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Toronto 72% - This is a very straightforward handicapping situation. Ortiz is probably the worst starter in all of baseball, and he will not have many more chances. Lilly has been good against Baltimore this year, as they have problems facing quality lefties. The Toronto lineup woke up a bit yesterday, and they are very likely to hit Ortiz. They are likely to get enough runs against Ortiz alone to win the game, but they should also add a few more against whichever middle relievers Baltimore sends out. Barring an unexpected meltdown by Lilly or an unexpected decent start from Ortiz, Baltimore has little chance to win.

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Atlanta 51% - This game has a high degree of uncertainty. Ramirez has a very high degree of volatility in general. He has had terrible outings his last 2 starts at home, but in between he had a good start against Philadelphia on the road. He is good overall at Turner, and he is more likely to have a good outing here than not. Myers is likely to have a good start as well, but if Ramirez is on his game, Atlanta will have a sizable edge. Atlanta now has a reasonable bullpen that will be able to hold small leads at home.

Cincinnati 58% - Statistically, Weaver is likely to have another bad outing here. He has problems giving up home runs, and he will be especially vulnerable to that here in Cincinnati. However, he has been effective at times this season, and he says there is nothing wrong with his stuff. He still seems to have confidence, so because of that, we will rate him a bit higher than he warrants based on the numbers. Still, this is not a good spot for him. Ramirez will also be vulnerable, and is also unlikely to have a quality start. However, his potential upside for this game is greater than Weaver's. The Cincinnati bullpen has improved to the point where it is no longer a liability. St. Louis' pen however, does have some questions. If Isringhausen is called on to protect a small lead, he will have a significant chance of blowing it.

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Seattle 59% - Corcoran is likely to have a reasonable start here. He has done well in pitcher-friendly parks in his brief time in the majors, and although Seattle has a lineup that can hit righties well, he should be able to avoid getting hit hard here. Moyer is also likely to have a decent start, but he may be coming to the end of his ability to be consistently effective, and if so, the Tampa Bay lineup will be able to take advantage. Still, Tampa Bay does not have the kind of lineup that has given Moyer trouble at home recently. Statistically, he is likely to have a decent outing. Seattle will have a bullpen edge that is likely to factor in significantly.