I would call it a play
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Query says
Giants
Cardinals
Nationals
Red Sox
All night games so I'll check back then and if RIOF4Comment -
barry and mack, thanks for keeping the thread alive while TT is banned. I havent been following during May due to historical data but its nice to keep tracking.
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These are the possible plays for today. No other games really need monitoring because the lines simply won't reach the necessary numbers.
At the moment, these are all plays if the lines closed now. But we monitor these lines throughout the day and up until first pitch to see if they move to an unplayable number.Comment -
Yes, you would risk to win 1 unit total on the ml and RL. So, to win 0.5% or half a unit on ml and risk to win 0.5% or half a unit on the rl, for a total to win one unit.
TT came up with the RIOF4 plays before he got banned. These plays are the same as the RIOF or regular plays, except they take into account when the opposing team we are betting against used four or more pitchers the previous game. I believe these plays had even higher roi when he backtested them. He said he was upping his risk to win 2.5% total on these plays. So to win 1.25% or 1.25 units on both the ml and RL for a total of 2.5.
He didn't say that the increase in bet size was necessary but that he was personally gonna do it. I have been upping my bet size on these for the record.Comment -
Current results as of 4pm Eastern
RIOF
May 12, 2017 box Fri home Cardinals Mike Leake - R Cubs Eddie Butler - R -135 8.5 May 12, 2017 box Fri home Giants Johnny Cueto - R Reds Scott Feldman - R -150 7.0 May 12, 2017 box Fri home Red Sox Rick Porcello - R Rays Alex Cobb - R -165 8.5
RIOF4
May 12, 2017 box Fri home Giants Johnny Cueto - R Reds Scott Feldman - R -150 7.0 May 12, 2017 box Fri home Red Sox Rick Porcello - R Rays Alex Cobb - R -165 8.5 Comment -
RIOF4 with current lines:
Boston -225 - needs -163 to qualify.
San Diego -138 - only needs to be favorite to qualify.
RIOF with current lines:
Arizona -160 - needs -146 to qualify.
Games to monitor:
Miami -120 - would need -123 to qualify, but if you are using 10 cent adjustment then would only need -113 to qualify. Would be RIOF4 as well.
Baltimore/KC - very interesting here, don't think I've seen this yet. Both teams would qualify to be a play as their odds have increased the past two games up til today. Basically whoever becomes the favorite in this game would be the play. Right now both teams are -105 so it's a pickem. Monitor this one. Niether team used 4 pitchers yesterday so this would be just an RIOF play on whoever the favorite becomes.
LA Angels -120. This is not a qualifying play at the moment. It would need -133 but if you are using 10 cent adjustment then -123 would be needed and definitely worth watching. Would be RIOF only.Comment -
As of 12:30 EST
RIOF
May 13, 2017 box Sat home Angels Ricky Nolasco - R Tigers Daniel Norris - L -133 8.5 May 13, 2017 box Sat home Brewers Zach Davies - R Mets Robert Gsellman - R -112 9.0 May 13, 2017 box Sat home Diamondbacks Taijuan Walker - R Pirates Trevor Williams - R -152 10.5 May 13, 2017 box Sat home Nationals Tanner Roark - R Phillies Nick Pivetta - R -180 9.0 May 13, 2017 box Sat home Red Sox Chris Sale - L Rays Blake Snell - L -210 7.5 May 13, 2017 box Sat away Padres Trevor Cahill - R White Sox Dylan Covey - R -138 9.0
RIOF4
Make it or break it kind of day. Good luck to those who play them.May 13, 2017 box Sat home Brewers Zach Davies - R Mets Robert Gsellman - R -112 9.0 May 13, 2017 box Sat home Nationals Tanner Roark - R Phillies Nick Pivetta - R -180 9.0 May 13, 2017 box Sat home Red Sox Chris Sale - L Rays Blake Snell - L -210 7.5 May 13, 2017 box Sat away Padres Trevor Cahill - R White Sox Dylan Covey - R -138 9.0 Comment -
Good lord the steam on Boston/Sale!Comment -
Why are you monitoring Balt/KC? If both teams lines have been trending upward/downward - however you want to say it - then there can't be a play on that game. Right? This system relies on playing a favorite whose lines have moved downward over x amount of games vs a dog whose lines have increased over x amount of games. Correct me if I am wrong, please.Comment -
You're right, teecee. Sorry about that. Disregard what I said. Idk what I was thinking there. Feel like I'm confusing people at this point. I just wanna keep the thread alive because I think it's gonna be successful when it's all said and done.Comment -
where has Tech Trader been at?Comment -
Currently qualifying RIOF:
Cleveland -152 (needs -149)
Currently qualifying RIOF4:
Cubs -115 (just needs to be favorite)
Lines to monitor:
Washington -165 ( needs -181) - would be RIOF4 if it gets there.Comment -
TT was right about May. Results just aren't there the past couple weeks. Might be time to take a few weeks off and pick it up beginning of June.Comment -
5/15 - TT's 1st Inning Plays
Hi guys. Glad to see you guys are keeping things going. I had a family emergency and just got back into town this weekend.
Just a heads up...I will be sharing TT's 1st inning plays for those interested. I may include additional plays from his other systems he is working on occasion. Not sure if I should start a new thread, or simply post them in his original "1st innings" thread...Any suggestions or preference?
Here are the plays for today (5/15):
I'll be risking to win 0.5% of BR on each bet.
1st inning O/U Plays -
ARZ Over 0.5 Runs (-143)
Other Plays
ARZ Over 9.5 (-102)
SEA ML (-119)
SEA RL -1.5 (+171)
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jlani93, thanks for posting. My suggestion is to start a new thread titled "2017 MLB TechnicalTrader's 1st Inning Plays."Comment -
any riof/riof4 todayComment -
That's as good as the 65% overall. RL has been about even.14-6 (2.60, 70.0%) avg line: -157.7 / 145.7 on / against: +$599 / -$659 ROI: +19.0% / -33.0%
i did 2010 to 2016 the other day . May was not the worst( forgot the exact results)
However did notice one important thing,
the avg win% was about 62% at avg odds of -162 and the ml bet results show a profit of about $1.50 per game and an ROI of less than 1%. If one bet all the games at -162 one would lose money.
RL did better ROI of 3%Comment -
Is TT still around? I heard he's on blogabet, and goes by Charlie's Hustle or something like that. He always added good insight on this thread.
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He gone!Comment -
If he is Charlie's Hustle, that could explain why he got booted. These forums frown upon folks who gather followers and try to recruit them to their personal site. Not sure if that is what happened, but makes more sense if the rumor DoubleDime heard is true.Comment -
I agree Doubledime!Comment -
YesComment -
Only one play today was Dodgers RIOF . Won 6-1 behind Kershaw. Was -180 closed at -190 my book.Comment -
Thursday. No plays today. MAybe twins 2 nd half of double header
gl
barrytComment
