My NBA Picks Round 1.

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  • H1Cypher
    SBR MVP
    • 12-25-11
    • 1494

    #176
    Now at 188.5 I still like it to go under if there is no OT. If it goes over could hit 189 exact as far as the total for both teams.
    Comment
    • H1Cypher
      SBR MVP
      • 12-25-11
      • 1494

      #177
      Kobe shooting a long three.... kobe turning it over. Kobe is killing this team total 89 with 2 minutes to go.

      Takes these idiots a full minute to decide if they just want to look at the replay. It's under 2 minutes you idiots, shouldn't take more than 3 seconds to decide if you run and look at the replay do you really need to gather all 3 dicks just to figure out if you SHOULD enforce a rule you have to use anyway. Not talking about them looking at the replay- talking about the discussion... whether they want to look at it or not.
      Last edited by H1Cypher; 02-23-12, 12:07 AM.
      Comment
      • H1Cypher
        SBR MVP
        • 12-25-11
        • 1494

        #178
        See.... that's how you know you were on the right side but fate was not on yours. 4 missed ft's in a row for the lakers.

        That is flagrant lol can't expect that call late in the game though. He close lined him with both arms no play on the ball.

        6 missed free throws in a row. C'mon this is unatural if I lose this. It's not missed shots 6 missed free throws. We know he is making 1 of 2 at least now... but still how did t hey miss 6 free throws in a row.
        Last edited by H1Cypher; 02-23-12, 12:15 AM.
        Comment
        • H1Cypher
          SBR MVP
          • 12-25-11
          • 1494

          #179
          Leans/Unofficial Plays: Paul Pierce Points over 17.5 -140

          Unofficial Play: Live in play Lakers score over 93.5 -110

          My first live in play post and it was a win nice =p. Went from 7-8 on my leans, 2-0 today to 9-8.

          Barnes I expect him to go 1 for 2 but Kobe going 0 for 2 late in the game isn't expected. 2 straight misses from Pau also unexpected. Lakers should have knocked down some free throws got a stop and called it game. instead they missed allowed a three- missed allowed a 2. Let the game get closer- calling for more free throws now Dallas has a chance to win- thus game is extended thus more scoring. Lakers go over- but total of under 188.5 would have lost but it didn't. I didn't post the 188.5 as a play just talking about it.

          Official Thread Record:
          Props: 9-5 +3.6units Basketball Bets: 14-8 +5.00 units
          Total for the thread: 23-13. +8.6 units
          Leans/Unofficial Plays: 9-8 Units not tracked.
          Comment
          • H1Cypher
            SBR MVP
            • 12-25-11
            • 1494

            #180
            Leans/Unofficial Plays: Amare Stoudemire Points Under 17.5 -135

            Amare averages 1 less point on the road. His field goal percentage is also significantly lower on the road. The family loss may have hit him. Last time against the Heat he put up 14 shots and only had 12 points. Miami is a good defensive team. Alot of things not in Amare's favor that is why I'm picking this.
            Comment
            • H1Cypher
              SBR MVP
              • 12-25-11
              • 1494

              #181
              I will have an official live in play during the game most likely in the 3rd or 4th quarter. I also will try to get 1 in on the 1st or 2nd quarter.

              I think Lebron will have a big game but no stats to substantiate that just a feeling. Not exactly going out on a limb though lol
              Last edited by H1Cypher; 02-23-12, 06:09 PM.
              Comment
              • H1Cypher
                SBR MVP
                • 12-25-11
                • 1494

                #182
                Score is too swingy combined with other things making it too hard to predict. Will likely wait for the next game to see if I can find a good live in play pick unless I see something during this game.
                Comment
                • H1Cypher
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-25-11
                  • 1494

                  #183
                  From 4:50 to 5:05 pm pac time score was as I predicted then from 5:05 pacific to 5:13 pacific everything went haywire there. I picked up on the score again the last 30 seconds but only cause of the late scores... very swingy game so it'll be tough to pin it right on the over or under.
                  Comment
                  • H1Cypher
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-25-11
                    • 1494

                    #184
                    Leans/Unofficial Plays: Amare Stoudemire Points Under 17.5 -135

                    Leans went 1-0 today, bringing the record from 9-8 to 10-8. Will try to post an official live in play for this game if I can.

                    I finally got a handle on the score very late in the game didn't get a chance to post. Lebron had a big game like I thought but not in terms of scoring but was very close to a triple double.

                    Official Thread Record:
                    Props: 9-5 +3.6units Basketball Bets: 14-8 +5.00 units
                    Total for the thread: 23-13. +8.6 units
                    Leans/Unofficial Plays: 10-8 Units not tracked.
                    Comment
                    • H1Cypher
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-25-11
                      • 1494

                      #185
                      Unofficial Live in Play: Lakers vs Oklahoma City under 188.5
                      Comment
                      • H1Cypher
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-25-11
                        • 1494

                        #186
                        Official Live In Play: under for 2nd quarter 49.5 -115 to win: .5 units
                        Comment
                        • H1Cypher
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-25-11
                          • 1494

                          #187
                          Only my number on the live bets is the winner it usually is razor close between winning and losing. That is in relation to the quarter bets. Like they just had 47.5 I still liked that one to go under but could easily go to 48. When I posted 49.5 and the total for the game- it was at the beginning right before the 2nd quarter had started check the time stamp.
                          Comment
                          • H1Cypher
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-25-11
                            • 1494

                            #188
                            When I posted 49.5 it was after the 1st quarter had ended that's the longest commercial interval during the game other than halftime. Under 47.5 would have been a winner also(that was up a couple minutes into the 2nd quarter).

                            What a lucky score by Harden score should be 44 to 43... man Lakers disapoint me so much this year.

                            Official Live In Play: under for 2nd quarter 49.5 -115 to win: .5 units

                            1-0 on the Official plays +.5 units. Units gained for the official plays are not as large as they can be as alot of bets have only been posted to win +.5 units.

                            Official Thread Record:
                            Props: 9-5 +3.6units Basketball Bets: 15-8 +5.50 units
                            Total for the thread: 24-13. +9.1 units
                            Leans/Unofficial Plays: 10-8 Units not tracked.


                            Leans went 1-0 today with 1 pending.

                            Edit: I will not be posting halftime bets unless I have a good one. If I have something else I like during the third or before the 4th then maybe I will. It might be a crazy ending so I may just stop with a 3-0 day.
                            Last edited by H1Cypher; 02-23-12, 11:00 PM.
                            Comment
                            • H1Cypher
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-25-11
                              • 1494

                              #189
                              Recap of the day:

                              Official Live In Play: Lakers OKC under for 2nd quarter 49.5 -115 to win: .5 units

                              Put this up right after the 1st quarter ended before the 2nd quarter began. 1-0 on the Official plays +.5 units.

                              Leans/Unofficial Plays: Amare Stoudemire Points Under 17.5 -135
                              Leans/Unofficial Live in Play: Lakers vs Oklahoma City under 188.5
                              Put up the 188.5 right after the 1st quarter ended, before the 2nd quarter began.

                              Leans went 2-0 went from 9-8 to 11-8.

                              Official Thread Record:
                              Props: 9-5 +3.6units Basketball Bets: 15-8 +5.50 units
                              Total for the thread: 24-13. +9.1 units
                              Leans/Unofficial Plays: 11-8 Units not tracked.

                              5-0 in the past 2 days for a nice end before the All star game.
                              Comment
                              • H1Cypher
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-25-11
                                • 1494

                                #190
                                Not making this official but there is alot of value in Team Chuck. We all know sophmores have the advantage in the rookie sophmore all star game... welll.....

                                Team Chuck has 7 sophomores versus Shaqs 4 sophomores. Also 2 of those guys may get more rest. Lin and Blake... I dunno about Blake cause he is a machine but we'll see. Wall could go for MVP... the 2 better guards are on Team Chuck. Kyrie Irving and John Wall. So much value in Team Chuck unless they know it is rigged why the hell is Chuck not favored.

                                7 sophomores vs 4 sophomores should say it all right there. Faster guards on Chuck's team. More street ballers on Chucks team. What does Shaq get the favoritism cause he has Blake? Or is it cause Chuck seems unlucky or setup to lose- if it is a flip then why isn't the better squad(team chuck) getting juiced.
                                Last edited by H1Cypher; 02-24-12, 06:08 PM.
                                Comment
                                • H1Cypher
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-25-11
                                  • 1494

                                  #191
                                  0/5 of the last Rookie Sophomore all star games have been decided by 5 points or less. It's either Team Chuck moneylin or Team Shaq point spread.
                                  Comment
                                  • YouHave2outs
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-02-11
                                    • 4448

                                    #192
                                    Originally posted by H1Cypher
                                    Not making this official but there is alot of value in Team Chuck. We all know sophmores have the advantage in the rookie sophmore all star game... welll.....

                                    Team Chuck has 7 sophomores versus Shaqs 4 sophomores. Also 2 of those guys may get more rest. Lin and Blake... I dunno about Blake cause he is a machine but we'll see. Wall could go for MVP... the 2 better guards are on Team Chuck. Kyrie Irving and John Wall. So much value in Team Chuck unless they know it is rigged why the hell is Chuck not favored.

                                    7 sophomores vs 4 sophomores should say it all right there. Faster guards on Chuck's team. More street ballers on Chucks team. What does Shaq get the favoritism cause he has Blake? Or is it cause Chuck seems unlucky or setup to lose- if it is a flip then why isn't the better squad(team chuck) getting juiced.
                                    i'm thinking the same thing. i feel like it's all because of griffin and lin
                                    Comment
                                    • H1Cypher
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-25-11
                                      • 1494

                                      #193
                                      Originally posted by YouHave2outs
                                      i'm thinking the same thing. i feel like it's all because of griffin and lin
                                      Yeah unless someone knows there is a fix there is no reason for anyone not to see huge value in +170. And if you do think it's fixed and Shaqs team will just take it home.... bet the spread -5 they will prolly win by more than 5.

                                      I also like the scorers better on the Chuck Team and making it an exhibition just see value.
                                      Comment
                                      • H1Cypher
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-25-11
                                        • 1494

                                        #194
                                        Easy arb for anyone who would want to arb out now for a guaranteed buck
                                        Comment
                                        • njb5572
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 01-29-12
                                          • 126

                                          #195
                                          How long have you been handicapping cypher?
                                          Comment
                                          • H1Cypher
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-25-11
                                            • 1494

                                            #196
                                            Originally posted by njb5572
                                            How long have you been handicapping cypher?
                                            For 8 months now. I've only had to make 1 deposit my entire limited gambling career though and I have a pretty big sample size for 8 months I just try to weed out the better picks.

                                            Why do you ask? If you don't mind me asking =).

                                            My specialties are: Live in play football, Live in play basketball, MMA, and basketball betting in general.
                                            My losing sports are: Hockey.

                                            Edit: Just checked the calendar make that 10 months lol.... but I didn't start capping Football until October 2011.
                                            Last edited by H1Cypher; 02-25-12, 01:26 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • davopnz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-12-12
                                              • 1736

                                              #197
                                              any plays man?
                                              Comment
                                              • H1Cypher
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-25-11
                                                • 1494

                                                #198
                                                Originally posted by davopnz
                                                any plays man?
                                                You mean degen props? lol You want me to tell you what props I'm playing for the all star game? Or you mean MMA?

                                                Oh college basketball. I don't do do college basketball haven't seen enough of it. Don't know what teams to bet it's a totally different dynamic than betting NBA games.
                                                Comment
                                                • davopnz
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-12-12
                                                  • 1736

                                                  #199
                                                  Yeah any MMA i mean other than kongo
                                                  Comment
                                                  • njb5572
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 01-29-12
                                                    • 126

                                                    #200
                                                    Your record is very solid. I figured you have had some past history, but w/o write-ups or reasons about a lot of your picks it is hard to give them weight outside of your single season record.. I just wanted to do some research before I started tailing or using your picks as insight into other plays! Keep up the good work
                                                    Comment
                                                    • H1Cypher
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-25-11
                                                      • 1494

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by njb5572
                                                      Your record is very solid. I figured you have had some past history, but w/o write-ups or reasons about a lot of your picks it is hard to give them weight outside of your single season record.. I just wanted to do some research before I started tailing or using your picks as insight into other plays! Keep up the good work
                                                      Probably because it is difficult to tail alot of my plays are an hour before tip off at the earliest. Sometimes 10 minutes before tip. Live in plays you pretty much have to be watching the game and be by a smart phone or at the computer to catch those.

                                                      My MMA I feel best about are Cheick Kongo straight up, Cheick Kongo -3.5 at -195 if the fight ends inside distance and Kongo wins you win if it goes to decision as long as the cumulutive score is above 3.5 you win.
                                                      Frankie Edgar straight up.
                                                      If you don't want to bet on the result of the title fight and think it is too close you can take a look at +3.5 for Benson henderson. I doubt Edgar stops him.

                                                      I'm keeping it simple this event Kongo -3.5 points handicap(prop) and Frankie Edgar straight up.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • H1Cypher
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-25-11
                                                        • 1494

                                                        #202
                                                        I shouldve taken the +3.5 on Benson rather than the points. Pretty bad mma night for me with the Kongo and Edgar loss. Back at it once the NBA kicks off again.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • H1Cypher
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-25-11
                                                          • 1494

                                                          #203
                                                          Just an update I was looking at I started off the season red hot and have tapered off since for anyone wanting to tail me. Right before the all star break I hit a hot streak again, and I am hoping to continue it after the all star break.

                                                          This is my record up to the end of January not including any plays I made in february.

                                                          Official Thread Record:
                                                          Props: 4-1 +2.55 Basketball Bets: 14-8 +5.00 units
                                                          Total for the thread: 18-9. +7.55 units
                                                          Leans/Unofficial Plays: 4-3 Units not tracked.

                                                          In february I have gone:

                                                          Props: 5-4 +1.05 units Basketball Bets: 1-0 +.5 units
                                                          Total for the thread: 6-4 +1.55 units
                                                          Leans/Unofficial Plays: 7-5
                                                          units not tracked.

                                                          And the overall total is:

                                                          Official Thread Record:
                                                          Props: 9-5 +3.6units Basketball Bets: 15-8 +5.50 units
                                                          Total for the thread: 24-13. +9.1 units
                                                          Leans/Unofficial Plays: 11-8 Units not tracked.

                                                          Early February there was a rough patch but I ended the month strong. Just some information in case anyone was curious I was curious myself.Looking back I wish I had just made my base unit +1 and my larger bet +2 units rather than +1 unit and +.5 units would have less confusing maybe nicer that way. I do plan on having 2 unit bets at some point though but not often.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mcduggly
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-22-12
                                                            • 2489

                                                            #204
                                                            I will start following you picks. Anything for the ASG tonight?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • H1Cypher
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-25-11
                                                              • 1494

                                                              #205
                                                              I'm going to also start a separate categorization for live in play college hoops. I've only watched 2 college games so far so I would not recommend anyone tail me. Going to post a live in play for this college game in the 2nd half if I see something.

                                                              College Basketball Live Play Record: 0-0
                                                              Comment
                                                              • H1Cypher
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-25-11
                                                                • 1494

                                                                #206
                                                                I could not in good consciousness tell someone to play a prop based on some demented idea I have... like Durant hitting more than 25 points cause his coach is the coach of the West team and he could go for all star mvp- since he has yet to win 1 and he is a 2x scoring champion. But at -115 you are much better off waiting for a real game and betting on a prop with more value.

                                                                One prop I noticed is Dwight Howard over .5 3 point field goals made. He averages 1/6 on 3s and he was 0/7 last year. So if he shoots another 6 or 7 I like his chances of hitting 1. IF he shoots another 6 or 7- but in all his all star games he averages 6 3pt shots. At +493 you can bet like 10 bucks on it and watch the game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • H1Cypher
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-25-11
                                                                  • 1494

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by H1Cypher
                                                                  I could not in good consciousness tell someone to play a prop based on some demented idea I have... like Durant hitting more than 25 points cause his coach is the coach of the West team and he could go for all star mvp- since he has yet to win 1 and he is a 2x scoring champion. But at -115 you are much better off waiting for a real game and betting on a prop with more value.

                                                                  One prop I noticed is Dwight Howard over .5 3 point field goals made. He averages 1/6 on 3s and he was 0/7 last year. So if he shoots another 6 or 7 I like his chances of hitting 1. IF he shoots another 6 or 7- but in all his all star games he averages 6 3pt shots. At +493 you can bet like 10 bucks on it and watch the game.


                                                                  Gonna try my hand at live in play college hoops. 2 games today Notredame at Georgetown and Kansas at Oklahoma State. Only the third ncaa basketball game I'll be watching ever so let's see how this experiment goes.

                                                                  College Basketball Live Play Record: 0-0
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • H1Cypher
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-25-11
                                                                    • 1494

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Live in play: Over 46.5 1st Half Notredame vs Georgetown.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • H1Cypher
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-25-11
                                                                      • 1494

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Notredame under 54.5
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • H1Cypher
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-25-11
                                                                        • 1494

                                                                        #210
                                                                        You can get these live in play at euro books I am sure. I know 5dimes has the live play also.
                                                                        Comment
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