MrXYZ's NRL thread

MrXYZ · 07-23-12, 05:37 AM

TIGERS +12.5 @1.88 x1.

MrXYZ · 07-23-12, 06:01 AM

lol. The perils of live betting.

MrXYZ · 07-27-12, 02:43 AM

Round 20 was headed for a profit until those 2 live bets....live and learn.

Back soon with plays for tonight's action.

2012 NRL season record: 44-44 +27.265 units $1363.25 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 07-27-12, 02:53 AM

Round 21
Friday
MELBOURNE STORM vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
Game Total UNDER 36.5 @1.85 x1

A 32.5 total is a more accurate number in this match up, but no way the books would post anything that low.

GOLD COAST TITANS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
TITANS ML @1.70 x2

A home game for the Roosters means an empty stadium, and we should see a determined Titans prove too strong & could run away by double digits. But this could also be a much closer game than expected & so I'm rolling with the ML.

MrXYZ · 07-27-12, 06:26 AM

Saturday
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x5

Making this my biggest play in recent weeks. Excellent value at this number, was expecting it to open at 42.5. I'm grabbing it before it moves.

MrXYZ · 07-28-12, 01:57 AM

Beat the closer again. Let's see how it plays out this time. Good luck tonight. 3 great NRL games to look forward to.

MrXYZ · 07-28-12, 08:31 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Round 21
Friday
MELBOURNE STORM vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
Game Total UNDER 36.5 @1.85 x1

GOLD COAST TITANS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
TITANS ML @1.70 x2

Saturday
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x5

Bulldogs too good for the Cowboys, final score: 32-18. Cash that easy winner!!!

Season profit now over 30 units!

Round 21: 2-1 +4.9 units $245
2012 NRL season record: 46-45 +32.165 units $1608.25 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 07-28-12, 09:27 PM

Sunday
WESTS TIGERS vs SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS
Game Total OVER 45.5 @1.90 x0.5

Books are offering high totals today and I don't see much value either way. The numbers favour the under but I can't trust these teams to contain the scoreline below 50 points, even though it is likely. So just a small action play for 1/2 unit on the Rabbits/Tigers over.

MrXYZ · 07-29-12, 02:11 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Sunday
WESTS TIGERS vs SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS
Game Total OVER 45.5 @1.90 x0.5

Souths demolished the Tigers 32-6, but without Inglis & Luke they lacked the extra firepower to cash the over.

Today: 0-1 -0.5 units -$25
Round 22: 2-2 +4.4 units $220
2012 NRL season record: 46-46 +31.665 units $1583.25 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 07-29-12, 02:18 AM

Monday Night Football
BRISBANE BRONCOS vs PARRAMATTA EELS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.85 x1

Sportsbet's offering great value, as TAB's got 40.5. I'd still take that number. The Broncos at home are set to hit back after last week's upset loss to the Titans & could cash the over by themselves.

MrXYZ · 07-30-12, 03:47 AM

As expected it's 40.5 everywhere. The Broncos are heavy favourites with good reason & should cover the -10 easily. I'm passing on it, though it's worth a small play if you want more action on tonight's game.

MrXYZ · 07-30-12, 05:57 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Monday Night Football
BRISBANE BRONCOS vs PARRAMATTA EELS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.85 x1

Sportsbet's offering great value, as TAB's got 40.5. I'd still take that number.

Monday night Football buries another favourite & Parramatta stuns the Broncos 42-22. Cash the easy winner!!!

I hope some of you guys were on this play, it was in the bank within minutes of the second half kicking off!

Today: 1-0 +0.85 units $42.50
Round 22: 3-2 +5.25 units $262.50
2012 NRL season record: 46-46 +32.515 units $1625.75 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 02:24 AM

Round 22
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.80 x1
Game Total OVER 42.5 @0.5 x1

I missed getting the early value. Still, I'm expecting a high scoring game to get this one home in a close finish. Good luck.

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 04:23 AM

MANLY SEA EAGLES vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
Game Total OVER 41.5 @1.90 x2

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 04:38 AM

Tough beat on that Bulldogs/Knights total. 28 points in the 1st half and it still goes under!

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 05:26 AM

Incredible pace in this game & yet only 6 points scored.

Going for a halftime bailout play

Game Total OVER 24.0 @1.90 x2

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 06:32 AM

smartphones + live betting = a great way to get buried.

A f**kin disaster.

Vinnie Paz · 08-04-12, 07:07 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

smartphones + live betting = a great way to get buried.

A f**kin disaster.

I agree with this 100%!
always get myself into trouble on the live bets, gonna have to request gettin that shit disabled

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 08:30 PM

Updated record:

Round 22: 0-3 -5.5 units -$275
2012 NRL season record: 46-49 +27.015 units $1350.75 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 08:47 PM

Sunday
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x2

Lacking the discipline to win at grind-out footy, the Warriors will look to come out strong and build a good lead. With the return of Gallen & Carney the Sharks should score at least 2 tries to help get this one over the line. Tail or fade, good luck.

If this play bombs I'm through with the NRL. My goal at the start of the season was to book a holiday with my profits & it's too easy to get caught up in chasing and lose the whole lot.

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 10:52 PM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Sunday
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x2

Winner! Sharks demolish the Warriors 45-4!

MrXYZ · 08-04-12, 11:02 PM

SOUTH SYDNEY vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x0.5

A small play. Both teams have been over machines lately & although this is set to be another tryfest, Titans desperation for a win(to say in the top 8) might see them getting back to their defensive best. Good luck.

MrXYZ · 08-05-12, 01:08 AM

Game total over 38 @1.90 x1

MrXYZ · 08-05-12, 01:10 AM

Live play on souths/titans at half time. Here we go.

MrXYZ · 08-05-12, 02:25 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Sunday
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x2

SOUTH SYDNEY vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x0.5

Game total over 38 @1.90 x1

Profitable day, easy money on the Sharks/Warriors total then a live bet on Souths/Gold Coast that only cashed with a last minute try. It's still a losing round which is disappointing. Monday Night Football is up next with the Tigers taking on Parra in a vital game for Benji's team.

Today
2-1 +2.2 units $110
2012 NRL season record: 48-50 +29.215 units $1460.75 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-10-12, 04:21 AM

Round 23
MELBOURNE STORM vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

I have this one set at 40.5. With Storm & Titans in good form we're likely to cash this play by the 70th minute, if not earlier.

MrXYZ · 08-10-12, 04:26 AM

Passing on the Souths/Manly game. This one could surprise under backers. Rain & wind don't always mean low scoring games, especially with these two teams on the field. Might have a play at halftime.

MrXYZ · 08-10-12, 06:30 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Round 23
MELBOURNE STORM vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

I have this one set at 40.5. With Storm & Titans in good form we're likely to cash this play by the 70th minute, if not earlier.

Melbourne Storm win 24-16 & score with 5 minutes left in the game to cash the over!That was as close as it gets!

1-0 +0.90 units $40
2012 NRL season record: 49-50 +30.115 units $1505.75 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-11-12, 08:29 PM

Sunday
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

MrXYZ · 08-12-12, 02:08 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Sunday
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

Bulldogs win 22-14. Bombed tries killed the over today.

0-1 -1.0 unit -$50
2012 NRL season record: 49-51 +29.115 units $1455.75 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-12-12, 10:29 PM

Monday Night Football
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

This game is too close to call, but the over is great value it should've opened at 40.5. I'm expecting a free-flowing game with plenty of lead changes to help cash this one. Good luck.

MrXYZ · 08-12-12, 10:32 PM

double post

MrXYZ · 08-13-12, 04:49 AM

This one is going UNDER. F**k.

MrXYZ · 08-13-12, 04:53 AM

Live play at halftime:
Game Total OVER 31.5 @1.90 x1

MrXYZ · 08-14-12, 09:54 AM

That's two losing NRL weekends in a row, very disappointing. Still up 27+ units for the season. I should call it quits but Round 24 has some terrific games to look forward to & I've got a couple of plays lined up already.