1. #1
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,506
    Betpoints: 2786

    Great strategy how to bet the 242.5 Total tonight between the Pacers and the Bucks!

    I followed the total line yesterday, and I also had a bet on the over, and Utah/Indiana are this year proably the highest scoring teams in the NBA even more than the Wizard.

    However, last year Milwaukee Bucks with Giannis Antekokokoko were a high scoring team, so a combination of the Pacers and the Bucks here is not a great "recipe" for an easy Over 242.5 as some might think.

    Instead,

    The best way to bet on this one is to do it in live, especially if you like the over in this one, as I less like it but you can definitely expect the total line tonight to drop towards 230 or even below.

    Why?

    Because last night it started 242.5 and only in the 1st/2nd quarter touched the 238.5 momentarily, but most of the game last night it was over 240 .... tonight as these are two prime time games you can expect the total to drop low, before, and if you like it.

    In fact, the Under 227.5 before the game starts is 4.00 so if you bet $100 on it you would win $400, so take this bet, and then in live get the Over 227.5 and this way you would make a "sure" profit as you're forecasting a drop in the total line.

    Or you could bet with your hunch in live, take over 220ish or what's not, it could end under or over that number, I really can't tell - but at least you would have a good opportunity to win nicely out of this - so don't bet this one now, do it in live unless you're going to hedge against a low total.

  2. #2
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    I already took the over

  3. #3
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,506
    Betpoints: 2786

    Quote Originally Posted by bjb7223 View Post
    I already took the over
    I hope you win but I wouldn't take it like this, live betting is better, it has to go down, it's a prime time game

  4. #4
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Quote Originally Posted by arie1985 View Post
    I hope you win but I wouldn't take it like this, live betting is better, it has to go down, it's a prime time game
    Speaking of point spreads Hawks-Magic 232 at altitude in Mexico City. I'm taking the under. This total seems too high.

  5. #5
    Chiefs83
    Update your status
    Chiefs83's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-01-16
    Posts: 2,080
    Betpoints: 1321

    Iím on Under 243

  6. #6
    arie1985
    arie1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-08
    Posts: 1,506
    Betpoints: 2786

    Quote Originally Posted by bjb7223 View Post
    Speaking of point spreads Hawks-Magic 232 at altitude in Mexico City. I'm taking the under. This total seems too high.
    Noooo... Orlando is doing exactly the same thing Utah / Indiana are doing to other bettors, Orlando used to be an under team, it's not... only the Knicks "retained" this and even yesterday they went over.

    Don't go under.

  7. #7
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Quote Originally Posted by arie1985 View Post
    Noooo... Orlando is doing exactly the same thing Utah / Indiana are doing to other bettors, Orlando used to be an under team, it's not... only the Knicks "retained" this and even yesterday they went over.

    Don't go under.
    Knicks 6-2 unders

  8. #8
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Over winner

  9. #9
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Hornets-Wizards over 239.5

    let's go

  10. #10
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
    ThaTopMoron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 26,369
    Betpoints: 6530

    just pray if you bet the under in a pacers home game

  11. #11
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    just pray if you bet the under in a pacers home game
    They gave up 155 to the Celtics about a week and a half ago. Never bet the under with this team.

  12. #12
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Quote Originally Posted by bjb7223 View Post
    Hornets-Wizards over 239.5

    let's go
    another winner again

    Wizards 7-1 overs
    Pacers 7-1 overs

    lets continue these trends

  13. #13
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Pacers another over, Wizards finally went under

  14. #14
    teecee
    teecee's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-18-09
    Posts: 6,261
    Betpoints: 2513

    Pacers/76ers 20 points in final 2:24 is ridiculous.

  15. #15
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Quote Originally Posted by teecee View Post
    Pacers/76ers 20 points in final 2:24 is ridiculous.
    NBA in a nutshell

  16. #16
    bjb7223
    bjb7223's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-12
    Posts: 9,846
    Betpoints: 8220

    Another Pacers over
    11-1 on the year
    9 in a row

  17. #17
    bigbaby1976
    bigbaby1976's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-07-22
    Posts: 30
    Betpoints: 138

    OP's idea is interesting IMO because it mixes strategies from both pregame and live betting lines:

    On one side it considers two NBA teams known to have high scoring records (a pregame line strategy). And on the other side, when it comes to live betting, it suggests a type of hedge betting tecnique .

    For the sake of adding to the idea (mainly to the pregame strat), I could add that paying attention to the teams schedule, specially if they are playing back-to-back nights, is useful, as it is shown to negatively impact their defense. Tired teams usually decrease their defense and focus more on offense (get lazier I guess).

    Couple of resoures about NBA betting strategies where I got that idea from:

    https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/gu...right-for-you/
    https://pphsportsbook.net/blog/win-b...and-strategies

Top