 02:59 PM #5872
    Smoothieopath
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    CHW tt ov 4.5
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  28. 08-04-14 03:40 PM #5873
    KRIT
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    Can't believe Scherzer is only -120 tonight. Thoughts?
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  29. 08-04-14 03:44 PM #5874
    Pauulzcappin
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    Can't believe Scherzer is only -120 tonight. Thoughts?
    total is suspiciously low as well. either mccarthy throws a gem or they both get rocked imo.
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  30. 08-04-14 05:42 PM #5875
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    Now batting a paltry 42% on one-run games this year.

    Unbelievable.
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  31. 08-04-14 05:42 PM #5876
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    Can't believe Scherzer is only -120 tonight. Thoughts?
    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    total is suspiciously low as well. either mccarthy throws a gem or they both get rocked imo.
    Books and advanced stat geeks love McCarthy.
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  32. 08-04-14 05:45 PM #5877
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Books and advanced stat geeks love McCarthy.
    I checked those out. His peripherals look really good but can he translate those to rubber?

    What do you think about tonight coiner? looks like chalk city again.
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  33. 08-04-14 05:46 PM #5878
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    NYY TT over 3.5 (2.2U to win 2)

    Yankee bats looking like they're starting to heat up.
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  34. 08-04-14 05:47 PM #5879
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    I checked those out. His peripherals look really good but can he translate those to rubber?

    What do you think about tonight coiner? looks like chalk city again.
    Yeah, not much worth playing. I obviously lean Cleveland, but no way at that price. Other than that, I don't see much. Sort of like Tampa, but not at that price.
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  35. 08-04-14 05:55 PM #5880
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    Reds/Indians over 3.5 FF gotta be the play today
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