RLM System Plays

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 11:15 AM

Guys I think we should make some changes to the system let me know what you think:

I think the line needs to move at least .5 point to be a play instead of just static
63% or higher betting
Min 3000 bets on one side

When to avoid:
If a key player is injured/or team bus gets stuck ie purdue

if the spead is greater then 15 do not choose under dog

A couple of people were using system like this on sbr and covers and it seemed to be profitable

**wiseguy007** · 01-23-12, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by ksnooksk

wow..ok.

I was just trying to help. But, since you want to be like this I want offer my input. BTW...I've been killing this shyt for awhile now so dont worry about me.

BOL

We are all here to help each other make money, please if you have info to share please do, I do not think night-tripper was being rude. He would just like to see you help instead of say this will not work.

Please share.

**wiseguy007** · 01-23-12, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by crockje

Guys I think we should make some changes to the system let me know what you think:

I think the line needs to move at least .5 point to be a play instead of just static
63% or higher betting
Min 3000 bets on one side

When to avoid:
If a key player is injured/or team bus gets stuck ie purdue

if the spead is greater then 15 do not choose under dog

A couple of people were using system like this on sbr and covers and it seemed to be profitable

This is something we should look at for sure.

**wiseguy007** · 01-23-12, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Thanks for tracking the record and keeping track of the totals.

Much appreciated

Sure thing. Here to help.

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 12:23 PM

Early game watch

Northeastern Huskies opening line +8.5 down to +7.5 62% on ODU.......only 2200 bets right now
NC Wilmington opening line +12 staying static at +12 74% on George Mason..........Waiting to see if line drops at least .5

**G3ko08** · 01-23-12, 01:12 PM

So if there is 1563 bets and Old Dominion 62%....I'm still a lil confused about this system?? Do I pick Old Dominion or opposite team?

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 01:15 PM

Originally posted by G3ko08

So if there is 1563 bets and Old Dominion 62%....I'm still a lil confused about this system?? Do I pick Old Dominion or opposite team?

If money is coming in on odu and spread has rlm you would choose opposite team or in this case the play is northeastern

**Automoto** · 01-23-12, 01:23 PM

Memphis/Golden State.... Play on Golden State.... Line opened at Memphis (-1.5)... 64% on Memphis... line now Memphis (+1.5)

Track this during the day!

**Madison** · 01-23-12, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by Blood Drake

Night-Tripper, The premise of this kind of strategy is to make plays based on what others (larger betters) are also betting on, correct? To me that seems like you are hoping that the games are fixed or that there is some injury information that is not leaving the locker room. How do you determine that the outcome that you are hoping for is based on this criteria and not just a ton of other RLM whales hitting the betting window at the same time? I heard that it takes about a million dollars to move a point. Can anyone provide confirmation of that information?

Take a peak at Saturday's Yale/Brown game and the line movement. Observe (the details) of the game they played just a week earlier. Nothing for nothing but someone knew something.

**G3ko08** · 01-23-12, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by crockje

If money is coming in on odu and spread has rlm you would choose opposite team or in this case the play is northeastern

I'm still a newbie, what do u mean if "spread has rlm??"

**southpaw74** · 01-23-12, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by G3ko08

I'm still a newbie, what do u mean if "spread has rlm??"

Reverse line movement. The line is going the opposite way than the majority of bets. You can google it as well.

**southpaw74** · 01-23-12, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by Automoto

Memphis/Golden State.... Play on Golden State.... Line opened at Memphis (-1.5)... 64% on Memphis... line now Memphis (+1.5)

Track this during the day!

Line opened at golden state -1 not Memphis -1. It does still fit the system though

**Full-Grown** · 01-23-12, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by Blood Drake

Night-Tripper, The premise of this kind of strategy is to make plays based on what others (larger betters) are also betting on, correct? To me that seems like you are hoping that the games are fixed or that there is some injury information that is not leaving the locker room. How do you determine that the outcome that you are hoping for is based on this criteria and not just a ton of other RLM whales hitting the betting window at the same time? I heard that it takes about a million dollars to move a point. Can anyone provide confirmation of that information?

Totally false. A sharp bettor can move the lines and it doesn't have to be for that much money. If someone is known as a sharp they could move the lines betting a few hundred dollars. But if they're really sharp obviously they will be betting more soon enough.

**Blood Drake** · 01-23-12, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by Automoto

Memphis/Golden State.... Play on Golden State.... Line opened at Memphis (-1.5)... 64% on Memphis... line now Memphis (+1.5) Track this during the day!

Where did you see the line open at Memphis -1.5? I think you misread the opening line. Every where I looked Memphis opened somewhere between + 1.0 and +2.0. Line is pretty much static with a couple sites moving a half point towards + 2 Memphis.

**Automoto** · 01-23-12, 02:08 PM

Using the website that was recommended for tracking RLM's, the opening line was Memphis (-1.0) --- My bad on the error earlier.

http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html

**Automoto** · 01-23-12, 02:11 PM

That Orlando game smells fishy to me as well... A VERY high % on Orlando but the line stays at -4..... HMMMM

**southpaw74** · 01-23-12, 02:12 PM

I don't know but both sbr and scoresandodds have golden state as opening as the fav. There is certainly still rlm though

**Blood Drake** · 01-23-12, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by Full-Grown

Totally false. A sharp bettor can move the lines and it doesn't have to be for that much money. If someone is known as a sharp they could move the lines betting a few hundred dollars. But if they're really sharp obviously they will be betting more soon enough.

Just looked up the definition of a sharp. I guess they spot bad lines. If they are known by the sportsbook, then I guess their decision to bet would make the lines move because the books are adjusting to a posted bad line. I still don't see how my statement was totally false though. If massive numbers of people are betting the same side of a bet then the line is going to move whether a sharp is involved or not. I was under the impression that in this case it takes about a million dollars worth of betting to move the line one point. I wasn't saying that placing a single million dollar bet would move the line. Though if a sharp placed that bet I guess it may move it.

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by Automoto

Using the website that was recommended for tracking RLM's, the opening line was Memphis (-1.0) --- My bad on the error earlier. http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html

I thought we all agreed to use the opening number from sbr odds and use freesportsbet just for public %? If thats the case the line opened at Golden St -1.5 and has gone to -2

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 02:31 PM

Hofstra may be a play if we get over 3000 bets line started at +14 down to +13.5 70% coming in on vcu

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 02:33 PM

Washing Wizards also opened at +14 down +13 over 3000 bets 60% on sixers......if % goes to 63% should be play

**nickspen13** · 01-23-12, 02:40 PM

Where do u find the amount of bets, not just %'s on a certain team Crock?

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 02:55 PM

Originally posted by nickspen13

Where do u find the amount of bets, not just %'s on a certain team Crock?

http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html

**blackout31** · 01-23-12, 03:00 PM

Since I've done research and stuff for other forums, I might as well look for this one too, if y'all don't mind.

I agree with Crockje. I have been staring at the Hofstra line forever and it stays at +14. I would think it would've hit +14.5 or +15 by now.

**chinoloco212** · 01-23-12, 03:05 PM

alright guys im looking at one game today.........UNC WILMINGTON....LARGE if the line stays or drops

**southpaw74** · 01-23-12, 03:12 PM

Why? I would do Santa Clara or golden state before Wilmington

**chinoloco212** · 01-23-12, 03:13 PM

oh i havent looked at nba yet

**chinoloco212** · 01-23-12, 03:15 PM

the santa clara play is so iffy thats one im laying off, i do like GSW alot tho!

GSW Large as well

**southpaw74** · 01-23-12, 03:16 PM

It bothers me that george mason is 4-0 ats with wilmington and they are both mediocre ats overall

**chinoloco212** · 01-23-12, 03:16 PM

changing the wilmington to med for now, large if any RLM comes on it

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 03:17 PM

Originally posted by chinoloco212

oh i havent looked at nba yet

Chino why do you like wilmington? line seems to be staying same instead of reverse

**southpaw74** · 01-23-12, 03:17 PM

Santa Clara has moved 3 points already with the majority on loyola. That's a ton. Loyola should roll them so something is off

**chinoloco212** · 01-23-12, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by southpaw74

It bothers me that george mason is 4-0 ats with wilmington and they are both mediocre ats overall

vegas is great at setting baits like this, don't u think everyone sees that and decides to pound george mason? my numbers have it at 78% george mason yet the line is not moving?

**southpaw74** · 01-23-12, 03:22 PM

I'm not saying mason is the play. I'm just not sold on betting the game that's all. Obviously Vegas sees everything

**crockje** · 01-23-12, 03:24 PM

still feel like right now northeastern has to be a play