MrXYZ's NRL thread

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  • MrXYZ
    SBR MVP
    • 02-18-11
    • 2342

    #631
    Totals for Friday's NRL action have popped up at a couple of Aussie books:

    Storm/Broncos - TAB: 39.5, Sportsbet: 38.5
    Bulldogs/Tigers - TAB:40.5 Sportsbet: 42.0
    Comment
    • MrXYZ
      SBR MVP
      • 02-18-11
      • 2342

      #632
      Round 24
      CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs WESTS TIGERS
      Game total OVER 42 @1.90 x5

      I'm expecting a scorefest for a 5 unit play. Good luck.
      Comment
      • hawley
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-10-10
        • 14270

        #633
        The NRL is an amazing sport.

        Bets are never over until they are over.

        Nice to see you cash the big one
        Comment
        • MrXYZ
          SBR MVP
          • 02-18-11
          • 2342

          #634
          Originally posted by hawley
          The NRL is an amazing sport.

          Bets are never over until they are over.

          Nice to see you cash the big one
          Thanks Hawley, what a finish to that game!
          Comment
          • MrXYZ
            SBR MVP
            • 02-18-11
            • 2342

            #635
            Originally posted by MrXYZ
            Round 24
            CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs WESTS TIGERS
            Game total OVER 42 @1.90 x5

            I'm expecting a scorefest for a 5 unit play. Good luck.
            WINNER! BULLDOGS EDGE OUT THE TIGERS 23-22!


            1-0 +4.5 units $225
            2012 NRL season record: 50-53 +31.615 units $1580.75 Unit size is $50.
            Comment
            • MrXYZ
              SBR MVP
              • 02-18-11
              • 2342

              #636
              Round 24
              SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITTOHS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
              Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

              I was expecting this one to open at 40.5 so we're getting great value from Sportsbet. Other books are offering 39.5 & I'd still take that number. The much-hyped return of Greg Inglis is a bonus for one of the most potent offenses in the NRL. Cronulla's regression to grind out footy is a concern, but the more athletic Souths will push for a big win once they hit the lead & the over could hit the bank with ten minutes to spare.
              Comment
              • MrXYZ
                SBR MVP
                • 02-18-11
                • 2342

                #637
                Originally posted by MrXYZ
                Round 24
                SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITTOHS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
                Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1
                Got his one dead wrong, though I don't think anyone expected only 6 points on the board at half time. Well played by the Sharks, they deserved their 20-7 win today.

                Books will set high totals for Sunday's games & with the likes of Parra vs Titans & Warriors vs Penrith on show, we won't see much value either way. Might have a play or two depending on what's on offer.

                0-1 -1 units -$50
                2012 NRL season record: 50-54 +30.615 units $1530.75 Unit size is $50.
                Comment
                • MrXYZ
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-18-11
                  • 2342

                  #638
                  Passing on the Warriors/Panthers game. I like the under at 47.5 but a 40-12 type scoreline wouldn't surprise me.
                  Comment
                  • MrXYZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-11
                    • 2342

                    #639
                    MANLY SEA EAGLES vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                    Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.85 x 0.5

                    Just a small action play as both teams should focus on defense in this vital lead-up game to the finals. Taking the over in this game is about as a square as it gets, but there just might be enough spark in Manly to cash this one.
                    Comment
                    • MrXYZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-18-11
                      • 2342

                      #640
                      Originally posted by MrXYZ
                      MANLY SEA EAGLES vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                      Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.85 x 0.5

                      Just a small action play as both teams should focus on defense in this vital lead-up game to the finals. Taking the over in this game is about as a square as it gets, but there just might be enough spark in Manly to cash this one.
                      Easy winner with Manly smashing the Knights 42-20.

                      1-0 0.425 units $21.25
                      2012 NRL season record: 51-54 +31.05 units $1552.50 Unit size is $50.
                      Comment
                      • MrXYZ
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-18-11
                        • 2342

                        #641
                        NQL COWBOYS vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
                        Cowboys total OVER 22.0 @1.90 x0.5
                        Cowboys ML @1.60 x1

                        I'm fading Centrebet's "Dragons 2.40 to beat the Cowboys" email & also taking a shot at a team total play. Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • MrXYZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-18-11
                          • 2342

                          #642
                          Originally posted by MrXYZ
                          NQL COWBOYS vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
                          Cowboys total OVER 22.0 @1.90 x0.5
                          Cowboys ML @1.60 x1


                          I'm fading Centrebet's "Dragons 2.40 to beat the Cowboys" email & also taking a shot at a team total play. Good luck.

                          The Cowboys prove too good with a 32-22 win over the Dragons. Easy money tonight!


                          2-0 1.05 units $52.50
                          2012 NRL season record: 53-54 +32.10 units $1605.00 Unit size is $50.
                          Comment
                          • MrXYZ
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-18-11
                            • 2342

                            #643
                            TAB's put up totals for Friday's Round 25 games, as usual their openers are being offered @1.85:

                            Raiders/Bulldogs: 43.5

                            Manly/Broncos: 38.5
                            Comment
                            • therealdealau
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-12-10
                              • 3227

                              #644
                              anyone here like the raiders?
                              Comment
                              • MrXYZ
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-18-11
                                • 2342

                                #645
                                Originally posted by therealdealau
                                anyone here like the raiders?
                                I'm passing on it, but Raiders at $2.40 is worth a small play. At home they are very capable of an upset. Though it's hard to go against the Bulldogs at the moment, their winning streak could end tonight.
                                Comment
                                • MrXYZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-18-11
                                  • 2342

                                  #646
                                  Round 25
                                  MANLY SEA EAGLES vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
                                  Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

                                  The best value play on the NRL card. Regardless of the outcome of tonight's contest, I'll take the over every time the books offer 38.5 on a Broncos/Manly game.
                                  Comment
                                  • hawley
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-10-10
                                    • 14270

                                    #647
                                    Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                    I'm passing on it, but Raiders at $2.40 is worth a small play. At home they are very capable of an upset. Though it's hard to go against the Bulldogs at the moment, their winning streak could end tonight.

                                    I'm not 100% the Bulldogs will only be resting Ennis tonight.

                                    I would wait for confirmed team lists before making any play on that game.
                                    Comment
                                    • MrXYZ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-18-11
                                      • 2342

                                      #648
                                      Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                      Round 25
                                      MANLY SEA EAGLES vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
                                      Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

                                      The best value play on the NRL card. Regardless of the outcome of tonight's contest, I'll take the over every time the books offer 38.5 on a Broncos/Manly game.
                                      Manly win 16-6. Unlucky with those missed tries early on, had T-Rex & T'eo scored it would've opened up the game. But it was worth a shot & no regrets on the play.

                                      0-1 -1 units -$50
                                      2012 NRL season record: 53-55 +31.10 units $1555.00 Unit size is $50.
                                      Comment
                                      • MrXYZ
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-18-11
                                        • 2342

                                        #649
                                        PENRITH PANTHERS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
                                        Game Total OVER 41.5 @1.90 x1
                                        Comment
                                        • MrXYZ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-18-11
                                          • 2342

                                          #650
                                          Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                          PENRITH PANTHERS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
                                          Game Total OVER 41.5 @1.90 x1
                                          Never in doubt. Panthers beat the Titans 36-22 for the easy winner!

                                          1-0 +0.90 units $45
                                          2012 NRL season record: 54-55 +32.0 units $1600.00 Unit size is $50.
                                          Comment
                                          • MrXYZ
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-18-11
                                            • 2342

                                            #651
                                            WESTS TIGERS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
                                            Game Total OVER 44.5 @1.90 x1
                                            Total Match Tries OVER 7.5 @1.80x1

                                            A no-brainer play on the over. We could easily see 50+ points in this game. Good luck.
                                            Comment
                                            • MrXYZ
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-18-11
                                              • 2342

                                              #652
                                              Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                              WESTS TIGERS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
                                              Game Total OVER 44.5 @1.90 x1
                                              Total Match Tries OVER 7.5 @1.80x1

                                              A no-brainer play on the over. We could easily see 50+ points in this game. Good luck.
                                              Roosters win 33-22 for the easy cash!


                                              2-0 +1.70 units $85
                                              2012 NRL season record: 56-55 +33.70 units $1685.00 Unit size is $50.
                                              Comment
                                              • MrXYZ
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-18-11
                                                • 2342

                                                #653
                                                MELBOURNE STORM vs CRONULLA SHARKS
                                                game total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x0.50

                                                The stats make this one seem like an easy under, but Storm could score 30+ tonight & so it's a small play for me.
                                                Good luck
                                                Comment
                                                • MrXYZ
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-18-11
                                                  • 2342

                                                  #654
                                                  Looks like everyone's on the under tonight. Lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MrXYZ
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-18-11
                                                    • 2342

                                                    #655
                                                    Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                    MELBOURNE STORM vs CRONULLA SHARKS
                                                    game total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x0.50

                                                    The stats make this one seem like an easy under, but Storm could score 30+ tonight & so it's a small play for me.
                                                    Good luck
                                                    2 tries in 2 minutes by the Storm, amazing finish with a final score of 20-18. A small profit but it pushes my season to +34 units!

                                                    1-0 +0.45 units $22.50
                                                    2012 NRL season record: 56-55 +34.15 units $1707.50 Unit size is $50.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TC Woods
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-17-11
                                                      • 1780

                                                      #656
                                                      Gonna wager on this one?

                                                      ITM Cup
                                                      Thu 8/30 203 Otago +4½ +100
                                                      3:30AM 204 Bay of Plenty -4½ -130
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hawley
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 05-10-10
                                                        • 14270

                                                        #657
                                                        Originally posted by TC Woods
                                                        Gonna wager on this one?

                                                        ITM Cup
                                                        Thu 8/30 203 Otago +4½ +100
                                                        3:30AM 204 Bay of Plenty -4½ -130

                                                        Hey mate different sport.

                                                        Check out the ITM Cup threads if you are looking for plays on that.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MrXYZ
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-18-11
                                                          • 2342

                                                          #658
                                                          Sorry TC, I don't know a thing about New Zealand Rugby. Good luck.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MrXYZ
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-18-11
                                                            • 2342

                                                            #659
                                                            Round 26
                                                            SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                                                            Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

                                                            No writeup needed. This is an autoplay at 40.5 - thanks to another Sportsbet soft total. It's 41.5 elsewhere & I'd take the over at that number as well. Expecting this one to cash with ease, though in the NRL anything can happen. Good luck.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • baskets
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-24-11
                                                              • 11691

                                                              #660
                                                              Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                              Round 26
                                                              SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                                                              Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

                                                              No writeup needed. This is an autoplay at 40.5 - thanks to another Sportsbet soft total. It's 41.5 elsewhere & I'd take the over at that number as well. Expecting this one to cash with ease, though in the NRL anything can happen. Good luck.

                                                              tailing you f*g

                                                              this better win
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MrXYZ
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-18-11
                                                                • 2342

                                                                #661
                                                                You've been added to my ignore list. See ya.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • baskets
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-24-11
                                                                  • 11691

                                                                  #662
                                                                  Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                                  Round 26
                                                                  SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                                                                  Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

                                                                  No writeup needed. This is an autoplay at 40.5 - thanks to another Sportsbet soft total. It's 41.5 elsewhere & I'd take the over at that number as well. Expecting this one to cash with ease, though in the NRL anything can happen. Good luck.
                                                                  what a pathetic pick. didn't even top 24 fukking pts


                                                                  no writeup needed b/c it fukking sucked. one team didn't even top 6 pts, you moron

                                                                  that pick was fukking horrible. knew I hsould've faded some fukking dumbass who has a n******* as an avatar

                                                                  that pick was shit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MrXYZ
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-18-11
                                                                    • 2342

                                                                    #663
                                                                    Sorry about that Souths total. Got it wrong yesterday, but that second half was a joke, a dull ending to the Knights season.

                                                                    0-1 -1.0 units -$502012 NRL season record: 56-56 +33.15 units $1657.50 Unit size is $50.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MrXYZ
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                                      • 2342

                                                                      #664
                                                                      Saturday
                                                                      MANLY SEA EAGLES vs GOLD COAST TITANS
                                                                      Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

                                                                      Manly need a solid win to secure a top 4 spot, and with the Titans season effectively over, they'll either put on a show or get run over. Although it's a concern that Matt Srama and Ashley Harrison are missing, I have this one set at 42 & gonna roll with the over for a 1 unit play. Excellent weather conditions in the Gold Coast a bonus. Good luck.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MrXYZ
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-18-11
                                                                        • 2342

                                                                        #665
                                                                        What a tough beat. F**k the NRL.
                                                                        Comment
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