RLM System Plays

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  • crockje
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-03-11
    • 384

    #246
    Guys I think we should make some changes to the system let me know what you think:

    I think the line needs to move at least .5 point to be a play instead of just static
    63% or higher betting
    Min 3000 bets on one side

    When to avoid:
    If a key player is injured/or team bus gets stuck ie purdue
    if the spead is greater then 15 do not choose under dog

    A couple of people were using system like this on sbr and covers and it seemed to be profitable
    Comment
    • wiseguy007
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-20-12
      • 444

      #247
      Originally posted by ksnooksk
      wow..ok.

      I was just trying to help. But, since you want to be like this I want offer my input. BTW...I've been killing this shyt for awhile now so dont worry about me.

      BOL
      We are all here to help each other make money, please if you have info to share please do, I do not think night-tripper was being rude. He would just like to see you help instead of say this will not work.

      Please share.
      Comment
      • wiseguy007
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-20-12
        • 444

        #248
        Originally posted by crockje
        Guys I think we should make some changes to the system let me know what you think:

        I think the line needs to move at least .5 point to be a play instead of just static
        63% or higher betting
        Min 3000 bets on one side

        When to avoid:
        If a key player is injured/or team bus gets stuck ie purdue
        if the spead is greater then 15 do not choose under dog

        A couple of people were using system like this on sbr and covers and it seemed to be profitable
        This is something we should look at for sure.
        Comment
        • wiseguy007
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-20-12
          • 444

          #249
          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
          Thanks for tracking the record and keeping track of the totals.

          Much appreciated
          Sure thing. Here to help.
          Comment
          • crockje
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-03-11
            • 384

            #250
            Early game watch

            Northeastern Huskies opening line +8.5 down to +7.5 62% on ODU.......only 2200 bets right now
            NC Wilmington opening line +12 staying static at +12 74% on George Mason..........Waiting to see if line drops at least .5
            Comment
            • G3ko08
              SBR Hustler
              • 12-30-11
              • 62

              #251
              So if there is 1563 bets and Old Dominion 62%....I'm still a lil confused about this system?? Do I pick Old Dominion or opposite team?
              Comment
              • crockje
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-03-11
                • 384

                #252
                Originally posted by G3ko08
                So if there is 1563 bets and Old Dominion 62%....I'm still a lil confused about this system?? Do I pick Old Dominion or opposite team?
                If money is coming in on odu and spread has rlm you would choose opposite team or in this case the play is northeastern
                Comment
                • Automoto
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-09-12
                  • 252

                  #253
                  Memphis/Golden State.... Play on Golden State.... Line opened at Memphis (-1.5)... 64% on Memphis... line now Memphis (+1.5)


                  Track this during the day!
                  Comment
                  • Madison
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-16-11
                    • 6442

                    #254
                    Originally posted by Blood Drake
                    Night-Tripper, The premise of this kind of strategy is to make plays based on what others (larger betters) are also betting on, correct? To me that seems like you are hoping that the games are fixed or that there is some injury information that is not leaving the locker room. How do you determine that the outcome that you are hoping for is based on this criteria and not just a ton of other RLM whales hitting the betting window at the same time? I heard that it takes about a million dollars to move a point. Can anyone provide confirmation of that information?
                    Take a peak at Saturday's Yale/Brown game and the line movement. Observe (the details) of the game they played just a week earlier. Nothing for nothing but someone knew something.
                    Comment
                    • G3ko08
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 12-30-11
                      • 62

                      #255
                      Originally posted by crockje
                      If money is coming in on odu and spread has rlm you would choose opposite team or in this case the play is northeastern
                      I'm still a newbie, what do u mean if "spread has rlm??"
                      Comment
                      • southpaw74
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-21-09
                        • 7104

                        #256
                        Originally posted by G3ko08
                        I'm still a newbie, what do u mean if "spread has rlm??"
                        Reverse line movement. The line is going the opposite way than the majority of bets. You can google it as well.
                        Comment
                        • southpaw74
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-21-09
                          • 7104

                          #257
                          Originally posted by Automoto
                          Memphis/Golden State.... Play on Golden State.... Line opened at Memphis (-1.5)... 64% on Memphis... line now Memphis (+1.5)


                          Track this during the day!
                          Line opened at golden state -1 not Memphis -1. It does still fit the system though
                          Comment
                          • Full-Grown
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-15-10
                            • 243

                            #258
                            Originally posted by Blood Drake
                            Night-Tripper, The premise of this kind of strategy is to make plays based on what others (larger betters) are also betting on, correct? To me that seems like you are hoping that the games are fixed or that there is some injury information that is not leaving the locker room. How do you determine that the outcome that you are hoping for is based on this criteria and not just a ton of other RLM whales hitting the betting window at the same time? I heard that it takes about a million dollars to move a point. Can anyone provide confirmation of that information?
                            Totally false. A sharp bettor can move the lines and it doesn't have to be for that much money. If someone is known as a sharp they could move the lines betting a few hundred dollars. But if they're really sharp obviously they will be betting more soon enough.
                            Comment
                            • Blood Drake
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-23-11
                              • 101

                              #259
                              Originally posted by Automoto
                              Memphis/Golden State.... Play on Golden State.... Line opened at Memphis (-1.5)... 64% on Memphis... line now Memphis (+1.5) Track this during the day!
                              Where did you see the line open at Memphis -1.5? I think you misread the opening line. Every where I looked Memphis opened somewhere between + 1.0 and +2.0. Line is pretty much static with a couple sites moving a half point towards + 2 Memphis.
                              Comment
                              • Automoto
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-09-12
                                • 252

                                #260
                                Using the website that was recommended for tracking RLM's, the opening line was Memphis (-1.0) --- My bad on the error earlier.
                                Comment
                                • Automoto
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-09-12
                                  • 252

                                  #261
                                  That Orlando game smells fishy to me as well... A VERY high % on Orlando but the line stays at -4..... HMMMM
                                  Comment
                                  • southpaw74
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-21-09
                                    • 7104

                                    #262
                                    I don't know but both sbr and scoresandodds have golden state as opening as the fav. There is certainly still rlm though
                                    Comment
                                    • Blood Drake
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-23-11
                                      • 101

                                      #263
                                      Originally posted by Full-Grown
                                      Totally false. A sharp bettor can move the lines and it doesn't have to be for that much money. If someone is known as a sharp they could move the lines betting a few hundred dollars. But if they're really sharp obviously they will be betting more soon enough.
                                      Just looked up the definition of a sharp. I guess they spot bad lines. If they are known by the sportsbook, then I guess their decision to bet would make the lines move because the books are adjusting to a posted bad line. I still don't see how my statement was totally false though. If massive numbers of people are betting the same side of a bet then the line is going to move whether a sharp is involved or not. I was under the impression that in this case it takes about a million dollars worth of betting to move the line one point. I wasn't saying that placing a single million dollar bet would move the line. Though if a sharp placed that bet I guess it may move it.
                                      Comment
                                      • crockje
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-03-11
                                        • 384

                                        #264
                                        Originally posted by Automoto
                                        Using the website that was recommended for tracking RLM's, the opening line was Memphis (-1.0) --- My bad on the error earlier. http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html
                                        I thought we all agreed to use the opening number from sbr odds and use freesportsbet just for public %? If thats the case the line opened at Golden St -1.5 and has gone to -2
                                        Comment
                                        • crockje
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-03-11
                                          • 384

                                          #265
                                          Hofstra may be a play if we get over 3000 bets line started at +14 down to +13.5 70% coming in on vcu
                                          Comment
                                          • crockje
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-03-11
                                            • 384

                                            #266
                                            Washing Wizards also opened at +14 down +13 over 3000 bets 60% on sixers......if % goes to 63% should be play
                                            Comment
                                            • nickspen13
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-14-11
                                              • 102

                                              #267
                                              Where do u find the amount of bets, not just %'s on a certain team Crock?
                                              Comment
                                              • crockje
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-03-11
                                                • 384

                                                #268
                                                Originally posted by nickspen13
                                                Where do u find the amount of bets, not just %'s on a certain team Crock?
                                                http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html
                                                Comment
                                                • blackout31
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 05-19-11
                                                  • 180

                                                  #269
                                                  Since I've done research and stuff for other forums, I might as well look for this one too, if y'all don't mind.

                                                  I agree with Crockje. I have been staring at the Hofstra line forever and it stays at +14. I would think it would've hit +14.5 or +15 by now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chinoloco212
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-24-11
                                                    • 1095

                                                    #270
                                                    alright guys im looking at one game today.........UNC WILMINGTON....LARGE if the line stays or drops
                                                    Comment
                                                    • southpaw74
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-21-09
                                                      • 7104

                                                      #271
                                                      Why? I would do Santa Clara or golden state before Wilmington
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chinoloco212
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-24-11
                                                        • 1095

                                                        #272
                                                        oh i havent looked at nba yet
                                                        Comment
                                                        • chinoloco212
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-24-11
                                                          • 1095

                                                          #273
                                                          the santa clara play is so iffy thats one im laying off, i do like GSW alot tho!



                                                          GSW Large as well
                                                          Comment
                                                          • southpaw74
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-21-09
                                                            • 7104

                                                            #274
                                                            It bothers me that george mason is 4-0 ats with wilmington and they are both mediocre ats overall
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chinoloco212
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-24-11
                                                              • 1095

                                                              #275
                                                              changing the wilmington to med for now, large if any RLM comes on it
                                                              Comment
                                                              • crockje
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 01-03-11
                                                                • 384

                                                                #276
                                                                Originally posted by chinoloco212
                                                                oh i havent looked at nba yet
                                                                Chino why do you like wilmington? line seems to be staying same instead of reverse
                                                                Comment
                                                                • southpaw74
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-21-09
                                                                  • 7104

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Santa Clara has moved 3 points already with the majority on loyola. That's a ton. Loyola should roll them so something is off
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • chinoloco212
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-24-11
                                                                    • 1095

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Originally posted by southpaw74
                                                                    It bothers me that george mason is 4-0 ats with wilmington and they are both mediocre ats overall

                                                                    vegas is great at setting baits like this, don't u think everyone sees that and decides to pound george mason? my numbers have it at 78% george mason yet the line is not moving?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • southpaw74
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-21-09
                                                                      • 7104

                                                                      #279
                                                                      I'm not saying mason is the play. I'm just not sold on betting the game that's all. Obviously Vegas sees everything
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • crockje
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 01-03-11
                                                                        • 384

                                                                        #280
                                                                        still feel like right now northeastern has to be a play
                                                                        Comment
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