LTA's NBA Plays

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  • Kalibongo
    Restricted User
    • 01-27-12
    • 922

    #3641
    LTA, thoughts on this?

    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
    Comment
    • CHAZ
      SBR MVP
      • 12-09-09
      • 4978

      #3642
      LTA how do you go about getting the best lines? Grabbing a line before it moves three points like last night takes some skill. Any insight?
      Comment
      • Pick'nParlays
        SBR MVP
        • 02-22-08
        • 3134

        #3643
        Originally posted by killersweet
        This is the crappy part of internet. Hard to see people’s emotions by simply reading words. Lots of misunderstandings and unnecessary bickering.
        So true
        Comment
        • killersweet
          SBR MVP
          • 12-02-08
          • 1483

          #3644
          Originally posted by WhyTheFace
          Totally off topic here, but who is that hottie as your avatar killersweet?
          Ileana. A south indian actress!
          Comment
          • Nyjrkm06
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-25-12
            • 562

            #3645
            liking okc ml at -130!
            Comment
            • mailman07009
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-11-11
              • 265

              #3646
              Hard to ignore Cleveland with the points....
              Comment
              • fitguy67
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-13-11
                • 5082

                #3647
                I find this thread fascinating, in a good practical nuts-n-bolts educational way...an ongoing discussion of the "fundamental & technical analysis" issues of the data streams generated by betting lines. In the money-line market it's quite straightforward, but for Totals and Spreads with fairly fixed -110-ish odds things are a bit harder to conceptualize (kind of like how "time zone" conversions can drive you nuts...never quite sure whether to add or subract).

                What helps me to keep "line talk" in the Totals market is to think of the "Under" market as the market for "Ceilings"...and the "Over" as the market for "Floors". Think: "under the ceiling"/"over the floor". Given fixed odds at say -110, increasing support for the Under side weighs down on the ceiling as motivated "buyers" must accept worse deals (the discomfort of a lower ceiling) if they want to get into their under play ...Conversely, increasing support on the Over side pushes up on the floor number as motivated buyers must accept worse deals (and the discomfort of a higher floor) if they want to get into a position.

                As for the spreads, you can employ the same sort of "comfort" logic to the deficits or surpluses involved. If support for the favorite increases, buyers are willing to accept more discomfort (a larger deficit that must be overcome)...if support for the dog increases we have those buyers having to accept less comfort (a smaller cushion) in order to get into their desired position.

                Hope this analogy helps someone else to follow the intriguing "back and forth" about line moves.
                Comment
                • Bbobbi
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-29-11
                  • 181

                  #3648
                  hey lta what do you think about boston -14? The line looks like it might move in their favor. But Boston has been playing good recently offensively and defensively. While the Cats have been terrible especially on the road. Pierce is also 9 points away from passing Bird in the Celtics all-time scoring list, which should bring in an excited crowd even against the cats.
                  Comment
                  • JM92
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-12
                    • 1140

                    #3649
                    Im already on Boston and Thunder.

                    Waitin' for some LTA insight to see if I make another play.
                    Comment
                    • wolvereen
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 09-29-09
                      • 44

                      #3650
                      Kalibingo, in the long run, you will lose all your money. Not fun either risking 320 to win 20. Stay away!
                      Comment
                      • Pick'nParlays
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-22-08
                        • 3134

                        #3651
                        IMHO....

                        This thread is hotter than hell but it's a lot harder to follow LTA in NBA. I usually get his play after the Pinny line he got has moved.

                        Basically, unless I want to sit here all day and blindly wait for LTA to post his play.... I maybe better off thinking for myself for once... NFL has a whole week of movement where as NBA is totally different.

                        Is there an SBR app? Or some way I can get a heads up when LTA posts his play? I hate checking multiple times. Especially when I have lost by a half point 3 times already this NBA season.
                        Comment
                        • tonyp0387
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-11-10
                          • 617

                          #3652
                          If u have a smartphone go to thred tools nd subscribe to thread with instant email notification. Take care and gl.
                          Comment
                          • alamo
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-21-09
                            • 7131

                            #3653
                            Originally posted by tonyp0387
                            If u have a smartphone go to thred tools nd subscribe to thread with instant email notification. Take care and gl.
                            Didnt know that. Thanks for that useful tip Tony.
                            Comment
                            • Jago2008
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-18-11
                              • 3047

                              #3654
                              Originally posted by Jago2008
                              Dear God, what's up with the criticism here? Particularly T-wizzle. This man (LTA) is volunteering his picks, which w/out saying to many people on this forum- has generated some great returns. I just don't understand whether its jealousy, or the fact that this man actually knows what he's doing that makes some sour.

                              All I know is I haven't been on this forum for a long period of time, so I haven't developed some of the "clout" that SOME people believe they carry, but LTA explains his picks and has the character to post them at no charge for everyone of us to view. If you don't like them great, if you want to criticize picks with your own opinion- ok I understand; but don't attack the guy's character. From what I've learnt he's a good guy, and he doesn't need anyone defending him. But I feel compelled to show some support for LTA, after all besides recognition, he's not being paid for these posts.

                              Keep this thread rocking bro, which I assume you will, but know there are many people that support you. And no I'm not homosexual.

                              This is all I posted bro, I don't go to other threads to fan flames, I have better things to do, just want you to know.

                              Good luck today .
                              Comment
                              • Roto97
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-30-12
                                • 166

                                #3655
                                Originally posted by tonyp0387
                                If u have a smartphone go to thred tools nd subscribe to thread with instant email notification. Take care and gl.

                                So I did subscribe to the thread and instant email notification. Not sure if I am overlooking some option, but it only sends me one reply to the thread. And to receiver further notifications it says I have to visit the thread again.

                                If I am not missing something obvious, that seems to defeat the whole point of subscribing to the thread.
                                Comment
                                • Les_Nuts
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-01-12
                                  • 931

                                  #3656
                                  any plays today?
                                  Comment
                                  • absolutkaos
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-29-11
                                    • 213

                                    #3657
                                    i never found the email notifications very useful either... it actually never worked properly for me... and if im reading it correctly, you would get an email everytime a message is posted in the thread by anyone, not only LTA's posts (which would be the ideal situation)....
                                    Comment
                                    • CheeseHead
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-03-10
                                      • 439

                                      #3658
                                      Originally posted by absolutkaos
                                      i never found the email notifications very useful either... it actually never worked properly for me... and if im reading it correctly, you would get an email everytime a message is posted in the thread by anyone, not only LTA's posts (which would be the ideal situation)....
                                      Definitely would be a nice feature for SBR to add...just something where you could get a notification when a certain poster makes any post. Wish LTA had a Twitter at least, I know a lot of guys do that so that's easy to get instant notifications on...but for free you gotta take what you can get I suppose
                                      Comment
                                      • absolutkaos
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-29-11
                                        • 213

                                        #3659
                                        exactly, i mean we are getting great picks that are hitting over 50% for free.... how can we really ask LTA to do more? if it was simply a forum feature that LTA could turn on in the thread he owns, or that users could select "notifiy me when thread owner posts" that would be HUGE.... lookin forward to tonights picks.... GL all
                                        Comment
                                        • That Guy
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-13-12
                                          • 973

                                          #3660
                                          No plays today?
                                          Comment
                                          • SlickRick1382
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-15-11
                                            • 3838

                                            #3661
                                            Originally posted by CheeseHead
                                            Definitely would be a nice feature for SBR to add...just something where you could get a notification when a certain poster makes any post. Wish LTA had a Twitter at least, I know a lot of guys do that so that's easy to get instant notifications on...but for free you gotta take what you can get I suppose
                                            Have something in the works that I hope helps our community. Got a little delayed since it's tax season for me and I got backed up quick but I should be rolling it out soon I hope
                                            Comment
                                            • pacocn
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-05-10
                                              • 12934

                                              #3662
                                              Originally posted by killersweet
                                              Ileana. A south indian actress!
                                              Was she in the
                                              movie slum dog millionaire?
                                              Comment
                                              • Roto97
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-30-12
                                                • 166

                                                #3663
                                                Originally posted by pacocn
                                                Was she in the
                                                movie slam dog millionaire?

                                                No, that was Freida Pinto.
                                                Comment
                                                • pacocn
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-05-10
                                                  • 12934

                                                  #3664
                                                  Roto, thanks, she is a beauty also.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pacocn
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-05-10
                                                    • 12934

                                                    #3665
                                                    Lets get back to basketball who else likes the Warriors tonight
                                                    at home. Okc overtime last night, late into Oak town, and Warriors
                                                    rested.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Donnie Brasco
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-04-11
                                                      • 862

                                                      #3666
                                                      Love gsw at home
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dlunc3
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-31-09
                                                        • 9129

                                                        #3667
                                                        best bet for the gsw game is the warriors team total over 102
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SoxSide Irish
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-08-12
                                                          • 184

                                                          #3668
                                                          Originally posted by dlunc3
                                                          best bet for the gsw game is the warriors team total over 102
                                                          Already on it based on someone else
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GChild
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-11-10
                                                            • 3885

                                                            #3669
                                                            Should we report a missing person??
                                                            Comment
                                                            • That Guy
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-13-12
                                                              • 973

                                                              #3670
                                                              The total for GSW game is at 208... seems a little high. Liked the over at 204 when it opened but now the under looks like could be good value.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Donnie Brasco
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-04-11
                                                                • 862

                                                                #3671
                                                                Sure hes fine. After the idiots in this forum took over, cant blame him. Killed the golden goose!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • NYSportsGuy210
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                                  • 11347

                                                                  #3672
                                                                  Would I be considered retarded for putting $350 on Oklahoma State ML (-130) tonight?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dlunc3
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-31-09
                                                                    • 9129

                                                                    #3673
                                                                    Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                                    Would I be considered retarded for putting $350 on Oklahoma State ML (-130) tonight?
                                                                    im on em -135... we may be the only ones on this forum though... think people are reading into the fatigue and "trap game" factors a little too much
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Donnie Brasco
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-04-11
                                                                      • 862

                                                                      #3674
                                                                      Yes, gsw as home dog has performed too well, esp against unrested team.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Donnie Brasco
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 01-04-11
                                                                        • 862

                                                                        #3675
                                                                        Assuming you all mean ok city?
                                                                        Comment
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