Week 10 NFL picks--(67% correct ATS on the season)

[Maxlock]

eagles or dallas?

I can't advise taking either side, but take the Giants for tommorrows game.

[Maxlock]

MAXLock NFL Handicapping Week 14 Slate: All odds of sportsbook.com as of 4:00 pm eastern 12/10/10
1)Colts-3 over Tennessee
2) NY Giants -3 over Minnesota
3) New England -3 over Chicago
4) San Diego -7 over Kansas City (due to the likelihood that Matt Cassel will not play, this line may not be out at several books and will probably increase. I'd still take it -10 and under.
5) St. Louis +9 over New Orleans
6) Arizona +4.5 over Denver

Week 14 Recap:

3-1 ATS Sunday. Take the Giants today as we finish off the weekend on a good note. I got them at -3 earlier in the week. I still recommend taking them at -4. Bol Giants backers.

NO Play on the Baltimore-Houston game.

[Lucky1g]

Maxlock, im new to this thread, was wondering if u could update ur current ytd w/l record...nice day yesterday and i plan to tail w the giants tonite..thx

[Maxlock]

Recap following Thursday and Sunday Week 14 Games:

1) Indianapolis -3 over Tennessee-Lose
2) NY Giants-3 over Minnesota-Pending
3) New England -3 over Chicago-WIN
4) San Diego -9.5 over Kansas City WIN
5) St. Louis +9 over New Orleans -Lose
6) Arizona +4.5 over Denver-WIN

So following week 14 games, Thursday and Sunday included my record is an updated:
Documented ATS Record Since Joining SBR in Week 10: 23-12-2 (24-12-2 if Giants cover)
Season ATS Record:55-23-7

[Lucky1g]

wow, very impressive bro! i only wish i had started tailing sooner!!thx for the updated record, that settles it for me as to who to play tonite.GO GIANTS

[Maxlock]

wow, very impressive bro! i only wish i had started tailing sooner!!thx for the updated record, that settles it for me as to who to play tonite.GO GIANTS

to making $ in weeks to come.

[PP]

Good stuff Max, Giants line is at -4.5 now, glad I grabbed it yesterday at -4.

[Maxlock]

Good stuff Max, Giants line is at -4.5 now, glad I grabbed it yesterday at -4.

Yea, I see several places have it 4.5 now. My suggestion for those that haven't bet it yet is to either buy a half point to make it -4 at -120 or possibly wait until gametime and maybe have it drop down to -4, although right now there's no telling if that'll happen.

[atwolfe]

Yea, I see several places have it 4.5 now. My suggestion for those that haven't bet it yet is to either buy a half point to make it -4 at -120 or possibly wait until gametime and maybe have it drop down to -4, although right now there's no telling if that'll happen.

4-2 with the G-men covering!! Nice week!!

[Maxlock]

MAXLock NFL Handicapping Week 14 Recap: 4-2

ATS Record on the Year: 56-27-7=68%
ATS Documented Record since joining SBR week 10: 24-12-2=67%

Wins:
New England -3 over Chicago
Arizona +4.5 over Denver
San Diego -9.5 over Kansas City
NY Giants -4 over Minnesota

Loss:
Indianapolis -3 over Tennessee
St. Louis +9.5 over New Orleans

*Another successful week handicapping
*Congrats to those who continue tailing my plays. Since I came on this forum, I am a documented 24-12-2 through 4 weeks
*I'll have Thursday's game up either Tuesday or Wednesday, along with one or two early Sunday releases in order to get a good line before it jumps.

[HiTMaNN]

Amazing Great weekend Maxlock I was with you the whole way.

[PP]

Great wk!

[hoku808pc]

Good job bro...

You did good this week... Thanx for the picks...

Looking forward to TNF...

[MickChunky]

Good job, we all know Indy should have covered too

[dwang0725]

Well played. Even thought the Gmen looked like crap the 1st Q, the running game and defense came on strong and put away a helpless Vikings team.

[Maxlock]

Amazing Great weekend Maxlock I was with you the whole way.

Nice job man. Thanks to everyone
I'm still in the process of handicapping Thursday's game and I'll get it out as soon as I come to a conclusion. As for Sunday, I think its going to shape out to be a good week.

[bypp]

Congrats on a good week.

[Maxlock]

MAXLock NFL Handicapping

Documented ATS Record Since Joining SBR in Week 10: 24-12-2 (All found in this thread)
Season ATS Record: 55-23-7

Thursday Game: odds of sportsbook.com as of 12/14/10 5:00 pm

1) San Diego -8.5 over San Francisco

*Rest of Sunday plays I'll have up later. I absolutely love some of these Sunday spreads. Remember all plays are weighted equal. I should have 5-6 Sunday games, plus MNF. So with a potential 8 game slate all together, remember manage your money correctly and we might be coming away with an impressive week.

[hoku808pc]

Sounds good bro... Im already on it... got it at -8 cause somehow that hook always seems to fck me...

[bypp]

Agree with the SD play. San Fran is going to get embarrassed.

[StackinGreen]

Just for my friends posting here, there is really no difference between 7.5-9.5 point lines, for something like the last 10 years, only 1-2% of games with a line moving between these two numbers did the ATS result get affected at all ...

The movement is therefore almost strictly due to books' teaser plays.

[HiTMaNN]

Maxlock I am with you 100% again this week! Lets make it an awesome ONE!!!

[Maxlock]

Maxlock I am with you 100% again this week! Lets make it an awesome ONE!!!

I'm really expecting to hit the books hard this weekend right in the mouth. Honestly the only play out of my 7 or 8 that Im worried about this week is the Chargers -8.5. Nonetheless I believe this is the absolute right side. Thursday can't come soon enough. Bol to us and the rest of those who will back my games.

[hoku808pc]

Same here bro...

Tailed every game this past weekend, even Zona... LOL... and am glad I did....

Thanx alot...

Now on to TNF...

[HiTMaNN]

12/15/2010 10:22:51

Team #1: San Diego Chargers
Line #1: Spread -9
Wager #1: $200

[low Q]

I'm really expecting to hit the books hard this weekend right in the mouth. Honestly the only play out of my 7 or 8 that Im worried about this week is the Chargers -8.5. Nonetheless I believe this is the absolute right side. Thursday can't come soon enough. Bol to us and the rest of those who will back my games.

Yeah.... Can't go against my 9ers, gonna sit this one out Max. Looking forward to your other picks though - you have been doing great! Many thanks!

[NFL-Addicted]

very nice Max. This week will be great, I smell something more special here, this weekend!

[HiTMaNN]

very nice Max. This week will be great, I smell something more special here, this weekend!

We are going to go Cuuuuuurrrrrrrrrraaaaaaaaheeeeeeee Band of Brothers style.

[atwolfe]

dam it!!! i started to put SD in last night at -9 before I went to bed and just figured i'd wait til this morning and now its all the way up to -10!!!!! I'm gonna watch it close and see if it comes back down to -9.5 for a little while and try to grab it then. If not I'm not sure what i'll do.

[Maxlock]

dam it!!! i started to put SD in last night at -9 before I went to bed and just figured i'd wait til this morning and now its all the way up to -10!!!!! I'm gonna watch it close and see if it comes back down to -9.5 for a little while and try to grab it then. If not I'm not sure what i'll do.

You shouldn't have waited.

Here's my suggestion: Since your book currently has SD at -10, wait and see if it drops to -9.5 (which i doubt it will but maybe...) If it does go down to 9.5, bank San Diego. If it stays at -10 continue going with SD, you may even want to buy the half point to make it 9.5 If it happens to rise to 10.5 (which is actually probable at this point) buy the half point at 20% juice to get it at -10. BOL man, next time don't wait. The difference between 9.5 and 10 is very critical in football games.

[Maxlock]

MAXLock NFL Handicapping Early Releases: odds of sportsbook.com as of 11:55 am eastern, unless otherwise noted.

I have an inclination that these two spreads will go down before gametime. So my suggestion is to take advantage of the current spread and bank them now. The rest of my games I'll have up Friday morning.

Thursday:
1) Banked San Diego -8.5 over San Fran earlier in the week.

Sunday Early Releases:
2) NY Jets +6 over Pittsburgh
3) Cleveland Browns +1.5 over Cincinnati
4) 3-4 additional Sunday games to be released Friday

[atwolfe]

You shouldn't have waited. Here's my suggestion: Since your book currently has SD at -10, wait and see if it drops to -9.5 (which i doubt it will but maybe...) If it does go down to 9.5, bank San Diego. If it stays at -10 continue going with SD, you may even want to buy the half point to make it 9.5 If it happens to rise to 10.5 (which is actually probable at this point) buy the half point at 20% juice to get it at -10. BOL man, next time don't wait. The difference between 9.5 and 10 is very critical in football games.

I know I shouldn't have. It was late last night after some basketball games were over with and I was getting ready to go to bed and I thought "i should log in and go ahead and put that SD game in since its at 9, nah I'll just wait til in the morning cause I'll be up early and it won't move a whole point by then". yeah, nice work genius. Sure enough, as soon as I checked this morning around 8 am, all the way to -10.

Oh well. What you described is exactly what i'm doing. I've just been checking it every so often just to see if it might drop back to 9.5, which it hasn't yet. But I see that a lot of shops still have it 9.5, so I'm hopeful. If it doesn't then I'll just live with 10 I guess, as long as its not 10.5 then obviously I will have to buy the hook.

Love the Browns play. 2 teams headed in totally opposite directions. the Bungals are a mess.

I guess I'm indiffernet about the Jets. 6 points IS a lot for a team that just 3 weeks ago most people considered one of the top 5 teams in the league. Now after 2 bad games its seems like everybody has just written them off. I wish I would have jumped on this when it opened cause a lot of places had it at 6.5, and I would have bought it up to 7. But i agree that it will probably fall to 5.5 or 5 before the game. Probably a low scoring affair, 20-17 Pitt.

[Maxlock]

Without going into this matchup: There's a Huge public overreaction when as it relates to the Jets play the last two weeks. Bank the Jets +6

[HiTMaNN]

MAXLock NFL Handicapping Early Releases: odds of sportsbook.com as of 11:55 am eastern, unless otherwise noted.

I have an inclination that these two spreads will go down before gametime. So my suggestion is to take advantage of the current spread and bank them now. The rest of my games I'll have up Friday morning.

Thursday:
1) Banked San Diego -8.5 over San Fran earlier in the week.



Sunday Early Releases:
2) NY Jets +6 over Pittsburgh
3) Cleveland Browns +1.5 over Cincinnati
4) 3-4 additional Sunday games to be released Friday

New York Jets
Spread +6 (-105)
$200

Without going into this matchup: There's a Huge public overreaction when as it relates to the Jets play the last two weeks. Bank the Jets +6

Cleveland Browns
Spread +1.5
$200

[HiTMaNN]

Even though I can't put my faith in Delhomme I am still going with your picks Maxlock