My NBA Picks Round 1.

[H1Cypher]

Unofficial Plays: Celtics vs Heat 2nd quarter Under 45.5 Live in Play -115

Leans/Unofficial Plays go 1-0 yesterday bringing that record to 29-22. Was definitely a game to bet the under in the 2nd half also. Who on that team is gonna start lighting it up for them to go over 87? They only got close to it cause in the 4th quarter both teams decided to play really fast. 4th quarters sometimes take on a life of their own in the NBA though. Just like totals peak in high scoring games there is usually at least 1 point where it gets low enough for you to bet the over in most live in play games.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 29-22 Units not tracked.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
Teaser Record: 1-1 +3
Labby Plays: 3-3 +$2.75

-110 St. Louis Cardinals -1 Runline vs Chicago Cubs (-110) .55 to win .5u
-130 Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres(+120) to win .65u to win .5 units
+101 Tampa Bay Rays -1 vs LA Angels(-121) to win .5 units
-116 Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles risking to win 1 unit

Will update the win loss record when I put up my picks for the later MLB games.


I told myself I was gonna get punished for making the Blue Jays 1 unit and the rest .5 units. Don't watch the game of baseball just trying enough to be have a winning record which I was thinking would eventually lead my data in the red. it's still early though. Only a week of MLB baseball picks in.

April 25th:
MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
Chicago White Sox -125 vs Oakland Athletics to win .5u

Errrr, lol missed the morning games again. It's a wed. =p... who the hell plays a major sport at 12 pm on a wednesday .

MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):

Went 2-2 yesterday for -.71 units. Up 1 unit but down 1.71 units. Fade goes loses 1 unit on my 2 losses. .63 units won from the cubs Dog ML win, and 1.06 units from the Orioles for +.69 units. Runline fade -.6 and -.5 for -1.1 subtracted from 1.61u and runline gains +.51u.


My Record 15-11 +/-: +3.215 units
Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 11-15 -2.57 units
Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:11-15 fade +/-: -3.675 units

April 25th:
MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):

Washington Nationals -131 vs San Diego Padres +121 to win .5 units

ESPN write up only source, and zero baseball knowledge.

[H1Cypher]

Starting another category. Not trying to lose any money leading into the playoffs unless it's a live in play game or something I really like.

Action Plays: Blake Griffin Points over 21 +110 $10.00 to win $11.00
Record: 0-0 $0.0

it's at 5dimes just noticed before the game. Big game he'll get the touches hopefully he has a big game.

Edit: Damn no Chris Paul. I would prefer he play cause he gets Griffin alot of easy points. Good thing I was just bored and bet 10 dollars. Regardless, if he doesn't rest this could mean he gets more offensive touches. On the other hand, if Clippers are being blown out he could sit. No Paul, blow out?

[H1Cypher]

This was to be expected good thing I didn't bet more than 10 dollars. Even when he had 5 points in 6 minutes I'm like he's gonna need to go off by himself cause no one is going to get him good looks. He is gonna have to get offensive boards, hit jumpers, and do some other shit. Paul gives Griffin a good 6+ easy points a game. Snap, just got bamboozled for 10 dollars

No live in play leans for this game. I dunno what Novak and Smith are gonna give me in the 2nd. Might come with something towards the end of the half but the window will be super small. better off reading my comments on live in play and using some of the tips I've given out in march.

[H1Cypher]

Still nothing I would bet lots of money on but with a gun to my head I'd pick the most obvious Knicks over 51.5 1h.

[H1Cypher]

Choppy game I usually bet the under early for a small amount before the total drops too low or skip these games in general. Looks like a skipper to me. Will still get 1 more chance to bet the total for the 1st half as long as there is a commercial before the 4 minute mark.

[H1Cypher]

I was right the totals went up 1 last time at 4:30. Recap of the numbers dimes put up at that mark:

92.5 for both teams 1st half. Clippers 42.5 o/u and Knicks 50 pts o/u for 1st half at the 4:30 mark of 2nd quarter.

You gotta plan out what you will bet on and just watch the game unfold eventually it'll click what the score is. Sometimes it'll be more obvious than other times(that is how I do it, and have had great results with bets I do lock in).

[H1Cypher]

Like I said choppy games are the toughest to live in play cap. I tagged this as choppy sometime in the 2nd quarter and decided to lay off completely. 1st quarter went under the posted live in play total. 1st half went under also but with scoring bursts. So eventually it can pick up or not, who knows- choppy game.

High scoring game posted 3rd quarter live in play total was 52.5 o/u for both teams 29.5 clippers o/u and 23 knicks o/u. 52.5 over or under which is the better decision?

Well, based on what I've seen so far under. Based on what I'm seeing in the 3rd over. Bassed on what I've profiled the game to be(like I said in the past in many posts avoid betting live in play totals in choppy games)- no play.

Choppy game I usually bet the under early for a small amount before the total drops too low or skip these games in general. Looks like a skipper to me. Will still get 1 more chance to bet the total for the 1st half as long as there is a commercial before the 4 minute mark.

There's a quote with over 7 or 8 minutes to go in the 2nd quarter.

What happens in the 3rd quarter? Score ended 53. Recognized this in the 2nd quarter before I placed any 1st half bets. And I was safely able to not take any losses in this game.

Jordan Foul: Shooting (1 PF)	01:45
	01:45 [NYK 68-60]	Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)
	01:45 [NYK 69-60]	Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)
	01:38	Novak Foul: Personal (1 PF)
Jordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	01:38 [LAC 61-69]
Jordan Free Throw 2 of 2 Missed	01:38
	01:37	Fields Rebound (Off:1 Def:2)
	01:22 [NYK 72-61]	Smith 3pt Shot: Made (8 PTS) Assist: Fields (1 AST)
Foye 3pt Shot: Made (23 PTS) Assist: Griffin (5 AST)	00:54.9 [LAC 64-72]
	00:43.9	Fields Jump Shot: Missed
Jordan Rebound (Off:2 Def:8)	00:41.9
Foye 3pt Shot: Missed	00:33.8
Williams Rebound (Off:1 Def:2)	00:31.4
Griffin Driving Slam Dunk Shot: Made (16 PTS) Assist: Williams (2 AST)	00:25.2 [LAC 66-72]
	00:02.9 [NYK 74-66]	Smith Jump Shot: Made (10 PTS)
Griffin 3pt Shot: Missed	00:00.6
Team Rebound	00:00.0

[H1Cypher]

MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):

-147 Cleveland Indians vs Kansas City Royals +137 to win .5u

Playing this at 147 that's what it was at when I capped it. If I were betting that is what I would have locked it in as. Makes it more appropriate to track the data that way. I just forgot to post it before I went to sleep yesterday. Same method espn pre game write up and simple minded thinking.

I actually remembered the morning games, yeah I posted that after the game started but I'm just tracking information at this point so I think that is fine + Royals are up 1 run. Gonna do a couple more to throw into the pile.

If you find yourself losing money in live in play totals read my ingame write up yesterday on how to avoid games where you may be leaning one way or the other and the flow of the game is switching up. It may sound like drivel but alot of the stuff has been happening in the games and I think to myself when I see it. Hey I wrote about this in my thread. So it can be a good reference =p.

[H1Cypher]

Action Plays: Blake Griffin Points over 21 +110 $10.00 to win $11.00
Record: 1-0 $10.00

Trend continues first bet of any category seems to always win. 8-0 on that one lol. I didn't like it in game like I said. He got enough offensive boards and touches went over with 41 minutes played. Looked like my fears were coming true though kinda going exactly how it would until Clippers closed the lead late in the game and Del Negro let Blake stay in it for more minutes. Lol, why didn't I make this a 1 unit official bet again?

Yes for me an action play is 10 dollars by the way =p. Just winning the 10 dollars on a 60 second decision is enough for me. Even though I think my 60 decisions are mostly good when it comes to teams I've been watching alot this year.


Official Thread Record:
Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 29-22 Units not tracked.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
Teaser Record: 1-1 +3
Labby Plays: 3-3 +$2.75
Action Plays:1-0 +$10.00

MLB Fade Plays
Chicago White Sox -125 vs Oakland Athletics to win .5u
Washington Nationals -131 vs San Diego Padres +121 to win .5 units

Looked at that WhiteSox scoreboard. lol if I was watching that game with money on the line... don't you hate those false hope moments? Go up by 2 in OT only to lose the game.

-.625u +.5u = .125u + or - depending on how you look at it
and the fade is up .075 units -.5 and a .575 win

MLB Fade Plays:
My Record 16-12 +/-: +3.09 units
Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 12-16 -2.745 units
Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:12-16 fade +/-: -3.60 units

April 26th:
MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):

-114 Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles(+104) to win 1 unit
-1 Detroit Tigers -156 vs Seattle mariners(runline is +136 +1, and ml +190) to win .5u

Same method ESPN pre game write up and a haphazard method.

I knew I shouldn't have played the Indians. Rich was on it, if this was for money would have probably avoided. If I see a mush is on a play I may not play it unless it is a stronger play lol. If it's a strong enough play I could care what mush is on it- but of course none of my MLB plays are strong lol.

Here are Richs picks for today

http://forum.sbrforum.com/service-plays/1693068-fade-rich-sports-thursday-4-26-a.html

[H1Cypher]

Nothing I would classify as a winner worthy of max betting. Bets I noticed in this game I was thinking about posting Knicks -1.5 1st half. Knicks/Bobcats Under 91.5 1st half. Knicks/Bobcats under 187 before it went up to 188.5. All I considered posting- but none of them were strong enough to get tagged.

Right now totals are 181.5 92.5Knicks o/u, and 89 bobcats o/u.

25-25 8:85 left in the 2nd quarter. I told myself I wasn't going to do any bets for this game or any ingame write ups cause it was such a degen game to bet on, but I started to notice things as you will with all basketball games if you're watching.

[H1Cypher]

Commercial break at 4:50 total 184. Knicks 94.5 Bobcats 89.5. No consistency to the pace so nothing strong to bet on yet.

1st half at 4:50 was up momentarily also 88.5 for both teams, 43 Bobcats o/u 1st half, Knicks 45.5 o/u 1st half with 4:50 to go.

I'm just narrating the the live in play lines at this point.

46Knicks-44Bobcats finish to the 1st half.

[H1Cypher]

Now that playoffs are about to start every game is nationally televised meaning I can get better lines than most people betting pre game cause I'll be looking for live opportunities for the same price(-110). Also, I'll be able to track the games pace and make more accurate bets on totals and spreads- something you can't do betting pre game. If you plan on only betting pre game for the NBA playoffs you are giving up possible advantage.
If you're betting more than 500-1k a game then live in play isn't for you cause that is the limit is 500 per bet and I haven't asked to have it raised doubt they would do that though? I've been doing my live in play at 5dimes.


MLB Fade Plays:


-147 Cleveland Indians vs Kansas City Royals +137 to win .5u

-114 Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles(+104) to win 1 unit
-1 Detroit Tigers -156 vs Seattle mariners(runline is +136 +1, and ml +190) to win .5u

Going to grade the Indians -147 loss for me and +143 win for fade cause during the ay the line shifted in indians favor big time. I'm now 1 game above 50% picking big favorites and virtually 0 dogs. I'm gonna go back and track how much I'd be up if I faded myself for a flat unit of 1 per game- I'll be in the black even 1 game down I know that. Still though, what is a good percentage for picking only dogs? 52% winners or so if you picked all dogs is good, I dunno myself?

Just to illustrate how dumb my picking method is other than having never watched baseball. The Tigers game confused me. The ESPN pre game write up said they lost to the Mariners 9 out of 11 so I shouldnt have played them. Accuscore made the Tigers a huge favorite though, so I got confused. Also coupled with I don't know what I'm doing when it comes to baseball and not betting my own picks I can throw around chalk plays like that hoping it will pay off. So far I'm 0-3 in those big chalk plays.


April 27th:
MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
Philadelphia Phillies -240 vs Chicago Cubs +220 to win .5u
-150 LA Angels vs Cleveland Indians +140 to win 2 units
Detroit Tigers -120 vs New York Yankees +110 .6 to win .5u

ESPN pre game write up tells me I should like the Angels best out of the 7 o clock games. ESPN pre game write up also told me not to bet the Phillies but I'm an idiot- and I feel like it's a lock =p. In reality, I know next to nothing about baseball. Still haven't watched a game of baseball. Hopefully yesterday was the beginning of a losing streak. Maybe not today cause I'm going on 2 big chalk favorites but we'll see.

[H1Cypher]

-147 Cleveland Indians vs Kansas City Royals +137 to win .5u

-114 Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles(+104) to win 1 unit
-1 Detroit Tigers -156 vs Seattle mariners(runline is +136 +1, and ml +190) to win .5u

Dropped .735u on the Indians, 1.14u on the Blue Jays, and .78u on the Tigers runline leaving me only .435u in the black.

+2.74u(indians were played at +150 for fade as that was an easy line to get during the day) for the fade moneyline bringing it to -.005u.
Runline fade is +2.47u yesterday.

MLB Fade Plays:
My Record 16-15 +/-: +.435u units
Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 15-16 -0.005 units
Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:15-16 fade +/-: -1.13 units

MLB Fade Plays for April 27:
Tampa Bay Rays Under 4 -110 vs Texas Rangers other side is -110 too to win .5u

[H1Cypher]

MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
Philadelphia Phillies -240 vs Chicago Cubs +220 to win .5u
-150 LA Angels vs Cleveland Indians +140 to win 2 units
Detroit Tigers -120 vs New York Yankees +110 .6 to win .5u
Tampa Bay Rays Under 4 -110 vs Texas Rangers over side is -110 too to win .5u

ESPN write up told me not to play the Phillies should've listened lol. Would take people quite a while to pick 6 dogs consecutively I imagine, well fading me would have gotten 6 in a row dog wins in under 40 picks lol. 35 to be exact. No baseball knowledge hopefully this can continue. Might start to win a couple who knows. I have the record for how many units would be + or - if I were flat bet fading my these. 1 thing I did get close to correct almost +10 units in about a week if I had faded myself.

MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
My Record 16-19 +/-: -4.915u units
Fade Record with Moneyline dogs rather than +1 or +1.5 as the fade bet: 19-16 +4.945 units
Fade Record Playing Opposite me with Runline +1 or +1.5:15-16 fade +/-: +3.815 units
Flat Bet Fading my MLB picks on the moneyline 1 unit per pick: 19-16 +9.82u

fade record flat betting:
-112 loss
+110 win
+101 loss
+140 win
+100 loss
+152 win
+152win
+100 loss
+146 loss
-122 Win
+185 win
+105 loss
+130 win
+124 loss
+160 win
UP 417
+115 loss
UP 317
+100 loss
+100 loss
+122 loss
+132 loss
+115 loss

DOWN -183

-107 win
+130 win
+120 loss
+130 loss
+106 win
+115 win
+121 loss

Down -32

+150 win
+104 win
+190 win
+220 win
+140 win
+110 win
-110 win

+982 so far in 35 picks for the fade so +9.82 units flat fading with the moneyline.
those are the odds opposite of my picks, some of them are good when i had the bad number n my side. some could have been better if shopped around like cubs at +220 couldve gotten them at +240

[H1Cypher]

Open Parlay Record: 0-0
3 team parlay
Bulls moneyline -515 vs Sixers game 1
Lakers vs Nuggets Series -200
Johnson/Barry 5/5/2012 UFC - Fight Won't go the Distance -530
+113

Open 5 Team Parlay
Bulls -515 moneyline vs Sixers game 1
Pacers Series -970 vs Orlando Magic
Not Nashville Predators in 4 games vs Phoenix Coyotes -1200 Win
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors live in play -1200 win
Open Slot
it's at about -182 right now I'm risking 1 unit and it will probably end up being 1 unit to win .85

I've been hitting a high percentage of open parlays lately which has encouraged me to start tracking my record. It takes me a long time to close them but they have been hitting at a high rate. Now I'm just posting these after winning several in a row- so I could very well lose my next few lol. I realize there vast options rather than putting the Bulls in 2 parlays, and the bad decision there.

April 28th:
MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
St Louis Cardinals - 147 vs Milwaukee Brewers +137 to win 2 units
LA Angels -132 vs Cleveland Indians to win 1 unit

Same as usual 0 baseball knowledge and the ESPN write ups pre game write ups as my only source of information. Going to move this to the MLB section in a bit just keeping it here for now.

[H1Cypher]

Continuously solidify my point with commments like this. Could have gotten Sixers +15 live in play already for game. And +10 for 1st quarter(yes I said that right). Final score to 1st quarter 28Bulls-24Sixers. I placed no bets. Yeah, how dumb is it betting on that +8 or +10 pre game on a big dog?

Well not dumb if Sixers take the lead early right? Yeah- well good luck thinking that way =p.

Also you can't rationalize it oh they are down 4 10+4=14. It doesn't work that way. Giving up live in play is like going into a shoot out with a with 1 bullet.

[H1Cypher]

Labby Plays:
Carmelo Anthony 27 Points Over vs Miami Heat -110 $5.50 to win $5.00
Carmelo Anthony Assists + Rebounds Over 10.5 +120 $5.00 to win $6.00

Melo Over 27 points at -110 is worth a legit bet here but I'm keeping it light. I should have bet Bulls team total over 52.5 in that 1st half. Number kept popping up and I kept wanting to take it but didn't cause game was pretty choppy.Already got some other works just throwing these out there.

Official Thread Record:
Props: 12-6 +4.525units Basketball Bets: 17-11 +4.835 units
Total for the "Official" tagged bets thread: 29-17. +9.36 units
Leans/Unofficial Plays: 29-22 Units not tracked.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Cold Plays(with live in play coldplay included): 6-2-1 Profit: +3.70 units Fade Profit: -4.45 units
Cold Plays(with out coldplay live in play record): 4-1-1 Profit: +2.85 units Fade Profit: -3.20 units
Teaser Record: 1-1 +3
Labby Plays: 3-3 +$2.75
Action Plays:1-0 +$10.00

[Speedy88]

I'm on Melo over 26.5 at -115, good luck. I expect Melo to have a huge night. It is key for him to get going early, because by the 4th quarter LeBron will likely be guarding him.

[H1Cypher]

I'm on Melo over 26.5 at -115, good luck. I expect Melo to have a huge night. It is key for him to get going early, because by the 4th quarter LeBron will likely be guarding him.

Good luck. Yeah I noticed that other number 26.5 but when I saw the -110 27 at dimes I was okay with it. As long as Melo isn't cold I like the chances especially at -110. Essentially I'm betting -110 Melo doesn't go cold. Even if he has an average night I think the edge is on Melo. I guess a half a point at -5 is stupid of me though wow, but it's okay it's a 5 dollar bet.

NBA Drive to the Finals 19% of the players have Melo as their 1st pick in that fantasy game. The 2 years i've played the fans are good in the early rounds. Nothing to take seriously, just a fun observation.

[H1Cypher]

Labby Plays: Bulls Over 103 Live in Play -115 to win $5.00

Just bored. I knew I should have gotten Bulls over 99.5, and so I'm willing to throw away 5 dollars angry I didn't bet it when I should've =p.Commercial break before this one had Bulls at 99.5, won't be surprised if the score ends at 102. Man, steaming... I knew I should've gotten the Bulls at 99.5. Missed my chance

[H1Cypher]

Labby Plays: Heat -1.5 vs Knicks 1st quarter -130 Live in Play to win $5.00

Need an excuse to post my 2 MLB plays. So I'll put this live in play up too. Don't take it too seriously.

April 28th:
MLB Fade Plays(my picks are in bold):
Cincinatti Reds -192 vs Houston Astros +181 to win 1 unit
-140 Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates to win .5

[Speedy88]

Heat are really locking in on Melo. Did not expect LeBron to be guarding him to start the game. Each time they met in the season LeBron only guarded him in the 4th quarter. Unless Melo gets hot, the prop may be dead.

[H1Cypher]

Heat are really locking in on Melo. Did not expect LeBron to be guarding him to start the game. Each time they met in the season LeBron only guarded him in the 4th quarter. Unless Melo gets hot, the prop may be dead.

Sorry if it is. But you never know it is a close game. Melo can have 20 in just a half. Hopefully you didn't go big on the prop. Right before the game I noticed both Melo props were at +135 and +140 on the over... someone must've really liked the under.

I know you didn't get the pick tailing my labby plays though, was your own pick judging by the time stamp to your reply =).

[H1Cypher]

Ugh, I knew I should have bet over 46.5 for the 1st quarter in this game. Why did I decide to take it light the first few broadcasts? Errr.......

I mean under

[H1Cypher]

I only bet between the 1st(after 1st is over) and 2nd quarter(before seeing any 2nd quarter action). Unless I have a strong play. You don't want to get burned by a change of flow in the game. I've said this before, saying it again cause it is helpful.

Can't believe Melo props went to +135 and +140 on over points and over boards + assists before the game. Could've gotten some extra change for my labby play category if I had just waited.

I like to bet money on totals- I need to get more active with point spreads. Choppy games = good for point spread betting I think not yet tested but maybe?

[H1Cypher]

Too much defense, too many offensive players in the game, and let's not forget about that scoring burst that may happen in the last minute of a game and half. Where both teams just don't grab the ball until half court- extend possessions and somehow get to shoot the ball 4 or more times just in the last minute of the game. Naturally I'm leaning towards the under- but a significant wager on the under in a live in play total in this Heat Knick game is a risky bet to put lots of money on.

A bit under6 minutes totals are 85.5 o/u 40.5 o/u knicks, and 45.5 heat o/u. 1st half

[H1Cypher]

Even when total was 92.5 for both teams in the 1st half I was leaning under- more time to play at that point game. Read above paragraph why I didn't lock in the under then. If you've read my thread before the Heat are among the teams I most dislike playing live in play totals with.

3:57 to play they put em up 1 more time 84.5 for both teams in the 1st half. +8.5 for Knicks -8.5 for Heat.

[H1Cypher]

Sometimes I make the right call, and don't play it = me annoyed with myself.

Sometimes I make the right call and don't play it (the right call is the no play) = and I win nothing but it feels like a win =).

54 Heat - 31 Knicks. Lebron shooting a freethrow with 3.3 to go.

That 1st half should have been under 84.5 but the refs just had to get involved. Called it, didn't play it- could have played it myself but I'm not that psychic.

[H1Cypher]

2-1-1 in basketball categories so far that I posted. Will update at the end of the day. Ingame write up for Knicks was on point too even though I didn't bet anything in the 1st half.

Open Parlay: 0-0
Indiana Pacers -1.5 vs Orlando Magic -328 Series Games Won
Not LA Kings in 4 games -2800 vs ST Louis Blues
Fight won't go 5 round distance Mir/Dos Santos 5/26/2012 UFC -475
50 to win 32(-156)

From earlier today:

3 team parlay
Bulls moneyline -515 vs Sixers game 1 Win
Lakers vs Nuggets Series -200 Pending
Johnson/Barry 5/5/2012 UFC - Fight Won't go the Distance -530 Pending
+113

Open 5 Team Parlay
Bulls -515 moneyline vs Sixers game 1 Win
Pacers Series -970 vs Orlando Magic Pending
Not Nashville Predators in 4 games vs Phoenix Coyotes -1200 Win
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors live in play -1200 win
Open Slot
it's at about -182 right now I'm risking 1 unit and it will probably end up being 1 unit to win .85

[H1Cypher]

Leans/Unofficial Plays: Oklahoma City Thunder -4 vs Dallas Mavericks -115

Was eying this for most of the day not sure if I wanted to take the -2.5 or the -4 for the first half. It's the playoffs both teams wanna come out strong. I think teams are sleeping on OKC a bit though, I wouldn't be surprised ot see them build a big lead in the 1st half or pull away big some point in this game.

[H1Cypher]

Unofficial Plays: Dallas Mavericks Over 48.5 1st Half live in play -115

Wait scratch this.

[H1Cypher]

Totals at commercial a re at 71 gonna be a close one numbers have been consistantly sharp today. Over 98.5 still looks good, over 97 coulda got that at the end of the 1st quarter though.

I have over Dallas 48.5, over OKC 48.5, and Over 97 for the 1st half. I like OKC over 49.5 still that is what is up right now.

[H1Cypher]

2/3, I got pretty lucky there I'm not gonna lie but I said the numbers were sharp. *shrug* I said it and I still bet it, you make mistakes sometimes. 2/3 not bad though. And scratch this never mind, it was accepted so I'm gonna count that also. Just talking about my unposted plays that I hit was talking about them during the game too.

Thank you Ibaka for hitting that what third trey of the year for you. Even would have went 2/3 for the last commercial 49.5 for both teams and 98.5 woulda hit 2/3 on the over.

How lucky was that though.

[H1Cypher]

Dallas Mavericks over 23 team total -115 3rd quarter. Not posting anything I'm playing it small. But they are giving alot of value here with over 6 mins and dallas haivng possession with 10 to go. Bookies must think OKC is gonna break away or just don't care.


Edit:
Lots of scenarios like this I would not play the team who had the lead, in this case Dallas. Because it is close but in a heated game like this I don't mind playing this small at all. 13 points in with 6:50 to go and possession is good. Except as I type this Dallas has missed 2 possessions.

Marions jungle shots at the three lol.

[H1Cypher]

If all the games are going to be choppy I can adjust I just won't be able to post my plays always when I like because it's going to require more thought to lock in my bet. More quarters will be flip flopping but it doesn't mean I can't pin totals on games.

Recent commercial they had 197.5 I took the under.

When they had 187.5 I took the over. I also have Mavs over 96 and over 94.

I wanted to take OKC +4.5 +105. Opened at +100 and someone actually bet on Dallas with over 2 minutes to go- dallas up 6 but OKC has the ball. +4.5 is the play there or no play.

I wrote all this before OKC went on their run to tie the game by the way. Ingame write ups it's either happening, about to happen, or just happened.