System Integrity 2011

[TheJames]

brewers -1 to win 3.53

I thought we bet to win a unit, not risk one unit to win x amount

[slapshot]

I thought we bet to win a unit, not risk one unit to win x amount

i don't know how you dealt with the three games losing streak we had. if you follow my example, you have to get another two wins before all losses are won back/

[dlunc3]

what book are you looking at for angels -180?

for pinnacle lines:
covers:
brewers are -174, angels -168

sbr:
brewers -168, angels -170

this one is tricky...research is based on covers opening lines i will stick with that here. that will make brewers the play. good luck what ever you choose to do.

4-4-2 -1.07
brewers -1 to win 3.53

Are you sure?? I see the opening pinnacle line at covers for milw at -158, and laa -168.. wouldn't that make laa the play??

[slapshot]

Are you sure?? I see the opening pinnacle line at covers for milw at -158, and laa -168.. wouldn't that make laa the play??

pinnacle opened at +158 at covers....clearly a typo....minutes after the line release the line got shifted over to have the correct favorite...milwaukee...not cubs

[teecee]

play whatever you want to play, slapshot, but i'm seeing the angels as -170 opener v. brew crew -168. g/l, dude.

[TheJames]

play whatever you want to play, slapshot, but i'm seeing the angels as -170 opener v. brew crew -168. g/l, dude.

Brewers opened at -168 at betjamaica not pinnacle, at pinnacle they opened at -174
covers.com/sports/odds/lineHistory.aspx?eventId=317616&sport=ml b

and at pinnacle, angels opened at -168
covers.com/sports/odds/lineHistory.aspx?eventId=316701&sport=ml b

this makes brewers the play for today according to the system

[teecee]

didn't know covers lines were what dictated the play. apologies for the clutter.

[do5000]

what book are you looking at for angels -180?

for pinnacle lines:
covers:
brewers are -174, angels -168

sbr:
brewers -168, angels -170

this one is tricky...research is based on covers opening lines i will stick with that here. that will make brewers the play. good luck what ever you choose to do.

4-4-2 -1.07
brewers -1 to win 3.53

SBR odds had LAA opening at -180 when i checked. i think i remember last year some people said the opening numbers changed sometimes.
i should have checked covers first, sorry for the confusion.
MIL was the play for today.

[floridagolfer]

Two one-run wins in a row; are we having fun yet?

[TheJames]

a push is better than a loss

[honeyeater]

So somehow in my expertise of this system I have won twice while you guys have lost- Cinn and the Angels. I have no idea what even the creator of this thread is looking at but the system it's self is pretty basic. So I'm going to keep moving on while you people go back and forth about how to play it. I've said before it really does not matter what book you reference they all will pan out the same over he season. Just stay with the same book throughout the season.

[TheJames]

So somehow in my expertise of this system I have won twice while you guys have lost- Cinn and the Angels. I have no idea what even the creator of this thread is looking at but the system it's self is pretty basic. So I'm going to keep moving on while you people go back and forth about how to play it. I've said before it really does not matter what book you reference they all will pan out the same over he season. Just stay with the same book throughout the season.

I'm pretty sure he's looking at the line history at covers.com for pinnacle, where are you looking?

[honeyeater]

I'm pretty sure he's looking at the line history at covers.com for pinnacle, where are you looking?

I'm going into covers then match-ups then line history then look at the top at Pinnacle. But that would have been LAA today so that's what I bet. But everyone says it's wrong. I back tested last year with just looking at Covers lines- Just the highest that day (most favorite) and it basically the same results. The secret is being consistent in your reference and money management.
In my opinion.

[TheJames]

I'm going into covers then match-ups then line history then look at the top at Pinnacle. But that would have been LAA today so that's what I bet. But everyone says it's wrong. I back tested last year with just looking at Covers lines- Just the highest that day (most favorite) and it basically the same results. The secret is being consistent in your reference and money management.
In my opinion.

I think the confusion from today was from the typo at covers with putting the Brewers at +odds. According to the opening lines technically LA was the favorite so I can see why you went with that.

I'm sure we will have 90+% of the same plays

[honeyeater]

So I'm playing LAA today (the 11th of April) because they opened at -180 at Pinnacle. Seattle was a second followed by Boston. But LAA is my play (again).

[floridagolfer]

So I'm playing LAA today (the 11th of April) because they opened at -180 at Pinnacle. Seattle was a second followed by Boston. But LAA is my play (again).

Correct. Monday's play is the Angels.

[Fitz22]

so is angels a C bet then if your playing the RL -1.5

[atari5200]

angels opened at what?
are you kidding me?
there must've been a pitcher change if its at -128 now

[atari5200]

no pitching change, aybar is out, i still don't get it, i'm on covers here and i have no indication why the line dropped so much.

[Dan Kelly]

There is a pitching change - Chatwood instead of Aybar

[atari5200]

chatwood instead of Haren. thanks dan kelly. so what the hell happens in this case?

[Fitz22]

so new play?

[slapshot]

4-4-3 -1.07
monday
seattle -1

if you already placed the bet with aybar and laa...your book should cancel the bet

[atari5200]

aybar is a shortstop. it's dan haren that's out.

seattle has lost 7 in a row. Hernandez is a great pitcher with no run support.

[ramper62]

So somehow in my expertise of this system I have won twice while you guys have lost- Cinn and the Angels. I have no idea what even the creator of this thread is looking at but the system it's self is pretty basic. So I'm going to keep moving on while you people go back and forth about how to play it. I've said before it really does not matter what book you reference they all will pan out the same over he season. Just stay with the same book throughout the season.

Well why go back and forth here with SEA being the default new fav. Wait to hear what he has to say since his post was before the pitching scratch of Haren which was of course a big part of the reason why LAA was the high fav...He is the expert.

[TheJames]

I'm not comfortable placing a bet on Seattle so I'll pass today

[DustyDiamond]

I almost think today should be a wash. There is no filter for this type of situation.

[floridagolfer]

I'm playing Seattle. I know, I know, the Mariners weren't the biggest opening favorite . . . BUT, with the pitchers scheduled that are actually going to start, they are, so that's the play for me. Good luck to whatever you decide to do.

[dlunc3]

I'm playing Seattle. I know, I know, the Mariners weren't the biggest opening favorite . . . BUT, with the pitchers scheduled that are actually going to start, they are, so that's the play for me. Good luck to whatever you decide to do.

I'm on them too.. all hail king felix

[allenc85]

I almost think today should be a wash. There is no filter for this type of situation.

When the system was back tested you wouldn't know this "type of situation" happened. It would simply have listed the Mariners as the favorite. I think the system play is with out a doubt the M's... if you don't wanna play that's cool but it wouldn't be following the system per say

[slapshot]

When the system was back tested you wouldn't know this "type of situation" happened. It would simply have listed the Mariners as the favorite. I think the system play is with out a doubt the M's... if you don't wanna play that's cool but it wouldn't be following the system per say

spot on!

quite a come back….mariners down 7-0 after 6…..going 8-0 last 3

we are tied with 2008 for fewest w’s after 12 games played….based on last 5 years back testing.

4-4-4 -1.07
tuesday
tie between yankees and angels…..-175 on both
yanks has the higher total…they are the play today.

[do5000]

cant argue with a push

[allenc85]

Today Yankees?

[Fitz22]

where the hell can you get -1 lines at? I can only get -1 1/2.

[TheJames]

where the hell can you get -1 lines at? I can only get -1 1/2.

I get mine at Pinnacle