lets look for the some suspicious stuff on betfair wheres all the money going in small leagues?
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03-23-14 02:41 PM #1226
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03-23-14 03:32 PM #1227
Close with the qatar game, but a late goal looks like it snuffed out our cash. I was in bed in Australia. Still, at least we got a push. A lot of the time it is the process that you need to review, not necessary the result.
Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
Dont be happy if you put on a bet after 2 mins research and it wins. Long term success comes from diligent work and research. It is the process, not the result.
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03-23-14 03:42 PM #1228
well said champ. will all your tips be put on here or is there somewhere where i subscribe Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
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03-23-14 03:47 PM #1229
Something doesnt seam right with the strongest v blooming in bolivia.
Away team is leading 0-1 but is at 3.00 plus?
Home team is at 2.00?
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03-23-14 03:49 PM #1230
I have no money on this game, but those odds are very strange IMO. Purely going on the odds you have to say that The Strongest are going to come back and win. Be interesting to watch this game. We can learn to identify the anatomy of a fix.
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03-23-14 03:51 PM #1231
that is odd. it also says starting soon on betfair, and on bet365 it says Kickoff starting at 20.00
Something is a miss.
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03-23-14 03:55 PM #1232
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03-23-14 03:56 PM #1233
how are they strange odds? The strongest were 1.30 to kick off, now losing 0-1 half time. so they are 2.20 to win? nothing wrong with that at all. Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
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03-23-14 03:59 PM #1234
Put them on here mate. Originally Posted by amtopm
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03-23-14 04:01 PM #1235
Each to their own, I think it is strange a team leading 0-1 is at 3.00 plus at halftime. Originally Posted by onemoregoal
Even if they were under-dogs going into the match.
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03-23-14 04:13 PM #1236
any just click random leagues on betfair and see if theres major money on a certain thing?
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03-23-14 04:21 PM #1237
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03-23-14 04:33 PM #1238
The Strongest are always favourites Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
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03-23-14 04:35 PM #1239
red card to the strongest and then they score a few mins later.
Seen this before.
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03-23-14 04:38 PM #1240
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03-23-14 04:41 PM #1241
well all missed barcelona vs real game ref seems to to be a barca fan
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03-23-14 04:51 PM #1242
Ended up putting a bit on the Strongest
2-1!
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03-23-14 04:53 PM #1243
haha. The old injury time goal with 1 man down.
Spotting a fix is like porn, hard to explain, but you just know when you see it.
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03-23-14 04:54 PM #1244
Not sure if it was fixed or just a coincidence since I didn't see it, but nice call anyway! Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
Now Bet365 is just showing "goal kick" for the last 5 minutes lol
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03-23-14 04:57 PM #1245
Away team is leading 0-1, but are at $3.00 to win including ($2.10 DNB), then the odds are like that purely from weight of money coming in in-play. Weight of money, in-play, when a team is down 0-1 (even if they are favourite) indicates something is up. Seen games like this all week in this thread.
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03-23-14 04:58 PM #1246
good find aussie, although I didnt back it in the end. especially after the strongest missed a peno aswell I wasn't overly convinced, its a learning curve though.
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03-23-14 05:06 PM #1247
dude what should the odd be according to you ?? If a home team is priced @ 1.30 before kick off and they concede the first goal , then 2,00 is the fair odd.Not to mention that The Strongest can score for fun in their league Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
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03-23-14 05:08 PM #1248
They won simply because they are the strongest.
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03-23-14 05:33 PM #1249
Oriente scored in the first minute lol
Ya can't right that .
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03-23-14 05:46 PM #1250
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03-23-14 05:53 PM #1251
Yep 2-0 but honestly don't think this match is a fix, only 12K on that match on betfair. Nothing obvious.
Stream anyone?
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03-23-14 06:07 PM #1252
Good question. I am learning at this all the time. From what I have seen, I'd expect the away team to become favourite after scoring the first goal, as the bookies adjust their lines. Certainly, the away team (that has just scored to lead 0-1) should not be a $3.00+ price with the home team at $2.00 - $2.40. Originally Posted by pellumb341
Even the DNB for the away team was at $2.10 (leading 0-1).
To me it was clearly a fix based on the odds alone.
I read an article on fixing in european football. In it, a guy could tell a game was fixed based on line movements in play.
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03-23-14 06:10 PM #1253
Oriente where is this game i cant find it anywhere i put money on it from i think aussiepunters suggestions due to being tilted madrid lost in that fashion
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03-23-14 06:12 PM #1254
dont know why everyone so hard up on aussie punter dude is one of few who throws up genuinely solids tips and suggestions Originally Posted by pellumb341
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03-23-14 06:14 PM #1255
lol, I'm sorry guys but apparently you've never followed a game live.
And, even more important, you don't know nothing about Bolivia.
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03-23-14 06:19 PM #1256
Take a look at ibcbet in-play odds movement
The Strongest were 1.20 to win after 19' because they were dominating the game so the 2.16 to win at HT down by 1-0 is absolutely standard.
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03-23-14 06:23 PM #1257
hero hero hero Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
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03-23-14 06:28 PM #1258
In almost any league, if the home team is 1.30 before kick off and losing 0-1 half time - then they will be around 2.20-2.50. this is very basic stuff, im not sure how you can not know this - but manage to find kalloni fix, which was very good call. Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
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03-23-14 06:34 PM #1259
only thread dude posts gold and still gets attacked lol he thought the it was suspicious so he posted and it won so chill
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03-23-14 06:42 PM #1260
Goooooooooooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa aaaallllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll go og go go go go ggoallllllllll
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