New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

[rask7rask7]

Best of luck today on your plays

[ShivaBowl]

TPR system went 2-1 yesterday.
COL –150 W
BOS –130 W
KC +135 L
Start Date 05/01
51-59 –11.26u

H/A system went 1-2 yesterday.
Start Date 05/29
19-12 +3.97u

P/T Power Plays went 2-1 yesterday.
Start Date 06/12
5-3 +1.91u

Plays Later

[BrewMaster]

Shiva, looks like your ugly dog plays did well last night.

Sorry BM Play NYY, If better then -140 but not over -150 ?
Or play nyy if <-140 ?
thanks

To clarify, the terms "if better than" means getting a better price on what was stated. i.e. +140 is better than -140, -125 is better than -130.

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva, looks like your ugly dog plays did well last night. To clarify, the terms "if better than" means getting a better price on what was stated. i.e. +140 is better than -140, -125 is better than -130.

Thanks, just use NYY PLAY IF <-140 Keep it simple!
I think the S/A System, has had, one or two losing days, in its last 8?
BOL

[ShivaBowl]

06/16/2011

TPR System Plays
BOS 1.5
KC 1.3
STL 1.4 No Play L/5
ARZ 1.3 No Play L/2
CWS 1.0 No Play MIN W/2

H/A System Plays
TAM
PHI No Play if >-175
STL No Play L/5
CWS NP, H/A-PP-Diff Only 11.5
DET NP, IP Diff >+20

Total Plays
All 1/2U
PHI & FLA Over 8 -110
DET & CLE Over 8 –120
WAS & STL Over 8 –120
TAM & BOS Over 7.5 +100

P/T Power Plays
MLW 1/2U
MLW P-Diff <-20, PR-Runs on CHC
TAM 1/2U
TAM P-Diff <-20, T-Diff <-100, PR-Runs on BOS
STL L/5

BOL

[ShivaBowl]

M/L System
N/P ?

TPR System Plays
BOS 1.5
KC 1.3

H/A System Plays
TAM
PHI No Play if >-175

Total Plays
1/2U
PHI & FLA Over 8 -110
DET & CLE Over 8 –120
WAS & STL Over 8 –120
TAM & BOS Over 7.5 +100

P/T Power Plays
MLW 1/2U
TAM 1/2U

Scientific Approach
CLE, No Play if CLE >-130
BOS, No Play if BOS >-120
PIT, No Play if >-132, HOU NP IP<-20 but the play is on PIT with >+20IP ?
SFO Np Play if SFO <+103

Bullpen Projection System
SFO 9.23
CHC 2.40
PIT 2.05
MIN 1.99
BOS 1.85

DET 1.74 np if >-150
STL 5.68 np L/5
FLA 5.16 np L/6
BAL 3.93 np L/4
ATL 3.84 np L/3

[HoulihansTX]

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(87-80) +2.65Units

___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 15
Bullpen Projection System

San Fran 9.28 W (+100)
Cincy 5.19 W (+100)
Yanks 3.10 W (-120)
Angels 2.96 L (+105)
Boston 1.75 W (-130)
Pitt 1.02 W (-105)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(92-81) +6.65Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 16
Bullpen Projection System

San Fran 9.23
Cubs 2.40 (1/2 Units Play) Cubs are trash
Pitt 2.05
Minny 1.99
Boston 1.85

No Plays
Stl np L2 5.69
Florida np L2 5.16
Balty np L2 3.93
Atl np L2 3.84
Detroit np >-150 1.74

[Mr.Carrot]

Nice winners on Bullpen last two days.

I am posting my spreedsheet again and it has still the same filters
L2 filter - works very well (30-45), this filter is saving our money :-)
W2 filter - doesnt work at all :-) (26-13)
-150 filter - doesnt work great but isnt so bad :-) (38-18)
My personal filter "no play bullpen under 1,8" worked well, but its most neutral now - has saved some small money (33-35)

You can find summary on the first list and detailed results on second list of spreedsheet, there you can use "auto filter" to find 3 levels of odds (-150 and worst, -110 - -150 and -105 - +2xx), home and away teams etc.

For example - HOME teams with L2 filter only are 80-61 (18-14 dogs) etc. etc.

Just do with the spreedsheet what you want.

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 1-0, +1.0 unit
YTD 53-31, +14.6 units

MIN was a play. They went to a -105 Fav

ML plays later today

[ShivaBowl]

ML system went 1-0, +1.0 unit YTD 53-31, +14.6 units MIN was a play. They went to a -105 Fav ML plays later today

Here we go, I could have used a winner yesterday?
When are you going to get on board? With the rest of us?
Thanks

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays. FAV must be < -140

NYM, TB?, MIN, COL

[Formulawiz]

Here we go, I could have used a winner yesterday?
When are you going to get on board? With the rest of us?
Thanks

You more then anyone should be checking the ML prior to start of games and come up with the same play . I cant sit here and hand feed you since I dont have the time. The plays are on the sportrends website for all to review.

[ShivaBowl]

you more then anyone should be checking the ml prior to start of games and come up with the same play . I cant sit here and hand feed you since i dont have the time. The plays are on the sportrends website for all to review.

same old wiz...a big help!
Thank you!

[ShivaBowl]

TPR system went 1-1 yesterday.
COL –150 W
BOS –130 W
KC +135 L
Start Date 05/01
52-60 –11.26u

H/A system went 2-1 yesterday.
Start Date 05/29
20-13 +4.74u

P/T Power Plays went 0-2 yesterday.
Start Date 06/12
5-5 +0.67u


06/17/2011
TPR System Plays
NYY

H/A System Plays
H/A-PP-DIF - H/A-TP-DIF
WAS, 155 - 1352
ARZ, 89 - 233
NYM, 56 - 217
CIN, 31 – 485
LAD, 66 - 348 No Play LAD L/3
SEA, 46 - 416 No Play PHI W/7 FYI: SEA, Michael Pineda, this kid can pitch.
DET, 35 - 410 No Play COL W/2

P/T Power Plays
No Plays

[rask7rask7]

Very good records. Congrats

[chinoloco]

Complimentary Selection for 6/17/2011

Take Colorado W/Hammel over Detroit W/Porcello NO PLAY if > -120

[HoulihansTX]

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(92-81) +6.65Units

___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 16
Bullpen Projection System

San Fran 9.23 L (+125)
Cubs 2.40 (1/2 Units Play) W (+120)
Pitt 2.05 W (-105)
Minny 1.99 W (-105)
Boston 1.85 W (+110)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(96-82) +9.35Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 17
Bullpen Projection System

Angels3.87
Atl 3.51
Minny 3.46
Cincy 2.47
Pitt 2.38
Boston 1.18

No Plays
Balty np(Wash W2) 4.27
Dodgers np L2 3.62
Seattle np(Philly W2) 3.50
Cubs np(Yanks W2) 2.26
CWS np L2 2.09
Detroit np(Colorado W2) 1.94
Florida np L2 1.47

[BrewMaster]

16Jun11 Result: 2-2 (PIT was a play, <20ip was on opposing team)
Record Official Start 15May11: 63-59 (+3.98 units)

Scientific Approach 17Jun11:

NYY, -291
ANA, -113, NP <+112
LA, -189

Filtered (MLW, SD, FLA)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

[HoulihansTX]

Todays ML plays. FAV must be < -140 NYM, TB?, MIN, COL

Mets np <-125 np>-150
Minny np <-130 np >-150
Colorado np <-105 np >-150
Tampa np L2

[barts185]

same old wiz...a big help!
Thank you!

I'd settle for him being accurate when he actually posts the plays. I haven't said anything, but anyone who's following the ML page knows that the plays he posts have often been incorrect even at the time of posting.

But, as I've said a couple of times, not looking to get into it like I did last season (which did no good at all), and still don't have a lot of time to help out, so just be careful if you think that the plays he's posting are following the stated guidelines for the ML plays.

[Tommygunn]

Todays ML plays. FAV must be < -140

NYM, TB?, MIN, COL

Did you put the ? next to TB because they have lost 2 in a row but Fla lost 7? Would you guys play them or not?

[ShivaBowl]

Did you put the ? next to TB because they have lost 2 in a row but Fla lost 7? Would you guys play them or not?

Becuse TAM was close to >-140
TAM, Is a No Play Today, TAM L/2...
Thanks

[Tommygunn]

16Jun11 Result: 2-2 (PIT was a play, <20ip was on opposing team)
Record Official Start 15May11: 63-59 (+3.98 units)

Scientific Approach 17Jun11:

NYY, -291
ANA, -113, NP <+112
LA, -189

Filtered (MLW, SD, FLA)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

Dodgers or Angels???

[gryfyn1]

Dodgers or Angels???

Look again, both

[barts185]

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(96-82) +9.35Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 17
Bullpen Projection System

Angels3.87
Atl 3.51
Minny 3.46
Cincy 2.47
Pitt 2.38
Boston 1.18

No Plays
Balty np(Wash W2) 4.27
Dodgers np L2 3.62
Seattle np(Philly W2) 3.50
Cubs np(Yanks W2) 2.26
CWS np L2 2.09
Detroit np(Colorado W2) 1.94
Florida np L2 1.47

I actually get 2 more no plays (meaning it came up with something on every game today), although one would depend on whether or not you use 1.00 or 1.01 for the cutoff.

KAN np L2 1.00
SFO np (OAK W2) 2.30

[HoulihansTX]

I actually get 2 more no plays (meaning it came up with something on every game today), although one would depend on whether or not you use 1.00 or 1.01 for the cutoff.

KAN np L2 1.0
SFO np (OAK W2) 2.3

Kansas City would have had to be 1.01 or more for it to be a play. I think we agreed upon this earlier in this thread.

Not posting San Fran was just lazy on my part. Oak has W2, besides the fact that SF is >-150.

Thanks.

[barts185]

Kansas City would have had to be 1.01 or more for it to be a play. I think we agreed upon this earlier in this thread.

Not posting San Fran was just lazy on my part. Oak has W2, besides the fact that SF is >-150.

Thanks.

Sorry, my bad about KAN, I forgot, and didn't have time to look it up, but that's why I stated that it was only if you used 1.00. I'll make sure I use 1.01 going forward.

[Formulawiz]

Did you put the ? next to TB because they have lost 2 in a row but Fla lost 7? Would you guys play them or not?

They both lost 2 or more games, so it would be up to you whether you should play the game or not. I believe our filters allow us to play the team the ML system picks. You also have to look at the ML prior to start of game.

[Formulawiz]

I'd settle for him being accurate when he actually posts the plays. I haven't said anything, but anyone who's following the ML page knows that the plays he posts have often been incorrect even at the time of posting.

But, as I've said a couple of times, not looking to get into it like I did last season (which did no good at all), and still don't have a lot of time to help out, so just be careful if you think that the plays he's posting are following the stated guidelines for the ML plays.

You make an accusation that my ML plays are incorrect. Can you prove it before you open your big mouth. If your not comfortable putting your money on my ML plays then don't. I have been using all these systems before you joined our thread a few years back and I am more knowledgeable then you are. But thanks for your input anyway.

[Tommygunn]

Come on guys we're all on the same team here.

[Tommygunn]

They both lost 2 or more games, so it would be up to you whether you should play the game or not. I believe our filters allow us to play the team the ML system picks. You also have to look at the ML prior to start of game.

Thanks Wiz

[Tommygunn]

Mets np <-125 np>-150
Minny np <-130 np >-150
Colorado np <-105 np >-150
Tampa np L2

I love it posted this way

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 3-1, +1.8 units
YTD 56-32, +16.4 units
Plays later today

[rask7rask7]

Good luck today, doing well.

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays. FAV must be < -140

MIN?, TB, SEA?