MLB 2018 - SDQL / Tracking / Picks
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FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#211Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#212Sunday 4/8/18 MLB Plays
¤ Reds/Pirates FF Under 4 -110
___________________Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#213Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#215Man I took my first -200 fav in a parlay today (wanted to have something on cards but wasn't down w -150 so needed a partner) and already regretting it. Pitching mismatch looked so strong for tribe but they just can't freaking hit. Looks like I'm stuck in a game on the overpriced fav similar to your astros play yesterday, or rest of this series! Not a good feeling, dunno how guys bet these favs constantly and feel good about it!! lolComment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#216¤ Braves/Rockies Under 11 +100Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#217wow, wtf, 1-0 going into bottom of 5th and Pirates explode, still thought it was gonna be a push then another 2 out 2 run homer. FML today.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#218
Then the reds disaster happened, I was really hopeful yesterday might get their offense to start plating some stinking runs, guess not.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#219¤ Mets/Nationals Over 8 -105
¤ Parlay (WIN - Astros -275)(Nationals -170)
____________________
Adding Nationals and Over. GL!Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#220This day turning into a real pain in the ass for me., that what I get for starting off with a stupid -200 fav in a parlay, this tribe offense excruciating to watch make this bum Hammel look like cy young!! Man I thought tribe had such a big advantage in this one, never again!! Lol
Then the reds disaster happened, I was really hopeful yesterday might get their offense to start plating some stinking runs, guess not.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#221Man I took my first -200 fav in a parlay today (wanted to have something on cards but wasn't down w -150 so needed a partner) and already regretting it. Pitching mismatch looked so strong for tribe but they just can't freaking hit. Looks like I'm stuck in a game on the overpriced fav similar to your astros play yesterday, or rest of this series! Not a good feeling, dunno how guys bet these favs constantly and feel good about it!! lolComment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#222Sunday 4/8/18 MLB Results
2-3 for -1.10
LOSS - ¤ Reds/Pirates FF Under 4 -110
LOSS - ¤ Marlins/Phillies Under 8 +100
WIN - ¤ Braves/Rockies Under 11 +100
WIN - ¤ Mets/Nationals Over 8 -105
LOSS - ¤ Parlay (WIN - Astros -275)(LOSS - Nationals -170)
____________________
Season = 23-15 for +8.25
_____________________
ML = 8-6 for +2.02
(Dogs = 4-3 for +1.20)
(Favs = 4-3 for +0.82)
RL = 4-2 for +2.05
O/U = 11-6 for +5.18
(Overs = 3-0 for +3.00)
(Unders = 8-6 for +2.18)
Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results
(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)
4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07
(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)
4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
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Had one bad inning in both my Under losses that cost me and the Nationals would of most likely have won if Harper would of took 3rd base on the throwing error, but whatever, I can't complain a too much after the first two weeks.Comment -
OlDirtyBaztidSBR Wise Guy
- 05-28-17
- 953
#223great start to the season, bro. if your pirates can get some hitters and fix their bullpen, they will be very impressive. their starting rotation has finally come together and is looking FIREComment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#224SDQL 4/9
ALL = Yesterday 2-2 for +0.00 (Season: 26-19 for +8.95)
ML = Yesterday 1-2 for -1.00 (Season: 20-15 for +6.50)
RL = Yesterday 0-0 for +0.00 (Season: 3-0 for +3.65)
OU = Yesterday 1-0 for +1.00 (Season: 3-4 for -1.20)
---------------------------------
SU
FADE: Astros: -28.0% ROI (68-100)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5
FADE: White Sox: -37.3% ROI (21-48)
H and STDSERA >= 6.7 and conference = AL and A(o:SSO@o:starter and o:season) >= 5 and conference = o:conference and rest = 0 and SG = 1
PLAY: Giants,Rangers, Padres, Twins: +13.7% ROI (897-891)
179 > line >= -102 and -11 < p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and 9 > p:runs > 0 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and day != Saturday and WP<79
PLAY: Nationals: +11.5% ROI (1047-632)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
PLAY: Nationals: +32.2% ROI (37-13)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL
PLAY: Angels: +10.0% ROI (561-390)
(p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)
PLAY:Angels: +9.2% ROI (249-151)
AF and pp:LOB=14 and 7<p:LOB<18 and -3<p:margin
PLAY: Twins: +10.2% ROI (146-116)
STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3
FADE: Mets: Teams on the Road after playing on the Road on Sunday night the previous with no rest have lost their last 10.
p:NGT and day=Monday and rest=0 and A and p:A and date>=20170522
-----------------------------------
OU
UNDER: Rays/White Sox: +26.2% ROI (44-22-3)
H and STDSERA >= 6.7 and conference = AL and A(o:SSO@o:starter and o:season) >= 5 and conference = o:conference and rest = 0 and SG = 1
UNDER: Braves/Nationals: +20.4% ROI (31-18-1)
HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL
UNDER: Astros/Twins: +25.0% ROI (168-87-7)
STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3
__________________________
SDQL PLAYS
ML
Rays -130
Nationals -230
Twins +150
Angels -125
Padres +170
Giants +105
Marlins +190
OU
Rays/White Sox Under 7.5 -120
Braves/Nationals Under 7.5 +105
Astros/Twins Under 8.0 -105
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I ran my model for totals, but I'm not liking all the Overs lately and even though it managed to go 7-7 yesterday, I'm going to hold off on posting them until the weather warms up a bit. This is only my 4th season for MLB and I only created my model midway through last season, so I have no experience with it in April and these cold weather games and how the best adjust to it. It's done decent so far, but these last couple of days it seems the books have adjusted to the weather pretty good, so the value on Unders are gone.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#225Phillies vs a lefty looks great cept I don't like heavily public backed sides.
D-Backs vs that Lefty is tempting, D-Backs were atrocious early last year on the Road vs lefties, but were strong in the 2nd half in that spot and are lights out vs them at Home and Holland is pretty garbage.
Orioles seems to own Happ and do decent vs lefties, might be a good option.
Maybe the Royals and Junis, but I would like to see the lineups, but I got to leave for a couple of hours and don't have time to really look into to anything right now.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#226Could be another year where they surprise a lot of people when nobody expected very much from them. I thought they would have a good offense, but that pitching is still suspect. Nova hasn't looked too good at all so far and that worries me. I don't think they'll have enough pitching to compete with the Cubs or Cardinals, but one can hope for the best.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#227This Season So Far, I will update every month or so.
Favorites = 59.5% for -0.4% ROI
Dogs = 40.5% for -4.3% ROI
Home = 46.7% for -11.1% ROI
Away = 53.3% for +8.3% ROI
Road Favs = 63.8% for +8.9% ROI
Home Favs = 56.2% for -6.9% ROI
Road Dogs = 43.8% for +5.5% ROI
Home Dogs = 36.2% for -16.8% ROI
Favs -100 to -125 = 53.3% for -0.2% ROI
Favs -126 to -150 = 63.9% for +9.7% ROI
Favs -151 to -175 = 55.0% for -10.7% ROI
Favs -176 to -200 = 50.0% for -23.5% ROI
Favs -201 to -250 = 75.0% for +9.0% ROI
Favs -251+ = 66.7% for -10.4% ROI
O/U = 61-70-4 for -9.3% ROI for Overs and +1.3% ROI for UndersComment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#228Monday 4/9/18 MLB Plays
¤ Phillies -1 +110
____________________
I gotta go with the Phillies today even though they are popular with the public. I like them vs lefties and Cody Reed has a 0-11 team record for his career and Lively isn't that bad of a pitcher, he just didn't get very good run support last year. Favs in this price range so far this season have been pretty good, so I'll hope that continues today. GL!Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#229SDQL addition.
FADE: Mets: Teams on the Road after playing on the Road on Sunday night the previous with no rest have lost their last 10.
0-10 (-2.40, 0.0%) avg line: -127.3 / 112.5 on / against: -$1,388 / +$1,321 ROI: -100.0% / +105.4% 1-9 (-2.10, 10.0%) avg line: -142.3 / 121.8 on / against: -$1,205 / +$1,060 ROI: -79.5% / +96.8% 3-7-0 (-1.25, 30.0%) avg total: 9.1 over / under: -$440 / +$375 ROI: -40.9% / +33.3% Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#230I know a guy who post everyday and runs a parlays system of mostly high chalk 3 and 4 teamers and splits them up and leaves spots open and then hedges the final spot every time and it seems to work for him. I also seen a guy start posting and started out like 15-3 on multi unit high chalk plays and thought he was the best ever and then went a a losing streak and the juice ate him alive, never saw him again lol.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#232Could be another year where they surprise a lot of people when nobody expected very much from them. I thought they would have a good offense, but that pitching is still suspect. Nova hasn't looked too good at all so far and that worries me. I don't think they'll have enough pitching to compete with the Cubs or Cardinals, but one can hope for the best.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#233Trading Cole was such a mistake if they wanted to compete (didn't sound like they got all that much for him either? Like a bag of balls and player to be named later! Lol). Agree w offense but yea that starting rotation still pretty suspect imo. Think opponents have helped how they looked so far.
Chacin is pretty garbage, 0-6 team record vs Cards too.
Thor has been one of the more impressive pitchers so far this season to me.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#234wow, the Rays got so lucky there with 0 outs and man on 2nd and 3rd and 3 str8 weak ground ball outs, avoiding a 9 game losing streak.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#235Just tuned into Phillies game, bases loaded for Reds and 0 outs already, another 1st inning disaster, yikes. Long game though, at least it's not a under play.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#236In what turning into typical putrid reds fashion they only get the 1 run! That another offense that been absolute dog shit early on. They have few guys hitting but nobody doing so w men on base.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#237yep, got lucky there and just dodged a based loaded situation for the Blue Jays, could be my lucky day.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#238I'm losing patients fast for cards. Between the stupid manager and the continued redic stupid base running I can't take much more!! 2 leadoff hits and both guys get thrown out trying to take a extra base!! Just unreal the level of stupid on this team since matheny been in charge!!Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#240I'm losing patients fast for cards. Between the stupid manager and the continued redic stupid base running I can't take much more!! 2 leadoff hits and both guys get thrown out trying to take a extra base!! Just unreal the level of stupid on this team since matheny been in charge!!Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#241Monday 4/9/18 MLB Results
0-3-1 for -3.23
PUSH - ¤ Phillies -1 +110
LOSS - ¤ Orioles -113
LOSS - ¤ D-Backs TT Over 4 +105
LOSS - ¤ D-Backs/Giants Over 7.5 -110
____________________
Season = 23-18 for +5.02
_____________________
ML = 8-7 for +0.89
(Dogs = 4-3 for +1.20)
(Favs = 4-4 for -0.31)
RL = 4-2 for +2.05
O/U = 11-8 for +3.08
(Overs = 3-2 for +0.90)
(Unders = 8-6 for +2.18)
Parlays = 0-1 for -1.00
_____________________
Past Results
4/09 = 0-3 for -3.23
(Week 2 = 14-11 for +2.97)
4/08 = 2-3 for -1.10
4/07 = 2-3 for -1.00
4/06 = 0-2 for -2.00
4/05 = 3-2 for +1.00
4/04 = 2-0 for +2.00
4/02 = 5-1 for +4.07
(Week 1 = 9-4 for +5.28)
4/01 = 4-2 for +2.07
3/31 = 3-0 for +3.11
3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
______________________
Another losing night, need to put a stop to it tomorrow. Got a couple already.Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#242Tuesday 4/10/18 MLB Plays
¤ Mariners -110
¤ Giants -111
____________________Comment -
BeBraveSBR High Roller
- 10-25-10
- 158
#244On board BOL
What do you mean by action play?Comment -
FUqerSBR MVP
- 01-22-15
- 3968
#245Means if there is a pitching change the play still stands, unlike my Giants play which is canceled cause the listed pitcher Cueto is not pitching now. I had an outside hope that Paxton would pitch instead of Felix, so I choose Action instead of listed, and if there was a change to Paxton the line would of gone higher, but I wasn't counting on it. GL2U2!Comment
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