New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

**HoulihansTX** · 06-25-11, 04:48 PM

Shawn, how did you know to come to this thread after buying the software?

**shawn226** · 06-25-11, 05:32 PM

Houlihan, it was all kind of a fluke! I had never even heard of Sportrends and my original intent was to do some reseach on the "NeuralBets" software. I googled "Neuralbet baseball reviews" and came upon this SBR forum. Here I read about how much Neuralbet sucked and how this other program called Sportrends was quite good - in particular I noticed how FormulaWiz said he had very good success with it over many years. After reading up on the software at the Sportrends site, I gave them a call and spoke with Sam. Sam himself then even mentioned how FormulaWiz had a separate discussion thread regarding the software at SBR forums... and that brought me here!

**Small Timer** · 06-25-11, 09:03 PM

Free play has hit an underdog two days in a row now, very nice.

**barts185** · 06-25-11, 11:15 PM

Originally posted by Small Timer

Free play has hit an underdog two days in a row now, very nice.

Would be even better if it had made the cutoff point either day. The free plays have done well whether they meet the cutoff or not but lately the ones NOT making the cutoff point have done VERY well.

Since June 1st, I have the ones making the cutoff point at 10-6 and the ones not making the cutoff point at 8-1. This is NOT saying you should play it when it doesn't make the cutoff point, just what it's done lately.

Of course, since I posted this, expect it to change - I seem to have a habit of talking about good streaks when they are about to end.

**HoulihansTX** · 06-25-11, 11:19 PM

Yea I played Pirates anyway, along with the BPR plays.

Great day all around

Thank You sportrends.

**agos** · 06-26-11, 04:25 AM

best of luck today !!

**Formulawiz** · 06-26-11, 06:47 AM

ML plays went 1-2, -1.3 units
YTD 64-38, +17.3 units

Plays later today.

**ShivaBowl** · 06-26-11, 06:52 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Yea I played Pirates anyway, along with the BPR plays. Great day all around Thank You sportrends.

Nice day yesterday, Thanks Sam!

ST Systems are up.

**ShivaBowl** · 06-26-11, 06:57 AM

TPR system went 1-0 yesterday.
Start Date 05/01
57-65 –11.32u

H/A system went 3-1 yesterday.
Start Date 05/29
33-22 +6.93u

P/T Power Plays went 1-1 yesterday.
Start Date 06/12
11-10 +0.94u

**ShivaBowl** · 06-26-11, 07:23 AM

06/26/11

TPR System Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
MLW 1.5
BOS 2.3 No Play BOS L/4

H/A System Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
FLA, 103.9—990.8
CWS, 49.6—339.7
DET, 36.8—223.9

P/T Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
SFO
FLA
CWS

**VicVega91** · 06-26-11, 07:29 AM

best of luck today Shiva !!

**HoulihansTX** · 06-26-11, 08:19 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall (117-102)53% +11.05 Units

___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 25
Bullpen Projection System

Toronto 7.98 W (+130)
Cincy 3.50 W (-105)
Mets 3.40 W (+155)
Tampa 3.02 W (+105)
Angels 1.96 W (+125)
Seattle 1.91 L (-130)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(122-103)54% +15.9 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 26
Bullpen Projection System

Toronto 4.26
Detroit 3.90
KC 3.90
Atl 3.26
Cincy 3.25
Tampa 2.79
Mets 2.02

No Plays
Yanks np >-150 6.49
Minny np L2 2.74
Cleve np L2 2.44
Philly np >-150 1.72
Boston np L2 1.19

**HoulihansTX** · 06-26-11, 08:23 AM

Shawn, this thread should be useful to your cause.

Feel free to ask questions, or add any information that is helpful.

**Dexter** · 06-26-11, 10:13 AM

houlihans - are these your systems/plays or shivabowls?

**Formulawiz** · 06-26-11, 10:20 AM

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

DET, KC, TOR, (FLA (-130 to -140))

**Dexter** · 06-26-11, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

June 26
Bullpen Projection System

Toronto 4.26
Detroit 3.90
KC 3.90
Atl 3.26
Cincy 3.25
Tampa 2.79
Mets 2.02

No Plays
Yanks np >-150 6.49
Minny np L2 2.74
Cleve np L2 2.44
Philly np >-150 1.72
Boston np L2 1.19

apologizes for not reading back as im sure this was explained somewhere.....but what in the world does this mean and what are the plays today? lol

**ShivaBowl** · 06-26-11, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

houlihans - are these your systems/plays or shivabowls?

All the system plays in this thread are free from Sportrends.
Also, the TPR, H/A, P/T and BPR are handicapping tools and should all be compared.

www.sportrends.com

http://www.sportrends.com/team_stats.htm

BOL

**HoulihansTX** · 06-26-11, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

houlihans - are these your systems/plays or shivabowls?

This

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

All the system plays in this thread are free from Sportrends. Also, the TPR, H/A, P/T and BPR are handicapping tools and should all be compared. http://www.sportrends.com/team_stats.htm BOL

This thread is the work of many, and is based off the Sportrends website.

**BrewMaster** · 06-26-11, 10:58 AM

25Jun11 Result: 2-1
Record Official Start 15May11: 77-68

Scientific Approach 26Jun11:

ARZ, -133
CIN, -179
NYY, -207
TB, -177
KC, -154 (NP <-129)
TOR, -164
NYM, -130
ANA, -155
FLA, -139 (NP <-114)

Filtered (BOS)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**Dexter** · 06-26-11, 11:00 AM

so from post 1132, what are the plays you're making today?

**HoulihansTX** · 06-26-11, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Toronto 4.26 Detroit 3.90 KC 3.90 Atl 3.26 Cincy 3.25 Tampa 2.79 Mets 2.02

Originally posted by Formulawiz

DET, KC, TOR,

All of those.

**Small Timer** · 06-26-11, 12:13 PM

Liking the overlap, BOL today guys.

**shawn226** · 06-26-11, 02:39 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Shawn, this thread should be useful to your cause.

Feel free to ask questions, or add any information that is helpful.

Thanks Houlihan. Would anyone be able to give me a bit of guidance/tips in using Sportrends Baseball in general? The manual pretty much only says what the different functions and key inputs stand for, without much discussion on how to best use the program.
A few specific questions that I do have would be:

(1) In "Pick Winners", when it asks "Enter Past Number of Days to Use (99 for YTD stats)". What is the best number to enter here?
(2) Using today's Atlanta/SanDiego game as an example, among the "Pythagorean Theorem" figures it shows "Conf > NLE = +.564" and "Conf > NLW = -.366". I get that NLE and NLW stand for National League East and West, but what does "Conf" mean, and what would these numbers represent?
(3) Using today's Cincinnati/Baltimore game as an example, it says "Play Cincinnati and H. Bailey". Even though it's not a "Best Bet", is this still a good play?
(4) Does a "Best Bet" mean that you should really load up on that particular play?

Thanks to all who can give feedback, and any other "pro tips" would really be welcomed!!

Cheers
Shawn

**HoulihansTX** · 06-26-11, 03:29 PM

I do not use the software, so I can not help you. Sry.

**Formulawiz** · 06-26-11, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by shawn226

Thanks Houlihan. Would anyone be able to give me a bit of guidance/tips in using Sportrends Baseball in general? The manual pretty much only says what the different functions and key inputs stand for, without much discussion on how to best use the program.
A few specific questions that I do have would be:

(1) In "Pick Winners", when it asks "Enter Past Number of Days to Use (99 for YTD stats)". What is the best number to enter here?
(2) Using today's Atlanta/SanDiego game as an example, among the "Pythagorean Theorem" figures it shows "Conf > NLE = +.564" and "Conf > NLW = -.366". I get that NLE and NLW stand for National League East and West, but what does "Conf" mean, and what would these numbers represent?
(3) Using today's Cincinnati/Baltimore game as an example, it says "Play Cincinnati and H. Bailey". Even though it's not a "Best Bet", is this still a good play?
(4) Does a "Best Bet" mean that you should really load up on that particular play?

Thanks to all who can give feedback, and any other "pro tips" would really be welcomed!!

Cheers
Shawn

This thread is not to be used for sportrends software plays. If you have questions on how to use it, just call sportrends or privately email some of the people on this thread who are using the software.
Thanks

**shawn226** · 06-26-11, 06:11 PM

Thanks FormulaWiz - I admit I wasn't quite sure I had the correct thread for what I was asking. Would I have your permission to message you privately?

Cheers
Shawn

**agos** · 06-27-11, 02:44 AM

nice thread, thanks

**basb** · 06-27-11, 05:28 AM

very good thread, this is the ideal thread where different cappers help each other out.. to crush the books!

any plays for monday baseball?

**Formulawiz** · 06-27-11, 06:06 AM

Originally posted by shawn226

Thanks FormulaWiz - I admit I wasn't quite sure I had the correct thread for what I was asking. Would I have your permission to message you privately?

Cheers
Shawn

Shawn for some reason after I was reinstated after being thrown off I am having a problem sending or receiving emails. Just use the same filters we are using here and use the best bets in the software.

**Formulawiz** · 06-27-11, 06:07 AM

ML plays went 3-0, +3 units
YTD 67-38, 20.3 units

**Formulawiz** · 06-27-11, 07:01 AM

Todays ML plays. FAV must be < -140

LAA must be at -140 to be a play, no more or no less.

**ShivaBowl** · 06-27-11, 07:57 AM

TPR system went 0-0 yesterday.
No Plays
MLW, np >-150 W
BOS, np L/4 W
Start Date 05/01
57-65 –11.32u

H/A system went 1-1 yesterday.
FLA –124 L
CWS, np >-150 W
DET –149 W
Start Date 05/29
34-23 +6.69u

P/T Power Plays went 1-1 yesterday.
Start Date 06/12
12-11 +0.70u

TPR System Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
KC 1.3

H/A System Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
CHC 80.8—260.6
CHC L/2 COL L/2

P/T Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
LAD
SDP No Play KC W/2

**BrewMaster** · 06-27-11, 08:27 AM

26Jun11 Result: 4-4
Record Official Start 15May11: 81-72 (+9.08 units)

Scientific Approach 27Jun11:

COL, -200
WAS, -164
ATL, -138 (np >-113)

Filtered (SD)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**HoulihansTX** · 06-27-11, 10:59 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(122-103)54% +15.9 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 26 Bullpen Projection System

Toronto 4.26 W (-110)
Detroit 3.90 W (-140)
KC 3.90 W (-135)
Atl 3.26L (-120)
Cincy 3.25 L (+100)
Tampa 2.79 W (-130)
Mets 2.02 W (+135)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(127-105)54% +19.05 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 27
Bullpen Projection System

KC 4.61
Atl 3.79
Wash 2.67
Dodgers 1.11

No Plays
Cleve np L2 7.68
Toronto np(Det W2) 2.40
Colo np L2 2.34

Could someone takeup the duties of backtracking, or tracking from this point forth how well the system do when plays overlay? Yesterday was awesome. I hope every cashed, and have a great week.

**Tommygunn** · 06-27-11, 12:11 PM

All weekend was great. Finally a good Sunday !!!

Take LA Angels W/Santana over Washington W/Lannan NO PLAY if > -135