1. 04-09-14 06:05 AM #281
    DALLASROB
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    Tuesday 4.8.2014 final card
    1* Orioles/Yankees over 8' (-122) - WINNER
    1* Brewers ML (-102) - WINNER
    1* Giants -1 RL (+108) - WINNER
    1* Rays TT under 3' (+105) - WINNER
    1* ML parlay: Nationals + Jays (+131) - WINNER

    5-0 +5.44u

    29-12-5 +19.95u MLB season to date
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  2. 04-09-14 06:16 AM #282
    Sixla
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    beautiful day Biff with those plays! Keep it rolling!
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  3. 04-09-14 06:57 AM #283
    xraygord
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    You are awesome Biff.
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  4. 04-09-14 07:25 AM #284
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by jbart28 View Post
    Nice start to the season Biffer.
    Thank you!
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  5. 04-09-14 07:26 AM #285
    BiffTFinancial
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    Gerry Davis behind plate in KC. Rays 7-25 L32 with Davis behind plate; Royals 4-17 L21 with Davis calling balls & strikes. Conclusion: PASS
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  6. 04-09-14 07:28 AM #286
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by DALLASROB View Post

    Quote Originally Posted by Sixla View Post
    beautiful day Biff with those plays! Keep it rolling!
    Quote Originally Posted by xraygord View Post
    You are awesome Biff.
    Thanks a lot for your kinds words, fellas. I really appreciate them. BOL to you today.
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  7. 04-09-14 07:35 AM #287
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    Gerry Davis behind plate in KC. Rays 7-25 L32 with Davis behind plate; Royals 4-17 L21 with Davis calling balls & strikes. Conclusion: PASS
    He the only part of the over I don't like, well that and kc inability to drive in runners but the conditions are ripe for some runs here..
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  8. 04-09-14 07:40 AM #288
    BiffTFinancial
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    Wednesday 4.9.2014
    1* Tribe game one -1 RL (+109)
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  9. 04-09-14 07:41 AM #289
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    Early leans for today, haven't booked anything yet but have input general info into model to produce leans.

    Tribe game one (expensive, though)
    A's/Twins under
    Reds/Cards over
    Rays
    White Sox/Rockies over
    Pads/Tribe under game two
    Rangers
    Rangers/Red Sox (model loves this one but not crazy about playing under in Fenway with strong wind out)
    O's
    Brewers
    Marlins
    Marlins/Nats over
    Astros FF
    Astros/Jays under
    Braves
    Cubs
    Angels
    Angels/M's over
    Dbacks

    parlay material: Tribe game one, Braves, Brewers

    back later
    Cards over def makes sense, nc said he didn't trust miller my answer was "if ya don't trust miller play the over" think cards put up at least 5 and lean to 6 so if Cincy gets anything it should hit 8. Kinda worry bout a 5-2/6-1 score tho as miller was lights out at home and during the day last year, plus Martinez has day off yesterday so miller really only has to go 6 then it Martinez, seacrest, rosénthal which is lights out.. Leave has shown 6 innings the most he can give then it a jumble fukked mess coming out of Cincy pen the reason I like stl rl little more than total, maybe cards Tt over?
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  10. 04-09-14 07:43 AM #290
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    He the only part of the over I don't like, well that and kc inability to drive in runners but the conditions are ripe for some runs here..
    I don't play totals with Gerry Davis behind plate, and I pass on game entirely when Laz Diaz is behind plate (note: Diaz working plate at Wrigley today. penetrating psycho - that guy's as batshit crazy as Kendall Gill).
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  11. 04-09-14 07:45 AM #291
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    I don't play totals with Gerry Davis behind plate, and I pass on game entirely when Laz Diaz is behind plate (note: Diaz working plate at Wrigley today. penetrating psycho - that guy's as batshit crazy as Kendall Gill).
    I'm playing the wind not the ump, hopefully that holds true for the gm. Lol
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  12. 04-09-14 07:56 AM #292
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    Wednesday 4.9.2014
    1* Tribe game one -1 RL (+109)
    Is that stults vs Mcallister? If so no concern w tribe bats vs lefties?
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  13. 04-09-14 08:01 AM #293
    BiffTFinancial
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    adding

    1* A's/Twins under 8 (+106)

    dig that weather report for Minneapolis. 16-20 mph winds in from right. Crisp likely out and wouldn't be surprised to see other names absent from lineups. Day off yesterday should mean fresh pens.

    Wednesday 4.9.2014 updated card
    1* Tribe G1 -1 RL (+109)
    1* A's/Twins under 8 (+106)
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  14. 04-09-14 08:08 AM #294
    2daBank
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    I was looking at that under in minny as well. Hughes solid numbers vs oak and in this park plus like u mentioned huge helping wind for a fly ball pitcher..
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  15. 04-09-14 08:11 AM #295
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Is that stults vs Mcallister? If so no concern w tribe bats vs lefties?
    They hit lefties just fine. Bad numbers this season so far but very small sample size and most of those vs Kazmir when he dominated them last week. Stults is no Kazmir.
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  16. 04-09-14 08:13 AM #296
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    I'm playing the wind not the ump, hopefully that holds true for the gm. Lol
    I'm not about to talk you out of it. I have my rules and they work for me, but I'm no evangelist. However, when I deviate from my rules and loss, I get really pissed and throw shit, so best for me to avoid deviating. BOL hope you hit!
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  17. 04-09-14 08:13 AM #297
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    They hit lefties just fine. Bad numbers this season so far but very small sample size and most of those vs Kazmir when he dominated them last week. Stults is no Kazmir.
    Very true, for some reason I had it in my head they struggled w lefties last year but wouldn't be 1st time my memory was off
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  18. 04-09-14 08:22 AM #298
    BiffTFinancial
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    My day is taking a detour. Don't have the time to put in on Reds/Cards total right now but hopefully will around lunchtime. Back in a few hours hopefully.
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  19. 04-09-14 08:24 AM #299
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Very true, for some reason I had it in my head they struggled w lefties last year but wouldn't be 1st time my memory was off
    Struggled vs LHP 2012 but hit them very well last year, in no small part due to significant roster changes. You're right, just a year off. They were putrid vs LHP in 2012. Back later.
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  20. 04-09-14 08:28 AM #300
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    I'm not about to talk you out of it. I have my rules and they work for me, but I'm no evangelist. However, when I deviate from my rules and loss, I get really pissed and throw shit, so best for me to avoid deviating. BOL hope you hit!
    Lol, very understandable... Have some of my own but I'm bit of a rebel and tend to break them and u right usually leads to things being broken! I'm for sure playing w fire w this ump and state of kc bats. But think w the walk and fly ball rates of these 2 it worth the gamble that both teams can get me a 4 spot..
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  21. 04-09-14 09:09 AM #301
    Jay Millz
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    amazing day yesterday biff! great work.
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  22. 04-09-14 09:23 AM #302
    Jay Millz
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    just a question... does your model ever suggest more than 1u bets?
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  23. 04-09-14 09:25 AM #303
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jay Millz View Post
    just a question... does your model ever suggest more than 1u bets?
    Pretty sure 2 is generally his normal (think he mentioned was gonna start w more 1s tho) and he ranges from 1 to 5 but I believe 3u is typically his high side...

    Figured I'd just answer for him cause think he busy ATM..
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  24. 04-09-14 09:35 AM #304
    jbart28
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    Loving the Twins under and cards over. Like the rangers tonight as well. KC day game wind is crazy. Don't like the pitching matchup in the over formula though. No play for me.
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  25. 04-09-14 09:41 AM #305
    Jay Millz
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    cool.. just letting the dust settle at the beginning of the season hey - just as i anticipated. I just wanted to know if i should be upping my unit sizes... might do it slightly now that i know there's no 20u bets coming my way haha.
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  26. 04-09-14 09:48 AM #306
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jay Millz View Post
    cool.. just letting the dust settle at the beginning of the season hey - just as i anticipated. I just wanted to know if i should be upping my unit sizes... might do it slightly now that i know there's no 20u bets coming my way haha.
    Obviously do what comfortable for you but no biff doesn't do any of that bs huge unit to make record look better chasing crap..think It very rare you ever see him go over 3u and I know I've never really seen him over 5 on a play..
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  27. 04-09-14 09:52 AM #307
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jbart28 View Post
    Loving the Twins under and cards over. Like the rangers tonight as well. KC day game wind is crazy. Don't like the pitching matchup in the over formula though. No play for me.
    While I can see your point with the pitchers I think that neither of their gms set up well for this weather as they both have higher than avg walk rates and both get a lot of fly ball outs, to me that spells a few crooked numbers. Still I'm putting a lot of faith in a kc offense that has shown nothing, did the same w rangers yesterday and it worked let's call it a heat check
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  28. 04-09-14 09:54 AM #308
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    adding

    1* A's/Twins under 8 (+106)

    dig that weather report for Minneapolis. 16-20 mph winds in from right. Crisp likely out and wouldn't be surprised to see other names absent from lineups. Day off yesterday should mean fresh pens.

    Wednesday 4.9.2014 updated card
    1* Tribe G1 -1 RL (+109)
    1* A's/Twins under 8 (+106)
    Just bumping for anyone tailing biff as my babbling has taken up a page
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  29. 04-09-14 10:33 AM #309
    yodlegern
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    What does Tribe G1 -1 Rl mean? (i'm a noob)
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  30. 04-09-14 10:34 AM #310
    THam12
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    Quote Originally Posted by yodlegern View Post
    What does Tribe G1 -1 Rl mean? (i'm a noob)
    Game 1
    -1 run line. So they win by 2 is a win, 1 is a push.
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  31. 04-09-14 10:40 AM #311
    SilverTongueFox
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    Biff, Masters weekend. It does not get any better than Sunday at Augusta. I did a little bit of research so I'm going to play a few 1st rd head to head matchups. If you get a chance check it out. Let me know what you like for Thursday's matchups.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-b...lb-2014-a.html
    Last edited by SilverTongueFox; 04-09-14 at 10:54 AM.
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  32. 04-09-14 10:46 AM #312
    actafoolzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by yodlegern View Post
    What does Tribe G1 -1 Rl mean? (i'm a noob)
    And Tribes are the Cleveland Indians. There is a scroll down option to change the run line. Change it to -1
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  33. 04-09-14 10:48 AM #313
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by actafoolzz View Post
    And Tribes are the Cleveland Indians. There is a scroll down option to change the run line. Change it to -1
    On my book i have to play the ML and the -1.5 to create a -1.. I didnt know other books had a actual -1 line
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  34. 04-09-14 10:56 AM #314
    robbeduagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    On my book i have to play the ML and the -1.5 to create a -1.. I didnt know other books had a actual -1 line
    Do you bet the same amount on each, like half a unit?
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  35. 04-09-14 10:56 AM #315
    kcburg
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    talked me into the A's under 8.5 -105...
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