[BiffTFinancial]

CWS/A's Over

I do like it. Waiting for ump, like it so long as neutral ump and would definitely play with over ump. Best over ump who is due up tonight is Schreiber, and he's in St Louis. I'm concerned about getting someone like Kulpa or Hoye or maybe Reyburn.

[BiffTFinancial]

At this point, plays that i like best are:
Tigers ML -107
Astros TT under 4 -115 (like Rangers -1 RL and under about equally; Astros have scored under 4 runs 21 times this year, exactly 4 3 times, and over 4 14 times)
Cubs FF ML +134
CWS/A's over 7' (need to avoid under ump, though)

[BiffTFinancial]

Monday 5.12.2014
1* Astros team total under 4 (-115)
1* Cubs first five ML (+134)

[inZane]

Thanks for your work, Biff. How do you know whether or not the roofs are open in these parks? I went to that site, istheroofopen .com, and all they say is it's "too soon to say, check back later." In fact, yesterday I checked on games already in progress and got the same reply.BOL tonight...

[SlickRick1382]

Hi Biff,
I look for cappers who in the long run are +EV. While you do make good plays and seem to do decent I think your major problem is you make WAY too many plays. "Finding value" on the amount of plays you make is nearly impossible, it can happen but its rare. You see that since opening month you've been on a gradual decline, not huge but its significant. Based on your stats I attribute this to making too many plays. I would narrow your plays down so the house edge you are trying to beat isn't as much. Variance is not on your side as you make all these plays day after day. Not trying to be an ass just giving you some feedback. If you want to make some extra money, consider putting half a unit on Bigpage's plays and Hardcoar (in the tennis section) plays. Hardcoar is up 300+ units and Bigpage is doing well as well. Never hurts to make extra money.

How do you consider BP a +EV capper?

He chases his plays and puts out 5 - 7 unit plays repeatedly. If you were to flat bet or use a smaller 1-3 unit scale in betting BP's bet's you'd be down money. I'd put more stock in BTF who is a solid capper than in anyone who chases and is till only up 2,000 on the year despite huge bets.

[blackjack13]

I do like it. Waiting for ump, like it so long as neutral ump and would definitely play with over ump. Best over ump who is due up tonight is Schreiber, and he's in St Louis. I'm concerned about getting someone like Kulpa or Hoye or maybe Reyburn.

Please post ump when you find out. thanks

[BiffTFinancial]

Liking under more than Tigers now that seeing James Hoye behind the plate there....

[BiffTFinancial]

Please post ump when you find out. thanks

Hoye in Baltimore
Layne in NYC

[SlickRick1382]

BTF, you don't see anything with such a short line on Detroit? I like the under better as well.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120)

Monday 5.12.2014 updated card
1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120)
1* Astros team total under 4 (-115)
1* Cubs first five ML (+134)

Heading out for a bit, back in couple of hours. May add something for late games depending upon ump.

[BiffTFinancial]

BTF, you don't see anything with such a short line on Detroit? I like the under better as well.

Yeah, with Hoye behind the plate, like it a lot. BOL.

[No coincidences]

Liking under more than Tigers now that seeing James Hoye behind the plate there....

Porcello's been in great form so far, but Baltimore trips have never treated him particularly well if memory serves. And Norris is Norris. Who knows with him vs. Detroit's lineup.

[BiffTFinancial]

other umps
Houston - Gorman
St Louis - Schreiber
Arizona - Hamari
Oakland - Knight
Seattle - Ripperger
SF - Kulpa

[BiffTFinancial]

Like CWS/A's over 8, Braves/Giants under 7, passing on both.

[BiffTFinancial]

Monday 5.12.2014 final card
1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120) - WINNER
1* Astros team total under 4 (-115) - WINNER
1* Cubs first five ML (+134) - WINNER

3-0 +3.34u

85-83-14 +2.99u MLB to date.

[BiffTFinancial]

Tuesday 5.13.2014
1* Tigers ML (-103)
1* Nationals/Diamondbacks over 8 (-105)

[inZane]

Nice job, Leet! Keep 'em coming. Good luck, today...

[RavensFan2k3]

Tuesday 5.13.2014
1* Tigers ML (-103)
1* Nationals/Diamondbacks over 8 (-105)

You played this one early...should I count my O's as a loss already?

[Down_Goes Bookie]

Monday 5.12.2014 final card
1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120) - WINNER
1* Astros team total under 4 (-115) - WINNER
1* Cubs first five ML (+134) - WINNER

3-0 +3.34u

85-83-14 +2.99u MLB to date.

Glad to see it Biff. You're a good capper, things will circle back.

With you on the Tigers ML tonight.

[BiffTFinancial]

You played this one early...should I count my O's as a loss already?

When Ubaldo was with the Tribe, Tigers regularly ripped his off. I think that they do so again tonight.

[BiffTFinancial]

Glad to see it Biff. You're a good capper, things will circle back.

With you on the Tigers ML tonight.

Thank you!

[RavensFan2k3]

When Ubaldo was with the Tribe, Tigers regularly ripped his off. I think that they do so again tonight.

Ok lets get this money...hopefully I dont get fukked for the fourth night in a row betting on/against the home area team

[iloseagain]

Monday 5.12.2014 final card
1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120) - WINNER
1* Astros team total under 4 (-115) - WINNER
1* Cubs first five ML (+134) - WINNER

3-0 +3.34u

85-83-14 +2.99u MLB to date.

nice day yesterday! maybe it will start a good run for you!

Nice job, Leet! Keep 'em coming. Good luck, today...

wrong thread?

[inZane]

nice day yesterday! maybe it will start a good run for you!

wrong thread?

Indeed, my bad...

[BiffTFinancial]

Thinking hard about Cubs/Cards over 7 +115

[BAY HORSE]

How about the cubs TT? 3 even was at +140. They hit wainwright well in chicago last outing, or am I just the kind of dickhead the books are hoping jump on this number?

[whtsox13]

If anyone in this thread is thinking about jumping ship, i've been following this guy on twitter and hes been much more consistent. https://twitter.com/UncleCharliemlb he's providing free picks for this month.

Your pimping is tiresome.

[yodlegern]

Your pimping is tiresome.

Losing money is tiresome too, just trying to help people out.

[inZane]

Then start your own thread, pindick!

[eddycash]

Biff do u like sf giants at all today?

[BiffTFinancial]

How about the cubs TT? 3 even was at +140. They hit wainwright well in chicago last outing, or am I just the kind of dickhead the books are hoping jump on this number?

I like it, just don't think that I'd want to leave out either offense here. Cubs lit up Waino both times they've seen him this year and I think that Cards catch up with Arrieta tonight.

[upscope]

Tuesday 5.13.2014
1* Tigers ML (-103)
1* Nationals/Diamondbacks over 8 (-105)

GL on Mo Town 2night Biff. Tigers r my biggest bet of season so far. Like many others here I've been ICE cold but this a good spot & I'm gonna try for a big chunk back @ once!!

Drew Smyly (det) - throws L at bal - 7:05 PM ET - Camden Yards RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo

BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	other site links
Matt Wieters S	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.500	.500	1.000	1.500	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
David Lough L	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.333	.333	.667	1.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Steve Lombardozzi S	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.500	.500	.500	1.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Nelson Cruz R	5	1	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	1	.200	.500	.200	.700	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
J.J. Hardy R	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	.000	.500	.000	.500	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Jonathan Schoop R	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Steve Pearce R	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Nick Markakis L	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Manny Machado R	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Adam Jones R	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Ryan Flaherty L	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Chris Davis L	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Steve Clevenger L	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |

Ubaldo Jimenez (bal) - throws R vs. det - 7:05 PM ET - Camden Yards RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo

BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	other site links
Victor Martinez S	21	7	1	0	3	9	1	3	0	0	.333	.333	.810	1.143	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Miguel Cabrera R	41	14	4	0	1	8	8	8	1	0	.341	.449	.512	.961	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Ian Kinsler R	14	4	3	0	0	2	3	2	2	0	.286	.412	.500	.912	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Torii Hunter R	18	7	1	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	.389	.421	.444	.865	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Alex Avila L	22	5	1	0	1	6	7	7	0	0	.227	.414	.409	.823	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Austin Jackson R	21	7	0	0	0	1	1	9	2	0	.333	.364	.333	.697	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Don Kelly L	12	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	.167	.286	.250	.536	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Andy Dirks L	30	6	0	1	0	2	0	7	2	0	.200	.200	.267	.467	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
J.D. Martinez R	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	.000	.333	.000	.333	| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
Rajai Davis R	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	.000	.000	.000	.000

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff do u like sf giants at all today?

I lean Braves but probably not enough to play them

[bucketteam3]

adding

1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120)

Monday 5.12.2014 updated card
1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120)
1* Astros team total under 4 (-115)
1* Cubs first five ML (+134)

Heading out for a bit, back in couple of hours. May add something for late games depending upon ump.

Good day. Got away with one on A's over last night.
Any Over/unders today based on home umps?

[eddycash]

Thanks biff my last question today is do u have a lean on the twins at home tonight? A bit of value there.