RLM System Plays

crockje · 02-03-12, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Denver closed at -1,which made them an absolute LOCK.............

You guys are playing way to many games too make this system work...........

Only 57% on ul lafayette that's why it wasn't played. And your absolute lock lost

. Just sayin

detroitigerz · 02-03-12, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

W/L RECORD FOR 2/2

NCAAB

7:30pm 521 Detroit Titans OPEN +3 NOW +2.5 LOSS

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES) LOSS

9:00pm 535 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +15 NOW +14 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES) WIN

9:00pm 541 Oregon State Beavers OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5 LOSS

9:00pm 540 Utah Utes OPEN +11 NOW +10.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES) LOSS (so close)

10:00pm 551 Utah State Aggies OPEN +8.5 NOW +7.5 WIN

10:00pm 545 USC Trojans OPEN +7.5 NOW +6.5 LOSS (so close)

10:30pm 563 Pepperdine Waves OPEN +10 NOW +9.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES) LOSS (so close)

NBA

8:35pm 505 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +10 NOW +9 LOSS

10:35pm 509 Denver Nuggets OPEN +2 NOW +1 WIN (outright win)

So, system went 3-7 on the night for all plays

and 2-4 for plays with adjusted parameters (NCAAB: < or = +/- 8; NBA: < or = +/- 11)

*3 of the losses could have been wins (or pushes)...missed the mark by 1/2 point.

Hmm I'm confused.... I got different numbers and I ran thru it twice. I have 9 wins 7 losses for all of the spreads last night. I guess that column was considering static spreads also. yeah that makes sense cause my column with only .5 movement or greeter went 4-7. You're missing UL Monroe as a win btw, and the hornets weren't supposed to be counted as RLM I don't think, they closed at +10.5? guess maybe you're looking somewhere else other than freesportsbets.

detroitigerz · 02-03-12, 10:42 AM

Also I'm thinking I'm gonna start a new thread... just post the plays I make that night and keep track of my record. Gunna use RLM and try to keep track of my statistics and what seems to be working. I feel bad posting in here different strategies and I'm sure it's throwing everyone for a loop.

R19 · 02-03-12, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Denver closed at -1,which made them an absolute LOCK.............

You guys are playing way to many games too make this system work...........

Definitely, but the number of games doesn't matter if they are the right games. I think I got it tweaked and it's purring like a V12. I haven't even thrown in advanced play like halves, money lines, parlays, etc. to juice the upside.

thx Night-Tripper and everyone for making this happen!

tokio · 02-03-12, 10:43 AM

ugly night. get em back.

mrtsummit · 02-03-12, 10:54 AM

You should never play all of them. I think its best o see what fits the system then play about 25% of the plays.
Play the ones you like best. Keeps you from getting buried on a thursday night. I'll take 2-1 all day long.

R19 · 02-03-12, 11:05 AM

YMMV (Your Mileage May Vary) - It seems some are all over the map on RLM right now. Read from Page 1, do the analysis, back test, think about it, and make the money.

R19 · 02-03-12, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by mrtsummit

You should never play all of them. I think its best o see what fits the system then play about 25% of the plays.
Play the ones you like best. Keeps you from getting buried on a thursday night. I'll take 2-1 all day long.

I disagree, if you play the right parameters, it works. Run it. As I mentioned, I look at some games that fit and think 'Damn', or like so much PAC12 and NBA last night, and so much Ivy League tonight. But I hang tough in the pocket and the results come in. If you play the right approach (and there is more than one successful derivative), the results come in.

For example, high spreads in NBA will constantly put your money on the worst in the league like Washington and NOLA. That is why my review showed that setting a max spread pays.

PAULYPOKER · 02-03-12, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by crockje

your absolute lock lost

. Just sayin

Denver Nuggets 112

LA Clippers 91

Ya it lost on your planet maybe but not on planet earth...............

R19 · 02-03-12, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Denver Nuggets 112

LA Clippers 91

Ya it lost on your planet maybe but not on planet earth...............

I thought you were talking about Denver Nuggets - The RLM System called a HUGE win on that. But Denver University played last night as well.

wiseguy007 · 02-03-12, 11:30 AM

UPDATE RECORD FOR 2/2/12

Games to Watch 2/02/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER

NCAAB

7:30pm 521 Detroit Titans OPEN +3 NOW +2.5 L

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 L (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 535 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +15 NOW +14 W (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 541 Oregon State Beavers OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5 L

9:00pm 540 Utah Utes OPEN +11 NOW +10.5 L (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

10:00pm 551 Utah State Aggies OPEN +8.5 NOW +7.5 W

10:00pm 545 USC Trojans OPEN +7.5 NOW +6.5 L

10:30pm 563 Pepperdine Waves OPEN +10 NOW +9.5 L (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

NBA

8:35pm 505 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +10 NOW +9 L

10:35pm 509 Denver Nuggets OPEN +2 NOW +1 W

RECORD FOR 2/2/12: OLD SYSTEM: 3-7 NEW SYSTEM: 1-3

YTD: 56-45-1 55%

wiseguy007 · 02-03-12, 11:37 AM

Games to Watch 2/03/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement. (CHANGING LINES TO WATCH STATIC TO .5PT RLM & UP)

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER

NCAAB

NO PLAYS YET

NBA

7:05pm 802 Philadelphia 76ers OPEN +2.5 NOW +2

YTD: 56-45-1 55% ($100 BETTOR IS UP $650)

crockje · 02-03-12, 12:47 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Denver Nuggets 112 LA Clippers 91 Ya it lost on your planet maybe but not on planet earth...............

Clarify which Denver your talking about next time Pauly. And RLM did call for denver win which is why we took them

Night-Tripper · 02-03-12, 02:00 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Will be tracking this stuff online, so there'll be a lot of edits.

Last night was not the night for me to be experimenting...

crockje · 02-03-12, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by R19

I disagree, if you play the right parameters, it works. Run it. As I mentioned, I look at some games that fit and think 'Damn', or like so much PAC12 and NBA last night, and so much Ivy League tonight. But I hang tough in the pocket and the results come in. If you play the right approach (and there is more than one successful derivative), the results come in. For example, high spreads in NBA will constantly put your money on the worst in the league like Washington and NOLA. That is why my review showed that setting a max spread pays.

r19 what else are you doing besides:
3000 bets
rlm of .5
63%, some 61-62%
less then 8pts ncaa and 11pts nba?

R19 · 02-03-12, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by crockje

r19 what else are you doing besides:
3000 bets
rlm of .5
63%, some 61-62%
less then 8pts ncaa and 11pts nba?

- > 3,000 Total Plays although I like to see > 3,000 on one team
- Static spread or reverse line movement. If it's a negative spread then it stays put or becomes more negative.
- 63% although I have played some high decimal 61%'s (approaching 62%) and 62%'s.
- 8.0 Point Max for NCAAB and NBA.

crockje · 02-03-12, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by R19

- > 3,000 Total Plays although I like to see > 3,000 on one team
- Static spread or reverse line movement. If it's a negative spread then it stays put or becomes more negative.
- 63% although I have played some high decimal 61%'s (approaching 62%) and 62%'s.
- 8.0 Point Max for NCAAB and NBA.

What has your record been since making changes? Gonna try this going forward

R19 · 02-03-12, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by crockje

What has your record been since making changes? Gonna try this going forward

Let's just say it's north of high 60's since last Saturday. I am jammed during the business week so I don't post details plus I don't know how closely books track their clients.

wiseguy007 · 02-03-12, 04:03 PM

update 4:03pm

Games to Watch 2/03/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement. (CHANGING LINES TO WATCH STATIC TO .5PT RLM & UP)

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER

NCAAB

NO PLAYS YET

NBA

7:05pm 802 Philadelphia 76ers OPEN +2.5 NOW +2

8:05pm 815 Phoenix Suns OPEN +7 NOW +6.5

YTD: 56-45-1 55% ($100 BETTOR IS UP $650)

R19 · 02-03-12, 05:56 PM

Slim pickin's in NCAAB. Might have nothing for the day on that side.

detroitigerz · 02-03-12, 06:36 PM

What do you guys think about this heat game tonight, I don't really follow nba but I've always thought the heat were a power house and the line is only 2... Kind of freaking me out. Anyone taking this one tonight?

crockje · 02-03-12, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by detroitigerz

What do you guys think about this heat game tonight, I don't really follow nba but I've always thought the heat were a power house and the line is only 2... Kind of freaking me out. Anyone taking this one tonight?

I pulled trigger on sixers

southpaw74 · 02-03-12, 06:40 PM

Heat are up and down and terrible away from home right now. They were up on the bucks by almost 20 and lost handily the other night. Plus the 76ers are good this year.

R19 · 02-03-12, 06:42 PM

The Heat and 76ers have the same record and 76ers have a way better ATS record. The Heat are a more popular team.

detroitigerz · 02-03-12, 07:01 PM

Thanks for the quick inputs, pulled the trigger too go sixers!

Night-Tripper · 02-03-12, 07:01 PM

76ers +2
Pistons +4.5
Pistons +170
Grizzlies +8.5
Grizzlies +350
Suns +6.5
Suns +240
St. Peter's +7.5
Rider +9
Loyola-Chicago +12

jaybee · 02-03-12, 07:03 PM

I think 76ers will win this one.

wiseguy007 · 02-03-12, 07:10 PM

UPDATE

Games to Watch 2/03/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement. (CHANGING LINES TO WATCH STATIC TO .5PT RLM & UP)

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER

NCAAB

NO PLAYS YET

NBA

7:05pm 802 Philadelphia 76ers OPEN +2.5 NOW +2

YTD: 56-45-1 55% ($100 BETTOR IS UP $650)

crockje · 02-03-12, 07:12 PM

any takers on pistons with it being only 60%

jaybee · 02-03-12, 07:16 PM

I see the bucks covering, but pistons will try to play hard on the home floor and thinking about snapping their losing streak. It could go either way, laying off this one.

R19 · 02-03-12, 07:24 PM

Originally posted by crockje

any takers on pistons with it being only 60%

Late movement in %. It was above 63%/37% earlier. And it's still moving.

Night-Tripper · 02-03-12, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

76ers +2
Pistons +4.5
Pistons +170
Grizzlies +8.5
Grizzlies +350
Suns +6.5
Suns +240
St. Peter's +7.5
Rider +9
Loyola-Chicago +12

Percentages aren't there, but the line movement is definitely RLM in favor of the Nuggets. So... I'm on them.

Beware... if last night is any indicator... you might wanna fade me... especially since only one of my plays meet RLM criteria.

Pew Pew · 02-03-12, 08:47 PM

lol @ Siena

LOL @ no name conference teams

Night-Tripper · 02-03-12, 08:50 PM

Originally posted by Pew Pew

lol @ Siena

LOL @ no name conference teams

LOL @ UCLA... blew a 10-point lead by allowing a 14-4 run and ended up losing to Washington.

Pew Pew · 02-03-12, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by night-tripper

lol @ ucla... Blew a 10-point lead by allowing a 14-4 run and ended up losing to washington.

omfg dat fuuucking hurtzzzzz take that back you lil biiiiiiitch!!!11111

umadbrah?