1. 05-14-14 10:50 AM #1961
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I am stunned and confused by the DET/BAL line today.

    -121 for the Tigers? Really?
    Yea me too..........What I did was to bet Batl. TT OVER 3.5....The line is saying VER. may not get it done today. ( I Think )...............good luck today.!
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  2. 05-14-14 11:18 AM #1962
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    His FIP, xFIP are were it should be. His BABIP should adjust but Burnett's ERA is about a point or a point or a half of where it should be.
    Agreed, but his HR/FB % is just 3% as well.
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  3. 05-14-14 11:19 AM #1963
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    CLE +100 (2U to win 2)
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  4. 05-14-14 11:24 AM #1964
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I know the O's are the play based on the line and movement, but I think you'd be crazy to back them at the current price.
    How about the under?
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  5. 05-14-14 11:26 AM #1965
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    Tigers just nosedived to -113 at Pinny.

    Wow.

    O's +104 there vs. +120 at Bovada.
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  6. 05-14-14 11:27 AM #1966
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Tigers just nosedived to -113 at Pinny.

    Wow.
    Is Balty the play??
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  7. 05-14-14 11:29 AM #1967
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Is Balty the play??
    In theory, yes. Normally I'd hammer a play with a 16c ML difference between Pinny and Bovada.

    I just can't do it here, though. This makes zero sense to me.
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  8. 05-14-14 11:31 AM #1968
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    Couldn't resist Detroit any longer - got them at -114 risking 1.02 Bitcoins to win 0.89. BOL to all.

    And no I'm not trying to be a square, I'd take Baltimore at +140 if it were still offered.

    Also had the option of under 8.50 -120 as one of the books hadn't adjusted. But I like the over here, can't bet the under here just cause it has "value" with these two teams at bat and a new pitcher.
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  9. 05-14-14 11:32 AM #1969
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    CLE +100 (2U to win 2)

    CHW +1.5 -110     (2.2U to win 2)
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  10. 05-14-14 11:32 AM #1970
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    In theory, yes. Normally I'd hammer a play with a 16c ML difference between Pinny and Bovada.

    I just can't do it here, though. This makes zero sense to me.
    Im laying off...how do you feel about the under?
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  11. 05-14-14 11:33 AM #1971
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    Where in god's name did you bet this (CWS +1.5 +110 )play? I don't see it at any book.
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  12. 05-14-14 11:34 AM #1972
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Im laying off...how do you feel about the under?
    Looks good, but I'm no totals expert.
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  13. 05-14-14 11:36 AM #1973
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    Quote Originally Posted by EVfollower View Post
    Where in god's name did you bet this (CWS +1.5 +110 )play? I don't see it at any book.
    5Dimes. Not +110. -110.
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  14. 05-14-14 11:38 AM #1974
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    Ahhh my bad. Swear I saw the +110 when I first saw your play - makes sense now. Best I can find is -115 so gonna hold off to see if I can get that here at some point in bitcoin world. Hate 5dimes, met that head manager ( I forget his name ) he says I'm banned for life cause I won $5000 and bitched customer service out when my check bounced...
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  15. 05-14-14 11:40 AM #1975
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    Its crazy the linemovement minutes prior to first pitch...and also how telling it can be
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  16. 05-14-14 11:40 AM #1976
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    Quote Originally Posted by EVfollower View Post
    Ahhh my bad. Swear I saw the +110 when I first saw your play - makes sense now. Best I can find is -115 so gonna hold off to see if I can get that here at some point in bitcoin world. Hate 5dimes, met that head manager ( I forget his name ) he says I'm banned for life cause I won $5000 and bitched customer service out when my check bounced...
    -111 @ Jetwin
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  17. 05-14-14 11:41 AM #1977
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    CHW +180 (1U to win 1.8)
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  18. 05-14-14 11:42 AM #1978
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post

    CHW +1.5 -110     (2.2U to win 2)
    brock on oak
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  19. 05-14-14 11:43 AM #1979
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Its crazy the linemovement minutes prior to first pitch...and also how telling it can be
    I know Detroit is playing with a depleted lineup today, but that kind of line movement is still nuts.

    Typically, fading a 29-cent drop is actually profitable. Just not sure here though because Detroit is such a lopsided public play.

    Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
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  20. 05-14-14 11:43 AM #1980
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    Is Jetwin reliable for a 1 BTC bet and to pay it out within 24 hours?
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  21. 05-14-14 11:50 AM #1981
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    Quote Originally Posted by EVfollower View Post
    Is Jetwin reliable for a 1 BTC bet and to pay it out within 24 hours?
    Im clearing their bonus , I havent cashed out. But I asked on Bitcointalk and there havent been any problems reported. Afaik they process cashout once a day. I wouldnt expect any problems.
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  22. 05-14-14 11:59 AM #1982
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    Quote Originally Posted by bababooey13 View Post
    brock on oak
    Even better.
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  23. 05-14-14 12:08 PM #1983
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I know Detroit is playing with a depleted lineup today, but that kind of line movement is still nuts.

    Typically, fading a 29-cent drop is actually profitable. Just not sure here though because Detroit is such a lopsided public play.

    Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
    That was my exact thoughts
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  24. 05-14-14 12:28 PM #1984
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I know Detroit is playing with a depleted lineup today, but that kind of line movement is still nuts.

    Typically, fading a 29-cent drop is actually profitable. Just not sure here though because Detroit is such a lopsided public play.

    Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
    Problem is public does win sometimes and the problem here is that all those "value" bettors have become the public. Look at the SBR threads, everyone THINKS detroit but no one bet it cause its "too fishy". Meanwhile all the others are betting balty. Percentages say more people betting detroit more of course but not as lopesided anymore I think.

    Also, anyone watching the game live? This ump has such a tight strike zone, I'm shocked more walks and runs have not occurred already.
    Last edited by EVfollower; 05-14-14 at 12:33 PM.
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  25. 05-14-14 12:56 PM #1985
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Typically, fading a 29-cent drop is actually profitable.
    Should've nailed this and trusted my instincts.
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  26. 05-14-14 01:04 PM #1986
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    KC -130 (1.3U to win 1)
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  27. 05-14-14 01:06 PM #1987
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    Line moves are just so meaningless anymore. Plus Gausman had been garbage in just about every start he's had going back to last year. Doesn't matter if teams have faced him or not. Why would the books make Detroit cheaper is my question? Surely it wasnt them trying to cover themselves from too many o's backers.
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  28. 05-14-14 01:08 PM #1988
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    royals? all the value seems on ROX
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  29. 05-14-14 01:10 PM #1989
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    CHW +180 (1U to win 1.8)

    Love the value. Also the stupid factor of "avoiding the sweep", which they havent been series sweep all season, yet. And there coming off getting shut-out. They should score today regardless..
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  30. 05-14-14 02:15 PM #1990
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    KC -130 (1.3U to win 1)
    Just missed it.
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  31. 05-14-14 02:32 PM #1991
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    CHW +180 (1U to win 1.8)
    great day yesterday! Props to you my man! $
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  32. 05-14-14 02:35 PM #1992
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    CHW TT over 3.5 -120 (1.2U to win 1)
    WAS TT under 3.5 +100 (1U to win 1)
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  33. 05-14-14 02:43 PM #1993
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    SF -127 (2.54U to win 2)
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  34. 05-14-14 02:47 PM #1994
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    KC -130 (1.3U to win 1)
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    CHW TT over 3.5 -120 (1.2U to win 1)
    WAS TT under 3.5 +100 (1U to win 1)
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    SF -127 (2.54U to win 2)
    Totals and favs? Who is this madman?
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  35. 05-14-14 02:49 PM #1995
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    Good luck NoCoin with CWS. I was really mad cause I thought the game began at 3:45 or 4:05 or something. Not 3:35. My phone had died so I couldn't log into my sportsbook account since 2FA is enabled. Wanted to hit CWS 1.5 -110 for 1 bitcoin myself. Hopefully you win though man, you are on the starting of a hot streak I'd say.
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