Tiger Woods' Genesis Invitational Odds & Predictions: What to Expect in Anticipated Return

Esten McLaren

Last Updated: February 13, 2024 8:44 AM EST • 2 min 31 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

Tiger Woods of the United States looks on from the driving range as we look at the best Tiger Woods' Genesis Invitational odds — Tiger Woods of the United States looks on from the driving range during the final round of the PNC Championship at The Ritz-Carlton Golf Club on December 17, 2023 in Orlando, Florida. Photo by Mike Mulholland/Getty Images via AFP.

Tiger Woods returns to competitive golf this week and all eyes will be on the GOAT as a huge long shot as we look at Tiger's Genesis Invitational odds from our best golf betting sites.

Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy - ranked Nos. 1 and 2, respectively, in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) - are the consensus betting favorites for this week's Genesis Invitational at Riviera County Club, but it's Tiger Woods who'll be the main attraction for the PGA Tour's third Signature Event of 2024.

Tiger hasn't played on the PGA Tour - other than the fall's Hero World Challenge - since withdrawing from the 2023 Masters due to injury after making the cut. He had a quality T-45 finish in this event while a making a similar return from injury.

We've looked at all of the best Genesis Invitational odds for the favorites, and below, we're looking at Tiger's outright odds to win the Genesis Invitational along with his best props and the odds from our best sports betting sites.

Will Tiger Woods win the Genesis Invitational?

Tiger's odds to win the Genesis Invitational range from +10000 to a high of +17500 via bet365. According to our odds converter, those odds represent an implied win probability ranging from 0.57 to 0.99%. And that's in just a 70-man field.

The long-time host of this event, Woods has never actually won it. He has a best finish of T-15 in his four appearances since 2018.

Woods draws a pass in the outright market this week but we'll look for the best prop bet angles.

Tiger Woods' prop bets for the Genesis Invitational

Odds as of Monday at 4 p.m. ET.

Market	Best odds
Top 10	+1000 via DraftKings
Top 20	+360 via DraftKings
Top 30	+190 via DraftKings
Top 40	-110 via DraftKings
Bogey free Round 1	+2500 via DraftKings
Round 1 top 20 finish	+220 via bet365

Tiger Woods prediction for the Genesis Invitational

Top 20 finish in Round 1

Best odds: +220 via bet365

Bettors will rarely ever find proper value when looking to bet on Tiger, regardless of how long he has been out of the competitive golf spotlight. He enters this week at No. 893 in the OWGR, and he's the lowest-ranked golfer in the 70-man field other than sponsor exemption Chase Johnson (1,504).

That said, Woods still managed to shoot an opening round of minus-2 in the 2023 Genesis Invitational, in what was then his first competitive round since the 2022 British Open. That had him T-27 on the leaderboard through 18 holes. We just need a seven-spot improvement for a +220 payout.

That could come as a result of the reduced field size alone.

Woods also has the luxury of not needing to force his returns to competitive play, especially early in the season. While he has recently lost his guaranteed eligibility to the U.S. Open, he'll play the Masters and the PGA Championship for as long as he wants to for the rest of his life. Good finishes in those events (as surprising as they may be) could help him work his way into the U.S. Open.

I'm expecting Tiger's best in what may be his only tournament play until the Masters. Though his best is no longer good enough to compete against the class of the PGA Tour over four rounds, we will see all he has in the first round. The +220 ticket is nice to have for what's likely to be the PGA Tour's most-watched round of the season thus far.

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Written By:
Esten McLaren

Esten is the Senior Publishing Editor for SportsbookReview.com. He has been in the sports betting industry since the legalization of mobile sports betting in New Jersey, and with SportsbookReview prior to the launch of sports betting in Ontario. Esten's previous stops include the USA TODAY network, including GolfWeek. He previously worked in the fantasy sports industry, with FNTSY Sports Network, theScore, and USA TODAY. Esten graduated from the College of Sports Media with a diploma in Radio and Television Sports Broadcasting after acquiring a degree in Biological Sciences from the University of Guelph. He has appeared on FNTSY Sports Network, VSiN, and VSiN's Long Shots podcast, where he correctly called Will Zalatoris as the winner of the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship. Esten is a big proponent of the entertainment side of sports betting and loves to dip his toes into the novelty and alt-markets while chasing long shots with reduced wagers on golf outrights and futures markets. He's also been known to sprinkle some lunch money on touchdown-scorer parlays with two notable hits still funding his bankroll. Esten looks at sports betting much like golf and advises beginner bettors to compete against themselves rather than being concerned with what others may or may not be doing based on social media claims.