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Originally Posted by
mrginandtonic
While I do believe this race will be won by 1st time starter, but I think I am gonna against you on this one. First, Pletcher is not great with 1st turf or turf (IMO). Second, she is out of Congrats who is out of A.P. Indy which I think they are better on dirt, they are not great with turf and especially 1st turf. In terms of pedigree, I will take the 2, 7, 8 and 9 over the 6. With a price, I would take the 7- Tropical Wave (ML 15-1). She is out of Lemon Drop Kid (one of my all time favorites) who is out of Kingmambo (excellent turf). While trainer is not great with 1st starts, but he has excellent record for Turf Sprints. And rider Lezcano can certainly pop at a price. As with cost, the 8- Cyrielle costs $300K, and trained by Motion who I really like with turf runners. She is 8-1 ML, she is also worth looking. Rosario wins at a high rate for this trainer. This is how I feel about this race. Although I won't be surprised if Pletchers horse wins, but I think she will be overbet and worth beating. GL.