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Good work everyone, let's keep it upComment -
any moneyline plays today yet ?Comment -
thanks for posting !Comment -
PeterPan, nice to hear from you again. I totally agree that the ML system performed well above any of the other systems and it continues to do so this year. Dont forget I started keeping the records on may 15th. As I stated, previously, prior to the 15th the ML system really kicked butt.Comment -
ML system went 2-0, +2 units
YTD 44-21, 16.85 units
Plays later todayComment -
Scientific Approach 07Jun11: WOW 3-0Comment -
Nice night last night for the BPR and looks like I gotta pay more attention to the ML plays too!Comment -
Todays ML plays. Must be < -140
SD, PIT, CHW?Comment -
Sorry Mr. Carrot, I was under the impression, that you were having a problem posting the Excel spreadsheet. I must have missed read you.Guys, I havent wanted public it now
If was just to analyze and I was wonder what do you think about it and how it can improve your systems. L2 - is current filter no play on team with 2 and more losses in a row and this filter is working great, its saved us money L2 + W2 is similar filter as L2, just it is together if play is on L2 and againts W2 together W2 - is current filter no play against team with 2 or more winners in a row. This filter doesnt work as well, this filter has stolen us 18 winners and saved 9 losses only -150 is current filter, no play if -150 under 1,8 is my personal filtr, no play if bullpen is under |1,8| You can find on the list "detail" detailed data and try found any other filters(home, dogs...) I tried use sweep filter but it is neutral filter. There are also total WL stats used diferent filters first - no filters applied SBR plays Al filters applied and my plays Just check it I dont want you must change anything in your current filters, just to let you know how it works and try find some new filters. You know, more heads can find better ways to win. I hope we can find some good working filters (or not) for the second half of the season GL and sorry for my EN 
Also, there is a major flaw with the BPR System; case in point,
BPR will take a loss yesterday with SEA, but SEA bullpen had nothing to do with it.
BOL
Comment -
Yesterdays PT Power Plays 6/7
MIN+118 L
PIT +102 W
CWS -101 W
SFG 1/2U n/p -135
Yesterday 2-1 +1.02 Units
Start Date 05/01
69-85 -9.80 Units
Todays PT Power Plays 6/8
MIN
LAD
ATL ½U
DET
KC
NYM
n/p if >-130
Filtered Out
HOU n/p L4
SEA n/p L2
Comment -
losemyloot How is the >-130 filter working out?
Do you think it should be moved up to, np if >-150
Over the last week or two, this may have helped?
BOLComment -
TPR system went 2-2 yesterday.
COL –142 L
STL –132 W
ARZ –127 L
CWS +118 W
Start Date 05/01
45-45 –1.12u
H/A system went 0-0 yesterday.
No Plays
Start Date 05/29
7-4 +0.45u
H/A Total Plays went 1-3 yesterday.
Two games, within 1 run of going Over Tl:
Start Date 06/01
10-7 +2.69uComment -
06/08/11
TPR System Plays
CLE 1.4
STL 1.2
CWS 1.1
COL 1.2 no play COL, IP<-20
ARZ 1.1 no play ARZ, L/2
H/A System Plays
No Plays
H/A Total Plays
CLE & MIN Over 8.5 –120
PHI & LAD Over 7 –125
MLW & NYM Over 9 +100
LAA & TAM Over 6.5 -120Comment -
07Jun11 Result: 3-0
Record Official Start 15May11: 42-42, -0.03 units
Scientific Approach 08Jun11:
BOS, -167
TOR, -244
TB, -113
Filtered (CLE, MLW)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.Comment -
March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units
Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(70-58) +8.6Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.
June 8
Bullpen Projection System
Cincy 8.60
San Diego 5.06
Wash 3.62
Atl 3.37
Tampa 2.73
Detroit 2.44
Stl 1.92
Toronto 1.65
Dodgers 1.48
Cleveland 1.09
Zona np L2
Yanks np(Boston W2)
Brew np(Mets W2)
Seattle np(CWS W2)
Comment -
I've been tracking a lot of information for the PT Power plays (started on May 18th) but I haven't been tracking the number of units W/L of filtered plays. I assumed that since Sportstrends recommends having a -130 filter on these plays that they have tested this number and found it successful.
I have been tracking the PP differentials and the TP differentials for each game since May 8th. My thinking was the greater the PP differential the higher percentage we would be hitting on these plays. So far these are the results:
PP diff 20-60 is 36-44 -6.265 units
PP diff of 60.1 and greater is 13-24 -6.97 units
Basically my hypothesis right now is crap but it is still a fairly small sample size since it is not even a full months worth of data. I think you would almost have to do this for a few months if not a year to get accurate data (if not longer).
If you guys think I should stop tracking this let me know and I can track something else. I have been thinking about combining both the PT Power Plays and the PR Plays to come up with picks. Basically the two systems would be used to filter the plays of the other one. I was thinking that if it is a play in one of the systems it has to have the same lean in the other system (not necessarily be a pick in the other system just have the same lean on a game) I just found it odd that these two systems are displayed on the same page and contradict each other often. I am assuming that in situations where they do agree or at least slightly agree these might be good plays.
I can think of tons of things to be tracking with these systems but I just don't have the time to track all of it. If I add anything to track I'll have to stop tracking something else just because of time restraints.
Sorry for the long post fellas and good luck today!Comment -
Loot, I had a similar system with the SA system where I analyzed the magnitude of the number differential. It was mildly inconclusive.
Earlier in the year I had a formula where I would use a multiplier for the top 3 systems at the time (SA, ML, BPR). I then used the percentage over .500 as the multiplier for each system. After inserting this into an algorithm, it would generate a "Power" value which I would use as the multiplier for my wager that day.
I didn't track this too well but I think it worked in the short term. I made it to maximize profits off the top 3 systems by increasing units on winners and decreasing units on losers.
I'll PM you guys the information.Comment -
ML system went 1-1, 0.0 units
YTD 45-22, 16.85 units
Plays later todayComment -
Todays ML plays must be < -140
HOU, COL, TOR?Comment -
Yesterdays PT Power Plays 6/8
MIN +145 W
LAD +169 L
ATL ½U -101 W
DET +165 L
KC -119 L
NYM +148 L
Yesterday 2-4 -2.24 Units
Start Date 05/01
71-89 -12.04 Units
Todays PT Power Plays 6/9
PIT
MIN
CIN 1/2
n/p if >-130
Filtered Out
KC n/p L2
FLA n/p L7
Comment -
TPR system went 0-3 yesterday.
CLE –161 L
STL –131 L
CWS –155 L
Start Date 05/01
45-48 –5.59u
H/A system went 0-0 yesterday.
No Plays
Start Date 05/29
7-4 +0.45u
H/A Total Plays went 2-2 yesterday.
Start Date 06/01.
11-9 +2.24uComment -
06/09/11
TPR System Plays
TEX 2.0
CIN 1.0
DET no play >-175
STL no play IP<-20
ARZ no play L/3
H/A System Plays
ATL
SDP
NYY no play L/2
H/A Total Plays
NYY & BOS Over 8 –120
FLA & ATL Over 7.5 –105
CWS & OAK Over 7.5 –120
SDP & WAS Over 6.5 for a 1/2U -115Last edited by ShivaBowl; 06-09-11, 09:07 AM.Comment -
08Jun11 Result: 3-0 (8-1 past 3 nights)
Record Official Start 15May11: 45-42, +3.47 units
Scientific Approach 09Jun11:
BOS, -121
TOR, -196
CIN, -324
ATL, -249
Filtered (PHI, HOU, COL)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.Comment -
March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units
Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(73-64) +5.25Units
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Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.
June 9
Bullpen Projection System
Cincy 5.03
Atl 4.99
Houston 3.72
Philly 3.61
Dodgers 2.96
Zona np L2
Yanks np L2
Brew Crew np >-150
Oakland np L2
Comment -
MLB 2010 Premium Internet Service Plays 58 - 19 ( + 38.25 Units )
Complimentary Selection for 6/9/2011
Take Boston W/Beckett over NY Yankees W/Sabathia NO PLAY if BOS < +110
BOLComment -
If a team is expected to lose by 2 or more runs.
Basically I'm saying this is something worth tracking as a possible filter to add to the pt power plays.
Here's what I'm doing:
Today, Pittsburgh is a PT Power Play and is expected to give up 5 runs.
Their opponent is expected to give up 0 runs, so Pittsburgh is expected to lose by 5 runs.
I haven't tracked how a difference of only 1 would do as the site says to use a difference of 2 or more.
Another thing I've been tracking since 5-12 is, the teams expected to lose by 2 or more runs are 61-47 +16.45 units. Passing on the 35 games agreeing with the PT Power Plays would improve it to 49-24 +26.28 units.
It's too bad Sportrends doesn't have a database of these tables so we could properly back-test them.Last edited by staf; 06-09-11, 01:49 PM.Comment -
money line plays up yet ?Comment
