Say we have the following:
(D) bet for Toronto in the amount of $1000 @ +135 (which is 900 lost on A,B,C + $100)
(A) bet for TB for $100 @ -145
(A) bet for TB for $100 @ -145
(A) bet for TB for $100 @ -145
The ONLY time skipping series is beneficial, when at least one team is +money, is if the favorite team loses it's series. Any other scenario, the profits are equal or greater by placing ALL bets rather than skipping. You just have to decide what is more important to you personally, making MORE on your wins, or losing LESS on your losses. I prefer the wins since they happen a lot more often and generally it's not 1 series canceling out 3 as in this example.[/QUOTE]
Wallco, I'm not suggesting we skip any bets.In my spreadsheets I would follow the chases exactly looking to win $100 on each. All I'm saying is that when you have bets on both sides, net them off to save yourself some juice.
In your example you seem to be betting Toronto for 1000 @ 1.35 and you earn more than the chase target of $100 because of the + price. I would be staking 740 @1.35 to win 1000 for $100 profit.
Using your example I would take the smaller tampa bay bet
Tampa Bay stake 435 to win 300
reverse it
Toronto stake 300 to win 435
Still need to win another 565 on Toronto (1000-435) so need to bet 419@1.35 to do that.
Net effect is in my books I have bet toronto at 719 stake (419+300) to win 1000 (effective odds of 1.39) so I've reduced my stake from 740 to 719 by netting and reducing juice, but my target wins of $100 per chase are unchanged, nothing is being skipped and all chases are entered in my spreadsheet.