[DocterDrew]

Bad beats have dwindled my BR over the past few months so its time to get much more selective and lower my bets until I can get back on track and cash some plays. Hopefully now as we are over a week into the season and we see some up and coming talent I can make some better decisions.

Small card tonight, lots of spots but lines seem to be pretty spot on.
Will post plays once locked in.

Main purpose for this thread is simply to track my bets, My goal is to stay selective and have only a few spots but Hockey has this magical ability to offer so many great opportunities on a single night. It also is great at having nights were the unthinkable happens in every game and it can literally choke you out.

Had a great streak that paid for a semester of college a year ago but since then I have had to bring down my risk amount, but by all means, Id love to get something going this NHL/NBA/NFL season and imitate that success.

[DocterDrew]

October 17th
William Hill Lines As of 12:00 Noon EST

Florida -115 @ Sabres -105
Over 5 -134 / Under 5 +115
(No value on either side, No value on total with two offenses that are we are still figuring out)

Calgary +150 @ Columbus -170
Over 5.5 +115 / Under 5.5 -135
(Value on Calgary if your a believer but with Bob @ Home The under is the only imaginable side)

Detroit -105 @ Toronto -115
Over 5.5 +100 / Under 5.5 -120
(Living just outside of Toronto I know that there are multiple story lines hovering these team daily and now its a Goalie Controversy. Whatever fuels the story best is usually what happens so I can see a great start from James Reimer. Howard has been great for the Wings but this is Toronto's offenses game to win or loses. I see a 3-2 2-1 game. Under Is the only Playable side)

Nashville +100 @ Winnipeg -120
Over 5.5 +105 / Under -125
(Coin flip here, more likely to trust Pekka Rinne but Im leaning Under )

Vancouver -155 @ Edmonton +135
Over 5.5 -110 / Under 5.5 -110
(Oilers showed they can generate offense but Scrivens cannot be bet on unless odds are +160/+170 or higher... even @ home. Over has a nice price considering two offenses that can score but my only worry is Miller finally getting his feet set and shutting the door. Canucks line is too high for the road looking ahead to a tough matchup vs Tampa Bay tomorrow night)

Minnesota +110 @ Anaheim -130
Over 5.5 +115 / Under 5.5 -135
(Minnesota hasnt played for almost a week so there is no telling what team will show up. They did beat up on a regressing Avalanche squad but will be visiting a Top 3 NHL Team when playing @ Home. Anaheim or no play)

[DocterDrew]

I expect Pekka Rinne to continue to play well tonight and the team should be looking to control the tempo and safe some energy looking ahead to Chicago tomorrow. Jets also struggle to score against elite goaltenders.

1u/1u Nashville Predators ML +100

Again I expect Nashville to keep this game under control. Calgary will struggle tonight against Bobrovsky and Columbus wont generate enough offense to embarrass Karri Ramo

.5u/1.07u Calgary/Columbus Under 5.5 -135 & Nashville/Winnipeg Under 5.5 -125

A lot of games have made it to OT but I'm going to back Miller tonight and watch Vancouver cruise to a 3-1,4-1,4-2 victory

1u/1.05u Vancouver Canucks ML (In Regulation) +105

[DocterDrew]

5 of the last 9 went to extra time. Both teams are just looking to get some points, Neither team is going to dominate and if tied late the teams will coast to OT.

.4u to win 1.16u Florida @ Buffalo (Draw After Regulation) +290

[DocterDrew]

Flames will come out flat tonight after a lucky win in Chicago... and the Ducks will be playing a Minnesota team that will have trouble finding its legs on the road against a team that is much better @ home than the Colorado Avalanche.

0.5u/1.03u Anaheim Ducks ML & Calgary Flames Team Total u2.5

RECAP

NHL Plays for October 17th, 2014:

STRAIGHT BETS
1u/1u Nashville Predators ML +100
1u/1.05u Vancouver Canucks ML (In Regulation) +105
0.4u/1.16u Florida @ Buffalo (Draw After Regulation) +290

PARLAY BETS
0.5u/1.07u Calgary/Columbus Under 5.5 -135 & Nashville/Winnipeg Under 5.5 -125 (+213)
0.5u/1.03u Anaheim Ducks ML -130 & Calgary Flames Team Total u2.5 -138 (+206)

[DocterDrew]

ADDING:
.63u/.5u Calgary/Columbus 1st Period u1.5 Goals -125

[blackberry_juice]

good luck doc!

[DocterDrew]

ADDING:
0.4u/1.2u Detroit @ Toronto (Draw After Regulation) +300

[DocterDrew]

Thanks blackberry, things looking good early!

[DocterDrew]

Live Bet
.5u/.65u Vancouver @ Edmonton o2.5 goals +130

[DocterDrew]

17 Oct 2014 - Minnesota Wild @ Anaheim Ducks - Correct Score Live
Anaheim Ducks 3-1 @ +850
Stake : C $2.92

Estimated Returns : C $
27.74


Momentum Shift, Worth some chump change

[DocterDrew]

Live Bet
.69u/.5u Anaheim Ducks ML -138

[DocterDrew]

October 17th 2013 Results

STRAIGHT BETS
WON(+1u) 1u/1u Nashville Predators ML +100
WON(+1.05u) 1u/1.05u Vancouver Canucks ML (In Regulation) +105
LOSS (-0.4u) 0.4u/1.16u Florida @ Buffalo (Draw After Regulation) +290
LOSS (-0.4u) 0.4u/1.2u Detroit @ Toronto (Draw After Regulation) +300
LOSS (-.63u) .63u/.5u Calgary/Columbus 1st Period u1.5 Goals -125

PARLAY BETS
WON(+1.07u) 0.5u/1.07u Calgary/Columbus Under 5.5 -135 & Nashville/Winnipeg Under 5.5 -125 (+213)
WON(+1.03u) 0.5u/1.03u Anaheim Ducks ML -130 & Calgary Flames Team Total u2.5 -138 (+206)

IN-PLAY BETS
LOSS (-.5u) .5u/.65u Vancouver @ Edmonton o2.5 goals +130
WON (+.5u) .69u/.5u Anaheim Ducks ML -138

RECORD
Straights 2-3 (+.62u)
Parlays 2-0 (+2.1u)
InPlays 1-1 (+/- u)
Overall 5-4 (+2.72u)

[Jerimjob]

Solid start man What you thinking for later today? I'm eyeing Pitt, Chicago, Boston and SJ in some shape or form

[DocterDrew]

Solid start man What you thinking for later today? I'm eyeing Pitt, Chicago, Boston and SJ in some shape or form

Hey I locked in Tampa last night when they were still +money

I see alot of high juice teams that Im only willing to take in a parlay or in regulation... but im nervous because of all the extra time matches.

As for your 4 leans I like them all.

Penguins look decent but Islanders have been hot an -160 is a high price right now, might fade the public and take the under.

Chicago is good but Preds always show up against them. If Pekka is in net then probably a no play if its the backup then Bhawks PL/Reg/TTo3 maybe even the o5.5

Bruins should roll but -210 in a league with such parity is way to much, maybe a regulation play but Bruins haven't been sharp and game could reach OT if buffalo get good goaltending.... Better spots tonight IMO

Not sold on New Jersey yet so Sharks may be nice price considering there dominance historically in October.

[DocterDrew]

Early Plays
Straight Wagers:
1u/1.05u Tampa Bay Lightning ML +105

Parlays:
.5u/.73u Pittsburgh ML -150 /Capitals ML -210
.5u/.88u Detroit ML -140/Dallas ML -165

Will be more to come for sure. waiting for goalies before playing any totals

[DocterDrew]

Adding

.4u/1.2u Columbus @ Ottawa Draw After Regulation +300
.5u/.9u Montreal Canadians PL -1.5 +180
.5u/.5u Toronto @ Detroit o5.5 +100

[DocterDrew]

Adding
.5u/1.5u Boston @ Buffalo o5 -110 & Islanders @ Penguins u5.5 +110
.5u/.63u San Jose @ New Jersey o5.5 +125
.5u/.53u San Jose @ New Jersey 1st Period o1.5 +105

[Goat Milk]

I thought it's time to get selective?

Can't be making this many plays lol

[DocterDrew]

Lowering my bet amount and spreading the risk a bit, selective is difficult on Saturdays so Id rather grab the sides I like and just risk less

[blackberry_juice]

good luck today doc. make sure you're giving urself full credit on those draw plays! .6 should win u 1.8 on the columbus game!

[DocterDrew]

good luck today doc. make sure you're giving urself full credit on those draw plays! .6 should win u 1.8 on the columbus game!

You are correct I fact my mistake was the risk amount should be .4 to win 1.2 thanks for the save

[DocterDrew]

LIVE BET
1u/.91u Lightning/Canucks 1st period o1.5 -110

[DocterDrew]

Thanks Stammer, I've been in need of an easy one

[DocterDrew]

1.52u/1u Tampa Bay Race to 4 Goals Live -152

[DocterDrew]

October 18th 2014 Results

STRAIGHT BETS
WON 1u/1.05u Tampa Bay Lightning ML +105
LOSS .4u/1.2u Columbus @ Ottawa Draw After Regulation +300
LOSS .5u/.9u Montreal Canadians PL -1.5 +180
LOSS .5u/.5u Toronto @ Detroit o5.5 +100
LOSS .5u/1.5u Boston @ Buffalo o5 -110 & Islanders @ Penguins u5.5 +110
WON .5u/.63u San Jose @ New Jersey o5.5 +125
LOSS .5u/.53u San Jose @ New Jersey 1st Period o1.5 +105

PARLAY BETS
WON .5u/.73u Pittsburgh ML -150 /Capitals ML -210
LOSS .5u/.88u Detroit ML -140/Dallas ML -165

IN-PLAY BETSWON 1u/.91u Lightning/Canucks 1st period o1.5 -110
WON 1.52u/1u Tampa Bay Race to 4 Goals Live -152

RECORD
Straights 4-8 (-.10u)
Parlays 3-1 (+2.33u)
InPlays 3-1 (+1.91u)
Overall 10-10 (+4.14u)

5-0 When Risking 1u or more
Saving my Bacon so far

[DocterDrew]

October 19th 2014 Plays

1u/1.1u Calgary @ Winnipeg o5.5 (+110)
1u/1.1u San Jose @ NY Rangers u5 (+110)

Leaning Kings but lines frozen on William Hill so Ill wait it out and see if public goes crazy on the Wild

[DocterDrew]

Last Play
.4u/.88u LA Kings -1.5 PL (+220)

[DocterDrew]

1u plays are 6-0!!

comeon Calgary and Winnipeg 3 more!

[DocterDrew]

October 19th Results

WON 1u/1.1u San Jose @ NY Rangers u5 (+110)
LOSS 1u/1.1u Calgary @ Winnipeg o5.5 (+110)
LOSS .4u/.88u LA Kings -1.5 PL (+220)

RECORD
Straights 5-10 (-.40u)
Parlays 3-1 (+2.33u)
InPlays 3-1 (+1.91u)
Overall 11-12 (+3.84u)

6-1 When Risking 1u

[DocterDrew]

October 20th Plays

1u/1.1u Tampa Bay @ Edmonton u5.5 (+110)
1.55u/1u Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-155)


Scrivens came out before the Vancouver game and took ownership for where he has struggled and promised results. He gave them when he came out and stopped all but 1

I feel tonight his confidence will be there while his teams isn't, they still cant score and why would I expect them to start against Ben Bishop.

This under feels right and Tampa Bay will score enough to take the W. Worst case scenario for Tampa I see this game going to OT tied @ 1 or 2 and in both of those cases the total falls under 5.5.

Good Luck Everyone Tonight and Go Steelers!

[DocterDrew]

Live in play
1u/1.1u TBL/Edm u4.5 +110

[DocterDrew]

In play bet
.4u/2.16u Tbl/Edm Draw 2-2 After Regulation +360

[DocterDrew]

October 20th Results

WON 1u/1.1u Tampa Bay @ Edmonton u5.5 (+110)
LOSS 1.55u/1u Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-155)
LOSS 1u/1.1u TBL/Edm u4.5 +110LOSS .4u/2.16u Tbl/Edm Draw 2-2 After Regulation +360

Got Burned, It Happens, Onto the next one

RECORD
Straights 6-11 (-.85u)
Parlays 3-1 (+2.33u)
InPlays 3-3 (+.51u)
Overall 12-15 (+1.99u)

7-3 When Risking 1u

[DocterDrew]

October 21st Plays
1.35u/1u Montreal Canadiens ML (-135)
1u/1.1u Toronto/NY Islanders u5.5 (+110)
1u/1.2u Philadelphia/Chicago o6 goals (+120)
.5u/.85u Philadelphia Flyers ML (+170)
.5u/.75u Florida Panthers ML (+150)

1.35u/1u Montreal Canadiens ML (-135) The Red Wings have offensive issues and the comeback of Datsyuk is going to be a slight distraction and probably a let down spot. The team will be trying to feed him a lot of pucks and he just isn't 100%. Him rushing back has me scared as a Wings fan he may re-aggravate his injury. The Habs are a great team and one of my picks for an Eastern Conference Contender. I will bet on Price @ Home in a situation for him to get things going against a struggling offense that is currently 1 dimensional. Howard had a great road start vs the Leafs but a repeat performance will be difficult as PK Subban will be getting lots of shots from the point that Howard is known for struggling against.

1u/1.1u Toronto/NY Islanders u5.5 (+110) Halak and Bernier doesnt sound like the out of control games we are use to seeing between these teams. I beleive both offenses will struggle and this will come down to the defenses playing well in front of there goalies. Leafs typically would be at the disadvantage here but I think the focus on these off days has been to practice protecting the net more than getting on the offensive.

1u/1.2u hiladelphia/Chicago o6 goals (+120) & .5u/.85u Philadelphia Flyers ML (+170) This is a classic rivalry that will be probably the game of the night tonight. Fights, Penalties, Everything you can think of. This Philly team has shown they can compete on the road after rallying against Dallas and they will in this one from the start. Once things get out of hand the benches will be brawling the goals will be rolling. Should be a great game and I feel this one is really much more of a coin flip when the power plays get so much use. Ill take the +170 and watch both teams generate goal after goal.

.5u/.75u Florida Panthers ML (+150) Now I know Im going to get some grief on this selection but oh well. The Panthers are playing great defense in front of Luongo and he will be able to have a great season without all the pressure that comes in playing in a Hot market. The Avs are in trouble.... big trouble... I have this team ending the season from the outside looking in as the goal-tending is not going to be consistent with all these backups getting the starts. This team needs Valarmov and until he proves hes healthy I will be playing lots of dogs that are priced well against the Avs.