Im playing both games. Playing just 1 series is plain stupid.Originally Posted by FearTheBeard
No, im doing all soccer plays on my own without posting.Do you have soccer thread?
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07-20-13 03:12 PM #1436
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07-20-13 03:39 PM #1437
Beard I'm clueless on this toilet bowl system but get what you're saying. I read it for the levity but am staying away from the big flush. Originally Posted by FearTheBeard
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07-21-13 05:15 AM #1438
P3 Z.Greinke fade series lost = -15,249 units Originally Posted by Stifler
records:
S1: W 30 | L 0 (+30,00 units)
S2: W 29 | L 3 (-4,001 units)
S3: W 152 | L 5 (+6,345 units)
P1: W 18 | L 1 (+9,971 units)
P2: W 30 | L 2 (+10,536 units)
P3: W 40 | L 1 (+24,751 units)
pending:
- P3 U.Jimenez, B Bet on next start on the road
- P1 C.Kershaw, B Bet on next start
- P2 C.Kershaw, B Bet on next start
- P1 D.Haren fade, B Bet on next start
- P3 M.Cain fade, B Bet on next start @home
- S3 Balti fade, C Bet on 21.07.2013
- S3 Tex, C Bet on 21.07.2013
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
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07-21-13 07:17 AM #1439
21.07.2013
S1
(A Bet) Col fade: Cubs 2,49 0,671u
S3
(C Bet) Balti fade: Texas 1,719 1,39u | Texas 1,917 2,606u | Texas 1,787 6,348u
(C Bet) Tex: Texas 1,719 1,39u| Texas 1,917 2,606u | Texas 1,787 6,348u
P1
(B Bet) C.Kershaw: LA Dodgers -1,5 1,926 1,08u | Dodgers -1,5 2,51 1,377u
P2
(B Bet) C.Kershaw: LA Dodgers 1,426 2,35u | Dodgers 1,901 3,718u
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
Points Awarded:
GeorgeLynch gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
sportscreep1 gave Stifler 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
illisdre gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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07-21-13 12:02 PM #1440
Stifler, if you have got that, can you write down some stats ?
1. Stats for A bet, b bet, c bet, d bet... how many lose how many wins.
2. All lose series stakes on all bets.
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07-21-13 02:05 PM #1441
i dont have those stats and its not that important to me tbh. Originally Posted by ghost212
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07-21-13 10:52 PM #1442
great job.but whe u dont like baseball when did u start looking into baseball stats and made this systems what made u research on a boring game (in ur view)?
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07-22-13 04:18 AM #1443
Originally Posted by Stifler
records:
S1: W 30 | L 0 (+30,00 units)
S2: W 29 | L 3 (-4,001 units)
S3: W 152 | L 5 (+6,345 units)
P1: W 19 | L 1 (+10,971 units)
P2: W 31 | L 2 (+11,536 units)
P3: W 40 | L 1 (+24,751 units)
pending:
- P3 U.Jimenez, B Bet on next start on the road
- P1 D.Haren fade, B Bet on next start
- P3 M.Cain fade, B Bet on next start @home
- S3 Balti fade, D Bet on 22.07.2013
- S3 Tex, D Bet on 22.07.2013
- S1 Col fade, B Bet on 22.07.2013
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
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07-22-13 05:27 AM #1444
- im playing both D bets to win 2units. I also parlayed the Texas S3 series with france Women today vs Denmark.
22.07.2013
S1
(B Bet) Col fade: Cubs 2,49 0,671u | Miami 2,53 1,092u
(A Bet) NYY: Yankees 2,73 0,578u
S2
(A Bet) Pit fade: Washington 1,775 1,29u
(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,613 1,63u
(A Bet) Cle fade: Seattle 1,833 1,20u
S3
(D Bet) Balti fade: Tex 1,719 1,39u | Tex 1,917 2,606u | Tex 1,787 6,348u | 2u play KC 2,16 10,641u
(D Bet) Tex: Tex 1,719 1,39u| Tex 1,917 2,606u| Tex 1,787 6,348u| 2u play Texas+France(W) 2,077 11,461u
P1
(B Bet) D.Haren fade: Miami -1,5 2,78 0,562u | Pittsburgh 2,19 1,313u
P3
(B Bet) U.Jimenez: Cleveland 2,36 0,735u | Cleveland 2,11 1,563u
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
Points Awarded:
sportscreep1 gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
GeorgeLynch gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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07-22-13 12:19 PM #1445
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07-22-13 12:20 PM #1446
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07-22-13 02:27 PM #1447
Not looking Good for france, Theo are staying reality bad and are Down 0-1
Last edited by knugen; 07-22-13 at 02:32 PM.
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07-22-13 03:14 PM #1448
Its still Alive 1-1 with 20 min left
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07-22-13 03:36 PM #1449
And there we lose the D bet parlay
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07-22-13 03:37 PM #1450
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07-22-13 03:48 PM #1451
Now you gotta follow it as it's intended....Texas d bet.... Or try parlay again with Oak....
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07-22-13 05:57 PM #1452
I hate those 2 d bets. Both against teams that can hit. naturally I would be taking NYy and BAL ..bol!
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07-22-13 06:12 PM #1453
Now that the soccer bet has lost I'm hoping TEX loses too so I don't feel as crappy.
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07-22-13 07:38 PM #1454
Texas looking better then KC lol
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07-23-13 12:23 AM #1455
Famn, that was a bad night
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07-23-13 02:39 AM #1456
just when u played it like i did. Dont follow blindly just because im making this parlay. I should have known better, but thats what u get betting on women soccer. Unfortunately the big soccer leagues arent running, otherwise i would have found a better game to parlay. But no excuses at all, just my bad. Onto the next ones...maybe i will put some 2 unit plays on A bets out there to get back a little (but just when i feel more comfortable with a series) Originally Posted by knugen
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07-23-13 02:55 AM #1457
- S3 Balti fade series lost = -20,985 units Originally Posted by Stifler
- S3 Tex series lost = -21,805 units
records:
S1: W 31 | L 0 (+31,00 units)
S2: W 30 | L 3 (-3,001 units)
S3: W 152 | L 7 (-36,445 units)
P1: W 20 | L 1 (+11,971 units)
P2: W 31 | L 2 (+11,536 units)
P3: W 40 | L 1 (+24,751 units)
pending:
- P3 U.Jimenez, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Cain fade, B Bet on next start @home
- S1 NYY, B Bet on 23.07.2013
- S2 LAA, B Bet on 23.07.2013
- S2 Pit fade, B Bet on 23.07.2013
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
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07-23-13 04:07 AM #1458
- Im playing both A bets today to win 2units (maybe just the A bets, will see how far this goes)
23.07.2013
S1
(B Bet) NYY: Yankees 2,73 0,578u | Yankees 2,60 0,986u
(A Bet) SD fade: 2u play Milwaukee 1,87 2,30u
S2
(B Bet) Pit fade: Washington 1,775 1,29u | Washington 1,926 2,473u
(B Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,613 1,63u | LA Angels 1,571 4,606u
P2
(A Bet) B.Chen fade: 2u play Baltimore 1,901 2,22u
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
Points Awarded:
sportscreep1 gave Stifler 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
GeorgeLynch gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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07-23-13 05:16 AM #1459
Im not blaming you stiff. That was my choice. I felt thatt france wasnt worth Only 1,3. But you did Good parlays before so i trusted you
Last edited by knugen; 07-23-13 at 07:43 AM.
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07-23-13 08:24 AM #1460
Is it really fair To the system to count the Texas series as a loss? They did win. Originally Posted by Stifler
- S3 Balti fade series lost = -20,985 units
- S3 Tex series lost = -21,805 units
records:
S1: W 31 | L 0 (+31,00 units)
S2: W 30 | L 3 (-3,001 units)
S3: W 152 | L 7 (-36,445 units)
P1: W 20 | L 1 (+11,971 units)
P2: W 31 | L 2 (+11,536 units)
P3: W 40 | L 1 (+24,751 units)
pending:
- P3 U.Jimenez, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Cain fade, B Bet on next start @home
- S1 NYY, B Bet on 23.07.2013
- S2 LAA, B Bet on 23.07.2013
- S2 Pit fade, B Bet on 23.07.2013
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3 Last edited by SuperHappyTime; 07-23-13 at 08:34 AM. Reason: Spelling
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07-23-13 08:58 AM #1461
Stif, Originally Posted by Stifler
- S3 Balti fade series lost = -20,985 units
- S3 Tex series lost = -21,805 units
records:
S1: W 31 | L 0 (+31,00 units)
S2: W 30 | L 3 (-3,001 units)
S3: W 152 | L 7 (-36,445 units)
P1: W 20 | L 1 (+11,971 units)
P2: W 31 | L 2 (+11,536 units)
P3: W 40 | L 1 (+24,751 units)
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
can you amend record to show that system won, but you personally lost on the series? Put actual number on it, but maybe in parenthesis put your loss.
S3: W 153 | 6 (-14.640 units) (personal loss -36,445 with Tex parlay loss)
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07-23-13 09:22 AM #1462
^^This. Originally Posted by sportscreep1
I personally laid off the Baltimore fade bet as I had a good feeling they'd sweep Texas. Only chance was the (A) bet when Holland was pitching, Texas offense is mediocre at best right now and they had spot-start / former relief pitchers pitching games 2-3. I decided to chase Texas anyway, ended up cashing the D-bet with no parlay and laid off the Baltimore fade series so I feel pretty good.
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07-23-13 11:25 AM #1463
Other losses have been tallied with reduced juice due to parlays/run line. It wouldn't be fair to strike this loss just because Texas won.
I've never been a fan of recording the results differently when something is used to reduce the juice. If you're gonna play an individual chase differently, make note but record the numbers with the original system rules. You will never get an accurate tally of how the system performs until you do so.Last edited by calebepley93; 07-23-13 at 11:30 AM.
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07-23-13 11:49 AM #1464
Other series were listed like i played them aswell, so i will stick to it. This thread shows the live performance based on the system rules. It will never be as accurate as the backtested number. But its not important at all, because i will backtest everything after the season again and note down the numbers. There´s no other person who needs an accurate record at all, because im setting up rules/teams for the whole system. If anyone want to have live numbers based on exact system rules - feel free to backtest everything daily on ur own.
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07-23-13 11:57 AM #1465
Great job Stifler just keep posting my friend!
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07-23-13 12:02 PM #1466
NO, but it doesn't really matter because the system records are completely tainted anyway from other games that did lose that were also tied in with these ridiculous parlays. The system unit counts are just a mirage and don't even remotely reflect how bad the sysetm is actually doing anyway. Originally Posted by SuperHappyTime
Points Awarded:
calebepley93 gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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07-23-13 06:43 PM #1467
Seriously - system numbers are meaningless unless you are betting pennies. It's what YOU are doing and YOUR bankroll does. Many people do their own thing and use Stifflers system as just one tool in the tool box. Stiffler himself uses this Chase as just a tool in his tool box.
So you can be anal and ONLY play the system and when you win you can pound your chest and when you lose you can blame the system and not yourself. Or you can follow Stiffler who has the systems heartbeat. I would follow the guy that lives and breaths the system
I've been using a modified version with much less risk but also much less potential. In the last month,110 games, up 30 units but using Stiffs chase as a model. A system/handicapping fusion LOL
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07-24-13 01:54 AM #1468
records: Originally Posted by Stifler
S1: W 32 | L 0 (+32,00 units)
S2: W 30 | L 3 (-3,001 units)
S3: W 152 | L 7 (-36,445 units)
P1: W 20 | L 1 (+11,971 units)
P2: W 31 | L 2 (+11,536 units)
P3: W 40 | L 1 (+24,751 units)
pending:
- P3 U.Jimenez, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Cain fade, B Bet on next start @home
- P2 B.Chen fade, B Bet on next start
- S2 LAA, C Bet on 24.07.2013
- S2 Pit fade, C Bet on 24.07.2013
- S1 SD fade, B Bet on 24.07.2013
________________________________________ _____________________________________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
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07-24-13 07:13 AM #1469
- everything is back to win 1unit. Parlayed S2 Angels with Bayern Munich today vs Barcelona. I first didnt wanna parlay that game, but its the Angels. Also i do like Bayern today, Barca without some of their big players (Xavi, Iniesta, Neymar), Barca also just started training + coach problems.
24.07.2013
S1
(B Bet) SD fade: Milwaukee 1,87 2,30u | Milwaukee 1,641 5,148u
(A Bet) Pit fade: Washington 1,709 1,41u
(A Bet) Stl: St.Louis 1,578 1,73u
S2
(C Bet) Pit fade: Washington 1,775 1,29u | Washington 1,926 2,473u | Washington 1,709 6,718u
(C Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,613 1,63u | LA Angels 1,571 4,606u | LAA+Bayern 1,974 7,429u
P3
(A Bet) J.Weaver: LA Angels 1,408 2,45u
Points Awarded:
GeorgeLynch gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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07-24-13 11:30 AM #1470
Solid parlay !
Barca key players are still on vacation , while German league started early. Bayern will dominate this game (IMO) I took the run line. I also like the Angels strong today, they been playing solid in the last games.
Good luck
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