Whoops. Duh. My bad. You already had that one.
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Lame! 0-2...Was really hoping to get these first 2 and parlay the last 2.
A little nervous on taking the OVER's on the last 2 games. I think there was one other OVER besides COL getting 8 runs on Strasburg earlier today. Today appears to be a day full of UNDER .5's.Comment -
2-2 on the night with a loss of about 1.5% / BR. I'll update the numbers later today.
Still looking for that big, breakout day!Comment -
Bankroll day 1: $700.00
Record: 147-99
Total Profit: 200.00%
Bankroll day 56: $2100.02
Hit rate: 59.75%
Still hanging out around the 60%, 200% mark. Man, I need a string of quality days! Will have today's numbers up later.Comment -
Don't even sweat it.
Do you have an estimated stop date? End of August?Comment -
On the road right now, will post all 7 picks later.
MIL/CHC UNDER, 4%
BOS/DET OVER, 4%Comment -
Here we go:
Overs
BOS/DET 4%
HOU/BAL 3%
MIN/KC 4%
WSH/ATL 3%
Unders
MIL/CHC 4%
MIA/CIN 3%
NYM/SF 3%Comment -
Boston looking weak, no Pedroia or Ortiz. I am going to take an in game under on the 2nd inning if no run is scored.Comment -
5dimes, ultralive tab. Top leftComment -
guys im curious did anyone started to track this one?Last edited by SBR Ivy; 05-09-17, 10:54 AM.Comment -
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No, i was on the road. Last time i do that.
Today sucks. If you guys havent yet played my other picks. Feel free to lay off of them
Have a bad feeling today.Comment -
Fack. I got on all of them early like I always do. Are you serious in your suggestion in laying off? If so, I gotta buy out, but I'm prone to sticking to my guns once the bets are set.
But, this is also the first time you're showing some pessimism in your own picks. Other times where the early games were losers you ended up being okay and you also didn't say anything. The fact that you're saying something different now scares me a bit.
Were the rest of the picks analyzed from the road, too? I guess you didn't have access to all of your normal sources of data?
Obviously, no hard feelings either way. I just need to know what to do to protect my bankroll. 8% gone in first two games wasn't expected but I assumed the risk.
Thanks for the heads up in either case. Sometimes its best to just not force things. Maybe today was one of those days especially b/c of recent success. We all have 'em and we're all subject to the whims of recency bias.Last edited by thekoreanmang; 08-18-16, 01:53 PM.Comment -
dont panic lads i have feeling that we are going to end up 4-3 tonight which is not badComment -
Im also extremely tired. Long day and tough to say if picks will be bad. Im just real, real tired. I'm not buying out. Maybe you can hedge them, place an 5inn over on my unders, etc.Comment -
BM Graded the chi game as a win for me
i def bet no scoreComment -
Does this site keep track of 1st innings?
To answer your question...I have quickly glanced at his picks for the last 3 days. Mon. & Tues. did pretty good, but yesterday dropped to around 57%. He makes a ML + Totals pick for every game. Obviously making that many picks does mean he will end up with some losses at the end of the day.
Since I can't afford to make that many picks every day, picking and choosing from his picks could end up badly for me. I followed 3 of his picks yesterday that happened to lose. My profile went from 83.33% down to 58.33% in 1 day.
Luckily I listened to my husband for once and added both OVER/YES .5 CHC/MIL and SEA/LAA games to TT's picks yesterday.Last edited by SBR Ivy; 05-09-17, 10:54 AM.Comment -
Losing the first 2 games are the worst! I am sure since I didn't listen to my husband this morning (he said MIL/CHC--Yes/Over .5) he is going to razz me about not listening to him today. lol.
Fingers crossed and sending good vibes for the rest of the day.
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A wife that gambles sports???? You gotta love it!!
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Keep those good vibes coming.
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Oh Ye of little faith....... 5-2 Nicely done. Stay tired TT
Last edited by doubledime; 08-19-16, 06:13 AM.Comment -
Sorry about that yesterday. It was an extremely long day which ended with me going to bed around 9PM. I usually stay up and catch a few first innings of the 7PM EST games but lately have been staying up until 3AM my time.
But hey, I was happily surprised this morning with the 5-2 result. Looks like I am going to have to force myself in to having long days, making picks on the road and being tired as hell every evening...
I'll get the numbers up later. I hope you all profited nicely!Comment -
Sure you can make that many picks every day. Just manage your money properly.Does this site keep track of 1st innings?
To answer your question...I have quickly glanced at his picks for the last 3 days. Mon. & Tues. did pretty good, but yesterday dropped to around 57%. He makes a ML + Totals pick for every game. Obviously making that many picks does mean he will end up with some losses at the end of the day.
Since I can't afford to make that many picks every day, picking and choosing from his picks could end up badly for me. I followed 3 of his picks yesterday that happened to lose. My profile went from 83.33% down to 58.33% in 1 day.
Luckily I listened to my husband for once and added both OVER/YES .5 CHC/MIL and SEA/LAA games to TT's picks yesterday.
-reserve a certain amount of your BR for his picks (let's say 25%)
-simply divide the 25% by the amount of picks he has pending and that will give you your new unit size
Again, a fixed unit size makes zero sense if you ask me. Risking a certain % of BR every bet will keep you away from huge down days and will also multiply your gains when you are on a streak.
Forget units, just go by %/BR at risk.Comment -
5 and 2 on the night, added $114.85 (5.4%) and finally pushed my hit rate back over 60%.
I'll be shutting this system down sometime mid next week but will continue to post picks for those who are interested. I honestly have no idea if/how they will perform during the last few days. I could imagine we will see a lot more unders, with pitcher being much more focused and a few call-ups also starting for teams who are out of the race. We will see.
With that said, I'll do my best to keep this BR tripled and look at completely destroy it next season. If I can do what I did this season and stay on it for 4 1/2 months rather than just 2 months, we could cause some serious damage next season. my only issue is finding liquidity for prop bets. The books I use, usually offer a max $100-$200 play for the first inning o/u bet.
Oh, one last thing! My daily performance was only 2%! This is what you can do if you adjust your "unit size" daily. 2% a day can be huuuuge! Baby steps!
Bankroll day 1: $700.00
Record: 152-101
Total Profit: 216.41%
Bankroll day 57: $2214.87
Hit rate: 60.07%Comment -
Great job, TT. Keeping the faith has its benefits. Of course, I was rattled to start off with but I think it's honestly because we're entering the dog days of the season so losses are right around the corner. Like you, I've been able to increase my roll to a good sized amount. I should probably leave MLB as is now but with about two weeks left in the month, I'm thinking we can eke out a little bit more profit before calling it quits at month's end.Comment -
hmm, yesterday i climbed up like 0.5% today also but 3 days ago i went up 15% when guy went something like 13-7 and 2 days ago i made a mistake and playled all his picks in 1st inning not a full game (foolish me) he went like 18-12 and i went like 5-10 - 15, if that didnt happen id be up some 35% in this 4 days, easily. and did u checked some other guys that i reccomended like davy dave? he post a pick per day but his hit rate is ridiculous, also wild cat came back from the inactivity he never vrites any information about his picks but all season long hes over 60,62 hit rate. i mean i get nothing from promoting these guy but i we been followng them also and my br goes up nicely, sometimes i go 10 down easily but who cares if i go 3 days up 1 loose 1 even, u cant llose your br easily with a good money management, even if you bet half of your br each night its difficult to loose all, bad nights must happen but night such as thoose, very hardLast edited by white powder; 08-19-16, 04:45 AM.Comment -
I'd still be extremely cautious when trailing other people. Especially people who don't give you a clue of how they are capping because at the end of the day, you might just be trailing the last tail of a hot streak, which is only a few days away from a long, cold streak.
Just my two cents though.
I do appreciate your posts though and am actually working on a system based on what those guys were doing in the covers forum. It is extremely time consuming to analyze and takes precise timing in-game but could be a sweet little system. I'll let you guys know in the offseason. I'm currently in the development phase and should begin to backtest in a few days/weeks... More to come later.
As for today; I am looking at 7 overs and 1 under but am not finished capping yet. i should have the picks up 1.5 hours befroe the first gameComment -
Btw, I took a nice long look at maxumsports (wagerminds link), be extremely carefull with him. Sure he is up 149 units but this is over a TWO WEEK SPAN and he is risking 5 units per bet. That would only be 40 units over two weeks, while risking only 1 unit per bet.
I've seen hundreds of people do this in the past, how many can do this over a span of 3-4 months?? Tread carefully with him my man!Comment
